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Brandon

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Everything posted by Brandon

  1. Brandon
    Cron hit 30 last year so 25-30 is doable.Schoop career year was 32 so 25-30 is doable in his prime which is 2019... Buxton hit 16 2 years ago so 15 is doable Cruz hit 38-41 the last 4 years so 35 is possible. Sano if healthy can hit 35 in his age 26 season. Kepler has 3 years of 19-20 so if he is improving at all why not 20-25 if he starts? Yes he could end up at 12-18 but he has a good hard hit rate so i expect a little more power. Rosario has hit 28 so 25 is reasonable... I am guessing if Cave is a starter with 525 AB he gets 20 HR not if he is bench. Same with Castro if he starts he gets to 10. Not if he is the back up. Do I expect all players to hit those numbers ....no but i do think they can collectively be close and that is still around 200 HRs which is alot is my point and no OBP guys.
  2. Brandon
    Last seasons decline for Schoop was attributed to an oblique strain which can be painful. He should have sent time on the DL. For once we get to benefit because a team/ player was too stubborn to go on the DL. We are going to sign Cruz and have super powers....I mean a super powerful lineup for a change. 1B Cron 25-30 HR 2B Schoop 25-30 HR SS Polanco 10-15 HR 3B Sano 35 HR C Garver 10-15 HR / Castro 10 HR DH Cruz 35 HR or Austin 25-30 HR LF Rosario 25 HR CF Buxton 15 HR RF Kepler 20-25 HR or Cave 20-25 HR The Lineup should be close to 200 or more HRs in 2019 almost all solo shots but that's a lot of HRs for this team.
  3. Brandon
    The Cubs and Houston picked higher than the Twins in those years. makes it easier to hit when you have the higher picks. I am confident that if Bryant was available when we had the pick we would have picked him instead of Gordon or Kohl Stewart. And Gordon and Stewart were considered top of the draft when we picked them. I would also include Berrios as his draft pick turned out pretty good. Stewart is looking like a potential 3-5 starter depending on his eventual ceiling and I think he can continue to build over the next few years. He may have to be a swing man or 5th starter a year or two but with a 96 mph fastball and developing other pitches He does have the potential of being a Kyle Gibson for us. Gordon still has the potential to be a .270/.330/.380 hitter with 25 2bs 10HRs and 10 Stolen bases as a middle IF. If Jay can be a solid Middle reliever his pick will work out ok just looks bad compared to Benintendi. I think Buxton will be fine. His defense is great and I think his bat will play just fine. By the way Killerhoff is looking like a good first round draft pick as is Lewis and Larnarch. I think the farm system even under the old regime was doing just fine.
  4. Brandon
    The reason the Twins didn't do this back when they were competitive in the early 2000's is because the Twins were built with a lot of average talent. The upgrade to higher talent that was available in trade wasn't always that big of an upgrade and the cost to acquire was expensive. I don't remember too many potential opportunities where the upgrade made a huge difference and the cost was high.
  5. Brandon
    I think that's still too many openings for internal solutions. Plus I would rather Romero start as he does have top of the rotation potential. So signing 1 legit bullpen piece like Soria and another to add to the competition is not a bad way to go. That would give our pen 5 reliable arms and three competing for spots with a number of players. I do think a few of them can make it like Moya and Magill so I am OK with 3 spots especially if we have a minor league signing or two to compete as well. Moya, Vasquez, and Mejia are three lefties I think will get lots of looks. I think Mejia still has a solid shot at the 5th starter though. Curtis, Reed, and Duffy are three guys who have either not been given a chance or have control issues or haven,t been effective so far. I don't want to guarantee a spot to any of these three as they need to force their way back into the equation. Magill is in line for a bullpen spot too. Or at least should have a leg up on a spot. But like you say the key is if you plan on using Romero out of the pen. That would be the key to your argument that we don't need to go outside for bullpen arms. And that is a valid one though i hope the Twins do not commit to keeping him in the pen for a full season. I want him ready to take over for Odorizzi by the end of next season in the rotation.
  6. Brandon
    The plan for Austin is for Hrbeck to coach him and Cron into a full cage no holds bar WWE style knock out match for 1B winner takes all. How does anyone not see this comming?
  7. Brandon
    I'm for signing Cruz, cause if we can't get on base we need a lot of solo HR to score. Not sure on Cahill though I don't think it's the worst idea either. If Garver or Castro can't catch then we should go after Ramos And Soria works for me. Should we go after a second reliever too or go with a failed starter?
  8. Brandon
    do you have a link to the onion article?
  9. Brandon
    I guess the Twins are trying damage control after upsetting their fan-base https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2018/12/twins-interested-in-nelson-cruz-wilson-ramos-joakim-soria-trevor-cahill.html
  10. Brandon
    If we absorbed the money owed Kemp, we could expect a prospect to be added to the salary dump if the dodgers wanted to trade Kemp when they sign Bryce Harper. In July we can get prospects by agreeing to pay the remainder or most of the remaining salary. so we can get a prospect for acquiring him and trading him again. Would it be worth it to do something like this? What kind of prospects could we expect in either scenario? Kemp only has next year left on his contract. San Diego is paying 2.5 million and he is owed 21.75 total. So comparing the SD trade for Phil Hughes SD acquired a 74th pick if I remember right for 8 million. so for us to make the trade worth it we would need to get a pick that is worth 10-18 million we are saving LA and when we trade him a 4-5 million prospect minimum If the prospect capital on both sides of the trades can total more than the 19 million we would be paying then we get his production at DH for 4 months and the overlap as our surplus value. Since we want to Horde as many prospects as we can, which ones would be worth that type of cash up front? someone With the value of a 65-80 pick in the draft and a 100-120th pick in the draft or we can expect at least 2 - 3 WAR from a more developed prospect and In July when we trade him we can expect maybe a 100th - 120th pick in the draft for the July trade or a .5 -.75 WAR value prospect. Is this a good strategy? Are there others we could do something creative like this in an acquisition?
  11. Brandon
    I hate the opener strategy. Its stupid . And i dont want to pay to go to a game they do this.
  12. Brandon
    I think the Twins are fine with him as C but if there is another concussion then what....I think they are more worried about the next one ending his C career.
  13. Brandon
    Actually with more playing time Adrianza was bouncing between .690-.725 he ended at .680 I imagine after he went on the 10 day DL for something and spent more time on the bench when he came back till Escobar was traded.
  14. Brandon
    Ehire is a below average starter almost average and a good bench piece. Most bench players have one good skill they are good at:defense or power, or speed....Ehire is across the board average in all things but an above average base runner. He is like the floor of Gordon.
  15. Brandon
    Let me rephrase. I think if Ehire said I want to be closer to 1.8 million that MLB is projecting or lets go to arbitration he may have been released. There is always a choice.
  16. Brandon
    He belongs in a long line of Twins reserves. Al Newman, Randy Bush, Jeff Reboulet, Nick Punto, almost Grossman...his time here was too short, Gene Larkin....Im sure you can think of others. But we usually have a few decent long term reserves on this team. Why not Ehire too? I think he resigned here cause he knows he will get more game time here.
  17. Brandon
    We are suggesting players that they said they are looking for. Young cost controlled position players and bullpen I am guessing before the Cano trade they didnt need a pitcher to replace Thor per se but they may need one now. While we are suggesting players who are solid but inexpensive, Those players may allow NY to spend more money elsewhere on the team. I think a third team would have to be included as the Mets are in a win now mode and wouldnt want to wait for Lewis or Killeroff.
  18. Brandon
    We could include a third team. The Mariners come to mind. We could send them some prospects for Santana and a piece NY would want. Mariners get cost savings and prospects, we get a 1B that pushes Austin/ Cron to DH and Syndergaard, Mets get prospect from Mariners and stuff from us too. I'll let other posters fill in blanks or restructure this for me.
  19. Brandon
    Looks like the Twins kept Grossman until they signed Cron to a lesser than projected amount. I wonder if the Twins told Cron if he didn't sign they would non-tender him and sign Grossman. and because Cron signed Grossman gets let go. I will say i was for keeping him one more season. We don't have a lot of on base threats in our lineup as is.
  20. Brandon
    We've had some good hits with the rule 5. I'm ok with us taking a flier on someone.
  21. Brandon
    So is Parker Hageman gonna throw his hat in the ring and become a scout or coach? He seems pretty good at finding players weaknesses and video analysis.
  22. Brandon
    The time to get Ramirez was last season. When we had numerous holes in the lineup in the first half and we were still trying to compete. I would turn the page from here, but I wouldn't be opposed to a minor league signing later on in the offseason if it looks like we may have AB for him in spring training. If he could be a part time 1B/ DH/ RF then maybe he could be good for 400-500 AB during the season on a low base salary if he wants to play. But Ramirez is someone I wouldn't sign until after all the chips have fallen for the offseason.
  23. Brandon
    Didn't May miss a month with the back injury the year before the UCL tear? but yeah he was a rock up to the back injuries which occurred when he moved to the pen. I like May as a starter but if he isn't starting this year then he will likely be a pen guy from here on out. I would like to give Romero 1 more year of starting before moving him to the pen. Though that move is on the table. Just if we can make him a top of the rotation starter we need to go that route. Romero does have that potential. I like the idea of Astudillo on a 4 man bench with 1 OF 2 IF and a C with Astudillo being the 2nd IF. 500 AB may be a bit much but 300-400 would be possible if he is producing around an .800 OPS. Also I do think it would be good for us to have him earn his way back on the team. Meaning we have other options too. If Kepler is near Gold Glove in RF then maybe Cave or Grossman if keep him should learn to play 1B. I would rather have some areas where we do have great defense. especially if we get more flyball pitchers. (see Sonny Gray) from an internal prospective we currently have Gordon, Cave, maybe Wade, Rooker, Astudillo and maybe Reed as being ready or almost ready to come up and be a reserve or injury replacement,. pending any AAA FA we sign or waiver claims made in spring training (am I missing anyone here?)
  24. Brandon
    I second this post. Also I agree that the payroll is not likely to go past 110 million. If it goes to 115 million I would be surprised and happy. 125 million I would think the Twins are going for it without a Bamtech sale with a 50 million windfall.
  25. Brandon
    That article is from last year.
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