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Brandon

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Everything posted by Brandon

  1. Brandon
    I expect the pitchers will get the call up sooner rather than later. I am disappointed that May is not in the rotation right now. But If Pelfry is healthy and does well in 5 starts then fine he can stay but I was looking forward to seeing him from the pen.
  2. Brandon
    with 550 plate appearances I project .275/ .315/.440 with 25 - 30 2Bs and 20HRs 80 - 90 RBI 7 stolen bases
  3. Brandon
    .270/.330/.370 27 2bs and 5 HR I think he has fundamentally changed his approach and is more of a line drive and less about trying to hit for power. if he doesn't wear out he could hit for a higher average.
  4. Brandon
    My 2 cents I didn't read into Plouffe going to first other than positional flexibility. The rotation is between May and Millone at this point. I think Pelfry is in the pen. In the pen I see Perkins, Fien, Deunsing, Pelfry, Stauffer, with Thielbar likely and Graham, Boyer, Pressley fighting for the 7th spot In CF if it isn't Hicks or Rosario starting Escobar has shown he can handle short and should get more time to start and let Santana go back and forth between CF and SS again getting more time a SS this year then last though. This way were not sacrificing on offense so much. and Buxton is likely to be up later this year anyway so its not like this is a permanent thing for Santana and it gives more playing time to Escobar who has shown he deserves it.
  5. Brandon
    I think the Twins have a solid mixture of solid arms for the pen. Thy should be around league average. Throughout the year the Twins will start to bring up and install ore power arms. I am more concerned how the bullpen looks at the end of the season then at the beginning. kind of like how the offense changed over last season. Fien is a solid 7th inning pitcher, Perkins is fine, Burdi is on the way, Pelfry could be a darkhorse pitcher who exceeds expectation here. Deunsing, Thielbar, and Stauffer/Pressley? are likely place holders and gone next offseason I am not as worried about the pen ...outside of the OF defense, CF, 5thstarter, and maybe the 7th bullpen guy, I am pretty confident in this team winning 85 games this season.
  6. Brandon
    I have the Sox as an 80-85win team with the potential to win if Rodon succeeds this year. Rodon is the wild card to their season. That lot of pressure. I have LaRoche replacing Dunn's production. Smardijizia is a good player for next year a huge upgrade who will make the rotation a winner especially if Rodon starts out strong. Robertson is a huge bullpen upgrade and so is Duke but they could use another reliever or two for the middle innings as their pen was really bad last year. Beckham replaces himself as he was traded last year and is ok defensively but a terrible hitter, and Cabrera is an upgrade with average, on base, and defense over Viciedo but not with power. Cabrera really helps with high on base percentage as the team does not have a lot of guys who get on base real well. overall there were huge strides made but there is 0 depth on this team and they really need Rodon to have a good year to really have a chance to make this year count. overall their offense is likely to be average as LaRoche replaces Dunn offensively and that was needed as Dunn was done after last year regardless so LaRoche keeps the team from a huge hole but I don't necessarily see a winner here. again they need depth in all area except starting pitching in case of injuries.
  7. Brandon
    But the Tigers are going to have to replace Insler, Miggy, Martinez, as they are aging and a huge part of the team. On Pitching there is Price as a FA and Verlander and Sanchez aging. Maybe not this year as I think they will still be good this year but next year will start the slide and really kick into full swing from there IMO. Unless they have other moves that work out but I think they will be too saddled by bad contracts for a few years.
  8. Brandon
    I agree with this assessment. The Tigers have the deepest rotation in the division. the question is how will their pen hold up. I am surprised they are not making any moves with whats still available this offseason. Their offense is good too. Next year they could be competitive too but after that I am going to start doubting it. Next year they'll need Price to resign or a good replacement. But after next season when their offensive pieces are all 2 years older I can see several of them breaking down and slowing down as well.
  9. Brandon
    Personally I think Escobar > Hicks so Escobar should remain at SS and Santana in CF. But what do I know. so if Hicks can hit .250 / .340./ .350 then I can live with that till Buxton comes up. Also I expect Hicks to run more than he did last year.
  10. Brandon
    I think a 3 year 22 to 24 million extension would make sense through his prime years for Plouffe. Plouffe would have lifelong security and we should get a discount for that contract. I am not saying they should do that but if they do extend him that should be the range. I do not think they should extend him beyond 3 years though unless its with an option the Twins can easily decline.
  11. Brandon
    I am happy with what he has done as he was almost a failed prospect altogether a few years back and he kept grinding it out. Now he has trade value and value to this team. If he is playing above average defense and hits .260 with 30 2Bs and 20 HRs I can live with that.
  12. Brandon
    Suzuki changed his swing to bring his average up. so I suspect he will be able to hit in the .280 range with a bunch of doubles especially if he gets enough rest. I think he slumped / tired down the stretch. Still he hit over 30 2Bs last year. Suzuki will be fine for 300-500 AB the next 2 years and will be worth the value of his contract. Pinto I hope shows enough to start 50-60 games at C. It would be nice to see him get around 350 plate appearances with an OPS near .775
  13. Brandon
    They will keep players like Millone, Pelfry and Deunsing for depth. They are very good 1th and 12th and 13th type pitchers to have on the staff.
  14. Brandon
    I do think this will be a good book.
  15. Brandon
    I saw Larry and Lee MacPhail. I didn't see Andy mentioned.
  16. Brandon
    Andy Macphail isn't listed in the book. surprising...2 Twins World Series and also rebuilding the orioles as they won as soon as he left with the foundation in tact. I guess not winning with the Cubs killed it for him.
  17. Brandon
    I think its more because they are between the ages of 16 and 18 and most of the prospects we rate start around 18-19 after they graduate high school. Next year Diaz and Minier should be up to Elizabethton and we will start talking more about them. I have a hard time rating prospects in the low minors so I tend to give preference to AA and AAA players before the A ballers and rookie leaguers. Going to the Dominican League is just a little too far for me to be able to comprehend on a prospect list where I am not in the know on everyone. Thrylos, I did want to say I thoroughly enjoyed reading your list. Its well though out and I agree with most of it. I do think Gordon is being rated a little higher than he should at this point. The one I think could be higher is Burdi. He is a future all star from what I keep seeing and reading. Even if he is in the bullpen if he is that dominant he makes baseball games an 8 inning game instead of 9.
  18. Brandon
    I have Polanco higher on my list too. not quite 2nd but I do have him ahead of Gordon and Kohl at this point. Though I tend to give more credit when a player A: gets promoted to the majors early and B: Shows promise at AA. I think the jump is pretty big to AA and if you can make it there you have a chance of at least having a cup of coffee in the majors. anything below Beloit is too far down to judge unless the prospect is stand out or shows something we take notice of. If I could go to the games and scout I would probably judge the top prospects differently but levels go into consideration and age for level does too as far as being an arm chair grader goes.
  19. Brandon
    comment on #24 prospect. 1 strikeout per 6 Plate Appearances is not a strikeout machine. That's actually a pretty decent rate. The goal is to be better than 1k per 5 PA and anything worse than 1k per 4 PA is a strikeout machine. I could be wrong though but that s what I see. Overall this is a good read. I don't disagree with your thought process other than that above.
  20. Brandon
    what's the scouting report on Stauffer? I know nothing about his stuff.
  21. Brandon
    I like this move. I would be surprised by anyone who didn't. Its about 2-4 million per season discount. Hughes gets closer to making 100 million for his career with enough of a guarantee to get close enough to 100 million that it doesn't matter if he gets there or not. He'll be eligible to sign a new contract that can take him to 200 million in career earnings if he continues to pitch well. This is a nice early Christmas present to the Fans from the Pohlad's this year. This is a lot nicer then the middle finger we get when a free agent leaves. Also lost in the new is the Twins signed Will Ledezma a LHRP to a minor league deal.
  22. Brandon
    I agree Millone is the likely starter unless something happens. I think its 50/50 May could start the season in the pen. I guess that may be at Pelfry's expense. I hadn't thought that through all of the way. I do think Meyer will start in the minors. I don't think they should move him to the bullpen unless the just cant throw more pitches and consistently get through 6 innings a start. Maybe if there is a need in the pen and he isn't progressing with his consistency then try him in the pen.
  23. Brandon
    I'll take a stab at this. Meyer will start the year in AAA. May may be there as well but I think he'll get a long reliever role to break in with less pressure as long as Millone doesn't implode or get hurt in spring. The bullpen is the hardest to predict due to so many options. I am going to list in order of positions not an actual batting order. Starting 9: 1B Mauer 2B Dozier SS Santana 3B Plouffe C Suzuki RF Hunter CF Hicks LF Arcia DH Vargas Bench: OF Schaeffer IF Escobar IF/OF Nunez C Fryer (yes I prefer Pinto or a bat but I don't get everything I want) Rotation: Hughes Santana Gibson Nolasco Millone/ May Bullpen Perkins Fien Deunsing Theilbar Pressley Pelfry May/ Oliveros/ Tonkin/ Achter/ Graham (more candidates than I can remember off the top of my head). If May makes the rotation I don't think Millone will end up in the pen unless there is a trade of someone else. If May makes the rotation it will be a battle of all the other candidates for the last spot.
  24. Brandon
    on MLB.com he entered the season as the Braves #6 prospect and is now our 17th rated prospect. http://minnesota.twins.mlb.com/mlb/prospects/watch/y2014/index.jsp?c_id=min#list=min
  25. Brandon
    This is why I am surprised the both Parmelee and Colabello were let go last season. That leaves Pinto as the only available bat to DH consistently if Vargas fails and needs more time in AAA. With Parmelee, Hunter could slide in and DH some with Parmalee in RF. maybe Sano is ready after 6 weeks in this scenario.... On Hunter he can also light a fire and stay on Hicks to be better and not let up. In addition to making a better environment to succeed. Back to Vargas, I do think he has shown enough bat control to be the clean up hitter over Arcia at this point. Plouffe or Hunter could hit there if they prefer a veteran in that spot. If TR says he is looking for bullpen help then he is looking for bullpen help. I think he is looking for a low cost bullpen piece and not a specific player. If he was looking for a player he would have signed Neshek as the 2 year deal he got isn't prohibitive as its only 2 years. Neshek probably would have signed here since its close to home all things being equal. He probably would have given a small discount to come back. So that tells me TR is watching Pohlads pennines and is going to go after more depth and let them all sort it out in spring training. I do not think Meyer will start the season in the pen. The Twins have stated several times he doesn't have the resilience for the role.
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