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Seansy

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Everything posted by Seansy

  1. Seansy
    I think all 3 of Moran, Cano, and Mason are deserving of a promotion. Plenty of guys at AAA are struggling enough to either be demoted or released to make room for them in St Paul.
  2. Seansy
    It is worth mentioning that you only need 2 teams competing for one player to get into a theoretical "bidding war" on a trade piece. Obviously the more buyers the better but between Oakland, TB, and even the White Sox with Yermin slumping badly this past month+ I think that is enough teams that would be interested in Cruz to get at least 1 top 100 prospect or multiple high upside guys. From what I'm seeing reading lots of baseball writers on the Twins trade pieces most of them seem to believe Cruz will fetch a good return even as a rental for the same reasons he's been such a great fit for the Twins. We'll see what happens over the next couple of months but if a guy like Escobar with little track record can get a projectable young pitcher like Duran I don't see how Cruz can't get AT LEAST that if not significantly more.
  3. Seansy
    Logical fit and honestly the Twins can and SHOULD include cash given TB's payroll constraints. TB has so many legit prospects they have trouble keeping them all on their 40man roster! Getting 1 or 2 guys with some high upside or low level top 100 guy like Shane Baz for Cruz should be doable.
  4. Seansy
    You are reading a report from when he signed as a 16 year old... Hopefully it's just nerves from being called up and/or only having played for a month after not playing last year but you cannot write off a prospect after only 2 games. Mike Trout absolutely SUCKED his first month that he was called up.
  5. Seansy
    Trade him. You can sign him in the offseason.
  6. Seansy
    Agree 100% with this. He's a multi time All Star, still young, durable, and has upside. He'll get something around what Zach Wheeler got, maybe a little less. If the Twins are out of it they should definitely listen to offers for him because he's not signing an extension, let alone a "team friendly" one. Of the prospects you listed the Blue Jays guys are the only ones in the Top 100 at MLB.com and are generally regarded as top 100 type guys around the industry. Much like they did with Duran I don't mind them searching for projectable high upside young arms in a trade but given Jose's track record I think they should only trade them if they get AT LEAST 1 top 100 guy if not more. Remember, The Jays asked for one of Lewis or Kirilloff for Stroman and he had 1.5 years left like Jose. Is Stroman really better than Jose? Significantly so? Looking at their Savant pages I'd argue no. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/marcus-stroman-573186?stats=statcast-r-pitching-mlb https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/jose-berrios-621244?stats=statcast-r-pitching-mlb We'll see where they are at in a few weeks but if they cannot make a run they should shoot for high end guys only and if nobody is willing to trade them that then just hold onto him for next year.
  7. Seansy
    Great job with this interview and article!
  8. Seansy
    100% behind this. When I argued that Arraez should be the lead off hitter last year Dan Hayes bit my head off with some nonsense about the Twins knowing better than some rando on the internet. Sure Dan, maybe the Twins know something that we don't. Or maybe they think they do and are wrong and should just face reality that Arraez is their best lead off hitter option!
  9. Seansy
    This perfectly sums up my thinking on Arraez. If the knees will hold up, sign him long term. If they will get progressively worse with age it might be better to either avoid a long term extension or only sign one that is VERY team friendly that also helps Arraez protect himself from career ending financial losses due to his knees.
  10. Seansy
    The fact that I would agree to this deal in a nanosecond tells me that it's likely not good enough to land Castillo. If they were asking for Gleyber+ I don't think Polanco, a comp pick, and cash would be enough. Probably would need to include at least another top 10ish prospect or take back a bad contract like Moose/Castellanos to include enough salary relief to make it worth their while.
  11. Seansy
    I think Sonny Gray's would be a better target because his cost would be much more reasonable compared to what we heard for Castillo.
  12. Seansy
    I know the comparison isn't perfect as far as years of control remaining but Aaron Hick's 7/70M extension in 2019 before his last year of arbitration that year seems like a good comp giving their injury history, prospect pedigree, and defensive abilities. That is likely too long of a commitment from the Twins' perspective but if they can reduce the guarantees in the contract by upping the incentives for things relating to games played given Buxton's lengthy injury history that may be a fair compromise for both sides.
  13. Seansy
    Great write up. Do we think he will require a ML deal or could he be brought in as a NRI? If he requires a ML deal I hope they can tack on a team option so they can keep him another year if he pitches well.
  14. Seansy
    Great write up. Do we think he will require a ML deal or could he be brought in as a NRI? If he requires a ML deal I hope they can tack on a team option so they can keep him another year if he pitches well.
  15. Seansy
    Those Cishek and Duvall signings are very good for their teams.
  16. Seansy
    Assuming Kirilloff is our LF longterm I would say building a package around Larnach for any one of these pitchers would be a great idea. Love Larnach but given our surplus of corner OF bats he makes the most sense as a trade chip.
  17. Seansy
    Hoping for Clippard at ~3M and would be thrilled if Odo came back.
  18. Seansy
    I'm not concerned about the rookie projections given how weird last year was and amazes me how many people want to write off Sano after a couple bad stretches coming off injury and COVID in 2020 after he was sensational in 2019. Sano had a .923 OPS in 2019 DESPITE having a brutal 3-39 stretch while changing his mechanics. He could easily have a 1.000 if he's healthy all year imo.
  19. Seansy
    Agree 100% on Yamamoto. He still has 1 option remaining so he can be claimed to compete for the 5th starter spot and stashed at AAA for the year if he doesn't win it. I would guess other teams ahead of the Twins on waiver priority likely have the same idea though.
  20. Seansy
    I would agree against buying high on Bauer. Based on some of previous comments and some video others have posted it is pretty clear he was using some additional substance to help with his grip during 2020 after complaining about other pitchers using it and getting away with it. If the league cracks down on it and he reverts back to a good not great pitcher the team that signs him is going to be PISSED at overpaying for a 60 game sample. Count me out.
  21. Seansy
    O'Day and Clippard are my top two RH relief targets based on track record, injury history, and cost. I truly believe they are the best values for relief pitchers available. We could sign them both for ~6-7M combined and each of them individually could be as good as or better than any other higher priced reliever except for probably Hendricks.
  22. Seansy
    From reporting it looks like the Twins weren't interested in Quintana. Will be interesting to see how Happ does compared to Ray and Quintana this year.
  23. Seansy
    *Takes a bow* "Thank you! Thank you very much! I'd like to thank my family, friends, parents and the good Lord above for which none of this would otherwise be possible!" In all seriousness though I must confess I worked off of Aaron's list he posted and made adjustments based on how I would value them. The last 5 were definitely the hardest but I feel pretty good about my picks. Cheers Nick!
  24. Seansy
    1) Kenta Maeda 2) Max Kepler 3) Alex Kirilloff 4) Royce Lewis 5) Luis Arraez 6) Jorge Polanco 7) Ryan Jeffers 8) Byron Buxton 9) Jose Berrios 10) Trevor Larnach 11) Jordan Balazovic 12) Jhoan Duran 13) Mitch Garver 14) Tyler Duffey 15) Miguel Sano 16) Randy Dobnak 17) Brent Rooker 18) Gilberto Celestino 19) Keoni Cavaco 20) Matt Canterino
  25. Seansy
    Love it! Can we throw in extensions for Berrios and Buxton before they breakout into Cy Young and MVP contenders?
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