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Whammy

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Everything posted by Whammy

  1. Whammy
    I know this turned a bit silly, but underlying the silliness is a serious question.... Would you rather have a guy that gives you an ok chance every time he takes the mound or a guy like Kyle Gibson, who is lights out in 45% of his starts (0-1ER, 7+ IP), so-so in 20% of his starts (2-4ER, 6+ IP), and bad in 35% of his starts (5+ ER) Edited to add: And all this with a truly terrible defense
  2. Whammy
    Wrong... I'd have him pitch the next two innings and have him give up negative 4 runs those innings
  3. Whammy
    I'm preparing myself for Pelfrey. And, honestly, I'm OK with it. He's got a month. Sink or swim. If he sinks, then we cut him and the Pelfrey era is over. If he swims, then we have a little value.
  4. Whammy
    Would you rather have a guy that: a) in half his starts goes 8ip with 1 run and the other half 6ip with 5 runs or b.) in every start goes 7ip with 3 runs
  5. Whammy
    It will be interesting, as concussions in the NFL (and the NHL frankly) get more and more attention and as people my age (mid 30s) see professional athletes we grew up watching, die at way too young an age, if there is a migration of today's youth to the "less violent" sports like Basketball and Baseball. This will probably take a decade to flesh itself out, but it's possible there could a renaissance of some of the best athletes playing baseball. This doesn't solve the minor league / scholarship issue that McCutchen talks about, but if MLB can see this renaissance coming they'd be well served to do as much as possible to prop up Minor League Baseball and well as youth baseball It would be interesting to see an analysis of life expectancy as well as permanent disabilities for the 4 major sports. My instinct tells me that MLB would come out of that smelling like a rose. If they did that study today, it would barely account for the "physical explosion" of athletes in the 90s and 2000s, which made the violent sports even more violent.
  6. Whammy
    I swear I looked in the General Baseball forum before posting it. Must have missed it. Sorry for the double post.
  7. Whammy
    I know some people believe these are highly polished by editors and there's probably some truth to that, depending on the player. Whether this is 100% McCutchen or 1% McCutchen, I don't really care. Really good article. http://www.theplayerstribune.com/left-out/
  8. Whammy
    Where's Gordon?
  9. Whammy
    I would love him to be up with the club right away, but this isn't Minor League pitcher Alex Meyer being promoted to the Major League Club. This is Rochester Red Wing Alex Meyer being promoted to the Minnesota Twins. The combination of Twins talking points, Twins history, and the existence of highly paid options that need to play out the string on their usefulness (in the eyes of management), leads me to believe that there is almost a 0% chance he comes north from Ft Myers I feel like the order of "preference" from management for the 5th starter spot, at the beginning of the year is: Pelfrey Milone May Meyer Staufer
  10. Whammy
    I'm not going to quibble with the Twins not promoting Meyer last year. He was dinged up in 2013 and was certainly on an innings limit in 2014. I can't see a scenario (even a rash of injuries or complete dominance from Meyer) where the Twins burn a year of Arb, or Super 2, or whatever, by having him up on opening day. They have too many "adequate" stopgaps without the arbitration concern hanging over them. If the Twins make it past mid-June without having Meyer on the 25 man roster, in my opinion, the person making that decision, is doing a severe disservice to this organization.
  11. Whammy
    AAA / First Full MLB Year (year) / 2014 Hernandez 4.9 / 2.8 (2006) / 1.8 Price 4.6 / 3.8 (2009) / 1.7 Lester 4.3 / 2.8 (2008) / 2.0 Samardzija 4.2 / 2.9 (2012) / 1.8 Ventura 3.9 / 3.4 (2014) / same Kershaw (no AAA but AA was 3.9 in 16 starts) / 4.3 (2008) / 1.4 Kluber 3.9 / 2.0 (2013) / 1.9 Scherzer 3.7 (4.9 in AA) / 3.3 (2009) / 2.6
  12. Whammy
    Alex Meyer 2014 - 4.42 BB/9
  13. Whammy
    In baseball it's more about the money that is allotted to a pick than the actual player picked.
  14. Whammy
    For Ace of the Rochester staff?
  15. Whammy
    I disagree. This is a look at contracts as they sit right now, not a look back at the strength of the original contract. What's interesting is, I think I remember Mauer making this list a couple years ago, when he still was at catcher. It may have been ESPN's list, which I know is related to Grantland, but it was from a different writer.
  16. Whammy
    And, yes, Joe Mauer has been decidedly league average (I could argue actually below league average) since his move to 1B
  17. Whammy
    This analysis begs the question....Would you rather have a league average player for $23M (Mauer), or a player you'd prefer to cut for $15M (BJ Upton)?
  18. Whammy
    No kidding. Those first few months in Chattanooga are going to be awesome.
  19. Whammy
    While I don't know Burdi personally, I would guess that he learned a lot. In the Max Murphy article he talked about the differences between college ball a and professional ball. For Max, that seemed to be a real positive thing. For others in might take a little more getting used to. In my opinion there is nothing wrong with taking that first half year to get used to your new lifestyle. Baseball is now his life and having a lot of success rather than struggles while you are learning this new lifestyle could be a big help. Having said that, I sure hope that the "Burdi-types" would get pushed in their first full year.
  20. Whammy
    I guess what bugs me about Law's analysis of Berrios is the guy that he comped him to, in basically his first year in MLB, was one of the better pitchers on a World Series team, and was 14-10 with a 3.20 ERA. Don't like those old-timey stats, Keith? How about 125 ERA+, 3.60 FIP, and just under 8 K/9. Berrios is basically 2 years behind Ventura on the path to MLB, but he's 3 years younger. Comparing their stats at the same minor league levels, Berrios has either better numbers or FAR better numbers, every step of the way, while being at least 1 year younger than Ventura while he at that level.
  21. Whammy
    1. Fast Start 2. Nolasco 4.00 ERA 3. Highly successful promotions (Meyer, Sano, Buxton, Berrios?) 4. Arcia and Vargas, 25HR each
  22. Whammy
    After reviewing the last 3 years' drafts, I looked at 2011 and 2010. Oh my goodness. Those drafts were SO BAD. 2009 had 3 players who played for the Twins last year (Gibson, Dozier, and Herrmann), so it's hard to bash that draft, but the rest of that draft is a who's who of players that I've never heard of.
  23. Whammy
    I feel like in the draft, the last 3 years, the Twins have been following your plan. Very few positional players in the first 10 rounds, except for catchers in 2013. Higher upside arms in the first 5 rounds College pitchers in rounds 6-10 (most of them relievers in 2014) In free agency, as you point out, they have been doing the opposite of your plan, signing aging, slow, offense first positional players and spending on higher risk starting pitchers. The point was made by the previous posters, something had to be done based on the complete disaster of the rotation the last 3 years. Based on the slow cycle of draft to majors, it was just going to be too long before draft-acquired pitchers made an impact. They even tried to fast-forward the process a couple seasons ago when they traded Span and Revere for Meyer and May (and Worley, who were and are all cost controlled) - although Span and Revere are exactly the type of players you are talking about loading your re-imagined Twins with.
  24. Whammy
    This guy's triple slash is making that pitcher we signed look like Cy Young
  25. Whammy
    Yep. Twin Killer. That's why we think he's so much better than he is.
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