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amjgt

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Everything posted by amjgt

  1. Everyone you've listed is a Lefty. Anduhar is a righty. He would be an "always start" against any lefty (almost 1.000 OPS against them in 2025) and a sometimes start against righties. I'm surprised the article author focus more on his handedness. That seems like the biggest reason this would be a no-brainer.
  2. Some people just like to vent, whether it makes actual sense or not. Their default mode is unadulterated negativity. It feels safer to them than hope and positivity. That's one of those posts I get to the second paragraph and just say to myself "no need to read the rest, it's just going to be complaints based in, at best, half truths"
  3. It's kind of odd to frame this article as a "Ranking Minnesota Twins Trade Candidates, 1-5" but then have their trade likelihoods go: High Low Medium High Medium-High I understand it's more of a "value of core guys who might get traded" but if we go off of that premise, trading Wallner and Lewis would almost certainly fetch more than Jeffers and I think they are both more likely to be traded that Keaschall
  4. I understand you're going off of what Falvey is saying. I think what I'm saying is, for 2 reasons, I think he's just using it as a convenient way to kick the can down the road and/or not really answer the question.... 1) As I said before, it doesn't make sense from a historic minority/majority owner perspective. We don't know the percentages of ownership, but we DO know that the Pohlad group is retaining over 50%. I think it's a pretty safe bet to assume the new owners will have a combined 30-40% total stake and have that be roughly split between the two parties. 2) Just because WE don't know who the minority partners are, or what they are thinking payroll wise, doesn't mean Falvey doesn't. It would be crazy if he, as the team president, didn't know those things or at the very least have a good idea of their thoughts.
  5. First 5 years: Bert - 1335.2 IP - 0.6 HR/9 (0.9 HR/9 adjusted to 2025 HR rate) Joe - 641.1 IP - 1.4 HR/9 So, if you adjust for MLB HR % by the era, then Joe Ryan has given up 50% more HR than Bert.
  6. I understand this has been the talking point and on it's surface, it seems to make sense. BUT... The only way I could see a minority owner (who owns, what? 1/6th of the team?) having any sway over payroll would be if they said "here's an extra $30M to put towards 2026/27 payroll." Outside of that, since when do minority owners get a say in what the team's payroll is?
  7. I believe the extension was finally begrudgingly announced at the press conference announcing his firing.
  8. My question back to him would be: "It doesn't appear that you, the owners, were willing to experience any short term pain after the 2023 season. Why would you expect fans to be willing to experience it, if you weren't? And do you regret deciding not to experience a little short term pain after 2023?
  9. The future will tell us whether they, on an individual basis, made good deals or bad deals. I assume the front office made what they felt were the best deals possible. I’m not arguing about the return. None of us really know. I’m saying we cut SO deep into the roster that we went beyond a tank and are inadvertently doing real long term damage to the brand. A brand that doesn’t really have enough strength to be taking on extra damage. A tank is one thing. Trotting out this bullpen is an insult. And people don’t like to feel insulted.
  10. I came here today looking to make a similar comment in whatever thread made the most sense. I figured there would be one. This thread is as good as any... I want a front office that feels empowered to make tough decisions. Decisions that will undoubtedly be unpopular with many fans but are part of a long term plan. Sell offs like we had this year fall under that category and I largely supported (and still support) most of the individual decisions that were made. There are two problems with how things have gone after the trade deadline. 1) The plan. Fans need to be able to see it. You don't need to tell us the plan, but we don't want to look at what's going on and think "is the plan just to slash payroll, not only in 2025, but 2026 and beyond?" At the trade deadline, there was still the massive unanswered question around ownership. So, while we maybe didn't understand the plan, it was easy to look at the overall situation and say to ourselves "new owners are coming. New owners = New plan." But then not long after the deadline we get the ownership news and we're back to wondering if the plan is almost exclusively tied to payroll decisions 2) The tank. I have no problem with a tank. Back to making tough decisions, a tank falls under that umbrella. The season is/was lost, so why not give the young guys a shot and make some trades that infuse your farm system with guys that will hopefully be part of your future. But I fear we've crossed a line here. When a team performs THIS poorly I believe it has an avalanche effect on everything. Rather than the story becoming the young guys getting a shot, the story morphs into one of utter failure and embarrassment. Once you become an embarrassment bad things start to happen. The parts of your team that ARE performing get ignored and the parts of your team that aren't performing get amplified. All everyone talks about is how much of an embarrassment you are. Media. Fans. Probably players behind the scenes. An attitude of pure apathy sets in and you reach a tipping point. You're no longer tanking. You're failing. Most people can see the logic of a tank, but those same people can't stand failure. So, did the front office (and ownership) not properly assess the damage that would be done by selling off as much as they did? Yeah. Probably. It feels that way.
  11. Seems like a foregone conclusion that Ryan Pressly will be a Twin in about 48 hours
  12. This is why the Varland trade is so crazy. If you believe Pohlad said "trade everyone that can save me any money," then why trade Varland? He's still basically league minimum.
  13. I can sort of wrap my head around each deal individually (while still being shocked at the shear breadth of it all).... except for the Varland trade. I really don't get that one.
  14. Dang it! He was one appearance away from gaining RP eligibility in my Yahoo fantasy league.
  15. No chatter about this on here? Went on the IL yesterday with a blister issue.
  16. I feel the same way about openers as I do about fouling up 3. I get it. But I don't have to like it.
  17. I like articles like this. It's why I come to TD. Given what TwinsDaily generally is (a collection of aspiring sports writers, or people who have other professions but also like to write about sports), I also hope people don't mind when I give a little feedback. Article structure isn't my department. Maybe it's good. Maybe it's bad. I don't know. What I DO know is that one of the things I was hoping to see when I opened this article was a little discussion about the few players that were picked around him. I love seeing what Culpepper is up to in the minors, what people think about him and how that's changed even in the last year, but especially since the title of this article is "Kaelen Culpepper Is Quickly Proving Minnesota Twins Got It Right in 2024 Draft" I was hoping there would be some additional information provided around who the Twins maybe just missed out on or who they passed on.
  18. Some people always feel the need to balance out good news or positive vibes with bad vibes. It's just how their brain works and I'll never understand it.
  19. The article never actually mentions the idea of a QO, which I think was a miss by the author
  20. If he pitches, largely every 5th day, and has an ERA in the 4.00 range, he's going to get at least 3/50M from someone. If he pitches poor enough to only warrant 1/9M, then I'm not sure anyone on this website will be clamoring to have him back. If the FO office made him an offer today of, say.... 2/35 would he bite at that? Yeah, I bet he would. I also don't see that happening and given the likelihood of a realistic mid-market payroll going forward beyond 2025, I'm not sure that makes good financial sense, with the much less expensive options waiting in the wings.
  21. Either way, before he's gone, we need him to deputize another member of the pitching staff. Top 5 Candidates: Varland Pablo Zebby Duran SWR
  22. He's pitching great and as many people have said, you want to ride that as long as it lasts. For me, the depth and IP he provides (even if the quality dips a little) is just as valuable. Last year was a prime example of what can happen to an entire pitching staff when the injury bug hits, even just a little. We lost Disclifani before the season started which dinged our depth, then we lost Joe Ryan in August and then we were counting on guys in a pennant race that probably weren't ready. Not only did this mean the starting rotation was in rough shape but it quickly destroyed the bullpen due to overuse. At that point the entire pitching staff was compromised and when the offense also went in the tank, well, that's how you go 12-28 the last 40 (or whatever it was). Keep the depth and the hot hand. And don't worry about chasing "peak value"
  23. Before anyone scoffs at the idea of a QO. Check out these three guys and their seasons leading up to free agency last offseason. They all turned down QOs and got an average of about 3/60 in the free agent market (Paddack will be younger than any of them were, by the way) Severino - https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/severlu01.shtml Pivetta - https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/p/pivetni01.shtml Manaea - https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/m/manaese01.shtml
  24. I'd much rather keep him and wish on a 2025 performance strong enough to warrant a Qualifying Offer. I can't imagine anything we would get back would be comparable in value to a comp pick and then we don't shatter team chemistry by coldly trading away a key member of the pitching staff because he's "at peak value" Bader is probably at peak value too. Should we trade him?
  25. Three very comparable pitchers (Severino, Pivetta, Manaea) last offseason all got qualifying offers and ending getting somewhere around 3/60 on average
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