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TheLeviathan

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Everything posted by TheLeviathan

  1. TheLeviathan
    Yeah, probably 2s. But Gallen might have upside to be more than that. He's had some arm issues, but that dude is talented.
  2. TheLeviathan
    I'd make a play for Zac Gallen. I think you can get Jon Gray at a decent FA price as well. You could spend 50M (ish) and land Seager and Gray and then trade a couple pieces for Gallen and have a MUCH better team. I think that's reasonable in price and very doable.
  3. TheLeviathan
    I think the assessment is correct that total player salaries would go down in this proposal, but I think it is a starting point. The biggest problem is that until media revenues are shared by all the teams.....all solutions will be garbage. This is a massive *#%^*ing problem.
  4. TheLeviathan
    You open the checkbook for the hitter. Your pitching needs to be a pipeline as a mid-market team. Pay the dudes in FA who are on the field 150 times. It's the more reliable investment.
  5. TheLeviathan
    What this guy said. The only one I'm hesitant on is #2...but the rest? I'm your wingman on this one Van. All rock solid, good for the game ideas.
  6. TheLeviathan
    I agree with your sentiment on the owners, but the reason to support a cap is more in line with the product on the field and the health of the game. Though, as chpettit19 said, tying the cap to league revenue will basically force the owners into a more transparent sharing relationship as the other leagues have done. Only baseball has all this nefariousness and it's mostly due to the unregulated spending of the clubs with caps and floors. Beyond that though, it's bad for the product of baseball to not have caps. There is simply nothing good for the sport in allowing one team to spend 300M while another is at 70M. For some teams to be raking in billions in TV revenue while others are a tiny fraction of that. Baseball is trying to operate a national game in a regional way. That may have worked in 1960...it doesn't work now. It's one of several key factors killing the game.
  7. TheLeviathan
    I'm not complaining about their strategy (sans Gordon)....more lamenting that a baseball season this awful lands a disappointingly low pick. Worst of both worlds IMO.
  8. TheLeviathan
    Yes...but our current streak took us from 5/6 to 9. The gap from 5 to 11 IS significant. Literally the last 10 games alone dropped us 3-4 spots. Less room to drop now but the damage may already be done.
  9. TheLeviathan
    High enough for a frustrating draft position after all this putrid baseball we've endured.
  10. TheLeviathan
    Also, just to throw this out there....I too agree that the MLBPA is unlikely to take this deal, but I disagree that the middle "will" be squeezed. It's already being squeezed. A lot of guys who are not elite, but not terrible, already struggle to find contracts compared to a decade or so ago. And if they do get a contract with the AAV they're looking for (roughly) they are getting nowhere near the term they once did. The MLBPA SHOULD view this as an acceptable starting point because the cap floor would help create more market competition for those kinds of players much like it does in the NHL. Teams like Florida are now bidding up guys they otherwise would've been out on because they have to hit their floor. But, once again, the MLBPA will be too short-sighted to do the right thing. I'm no cheerleader for the owners (those greedy SOBs can pay for their own businesses and stop exploiting minor leaguers) but the MLBPA is why baseball's financials are broken and minor leaguers eat ramen three times a day. They need to leverage their position for the betterment of the game.
  11. TheLeviathan
    Yes, Martin has question marks about SS, but we got him precisely because we bought low on him. We bought low on the pitcher too. That's how we managed to get both of them. In your scenario, I want to be the Twins, not the Blue Jays. I don't want to sell my prospect low so that I have to pair them with another sell-low prospect to get a deal done. Those kinds of deals will blow up in your face. (And you for sure won't get much team control in doing so) I get your hesitation on Lewis though. I think I share it to some degree. I'm just a "swing for the fences" kind of guy in terms of what I want my FO to do. That being the case....I'll always prefer to gamble on a talent that went first overall over selling them for something "sorta fine" in the near term. Especially when my team is sorta bad right now.
  12. TheLeviathan
    I think this has more to do with baseball as a sport than it does anything else. But perhaps you're right....if you are I think the place to look would be at the bottom of the league. How often are some of the teams with the poorest financial situations, outmatched badly by their competitors, and without the resources to compete.....landing in the bottom? I wish I had the time to research that right now (I'll try later) but my sense is that these teams that pop up for the World Series are individual anomalies that belie the fact that they were stuck in a tar pit for years prior. Yeah, KC is in that mix, but that was after 25 years of putridness. Tampa appears to be the exception that proves the rule: money buys less margin for error, quicker turnaround times, and better odds of sustainability. Baseball's current financial landscape doesn't prevent you from building a winner, but it's like having a mile race with someone who gets to use a scooter on flat ground and you're hiking up a mountain with a 70 pound suitcase.
  13. TheLeviathan
    Baseball desperately, desperately needs a salary cap and floor. I can't type the word "desperately" enough for this situation.
  14. TheLeviathan
    I'm shocked that Jack Morris, an avowed jerk (I'd use another word), said something like this and didn't think it was all that bad. What a tool.
  15. TheLeviathan
    A high value pitcher isn't going to have a narrow band of teams on the hunt for him. If he's on the block, anyone willing to sell anyone is going to be willing to listen. Same for any prospect who has a lot of steam. The problem with Lewis is that the steam got abruptly halted. Royce Lewis, with the fact that there is a lot of tarnish on him right now, is not going to land you a good, controllable pitcher. Your argument seems to want to have it both ways: pretend he's still really valuable while quietly saying "yeah but he's totally questionable right now" and hoping no one heard the quiet part. That's not how trades in sports work anymore. You can't slip the warts by people thinking you can package him for something good. He's lost the kind of luster to pull that off. He's going to have to get on the field and show people he still has that pedigree or they aren't going to care where he's ranked on a prospect list. Once he does that? Now we can talk about moving him for a good, controllable pitcher. In October when he hasn't had a meaningful at-bat in what feels like a decade? You aren't getting that kind of value.
  16. TheLeviathan
    So you've got a narrow band of teams who are willing to overlook the fact that he hasn't played due to injury....that's not a sell high situation. Your argument is that this is his highest peak and you might be right, but if this is the peak it doesn't have much value. So why sell on that when there is still a decent chance he's the talent we took 1st overall? I don't want to give that up for some 4th starter.
  17. TheLeviathan
    Yes, but it isn't going to be headlined by Lewis. That's why he's a sell low.
  18. TheLeviathan
    I understand the concerns about where he'll play and if he'll hit. But so do other teams and there is no positive track record to give him anything other than a "gamble" trade value. If you could tell me you could get Jose Berrios 2.0 with 3 years left of team control? Sure. What I think you're more likely to get is James Shields. And, yes, that analogy is on purpose though admittedly a bit much.
  19. TheLeviathan
    I don't disagree that being Top 100 has value. But this guy has been Top 20 and has that kind of pedigree. Selling him off after consecutive injury plagued seasons and an adjustment year simply can't be a sell-high point. We're better off seeing if he's that first overall talent. If it flops? So be it, I'd rather shoot high than sell low.
  20. TheLeviathan
    Bringing back Weatherly never made a damn bit of sense to me.
  21. TheLeviathan
    Trading Royce Lewis now would be a sell-low move. No thanks, he's still going to be in this organization's top 5 with serious upside to prove his pedigree. Selling him now is taking pennies on the dollar because of a phantom problem of "too many shortstops" or some other bizarre notion.
  22. TheLeviathan
    By statistical measure, and this falls in line with historical trends for shortstops his age, he's not the defender he was. The stats being used are wrc+ or OPS+ because they capture a fuller picture of the hitter's performance and then compare it to other shortstops/players around the league. Meaning the numbers we're posting capture the more complete story (Simmons is a bad hitter this year) and only fairly compare him to his peers at SS. (Which, again, compared to other shortstops....he's still a bad hitter) These are not "fantasy" stats or "bookie" stats. They are mathematical formulas that more accurately capture player performance. By every statistical measure we have, Andrelton Simmons is a bad baseball player. Nick Gordon might be too, but if he's not it helps the 2022 Twins. Simmons has no present and no future in helping the Twins.
  23. TheLeviathan
    There isn't a single Hall of Famer anywhere near that bad that has played professional baseball . Literally no one.
  24. TheLeviathan
    I fully admit, I'm not a fan of 60 OPS+ players in my favorite team's lineup. I'm a crazy person, clearly.
  25. TheLeviathan
    How can I argue with a position that cherry pick one measure to make their point with massive amounts of evidence to the contrary? Stone cold logic there sir.
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