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Thrylos

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Everything posted by Thrylos

  1. Thrylos
    Gardy can say what he wants to say, but I'd point the finger at the pitching coach, before I point it at Nolasco...
  2. Thrylos
    Congrats to both Perkins and Suzuki. This really helps their trade value. Great news for the Twins.
  3. Thrylos
    Ftfy:
  4. Thrylos
    Heyman is one of the most frustrating national writers to read, because he is using useless numbers to make his arguments. Ergo: Willingham missed a whole bunch of games and that hurt his HR total. He really is "hitting" .229/.377/.458 for .835 OPS and 133 OPS+ How many hitters are available out there with 133 OPS+ ? that 5-10 is as relevant for Correia as 6-3 (his listed height), and not to mention wrong. His record is 4-10. BUT. His FIP is 4.11, which is less than his All Star year (it was 4.85) and his best since 2009. A pitcher to build your rotation around? No. But he is better than the likes of Chris Capuano (signed by the Dodgers last week) and AAAA starters to be the fifth starter in a competitive team. If someone is willing to sign Chris Capuano, they should be willing to give something for Correia. Not that hard of a sell...
  5. Thrylos
    This is a similar situation with Span, albeit Perkins is a bit older but a bit better than Span was. Span brought back a top prospect who is practically the only guy with Ace stuff in the organization (at this point, some others have potential but are not there.) Given that there are more closer candidates now, than there were CF candidates then, I think if Perkins (even in a package) can bring anything close to what Span brought, it is a total no-brainer.
  6. Thrylos
    Or big corner OF A couple of other names that have to be added to the 3B/cOF/1B equation, in addition to Sano and Harrison: Amaurys Minier & Niko Goodrum. Minier is the best prospect of the two and looks pretty good after shoulder surgery (he is ripping the GCL apart as an 18 year old. Power has not returned yet, but contact is very good and his selectivity is improving a lot.) He is Sano Jr. and will crack top 10 prospect lists sooner than later. Goodrum has made a full time transition to third at the FSL and he has responded at least on paper. Will be in FL this week and will try to see at least a couple of Miracle and GCL Twins' games to see more of these guys (and the rest of the prospects,) but I think they should not be ignored. The other thing that needs to be mentioned is that one does not need stars in every position. In '87 the Twins won with Lombardozzi at second and Laudner at catcher...
  7. Thrylos
    Willingham, Carroll, Doumit, Marquis, Correia, Suzuki, Burton, the Capps re-signing, would have to disagree with you.
  8. Thrylos
    I don't think so. I think that he is more like a back of the rotation guy (in a competitive team) IMO
  9. Thrylos
    I'd copy and paste it here too, with a few additions, since I did not see that this became a thread on its own... Here is the state of the Twins' organization catching prospects: Mitch Garver is in the 3 year range ans is more advanced than both Pinto and Ramos were at that level, IMO. Matt Koch might be ready in the 2 year range, but his bat took a step back at New Britain this season. Defensively he is solid. And let's not forget the guy who used to be the top catching prospect for the Twins when Ramos was traded, was ranked as the top defensive catcher in the organization by BA a few years ago and is currently hitting .327/.397/.523 in AAA. Still cannot believe that Fryer is in the majors instead of Chris Herrmann. Add players like Steward Turner, Brian Navaretto, Alex Swim and a 17 year old kid with a ton of potential at the DSL, named Robert Molina (not related to the Molina brothers, but discovered by the same scout that discovered Wilson Ramon and Josmil Pinto) and you will find that the Twins' organization is loaded with Catcher talent. Not a top 50-100 overall prospect yet, but loaded. If I were to pin point the single most position of need in the Twins' organization, it would be (by far) LHSP. There one guy with the potential to be a number 3 in a competitive team (Stephen Gonsalves) About time to accept that Deron Johnson's gamble to try to turn top college relievers to starters failed and start feeding that pipeline. Other than that, I cannot see many needs in particular positions, and the Twins should go talent first in trades...
  10. Thrylos
    2-3 years? And you want a catcher with both D and a stick, I suspect... Mitch Garver in the 3 year range might fit the bill. More advanced than both Pinto and Ramos were at that level, IMO. Matt Koch might fit the bill in the 2 year range, but his bat took a step back at New Britain this season. Defensively he is solid. And let's not forget the guy who used to be the top catching prospect for the Twins when Ramos was traded, was ranked as the top defensive catcher in the organization by BA a few years ago and is currently hitting .327/.397/.523 in AAA. Still cannot believe that Fryer is in the majors instead of Herrmann. Add players like Steward Turner, Brian Navaretto, Alex Swim and a 17 year old kid with a ton of potential at the DSL, named Robert Molina, and you will find that the Twins' organization is loaded with Catcher talent. Not a top 50-100 overall prospect, but loaded.
  11. Thrylos
    I think I listed that before some place. If you look at the pitchers who got elected to the HOF by the writers since the 90s (which means that played in the last 3-4 decades), or the sure shots like Pedro Martinez, you will not see many over 6'1"-6'2" (Blyleven being an exception and likely Johnson and Halladay) and most of them (Maddux, Glavine, Martinez, Seaver, Niekro) were listed at 6' even or 6'1" and pitchers like Ryan and Eckersley were topping the charts at 6'2". So you have a mix really. I don't think that height has much to do with anything, unless it is in the extremes.
  12. Thrylos
    Berrios is caught into a numbers game. These guys are ahead of him: AAA: Meyer, Gilmartin, May, Pino, Johnson, Darnell, Diamond AA: Wheeler, Rogers, Dean, Vasquez, Hermsen AA/A+: Duffey, Baxendale enough to fill 3 rotations in 2 levels and I think that other than Diamond and Vasquez (and maybe Hermsen) the Twins will not give up on any of them
  13. Thrylos
    Barring trades and assuming no front office & field management changes this off-season(alphabetically) : Gibson, Hughes, Nolasco, Pelfrey (if healthy) and the fifth spot will be a battle among (alphabetically) : Darnell, Deduno, Johnson, May (if healthy), Meyer. I also assume that they will not offer arbitration to Diamond and he will be a free agent. Not sure that Darnell is really that great of a pitcher, or even "solid" (I guess a lot of people are using "solid" to mean "average" or "not awful"; I'd take that he is "solid" in that sense.) Other than half a season in AA, the past 4 seasons his FIP has been in the 4s and this season is 4.44. Other that that half season, his WHIP has not been below 1.37. Looks a lot like Diamond to me. I think that it will be a solid rotation next season. If for some reason Meyer and May both make the team, you will have either May or Gibson as your number 5 starter. That is not a bad place to be... Again, that is an educated guess based on how this team has been doing things. If there are changes in the front office or field management, all bets are off.
  14. Thrylos
    True, if Correia were indeed your fifth starter, but the team entered the 2013 season with Correia penciled as the number two guy. Any team that has Correia penciled to be the number two guy before the season starts, will not go far. Terry Ryan made a decision to get rid of Liriano for 2013 and replace him with Correia for the same money. We know where that went. Compare Liriano's 2013 (and 2014) and Correia's. Not quite as horrible as choosing LeCroy over Ortiz, but in the same ballpark. The fact that Correia is better than the AAA pitchers that Ryan decided he had to get in 2012, or that Gardy and Andy decided to miscast Duensing and Swarzak as starters, does not mean much. We all know what the root of the problem with the Twins has been for the last 20 years or so...
  15. Thrylos
    I'd love to root for guys like Reynaldo Rodriguez (and Brad Nelson at AAA) but methinks the Twins will better of moving players like M.Gonzales, DJ Hicks, Garver, Haar et.al. a step up and see what players like D. Romero can do with the glove on 1B (at AAA), instead of playing players 3-4 years older than the league average age in those positions.
  16. Thrylos
    Because all are likely at peak value. Do what the Rays do. You cannot sell players with low value (or give them away for nothing) and expect to compete just using the draft after 4 seasons of mess. A 90+ loss team does not need Perkins. Perkins is 31+ & starting his declining phase. I doubt that Santana is anything more than a UT type of player and the Twins have many better SSs in the pipeline, starting with the gentleman who got a cup of water last week. Dozier is a good player on top of his value. He might look like a star compared to this mess of characters, but he is not. .234 batting average and about .180 IsoP. Remember Ploufe a couple seasons ago? If one can get a high return for Dozier, it is a no brainer, as far as I am concerned. Got to sell high and cannot have untouchables in a 99+96+96+??? Team.
  17. Thrylos
    I think that what the Twins will do and what they should do might be two different things. What they should do is simple: a. sell high (Group A) b. buy low c. try to get something from free agents to be whose contracts you will not renew (Group . Sell high group (Group A): Perkins, Dozier, Suzuki, Fien, Thielbar, D. Santana (maybe even Parmelee.) Get some value group (Group : Willingham, Morales, (these 2 could be on group A as well, if they turn it around fast) Correia, Burton, Guerrier. If you do not think that the Twins can get any moving parts, remember the trades the Twins did for Guardado, Randy Flores, Brian Fuentes. Someone got something out of nothing (re: current relievers in this list) Pretty simple as far as I am concerned. What they will do is a different story.
  18. Thrylos
    The Correa vs Buxton debate is of the type that is better settled after 15-20 years from now, just like the Mauer vs Prior. We know who is better of the latter pair. Give it some time.
  19. Thrylos
    ummmm there was no cap on bonuses when he was drafted. He could negotiate (and did) exactly as if he were european or? As a matter of fact, Strasburg took a $7.5 million bonus that was part of a $15.1 million MLB contract. Cannot remember the last 16 year old amateur international free agent to get anything similar
  20. Thrylos
    The scouting reports I read about Ynoa are excellent. He does have 3 above average pitches with the potential to improve: Fastball that touched 92 (not sure about that 94 radar reading,) curve (described as hammer curve at a couple refs) at low to mid 70s and change. This is cross referenced with stories from the Dominican. Yes for the wildness, but one thing is for sure that a sixteen year old will keep growing and his mechanics will change. The positive things are that he mixes pitches and can change velocities with his fastball, which at 15-16 is very advanced. The one negative I see is that (and that is not him alone, and you can actually get a taste to where that drives, from a look at the Cedar Rapids DL) he has been throwing an "above average" hammer curve. It likely made his handler a couple of extra hundred dollars, but developing a curve at early teens (has to be, because it is above average,) is borderline criminal.
  21. Thrylos
    Well... He has OPS+ 150 at Coors and 135 on the road. Interestingly enough his road BABIP (.319) is slightly higher than his home (.310) and the HRs are close (8 to 5 home). What Morneau is doing is not Coors' induced. Give Mauer some time.
  22. Thrylos
    No, but they might for Perkins or Dozier Would they? I doubt it. Should they? It does not matter. They should not trade Plouffe and sell low. Plouffe can actually play the outfield better than any of the three lumbering gentlemen they are currently rotating in the corners. Should the Twins trade with the Royals? Last time I checked, they were only 4 games behind them in the L column yesterday before this series started. So a sweep away and they were there (but we all know what happened last night.) They should not trade with the Royals, unless the trade involved Burton, Florimon, Diamond and a few select other gentlemen.
  23. Thrylos
    Definitely there is huge improvement in the Twins' organization. About that chart: Not sure that un-normalized ERs is the way to go, esp. for teams that have affiliates in both the PCL and the CAL. Would be interesting to see how those charts look normalized by league average.
  24. Thrylos
    The other thing that has to be mentioned in this thread is that there has been a general impression (among people who have never seen him play and among the ones who love to propagate generalizations) regarding Polanco's glove. And you will hear comments left and right about his "errors" by Twins' staff, bear writers and bloggers. But if you watched the kid play and followed him since when he was signed (the same year with Sano btw) you'd know that he was a glove first guy who worked really hard with the bat (and now he has exceptional eye and contact skills and looks like he will develop power) and for some reason the Twins have played Round Robin with him around the infield. You saw him play SS today (if you watched the game.) His errors declined massively after his 30th game at SS this season at Fort Myers. He needs to play consistently at his position. That simple.
  25. Thrylos
    nope. They real problem is that they are keeping the front office that assembles these players and the manager who is playing them and the coaches who are trying to make them better, year after year.
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