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amjgt

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Everything posted by amjgt

  1. amjgt
    That's an odd thing to say about someone who just went 8ip, threw 110 pitches, and leads the team in innings pitched this season.
  2. amjgt
    In general I've heard Sacramento's ballpark referred to as hitter friendly. Is there actually any evidence of that? It seems that it's just gotten lumped into the "PCL Bandbox" category, but it seems to me that the most likely scenario is that the A's offense is OK and their pitching stinks. The actual factors that go into a ballpark being hitter friendly look pretty neutral to me. Elevation: 26ft above see level - Hitter unfriendly Humidity: Higher average summer humidity than most other western baseball locations. Similar to Minneapolis - Hitter unfriendly Temperature: Warm. Wamer than most in the first few months, but levels off and likely lower than 1/4 of the MLB ballparks over the summer - Hitter Neutral probably, but perhaps boosted the first few months compared to colder midwest and eastern cities. OF dimensions: The look a little smaller than average - Hitter Friendly Foul Territory dimensions: Not sure (gotta be smaller than Oakland though 🙂 )
  3. amjgt
    I don't bring up the QO to necessarily debate the pros and cons of offering it. There so much season left and things will obviously be much clearer in a few months, but IF we are going to trade Paddack, then the value of a potential QO has to be considered. That might have sounded crazy 3 weeks ago and it still might be a little crazy, but history shows us that guys with ERAs that start with "3" and are around 30, can get big money in free agency. And even if we offer it and he accepts it, we'd almost certainly be able to trade him
  4. amjgt
    Looking at who turned down QOs last season, it's not crazy to think that if Paddack maintains anything even close this level of production that we could offer (and he would turn down) a qualifying offer. The three closest comps from last offseason are: Severino - Age 31. Coming off of a good, not great season with the Mets after a half decade of injury issues. 3yrs/67M from Athletics Pivetta - Age 32. Coming off a string 4.xx ERA seasons with Boston, as a pretty reliable innings eater (he's been really good this season) - 4yrs/55M from Padres Manaea - Age 33. Similar 2024 season to Severino with the Mets, with less injury history and better peripherals. 3yr/75M from Mets. Paddack will be 30 for all of next season. Similar injury history to Severino, but probably not quite as bad (somehow). If he could keep his ERA around where it's at right now and keep around that strikeout per inning he's been flirting with for these 10 starts, then there's no reason why he wouldn't expect to get 3/60 from someone.
  5. amjgt
    10 games. 2.17 ERA since April 10th Obviously unsustainable, but that's basically a third of a season, so SOMETHING must have clicked (or he's just actually healthy).
  6. amjgt
    I'm not sure what trading Paddack really accomplishes, unless maybe it's a three team trade. If Paddack continues to pitch really well, then he definitely has value, but a team that's going to want a pitching rental isn't going to want to give up any of their remotely decent MLB hitters and Paddack isn't good enough to pry a really good hitting prospect away from a team.
  7. amjgt
    Ryan O'Hearn feels like the right level of: 1. Playing well this year (176 OPS+) 2. Decent track record (125-ish OPS+ the last three years) 3. Doesn't cost too much money ($8M in 2025) 4. No long-term commitment (free agent after this season) 5. Probably wouldn't cost too much to acquire (pitching prospect in our 10-15 range?)
  8. amjgt
    I'm sure there's a reason why Wallner has to wait until tomorrow. I'm just not seeing it. Not like we're facing a lefty.
  9. amjgt
    First of all, it's been relatively widely discussed. It probably hasn't found it's way into an official article because nobody is willing to go on the record and be like "yep... the Pohlads have been borrowing money against the Twins." Given the Pohlad's portfolio, it certainly makes sense that they might need to borrow money against a fully realized asset (the Twins) to help some of their assets that aren't performing great (Commercial Real Estate) Second of all, it shouldn't actually matter. Just like how much I owe on my mortgage doesn't dictate how much the a new buyer (and the bank that's loaning them the money) will pay for it.
  10. amjgt
    Because the Pohlads borrowed money for their other businesses and used the Twins as collateral. Every article should explicitly state this, but most don't. The debt piece is infuriating for several reasons. 1) As I said above, most articles don't mention that the Twins didn't directly generate that debt. It was a debt placed on the Twins by the Pohlad family. Essentially a reverse mortgage on a "house" that was already paid off. 2) The debt should have absolutely nothing to do with the sale of the team. It should sell for what it can sell for and then some of the proceeds from the sale can be used to pay off the Pohlad's debt. The same way, when I sell my house, the buyer isn't buying the house at market value PLUS how much I still owe on the mortgage.
  11. amjgt
    Definitely. What rain is out there, is mostly light rain. Everything scheduled for today is happening.
  12. amjgt
    That's definitely a factor and one I can't analyze. But purely from a "is it raining" perspective, they really screwed this one up.
  13. amjgt
    The Twins acting meteorologist should be fired. Calling these games two hours ago and now having the rain be about 30 minutes from being done for the night is embarrassing. It was relatively clear to see on the radar loop.
  14. amjgt
    Interesting that they announced postponement. I actually came on here (as an extremely amateur meteorologist) to say that I thought the radar was looking better and I wouldn't be surprised if they managed to get a game in tonight. I expect very little rain after 6pm. Could be that they feel like the field can't take it, but don't we always hear about the awesome drainage of Target Field?
  15. amjgt
    OOPS... used quote instead of edit
  16. amjgt
    That strange 3 city, cross country road trip is because we swapped home series with Tampa Bay. Originally, that was a home series and we would've been going to Tampa over 4th of July (right after playing in Miami). Now that turns into a 3 series homestand going into the All Star break.
  17. amjgt
    Totally. Win the first one and figure it out from there.
  18. amjgt
    I bet Coulombe is available. They didn't run him out there for a second inning so they might be able to use him in game 2
  19. amjgt
    Doubleheader not a great time for our pitchers to have what feels like and off-the-charts high pitches per plate appearance. 186 pitches - 36 batters faced through 8. 5.2 pitches/PA Feels incredibly high
  20. amjgt
    According to Dougie, Kody Funderburk will be the 27th man tomorrow.
  21. amjgt
    If they don't call up a SP, they'd need to pitch someone on short rest on Sunday Festa last pitched on the 6th. I bet he gets called up for the day.
  22. amjgt
    I read the first half of your first paragraph, then went to go look up Nelson Cruz stats, years, etc. Then I came back with receipts and would you look at that... I had wasted my time. You already had them. Obviously that's a 10 out of 10 outcome, but stuff like that DOES happen and there's maybe even a better example, more recently than Cruz.... Brent Rooker
  23. amjgt
    Can we replace Joe Ryan with Paddack in the Jim Bowden trade article now?
  24. amjgt
    I personally feel like his drop in velocity is overstated. 2022 - 100.8 2023 - 101.8 2024 - 100.5 2025 - 100.5 Extremely flat over the last 4 years. Maybe 2023 was the outlier. Also, that 1.3mph drop somehow always gets round up to "2 mph drop" by people trying to make a point. And they talk about 2023 like he was gassing it up to 104 every outing. I'm not totally sure how to look it up, but it wouldn't surprise me at all if there were actually just a couple months in 2023 where he WAS regularly in that 103-104 range that pulled his yearly average up 1 mile per hour over his 2022 average. I know this wasn't REALLY the point of this article and I did enjoy reading it, but I just needed to vent a little about this decreased velocity narrative. Edited to add: He threw 12 pitches 103.0 or higher in 2023
  25. amjgt
    Resale apps (in MN) have to include taxes and fees from the start now. It’s awesome.
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