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Riverbrian

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  1. This is the main problem. Based on the production. They shouldn't be having a hard time
  2. I love his Swing. He has incredible bat speed yet still smooth. I think he's a can't miss at the plate. That swing is too good. I think he needs a bigger glove to play 1B. Kirilloff can help our OF hit better.
  3. It will be interesting to see how Rocco approaches Corbin Burnes tomorrow night. He is a right handed pitcher and his career splits are close to Neutral. Exceptional pitcher against both sides of the plate. vs. LHB - .216/.289./.339 vs. RHB - .203/.263/.334 This Year However: vs. LHB - .159/.247/.217 vs. RHB - .238/.304/.420 His ERA at 3.36 is up slightly this year. The guy has been in the 2 ERA range for the past 3 years. His strikeouts are down significantly this year. 75 K's in 77 innings this year Compared to 2022: 243 K's in 202 Innings 2021: 234 K's in 167 Innings He's been a little more vulnerable this year compared to past years and it's the right handed batter that is causing that little window of vulnerability. It'll be interesting to see how Rocco reacts to the opposite splits that Burnes is producing. Could he start more right handers against Burnes. There is no doubt that Rocco matches up on the split data. We will have to wait and see... One thing is for certain... Burnes K rate is down... but the Twins may be the remedy for that.
  4. For many years... I have consistently ignored WAR F or B or any letter because of it's over weighting of zone rating metrics. Especially in the OF... The routine play makes up a large majority of the chances. The Non-Routine plays occurs once every 3 games and that one non-routine play can be influenced by where you are standing in the OF. From those non-routine plays that occur 1 every 3 games on average. A player can be a negative hitter yet plus WAR and Max Kepler can be presented as one of the greatest of all time. This is overweighting the defensive data crammed into the statistic. This article has confirmed that I have been correct to ignore that stat and I will continue to do so. Meanwhile... one of the best Twins outfielders of all time will be signing a minor league contract next year.
  5. On June 3rd... Joey Gallo was placed on the DL and Kyle Garlick was called up. Who knows what the intention of the front office was but it was assumed and justified by some on TD that it was a just a temp job with Trevor Larnach coming off the Disabled List so therefore OK. Trevor Larnach was indeed activated while Byron Buxton was placed on the DL so Garlick has remained on the 26 man roster. It's been 8 games now. Kyle Garlick has had 11 AB's total in those 8 games. One Hit, No Walks and 5 Strikeouts. Max Kepler over those 8 games... 21 ABs - '3 hits, for a .142 BA - 1 walk and 1 Home run which was nice. Not only is Kepler continuing to struggle... but competition for his spot is being held away from him by management in favor of short side platoon matchups. If you do a sort right now for the last 15 days... You will see that Wallner has one more hit than Garlick does. Wallner is listed as 2 for 2... Garlick 1 for 11. That's kind of amusing. BTW... Larnach has 3 hits and 8 K's since his return... I don't mind this as much as Kepler because Larnach will be back next year. Kepler won't be. I continue to ask... what are we doing? We have completely wasted an opportunity to see if Wallner could be a better hitter than Kepler and Larnach. Especially if Buxton is out of the DH spot. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Left handed batters facing left handed pitchers still draws an extreme reaction to the lineup card and it's the primary source of all pinch hitting moves as Rocco continues with strict adherence of not wanting lefties facing lefties and continues to not mind righties facing righties as much other than Garlick. So we need to watch the lefty count of our upcoming opponents since it is without a doubt clear that this is an unbreakable rule for Rocco. The Brewers have one left handed pitcher in the lineup. A relief pitcher by the name of Hoby Milner. Good time for Gallo to replace Garlick for the Brewers match up. Who plays RF between Kepler and Larnach with Gallo I assume claiming LF. Is Solano out as the DH when Gallo arrives so Larnach can DH and Kepler in RF and both playing in all of their left handedness despite numbers that suggest that neither is doing much against any hand. Either way... When Buxton comes back... without any other injury. Kepler and Larnach are probably the 26 man decision to make room for when Buxton comes back. The Tigers series makes sense for the activation of the right handed Buxton (If he can be activated) in the platoon split world we live in and Garlick back in AAA. The Tigers have two left handed starters and they are scheduled for Thursday and Friday back to back. Matthew Boyd and Joey Wentz plus the Tigers have 3 left handed members of the bullpen in Shreve, Holton and Alexander. To matchup against Boyd and Wentz. Buxton DH, Catcher, Solano 1B, Farmer 2B, Lewis 3B, Correa SS, Taylor CF and Castro in LF or RF. Oh No... Someone will have to be left handed and start against a lefty with Garlick gone. Unless Rocco put Jeffers out in the OF. 😎 The Tigers will have the ability to left right left right Rocco until he is dizzy. Larnach is probably the guy who goes down for Buxton because I don't see them tagging Kepler with a DFA just to keep Larnach up with his 3 hits and 8 strikeouts. The Red Sox are next... We should miss the lefty Paxton so it will be 4 right handed starters with two lefties in the bullpen (Bernadino and Jacques) for the 4 games series. If nobody gets hurt... We will have 4 pure left handed bats on the roster,,, potentially down to 3 by the 20th when Julien is sent back to AAA for the returning Polanco who is eligible for return on the 20th. Let's see what happens.
  6. Why would anyone stop believing in a first place team in June? I'll be here until the end. Fix the offense please.
  7. I refuse to be bummed out by this loss. I'm actually happy because it has been the offense keeping me up at night. They took down a real good starter this afternoon. Keep it up! Been watching a lot of baseball over the years. I've seen blown leads before... I'll see a blown lead again. I'm sure. Pagan... what can I say... He's on the roster. You can't hide players that are on the roster. If you have to hide them... they shouldn't be on the roster because you can't hide them. Duran, Stewart and Deleon were not available. Moran and Jax have already pitched in the game. You have the 8th and 9th to cover. You can't hide players on the roster.
  8. That is correct... I was none of those things. Not quite $300K maybe $3.50 an hour but I did manage to save $1,000 to buy with a shiny red 77 Bonneville with the odometer turned over. Not bad for a teenager although obviously bought with blood money because someone had to endure a wet seat. I was able to purchase this car because my manager didn't fire me. I showed up on time, I didn't call in sick and I cleared the tables. The guy who was demanding my head while saying he would never come back to this restaurant again unless I was fired... had no idea who I was or if I had cleared hundreds of tables without incident.
  9. A long time ago... when I was 16. I had a part time job at a restaurant as a bus boy. I had spilled some water while busing a table. I did clean the water up but I didn't notice that water had spilled on to the seat. Unfortunately someone sat in the wet spot. Someone from that table demanded that I be fired. Loudly, in the middle of the restaurant in front of everyone. That person had never met me. As a 16 year old... I remember thinking that we should at least meet before such demands.
  10. I'll try because it sounds like fun. It'll be heavy on assumptions obviously so grains of salt are necessary to digest. 1. Gray got himself into a pretty thick jam in the 5th so Moran had to get up and get ready. Rocco would have no choice here but to crank someone up. Once a pitcher gets lathered up in the bullpen, most managers across the league... if not all... will put that pitcher into the game so they don't waste the warm up session. No one should argue this decision. 2. Garlick has been a point of contention amongst many Twinsdaily posters including myself. My guess on why Rocco placed Garlick in the 3 spot instead of Lewis. Garlick has a decent track record against lefties while Lewis doesn't have much of a track record against anyone at the major league level. Garlick has 208 plate appearances vs left handed pitchers with a career .799 OPS. The numbers you quote are a small sample size of 22 PA's this year only. Rocco seems to place more faith in larger samples over time and he consistently doesn't seem to react to smaller samples over the course of a season. Some feel this is a smart thing to do... I'm not one of those but I can understand if this is what he is thinking and he seems to be thinking that. Taylor still hits 9th even if he is third in home runs on the team. Correa has not dropped down in the batting order despite deserving to be dropped down in the batting order. Kepler gets pretty good lineup order treatment. I want to be clear... I do not agree with Rocco on this but this is his thing and he's been doing it this way for a long long time... I don't think he is going to change. With Garlick I get why he batted third... I don't understand why he is on the roster at all... but, the other thing that is becoming undeniably obvious with Rocco (Front office?) is that the lefty/righty matchup is an unbreakable rule that trumps all other considerations and Rocco is consistently harder on lefty hitters facing left handed pitchers then he is on right handed hitters facing right handed pitchers. I don't agree with this when the team is struggling as hard as it has been but in fairness... the two left handers that the Jays deployed last night (Kikuchi and Mayza) have significant split differential... they are quite good against left handers and not quite as good against right handed pitchers. It isn't just the batters splits that needs to be taken into account if you are going to be a strict platoon practitioner and Rocco is a strict platoon practitioner. My counter point is... it didn't do us much good last night and it hasn't all year. WE NEED HITTERS Period. Not letting Kirilloff face left handed pitchers is a bad idea for his development and he is simply our best hitter right now. 3. Polanco... He needs 550 AB's this season for his option to vest. He won't make it to 550 AB's but the team will probably resign him anyway. They have a club option on him in 2025 before he hits free agency in 2026. He has decent trade value with two years of control so letting him go for nothing would make no sense. If they needed his 10 million to make other acquisitions... they would trade him and get something in return. That was my attempt at answering those questions.
  11. I would not be opposed to an early deal for a rental hitter... a rental hitter deal doesn't have to carry this enormous Ohtani price tag. Someone... Like Umm Candelario with the Nats for example. Pick him up for a 10th or 15th ranked minor league player. I know some will be bothered by Candelario being a 3B with Lewis in town. Let Candelario play 1B and Kirilloff can play some OF. Or... don't throw things at me. Lewis can play some OF... Maybe even CF. Kepler can be DFA'd to give Candelario a 26 and 40 man roster spot. Depth holds and we replace a struggling hitter in Kepler for a decent (not spectacular) hitter in Candelario and it costs us a Jose Salas type player. Now if you get Correa and Buxton back and playing like they are capable of playing. Lewis and Kirilloff performing along with Polanco. That occasional Gallo dinger might carry more weight and his .180 batting average won't be as problematic. Farmer, Taylor, Solano, Castro, Wallner, Larnach, Julien are still around for depth and hopefully they will be allowed to be in an honest competition for playing time should any of the above get hurt or struggle. I wouldn't be opposed to that type of deal. As far as the trade deadline goes. I don't believe in standing still. If the team is in contention... help the team. If the team is not in contention. Trade the expiring contracts... get something for them. If we don't fix this offense soon... we will be trading expiring contracts.
  12. I understand that the intensity is certainly up in that 22 game stretch and no I wouldn't bet my house on team like the A's going 13-9... but, 13-9 is not an impossible hill to climb. The A's won't be invited... we both know that. If the playoffs started today. #1 Seed - Rays #2 Seed - Rangers #3 Seed - Twins #4 Seed - Orioles #5 Seed - Yankees #6 Seed - Jays Twins would draw the Jays for 3 and Face the Rangers for 5 if they win 2 games against the Jays. Orioles/Yankees winner in 3 would draw the Rays for 5. You'll never convince me that the Twins have no chance of winning 2 against the Jays and 3 against the Rangers based on what is happening in June. Especially with these starting pitchers. Now... you might be able to convince me that if the Twins don't fix their offensive problems soon that they will be golfing with the A's and watching Cleveland, Chicago or Detroit facing that 6th seed.
  13. I read a tweet from Nick Nelson saying 25 games for a record of 4-21. The Twins had a game that they won 3-2 in 10 innings. I'm counting that... so 26 games with a record of 5-21. It's one more win but still worse.
  14. Agreed that the amount of wins necessary have increased due to more wild card teams... that can't be argued. However... It's still a small sample size. A 13-9 record in the playoffs will give the 6th seed a World Series Title. Every team in baseball (Even the Oakland A's) is capable of going 13-9 over a 22 game stretch. It is still possible that Jeremy Pena, Jorge Solar, Steve Pearce, Ben Zobrist and David Freese type players can be the World Series MVP. I won't call it a crapshoot but I'm sure you know what is actually possible by making the playoffs.
  15. 6 games in a row with two runs or less. 8 out of the last 9 with two runs or less. It's June 9... This isn't a slump.
  16. I've heard Rocco say that the strikeouts are an issue and there's no way around that. 26 games this year scoring less than two runs. 6 games in a row under two runs, 8 out of the last 9 games under two runs. 9 out of the last 11 games. Michael A. Taylor is third on the team in Home Runs. Currently 31 of our 80 home runs are either hurt or in the minors so that power thing can be taken away pretty quickly. If Rocco said he can live with all the K's due to hitting with power... I want to see it.
  17. I was sleeping in med school but in my head... I certainly could imagine the need to see how an injury responds to rest or a band-aid or something. Med Person: How are the Ribs this morning Mr. Buxton? Buxton: The Rub is a little dry. I definitely prefer the Carolina Sauce. Med Person: Still pretty swollen. Let's take a look again in the morning. In the meantime... lots of Chicken Noodle Soup and 7UP. I can certainly understand taking a little time before making a move but at some point, you have to look at things and ask yourself... what are you waiting for. There are times when injuries hurt a team and there are times when injuries make you BETTER. There are times when getting another player up and giving them at-bats provides immediate help or at worst necessary information toward future solutions. Placing the player who Correa is SUPPOSED TO BE on the DL hurts a team. However, Placing the player that Correa HAS ACTUALLY BEEN THIS SEASON on the DL could make your team better. I get the short bench argument and agree it isn't ideal because after all, Garlick was starting against a right hander last Sunday. Don't get me wrong... I don't mind Garlick playing against a right hander personally but I know it bugs the **** out of Rocco because he would never do that if everyone was available to him. However... To me the bigger issue is the wasting of the opportunity to find someone better. WE NEED SOMEONE TO BE BETTER! Sometime injuries make you better. Let's not waste the opportunity.
  18. It's time to put that 45 RPM record or 8-Track of the Hues Corporation away. Younger folks will have to google the reference and probably have the eyesight to read this sentence.
  19. You are right... and my wife is always right. I should have gotten the recyclables out in the first place. My not getting the recyclables out was -- Jeffers swinging at the first pitch down and which created the grounder that led to needing 110% effort to avoid the double play. I am giving 110% with my analogy. 😎 Now I gotta flip back to my spreadsheets. My boss is about to walk by.
  20. I'm going to assume that Taylor went on his own. Kepler wouldn't have known he was going. I'm assuming of course. Now if the ball is thrown to third and a tag needs to be applied... he could he have taken off once the ball is thrown to third. But, he would be getting a real late jump and these major league players have real good arms and can get that ball from 3B to 2B really really quick. I'd like to see him on 2nd in that scenerio but I can understand why he wasn't there if he didn't know Taylor was going. If he missed a sign and the bench called for a double steal... Yeah... then we got an issue.
  21. Well... I gotta know if it's OK to ask before I go straight to the boss. He's a busy guy. I must respect that.
  22. I know we don't have obvious alternatives but is it too soon to ask the question. Why is Correa still batting in the top 3? Is it OK to ask why veterans are handled with kid gloves. Can't change the batting order or they can't handle it mentally. Yet young players like Wallner can be tossed around like sand bags without mental damage. If Correa starts hitting in the 7th, 8th or 9th spot... we can always move him back a top 3 spot. I assume that is allowed. Yeah... I know... we don't have obvious alternatives. But is it OK to ask this question?
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