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TheLeviathan

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Everything posted by TheLeviathan

  1. TheLeviathan
    I do think this has to be part of the conversation too. But there is no question he has transformed himself beyond most expectations.
  2. TheLeviathan
    Finally! A metric Gardy can get behind!
  3. TheLeviathan
    I worry he'll regress because the part of the defense he still needs most is awful. I know it hurt him last year, but I worry he'll have some particularly bad luck from it with this group.
  4. TheLeviathan
    The numbers are better for Mussina than my perception of him. I always thought of him in the "very good" but not "elite" category. David Cone is a guy that comes to mind as a similar level of pitcher to me.
  5. TheLeviathan
    If the Twins go with Schafer and Hicks it is all but formal acknowledgement that Hicks has busted out. I really hope the Twins haven't given up on him yet. Send him to AAA and hope that ship hasn't sailed just yet.
  6. TheLeviathan
    I'm glad we all agree that the only thing that makes sense (something like 4/18) would require Brian Dozier to have a lobotomy before agreeing. So, basically, an extension isn't going to happen yet. (As it should be)
  7. TheLeviathan
    I too think it'd be nice to see someone with the guts to dive both feet in for a few seasons to see how it works. It's just going to take a lot of determination to stick with it if things go awry.
  8. TheLeviathan
    Crain got 3 years and 13M, that is a far cry from 4/36. I just wouldn't use 4/36 as a good example. I've always been torn on this subject. In theory I agree with the idea of not limiting yourself by the roles you assign to players. At the same time, I also know as a human being that I like having some routine and my job to contain relatively predictable situations and circumstances. (And that this helps me do my job) I think this may be one of those times where theory doesn't work when the rubber hits the road, no matter how well-intentioned and argued the theory is.
  9. TheLeviathan
    I'd suggest this is a very new phenomenon. His deal doesn't have a lot of precedent.
  10. TheLeviathan
    The protection in an extension for Dozier is largely for him. The Twins lose their protection against him falling apart or getting hurt. Cost certainty is being talked about in these threads as if it is always a good thing. It's only a good thing in the situation of highly likely escalating cost. It can be a terrible thing when those costs stop escalating and/or decline. The Twins have time to see how likely it is Dozier is going to keep escalating and jorgen does an excellent job suggesting here that the comparable players to Brian Dozier indicate he's a player NOT likely to do so.
  11. TheLeviathan
    I'm confused why you would have to do that?
  12. TheLeviathan
    I would argue that there is not a "good chance" of that at all for precisely the reasons laid out. The Hughes extension made total sense because in the best case scenario you save tens of millions on a pitcher and worst case scenario you paid him roughly market value if he becomes average. He'd have to have a career ending injury for it to be bad. Dozier? Arbitration and team control protect you from the worst case scenario and you risk getting rid of that protection in the name of buying out years when he is 33 and 34 years old for the benefit of saving a few million. That's a terrible guiding principle for extensions and I sincerely hope the Twins realize that.
  13. TheLeviathan
    Calling out erratic contributions isn't diminishing him. I'm more than a bit irritated with that constant scarecrow. This isn't about whether or not we are going to start Brian Dozier or whether or not to trade him, this is about handing him a bunch of money outside of team control now before that issue has to be decided. But let's examine your points - in the last two years Dozier has played in 12 months. In 7 of those 12 months he has had less than 10 XBHs in a month. His BABIP is actually relatively steady but for that fluke month in August that throws off your 2nd half vs. 1st half OPS comparison significantly. Lots of fine players are bad long-term investments, that doesn't make them bad players. Just makes them risky investments. We have ZERO reason to take any risks on Dozier, so why do it?
  14. TheLeviathan
    Strictly using OPS seems a tad silly does it not? One month it's a high BABIP, one month he's handing out HR souvenirs, the next month it's something else. The guys profile offensively is schizo, which in my eyes, makes sustainability more questionable. Was his second half OPS similar...sure. But it ignores an August BABIP that was 100 points higher than his usual one that drove that OPS when the power sapped. I'd suggest this heavy-handed, one stat analysis is a pretty disengenuous way to argue for an extension. Dozier is a good player we have several years of team control through his peak years and you combine that with his erratic offensive contributions and, IMO, you are taking a wildly unnecessary risk to extend him.
  15. TheLeviathan
    I'd like this signing more if we had moved one of our other veteran relievers at the deadline and/or non-tendered a few.
  16. TheLeviathan
    Just saying...but it may help our developing young starters if we had guys that could field in the outfield.
  17. TheLeviathan
    Count me as someone who believes Dozier's second half numbers are cause for concern. Dozier's method of contributions are very erratic and I am uneasy investing heavily in that sort of player. I still need to see more from him before I want an extension.
  18. TheLeviathan
    Sano starting in AA? I was really hoping for AAA.
  19. TheLeviathan
    Nice work Twins, this is a good move.
  20. TheLeviathan
    Perhaps Ryan's scale for good outfield defense is broken. For further evidence consider his Hunter comments.
  21. TheLeviathan
    Should have added an "honest" next to that assessment.
  22. TheLeviathan
    I am genuinely confused how anyone comes away with that positive of an assessment.
  23. TheLeviathan
    People....Hicks is not a good defensive centerfielder. His "prowess" is average at best. If we're going to field a guy in CF that can barely hit .200....can we at least get a dude that covers ground like a madman?
  24. TheLeviathan
    Well, for one, they both are average to below average defensive CFs. Secondly, Hicks has catastrophically failed twice now and putting a switch hitter into a platoon is basically acknowledging he's failed to develop. I'm not ready to give up hope on him, not until I've seen him work at it in AAA and try one last time.
  25. TheLeviathan
    There are a lot of things that might frustrate me out of ST, but none of them as much as the idea that CF for this team is Hicks and Schaefer. I may lose it if that's what our plan is.
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