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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    Pirates pitcher Locke getting a little squeezed there. Tough when the bases are already loaded.
  2. ashbury
    And nicely done, too. Earns the Roseanne Seal Of Approval. http://images.sodahead.com/profiles/0/0/3/4/2/7/5/2/3/geee-88719425005.jpeg
  3. ashbury
    Nice cutoff of the line drive down the line, by Pirates RF Josh Harrison. Santana nearly thrown out going into second, on a ball that looked like a standup double.
  4. ashbury
    We are underway. This has been your Circus Boy Update.
  5. ashbury
    In a similar vein: http://vamers.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/Vamers-Artistry-Carmen-Sandiego-and-Wheres-Wally-A-Perfectly-Unfindable-Match-Where-have-you-been-all-my-life.jpg
  6. ashbury
    Yes, Where In The World could he be? / looks like he's on the outskirts of Sandiego.
  7. ashbury
    At almost the same moment, another TD poster in the "Where's Vargas" thread invoked Waldo. Os'Waldo.
  8. ashbury
    This would be a great question for TR or someone close to him in the front office. How often does the phone ring, with other GMs asking about your players? Is it always the same two or three (Buxton, Sano, Berrios, say)? Do you get any real feel for what a player's current market is, without initiating those phone calls yourself? I wonder if we got misled by watching Brad Pitt work all those trades.
  9. ashbury
    Stanton would need to get at least a courtesy mention in any such discussion as well, IMO.
  10. ashbury
    Bring Meyer up to the majors, even. See what coaching magic he can work on Stauffer. "Try throwing the ball as hard as you can, sir."
  11. ashbury
    All the factors mentioned in the past few posts are non-insane, but all happen to be in one same direction, and taken together explain the good W-L adequately for (at least) my purposes. And I for one am happy if the RNG gods are smiling on us for once, because I do believe our overall luck has been below par for several years now. And as Willihammer points out in the meantime, there is upside for the fundamental OPS numbers so that we could see continued good run production by that means and few would even notice. Ditto on the run-prevention side if a couple of starters produce like we think they can - Trevor May being one pitch away from a stellar start, etc.
  12. ashbury
  13. ashbury
    Neat idea. Since he has worked as a teacher in the off-season, this especially fits his personality.
  14. ashbury
    I think an analysis simpler than Fangraphs' can shed light. On offense, the Twins currently rank 3rd in the league in runs per game. Yet, their OPS is 11th, close to league average. Unless they have been scoring on things like base running or extreme clutchness that OPS doesn't include, there is an inconsistency here that I don't understand. On the other side of the ball, they are 9th in runs-against per game, essentially league-average. But their OPS-against is 14th, next to last. Once again there is something to be reconciled. I trust OPS a little better than raw runs scored - I can make an argument that they've bunched their offensive production in an essentially lucky way that maximized their run scoring, easier than I can work backward and try to figure out how some home runs got counted unluckily as singles when the run-scoring occurred. The current wins are in the bank, as others have noted, but if the pace of wins falls off, it may not be due to a collective slump, but to the runs normalizing to the hits being gotten and given up. Of course the OPS numbers will not remain static either - but they will have to improve a lot just to reach the current level of run production/prevention and keep this current good streak going.
  15. ashbury
    We truly are living in the Golden Age of advanced defensive stats.
  16. ashbury
    So we're only two front-line/dominating starters away from making noise in the post-season? Sweet.
  17. ashbury
    I know I'm risking overthinking this, but it might be good to have him make a couple more starts in Florida anyway, after the excitement of his AAA start, just to see if he somehow loses concentration. It's a long season and there are many ups and downs. Maybe there's something additional for him to learn from this. If he continues to do well, there's plenty of time for a mid-season promotion.
  18. ashbury
    If it's a win-or-go-home scenario it's because the team was fighting and scratching right down to the final day. So you don't have the luxury of setting anything up by holding someone back a few days. Whoever's turn it is in the rotation, gets the nod.
  19. ashbury
    Here's my Hu-brag: http://twinsdaily.com/blog/159/entry-6383-30-twins-prospects-ill-be-watching-in-2015/ I had him fifth among a closely bunched group of starting pitchers at the top. I did not merge pitchers and batters but he easily could have been barely in my top ten had I done so. I had forgotten the TD Prospect book's scouting report on him had the fastball well up in the 90s like that. He's not just some "palmball guy".
  20. ashbury
    JJ Fernandez is my Adopt-A-Prospect guy, so even though I know space here was limited I gotta stand up for him. His 2015 batting stats are likely soured by the concussion he suffered (similar circumstances to Pinto's unfortunately). Before his involuntary time off, his stat line was .292 /.346 /.417 /.763, and since coming back it's been (*mumble* *mumble* *pretty bad*). Last year at Elizabethton he threw out 5 of 13 base stealers in 22 games behind the plate. That's an OK percentage of 38%, and also represents what seems like a very low rate of runners willing to risk it against him. But certainly single-A exposes him to a more consistently good class of opposition. I don't know whether the fundamental scouting/evaluation indicates an underlying problem explaining this year's throwing numbers - he passed my "eyeball test" in March, at throwing to second, but I honestly didn't give it a lot of thought at the time. Also I am a terrible scout.
  21. ashbury
    No, it was ruled a hit. The run is earned. (But seriously, see the post three up from yours.)
  22. ashbury
    Wow. Good find.
  23. ashbury
    I was just kidding, about the way Hicks's promotion was being explained.
  24. ashbury
    Apparently reports from the Rochester field staff were lost by the Pony Express en route to Minneapolis. And Terry Ryan must have judged it more cost-effective to buy Hicks a one-way airline ticket than to get a round-trip ticket for himself to see what's going on in person
  25. ashbury
    Dis-concur. No evidence the guy is two seconds away from breaking an ankle. The NFL at least has rules to protect him.
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