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TheLeviathan

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Everything posted by TheLeviathan

  1. I'd argue that first paragraph might be the same for Berrios.
  2. He's banking on himself. A young, durable FA is going to make a ton of money. He'll blow past what Wheeler got fairly easily IMO. 6 and 150M is the low end. I don't think they get him to ink a deal with less than 150M on the table.
  3. I guess my first question is.....how many contending teams are even in a position to meet that price? I'm all for setting a high bar for a trade, I just wonder if they narrowed their own market.
  4. One advantage Wade Davis and Ezra Cleveland have is the incredibly low bar for guard play we have. It'd be hard for them to be worse. Speaking of unresolved.....Gladney?
  5. We could absolutely contend next year! Best way to do that? Not pretend this year matters beyond prep for next year. Sell the parts that won't be here. Sell Donaldson so we have room to add to what we have. Sell Berrios because he has no intention of returning. Play the kids. Let them experience and adjust to big league ball.
  6. It was a kid's game, but Lego made a Marvel Avengers game with Kang as the main villain and I found him fun and interesting as a big bad. But yeah....not much of a comic backstory to fall back on. Maybe that's an advantage.
  7. Love this piece. The season is lost....let's get weird and hope we get lucky!
  8. Excellent post. And despite all of those advantages for Donaldson.....he still had to wait out a 4 year deal. I don't think people really have context for just how unreliable Buxton is or how risky an investment he is. We see the awesome dude with the awesome skillset who was an awesome prospect for us who really impacts the team. But we aren't seeing the fact that he's 27, he has literally missed hundreds and hundreds of games, and his best skills are the ones most likely to erode the fastest by all historical comps. GMs have to be sober in their decisions.
  9. You don't have to keep having the same part of your body getting hurt to be injury prone. Some people are just more durable than others. It's not his fault. He's not doing anything wrong necessarily. But you don't have a list like that and look forward to a pristine career in your 30s of picture perfect health.
  10. I didn't realize that alone explained the hundreds of games he has missed since we drafted him. Yeah, some of the injuries might just be terrible luck. Some weren't. Some were sliding. Or running. Or catching the ball. Not bad luck, hurt during routine baseball activities. Over and over and over again.
  11. Yes, it can happen.....but is Robert Smith the exception or the rule? People keep suggesting Buxton's injuries are bad luck, but people who get hurt often don't have to have it happen to the same area all the time. Some human bodies are more or less durable. It's also worth mentioning on this example: Robert Smith was on the field for the Vikings at a better rate than Buxton in a more physical game for the time period he was labeled as injury prone. He also retired at age 28. I'm not sure that example is a good one for a Buxton extension,
  12. I guess I might caution that the Twins sending over an offer for him isn't necessarily a "negotiation". And I say that because I'm not sure Byron Buxton is eager to negotiate. It would give me some optimism if that gets reported though!
  13. On what do you base the 70M value the last three years? Much of this extension talk is based on a comparison with the Aaron Hicks deal. Well....how's that one looking? And Aaron had nowhere near the history.
  14. There is absolutely upside he could be an MVP and make that contract worth every penny. But my pessimism is born out of some really tough facts, but facts nonetheless. Every GM out there has access to those facts too: counting on Byron Buxton is a dicey proposition. Counting on 34 year old Buxton? Woof.
  15. At this point, 40 games doesn't feel like a given and I don't agree he's worth that value. Any GM inking him to a long term is taking a significant risk they just created an albatross that will be hung over their head.
  16. 7/70 seemed to be the speculation but that wasn't reported. In honesty, I can't imagine he gets a 7 year deal for a higher AAV than 10M. That is a ton of risk the team is taking on with that term.
  17. Someone will pay him a lot of money. No one will give him more than 3 years. I don't think Buxton signs this because the AAV is too low. But if he bets on himself he may not get to 100M on one or two year deals before his body and value give out. That's the gambit here.
  18. Interesting. I ask because I got the sense from the twitter comments that it was a base 7/70M offer with incentives. 10M AAV sounds like the team has absolutely no confidence in his health and, I'd argue, much confidence in him staying here to make that valuation their last ditch offer.
  19. I think one year is his most likely deal. A fat one year contract with some GM hoping to ride a lucky year of health to value. I don't think any GM who wants to retain their job gives him more than three years. Once you start getting past that point contracts can look like an albatross. Especially when the known track record is as bad as it is.
  20. They will for sure take a shot at him, but what people are getting wrong around here (IMO) is that they think he'll get a long contract. Teams will blow a wad of cash in a short term deal, but no one is locking in to him for anything beyond that. A 6 year contract to Byron Buxton is the kind of thing that gets you fired in a few years.
  21. Until Richardson was signed I was really skeptical that would happen. Now I have significantly more confidence it will. You can shift a 3-4 look in and out of an effective 4-3 with over/under adjustments. Stunting and blitzing is then a 5 man operation with the three big guys and Hunter and Barr and Wonnum moving all over. My hesitation is that linebacker is our weakest group.
  22. No one is asserting that trades will magically accomplish anything. What I will argue is that doing nothing and keeping the same roster that's gotten us here will most certainly accomplish nothing.
  23. I'm pretty bullish on them as well. I like the investments they've made and I think the team is much deeper than it was in the past.
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