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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    I see we are on the same page in this.
  2. ashbury
    It would make for a less interesting place if everyone operated under the same definitions. I do hope that Nick can extract from these various comments a way to further refine his description of how he values assets. I have asked similar of Seth when he provides his prospect rankings. Prospect A is ranked higher than Prospect B because he is... uh, more... um...what? One way to arrive at a sharp definition is to imagine a team liquidating its assets by auction. The highest bidder would scoop up Player B for $5M, Player A would fetch $20M, etc. While we amateurs would be purely guessing at these values, even a GM would be unwilling to sign his name to his estimates - no one can know for sure. But at least it would be something pretty well defined, and would allow for a ranked list. But... since teams don't liquidate, and haven't done so for more than a century, would this neat and tidy definition correspond to any kind of actual reality? I have my doubts. Also, highest bid for each player, would not necessarily correspond to any given bidder's rankings of all the players. There are some paradoxes contained even in thought experiments (which here boil down to game theory), to say nothing of real-world complexities. It's hard. I don't forecast real satisfaction from pressing Nick too earnestly. JMO.
  3. ashbury
  4. ashbury
    What a coincidence! The team with the highest payroll, not to mention one of the more longstanding analytics departments, just happened to win a championship. We can go talk payroll or chemistry or analytics in some different thread devoted to those topics, and I don't want to get off the topic of Nelson Cruz here, but this kind of nonsequitur shouldn't go unmentioned. For what it's worth, I expect Cruz to be a plus in the clubhouse. But I don't particularly overstate his value as a mentor - teams hire coaches and managers to handle those roles as well. Another player will listen to Cruz because he is a peer? Even though Rocco is a year younger?
  5. ashbury
    We probably get for Austin only about what we gave up to get him in the first place. Defensively, in the outfield, he'd probably be about like Wil Myers or Franklin Gutierrez, if my favorite QnD scouting source* is to be trusted. Just to set the expectations, at least for myself. Very average, probably plodding, but not embarrassing. Definitely an option to consider. * Out of the Park, the baseball game - they claim to put in some effort in this regard, as a aggregator of scouting opinions
  6. ashbury
    Well... sub... played...liminally... Sir.
  7. ashbury
    The thread title has "best tools in the minor leagues" so I think that's a useful assumption on anything stated about "the organization". I too would like to see a foot race.
  8. ashbury
    Oh, I suppose a .300 BA with a SLG above .600 is considered good in some circles. A bat-only guy for DH needs to be an elite hitter. He isn't young but I think he can still be one. This is what you demand positional flexibility from other roster spots for - the license to try for a stud at DH.
  9. ashbury
    Great Cuban keystone combination. The Twins should have signed that other guy too.
  10. ashbury
  11. ashbury
    Merry Christmas from Casa Ashbury.
  12. ashbury
    Yeah, one of my family mentioned this news at breakfast, and it sounded like one of those too-rich-to-be-true posts I see on Facebook where my first step is to check Snopes.com. Instead, I suggested checking Fox News, and if it's there, then I guess it really happened. Turns out I have some use for Fox News after all!
  13. ashbury
    Moderator's Note: This is basically the same interview of December 11, reported by two different newspapers. The thread has circled back on itself. Nothing new is being said about the subject of this thread, and I am closing the thread now. PS: Merry Christmas to everyone!
  14. ashbury
    Dunno. I'm getting a real 2012 vibe right now.
  15. ashbury
    /thread
  16. ashbury

    Flying

    ashbury replied to Squirrel's topic in The Sports Bar

    The seats you want are the seats everyone wants*. To get them on American, you generally have to pay first class or business class, or else book early and pay probably higher than if you waited, or else get lucky. Southwest offers the option of paying extra for boarding early in the coveted A-group. I think it all comes out about the same. * OK, half want window, half want aisle, everyone wants front of the plane.
  17. ashbury
    Our second baseman's name is pronounced Scope. Sorry to change the schoop of your ice cream jokes.
  18. ashbury
    I'd like to see more about the correlation between complete games and injury. One thing to be controlled for is that only highly accomplished pitchers are permitted to complete a game. Somehow a controlled comparison of levels of accomplishment, except that some pitchers are permitted to go 9 innings while others aren't, would be needed to really draw a conclusion, I would think. Except that I have no idea how to conduct such a study.
  19. ashbury
    Not Ft Myers?
  20. ashbury
    When you fire the manager, in effect you're saying the players aren't the problem, and the new guy will get more out of them. So, sticking with what appears to be a core makes sense. But I am perplexed at the apparent lack of interest in acquiring some high-end new talent to replace the expiring contracts and supplement this core, nonetheless. All I'm seeing is buy-low, some-upside, kinds of moves. If this is a rebuild situation because the core's no good, they could have just stuck with Molitor.
  21. ashbury
    What do you base this on? I mean, apart from what they do for any rookie to help him try to amp down and just let him show what he can do?
  22. ashbury
    Moderator's note: I started to say something, then decided to wait and see, but now it seems I needed to. We say to posters frequently, if you don't care for a particular topic, there's no obligation to comment on it. That seems the case here. Commenting in effect that a thread isn't worth commenting on just leads to bickering. (The response here was restrained, but still invites a direction away from constructive talk.)
  23. ashbury
    OK: /Ho hum/
  24. ashbury
    Twice on waivers? Oliver Drake says, "hold my beer". May 5, 2018: Purchased by the Cleveland Indians from the Milwaukee Brewers. May 31, 2018: Selected off waivers by the Los Angeles Angels from the Cleveland Indians. July 26, 2018: Selected off waivers by the Toronto Blue Jays from the Los Angeles Angels. August 3, 2018: Selected off waivers by the Minnesota Twins from the Toronto Blue Jays. November 1, 2018: Selected off waivers by the Tampa Bay Rays from the Minnesota Twins. November 26, 2018: Selected off waivers by the Toronto Blue Jays from the Tampa Bay Rays.
  25. ashbury
    I don't think you can find a case of someone going 0-for-50 in Spring games, or a pitcher getting significant work and retiring no batters, so it's basically a strawman argument. But if Buxton has extremely poor Spring numbers, the FO has the right to take that into account when making their final roster decisions. That's not a contradiction to their saying that as of now Buxton is the incumbent at CF. And it's not a contradiction if merely mediocre numbers are given less credence (by us, or by them) than the quality of the plate appearances the on-field staff feels they are seeing. Making an extreme case like you did doesn't really add much clarity, and comes across as combative. / edit - looks like jorgenswest was about to click Post when I started writing my little post - didn't mean to repeat his point
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