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beckmt

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Everything posted by beckmt

  1. beckmt
    Cave is AAA protection against an injury longer than a few days in the outfield. If he preforms he may enable one of the corner outfielders to headline a front end starter trade. If not probably a better depth piece than Grossman, long term. Not a bad get.
  2. beckmt
    Looks like Bard has a decent chance of making the Angels bullpen based on an article posted in mlbtraderumors this morning. Could be a fail (1 item) for this front office. Never liked losing Bard, but he was never healthily and now seems to be coming into his potential.
  3. beckmt
    I think this is more serious than most of you think. I have seen the statements that Sano was being keep away from female Lookout employees to be telling. They could be a fire under the smoke. My guess if from a low of 15 days to a high of 30 days. I hope he grows up, if it occurs again here, it will become a major issue.
  4. beckmt
    I am not as worried about who starts in Minnesota, want to know the progression, because I am all for letting some of the young ones pitch here and get their feet wet. Not have to perform when an injury hits and the Twins are in a tight race.
  5. beckmt
    He will learn little in AA. He needs to pitch somewhere his mistakes will be punished. Doubt there is room for him in the majors, so hope he can start in Rochester.
  6. beckmt
    Right now Romero is pitching later on games. Will see if he pitches earlier, that would mean Twins are interested in seeing if he can come north
  7. beckmt
    Only way I can see for Mauer to return is Rooker not being ready
  8. beckmt
    Still would like to see one more righthanded bat. With the current rules wonder how many times the Twins will see a lefty starter from AAA to face them.
  9. beckmt
    KC might be a little better. Doubt Detroit will get much over 60. We should have a chance. Without a better starting staff, doubt we will go far in the playoffs. Maybe one of the kids steps up.
  10. beckmt
    Still do not like Pressly. Do like the hitters we finished last year with, no Aybar or Vargas. Probably will be Grossman though I prefer Granite. We shall see.
  11. beckmt
    If Romero develops a good 3rd pitch this year, he will be in the rotation almost certainly next year. If not that should be exposed in AAA and we may be looking at a shutdown reliever in the future. I prefer he can develop the 3rd pitch and be a starter.
  12. beckmt
    That is why I proposed what I did. With the current price of WAR and the fact he will still be able to hit FA at 31. I think I may be light, but if you wait until after this year and Buxton does well, you have little chance of extending him.
  13. beckmt
    On mlbtraderumors this morning Paul DeJong (less the 1 year service time) agreed to an extension with St. Louis that can max out at 8/$51.5. He is good, but nowhere near the player that Buxton is.
  14. beckmt
    At 5/$30 if I am Buxton I believe in myself and roll the dice. In fact if I feel greatly insulted by that offer, it may end the chances of me staying here long term. And yes, I consider 5/$30 an insult.
  15. beckmt
    That is why I am as high as I am on the contract. If he plays like he did the last 3 months last year, he is the one irreplaceable Twins player. If he has a great year this year, he will be almost unsignable and be gone when his 6 years here are up. Look at what Harper and Machado are looking at. Around $400 for 10 years. Twins cannot play in the neighborhood, that is why I hope they lock him up now for 7 years.
  16. beckmt
    I think it will take more than that. I would hope something like 7/$100/$120. I want him to be here a while, and make it worth his while.
  17. beckmt
    If we are out of it, it will depend on the season Dozier is having. If he is having a great season, Twins should get a decent offer from a contending team. If Dozier is having a bad year, he will just walk at the end of the year. Too many variables at this time to try and figure out.
  18. beckmt
    Unless it is a first round pick, find this to be highly unlikely. If the Twins are out of contention (also unlikely), Dozier if he is having a year close to the last two, should bring some top to mid range prospects and a lottery ticket or two in return. Seasons never work out as planned, and injuries or lack of production could give the Twins more than 1 suitor in this possibility. If offers are too lower you give him a QO and take the draft pick.
  19. beckmt
    Lynn had bad metrics to go with reasonable stats. He could well be better the second year back from TJ surgery. Knock from me is that he is a basic fastball pitcher. He can pitch around guys and has the pitcher in the national league, he gets none of those advantages.
  20. beckmt
    I heard they made an offer to Lynn, but it was a buy low offer (from what I saw). Maybe the Twins could eventually get it done for 2/$24, but do not see it happening yet. Twins would have to be convinced that all other options were not working out.
  21. beckmt
    From what I read of the game down here (about 5 - 7) miles from the Blue Jay stadium, Wind was gale force straight from home to center. Bad day for fly ball pitchers.
  22. beckmt
    Problem for the mid market teams is staying on top. The coast teams can buy players they need to fill in, mid market teams seem have a period where they are good and then a 4-5 year reload. I think if a player wants to be here and work it out, that can probably happen. Most of those will be youngsters who sign a contract to take away the first few years of FA. Once a player gets over 30, chances of an extension drop away a lot. This seems to mirror my thoughts on this era, where most of your average to average plus players are done fulltime in their early 30's. Unless Pohlad steps in to keep a popular player, I can see this group trying to sign players to one extension and then in most cases letting the player walk. It's a harder approach, but this is where the market is heading. We shall see if it bounces back, but it is going toward the era where only the great players get paid, and most of the rest will be interchangeable parts. Only the clubs with lots of money will have the luxury of having a huge payroll.
  23. beckmt
    My guess for Varges, is that they hold onto him until the last week of spring training and hope he hits well, if he does not maybe they can get a C+ or B- prospect for him who is a long ways away. If he does not hit well the last week to 10 days, he will probably be cut and have to go back to AAA or overseas for his next opportunity (maybe AAA this year and overseas starting next year). To me he is your classic AAAA player.
  24. beckmt
    It looks like Gordon and Polonco will be the Twins middle infield for at least 2019 and possibly 2020. Do not see Dozier resigning here (maybe he takes the QO). Hopefully Twins will use some of the money and buy a front line pitcher. Gordon has the upside of an above average major league player (no longer see him as an elite player), but that still is very good.
  25. beckmt
    Most clubs are making money(if not all). I can understand that you are looking at a salary floor being a major point in the next CBA. Between the national TV money, revenue sharing, and the local TV and radio contract I would guess(without knowing) that all clubs start at about $100 million in income (even the worst ones should have about that if not more). Add ticket sales and concessions and you probably have a floor of about $140 million. using the twins model of 48 - 52% of revenue, you could make a case for a minimum payroll of at least $70 million if not more. So many of these clubs are at bottom end (this was based on an Attendance guess of at least 1 million, so most numbers should be a lot higher). I can see where Pittsburg and Tampa Bay and Oakland were on the list. I think Miami is in the 80 - 90 million range so there is a weaker case there. (though the majority owner is known for making money and moving on).
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