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TheLeviathan

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Everything posted by TheLeviathan

  1. TheLeviathan
    I endorse this for the same reasons @chpettit19 did - this is an offseason to be bold, not complacent. I don't love non-tendering Rogers or the OF defense this team would have, but I appreciate going the bold direction. This team needs to be aggressive as hell at shortstop, reliever, and starting pitching. And if they move Donaldson and another couple chunks of change they have more than enough money to do them all. This plan, and mine which has many similarities, demonstrate just how aggressive that could be. It'd be fun to see.
  2. TheLeviathan
    Really good player. Shop him and trade him if you can get a good pitcher.
  3. TheLeviathan
    I don't see any scenario where the Marlins say yes to deal Alcantara for those players. You won't get an ace for spare parts.
  4. TheLeviathan
    I like how your prices all seemed very cognizant of being fair and not homerish. I'd have liked to see you lay out the roster after all your moves along with the salary bottom line. My biggest plus there was the Arraez trade idea (does STL need a 2B?), but I'm worried about Chris Taylor as an every day SS.
  5. TheLeviathan
    Clearly you are not well-versed with Ace Ian Anderson the One True Pitching God. At least I assume that's what he is because the rest of the NL Champion Braves certainly aren't pitching like aces. And the Astros? Yeah...go take a gander at all the aces they rode to the World Series! Playoffs are a small sample. Teams with depth and luck win in the postseason. There is no magic formula and certainly not one where aces win championships.
  6. TheLeviathan
    I wasn't necessarily speaking for me. There are a lot of fans that are upset with starters who can't/don't pitch many innings. Robbie Ray was doing that before it was cool. (Driving up 100+ pitch counts in 4 innings. It was a common issue in his time with AZ) I only brought it up because people tend to look at "aces" as top end guys who are workhorses and Ray has a suspect history on that front. If the Twins invested in him I'd be fine with that.
  7. TheLeviathan
    The 2021 season had Buxton and the guys on the mound absolutely mattered. Partly because having Byron Buxton doesn't really mean you actually get all that much Buxton, but one baseball player cannot singlehandedly will a team to competence. Just ask Mike Trout.
  8. TheLeviathan
    While true, the value of being cost controlled is still attached to the value you bring as a player as well. While I think Max Kepler is a fine player, and perhaps a guy I'd rather bet on to rebound from last year, I'm not sure his production makes the ability to control his costs all that attractive. I could be totally wrong, I just don't see that the direction Oakland would go if they dealt Manaea.
  9. TheLeviathan
    Yes, but it was also a career high by about 20 innings for him. I'm not sure that's what we would expect going forward. Historically he's about a 5 inning guy.
  10. TheLeviathan
    We're back to using the word "ace" very loosely I see. If people don't like their starters being pulled after 5 they're going to hate Robbie Ray. We need good, consistent pitchers. Who cares how you slot them.
  11. TheLeviathan
    No, in favor of us. A SP has more value than a corner OF all things being equal. I don't see any reason why the A's would take that deal when they can add OF for less than that cost.
  12. TheLeviathan
    I like the ideas, but there are two I find unlikely: SP Jon Gray is going to get 3 years and 45M. maybe more. I can't imagine Kepler is going to get Maenea. That seems really imbalanced.
  13. TheLeviathan
    I think the salaries are a tad light. But then I am of the opinion the team will push up the budget this offseason. Not putting any money down in Vegas on that though.
  14. TheLeviathan
    I think Knebel is in the 3 year 8-10M AAV range. He has a track record and his late season work indicate a worthy investment. But I'd pay him that and the Twins certainly can.
  15. TheLeviathan
    Nice analysis in your post. The alternative is you bring in short-term contracts and let injuries and the depth rotations require let you sort those things out over time. There is no reason to believe right now that Ober is written in stone. Ryan either. They should get opportunities next year from the get-go, but the other guys will need to earn theirs in the inevitable stretches where they will be there to be had.
  16. TheLeviathan
    On each point: 2) I think the conversation with Miami starts with feeling out who they like and who they are prepared to offer. They clearly want catching and we have it. They clearly have pitching and we want it. So the framework is there, how it hashes out from there is pretty hard to predict. Sixto's injury is worrisome, but what he showed when he first came up was brilliant. It's a risky move to be sure. 4) Maybe he does. If I'm the Dodgers I could see them keeping Turner and Taylor and rolling with those two instead. But yes, the possibility definitely exists that he is retained by LAD. I like Story and then Simien in that order. I like Correa, of course, but this entire plan is based on going under where the heavy bidding starts and sniping guys who won't be number 1 on all the shopping lists. I see Stroman the same way even though I really like him. 6) My brain has this weird thing about Austin Martin. Every time I want to say something about him my brain says "His name isn't spelled how you think!" and then I just make some stupid thing up and confuse myself and others, clearly. I meant the kid we got for Berrios. I think he's a future LFer for this team and that is the dude I want there down the stretch.
  17. TheLeviathan
    Maybe. Projections are difficult but but what you're proposing is not a common contract given out anymore. I think people should really look back over the last 5 years of free agents. Seager isn't Machado or Harper or Cheatin' Gerrit Cole. He's a tier lower and my contract reflects that tier.
  18. TheLeviathan
    Agree with Nick....bench coach? Absolutely. DH? No.
  19. TheLeviathan
    Well said. His skill set is rare these days. Keeping him around will help this team but it's past time to give him a defensive home to get comfy in.
  20. TheLeviathan
    I think it's a reasonable price range relative to past seasons. A bump for sure.
  21. TheLeviathan
    I appreciate the effort and math that went into this. I personally would probably shave another 10% off of every tier and the base and would feel more comfortable. I've always thought the $/WAR figures were a tad silly and even with your excellent work recalibrating them I still think it start too high. Great read!
  22. TheLeviathan
    I wouldn't fault anyone for their desire to spend more on pitching. I do like Thor as well but I could see that getting dicey. My idea is to float in under the top tier and snipe guys early so you aren't in bidding wars. And, personally speaking, I'd rather put 27M into an every day player. For 42M I have Seager and Gray, but the alternative of Rodon and (insert 10M SS here) doesn't sound nearly as good to me. Especially since I have some confidence a few of these young guys are going to stick. If I thought the Twins could get Alcantera with Garver, I'd be all over that. I think Sixto Sanchez is a swing for the fences kind of addition.
  23. TheLeviathan
    All fair. If Seager stays I go after Story next. The Twins have the money to pull this off. I think Arraez and Kepler have such low trade value relative to their contracts that trading them would be poor asset management.
  24. TheLeviathan
    I do agree that Sanchez has real upside, but catching is a market with a real scarcity and Florida has openly stated their interest in improving there. I can see the argument that there would need to be more with Garver, but I disagree it would be that imbalanced.
  25. TheLeviathan
    Yeah, but with some regular time at a regular position that might improve as well. You'll take that from a guy who can be a 113+ OPS player.
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