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old nurse

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Everything posted by old nurse

  1. old nurse
    Molitor grossed 40 million as a player. Whatever taxes, agents, early partying, child support and ex wives took would be anyone's guess. Like many others, being around baseball has been his life. Beeing a competitor, he stayed in the game.
  2. old nurse
    Houston had a 4 year head start at being mediocre, 2 year head start at being really bad. 2 years ago the playofs, last year they missed the playoffs. So, in 2019 the Twins darn well be really good according to the Houston model.
  3. old nurse
    History would also say that over three years Molitor's teams have a net gain of 15 games over the previous manager's last season. Of course that would also imply that a team's record is due to only the actions of the manager.
  4. old nurse
    Arizona knew him well enough to fire him because the team was losing. Kirk Gibson (an old for a manager type) takes over and Arizona does a worst to first.
  5. old nurse
    In each of those other plate appearance a decision had to be made on how to go about doing business. If those complaining about the bunting wish to show the magnitude of the problem with some data it would be helpful . In terms of the directions given to a batter, there were over 6000 decisions that Molitor made
  6. old nurse
    White Sox 35, Rangers 27, Twins 26. That is not including all of the failed attempts by the Rangers and WHite Sox. League average was 18. Over 6261 PA, sacrifice bunts are minimal
  7. old nurse
    Pick your stat. Santana has pitched 64 games the last two years, Gray 49. A pitcher that can't pitch isn't very conducive e to a team's success. What happened in the other 14 games? FIP and xfip are strikeout driven numbers. Sanatana has a better hitting team, a better fielding team behind him than Gray did with the A's. Pitching is not strike out every batter. That is the limitation of fip and xfip.
  8. old nurse
    bref says Santana has thrown 211.1 innings to an ERA+ of 135 There is a little extra value in that Erv also pitches about 4/10 of an inning more per game. No knock against Gray, I don't think the Twins had the quality pieces in the minors to compete with the Yankees offer.
  9. old nurse
    Doolittle, too. They were neither winning nor losing because of Gray.
  10. old nurse
    So the only way to invalidate an opinion is to challenge somebody if they would bet money? Before the July trade deadline they were 38-30 against the teams not playoff bound. They were done with 3 of the best teams in baseball that they fared 3-14 against. 5-8 against the Indians. Given how they had played over the course of the season given the teams they had to play the final months of the season should be no surprise. It is what they were capable of.
  11. old nurse
    You can suppose that. I certainly did not. I would advise looking at how they build their models.
  12. old nurse
    Oakland had a replacement for Alonso. It also had a far more difficult first half of the schedule than last half. The models may or may not account for who tou play or how you have played that team in the past.
  13. old nurse
    Weird how I only commented on this year and get blasted for past years. This management group has been only at here for this year. The comment I responded to was about this year. So please come up what would have worked for this year,
  14. old nurse
    With 21 games against 3 of the worse teams in baseball on the remaining schedule and only 12 games better teams on July 31 anybody who bothered to read a schedule could see that there was an excellent chance for a playoff birth.
  15. old nurse
    Add what at what cost? A trade like the Jepson trade a couple of years back? Sonny Gray? Do you suppose the Twins could have offered a pile of non prospects to entice what the Yankees offered in ceiling?
  16. old nurse
    There was only one other time besides this season, that there was only two teams that had 90 plus losses. That season featured a 100 loss team. There were no really bad teams to pad the win totals/
  17. old nurse
    Game 4, game 5?
  18. old nurse
    Some of the teams that are low in sacrifice bunts are higher in GIDP, ie 2 outs instead of 1. Tricky business this is
  19. old nurse
    About 5 years ago the success rate stated in an article was 80% for sacrifices. No idea how the current data would be at. Since it looks like you are implying they are bad at it, and do it a lot, perhaps you would like to find the statistics that back it?
  20. old nurse
    When Falvey and Molitor have their rumored season ending conversation the first words Molitor should say is starting pitchers. He has 2. Cleveland have 4 performing well, and a couple not doing poorly
  21. old nurse
    Perhaps as a future article you can go over the different matrices for playing for one run, two runs and scoring in bunches.
  22. old nurse
    Some people put a general equation to a specific situation and think they are being scientific. Some people make a generalization based out of dislikes. Over the three year period that Molitor has been manager he has sacrificed 80 times. American League average over that time is 70. No great departure there. The Indians lead with 101. Falvey worked for the Indians. It might be well possible the Indians did a little more in depth research on that aspect of the game than whatever it is the posters here have done.
  23. old nurse
    I guess when I said nice job Rob people wold understand that it was Rob Antony. He had a month after the season to talk with Molitor about the season they were involved in. The time to talk about the season and digest it is immediately after the season. Falvey was hired on October 2, 2016. He could take the job officially until after the series, when the Indians season was done. In the three months before the season started I would think it unimaginable that they did not have conversations about the past season. Falvey's understanding of the Twins was from afar. His understanding of the Twins is going to come from that and the retained employees. His concern would not be of the season past but the upcoming.
  24. old nurse
    Frandy Torres the closer would also be high on the list
  25. old nurse
    Some guy did some number crunching in an article quite a few years ago. Actually runner on first ,no outs, a sacrifice increases your chances of scoring exactly one run. Molitor is doing a pretty good job in one run games, as someone else on this board called the Twins lucky in that category. Perhaps Moliror might be smarter than some here give him credit for.
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