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bean5302

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Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    Terrible free agent signings? Smith did a good job with a limited budget. A budget he elevated through the retention of key players who didn't make it to free agency like Mauer, Morneau, Cuddyer and Nathan. Smith brought in Orlando Hudson, Joe Crede, Jim Thome and Carl Pavano and all wound up being good free agent signings. The waterfall of trades wound up being pretty poor as Smith continued to lose ground with each step. It's not like all his trades were bad, though, or super impactful. Smith brought in Orlando Cabrera in 2009 which was a good move. Gomez for Hardy was a good trade. It was the Hardy for Hoey trade which was terrible, but as I recall, Gardy was a driving force on getting rid of Hardy. Capps for Ramos got the most vitriol, but Ramos never really amounted to anything due to injuries and Capps was very good down the stretch for the Twins in 2010 who were relying on the very shaky Jon Rauch to close games at the time. Honestly, the Capps for Ramos trade and the singular bad season in 2011 seemed to cement Twins fans' opinions on Smith who became the scapegoat for poor decisions by Ryan in 2012 and later.
  2. bean5302
    27 plate appearances this season at MLB. Only 35 plate appearances at AAA and 258 plate appearances in his entire MLB career. I don't see Kirilloff as any more of a question mark now than he was at the beginning of last year. It is pretty clear he's struggling (pressing?). I feel like it would be worthwhile for him to spend a couple months in AAA to get things ironed out and build some confidence and the Twins certainly have the depth to move him there.
  3. bean5302
    I think it's unfair to make the assessment based on the "80+" grade power and annual 40-50 HR expectations baseball fans had of Sano in 2015. It's obvious he's a huge bust from that standpoint. Sano made it to MLB and posted a little positive value as an every day starter and even made an All Star Game in 2017. I certainly won't call that a bust. Apart from his rookie breakout in 2015, he's never posted better than scrub level WPA's though. I'd stand by Sano being an easy out when a team needs to get that out and I wouldn't consider Sano to be a boom, either. He's just a fringey MLB caliber guy.
  4. bean5302
    Ryan wasn't hitting his spots and the Astros were patient enough at the plate. It was obvious to me (in attendance) the Astros had Ryan's number well enough. Verlander just seemed to know what the batter would struggle against all night. In the end, the Twins lost by 5 runs and didn't put a single hit on the board until the 8th inning. A handful of ball/strikes calls had little or nothing to do with the Twins losing.
  5. bean5302
    Gordon has 51 plate appearances this year and he's slumped a bit in the last few. His batted ball data shows his average exit velocity is solid and he's been very unlucky overall. Honestly, he just needs a much bigger sample size to judge. Gordon's ceiling at this point is probably MLB average hitter with a more likely expectation of well below average, but he provides the aforementioned defensive versatility. He's the prototypical utility player. A guy you can play every day for a couple weeks if you need to while another player is on the 10 day IL, but not somebody you'd want as a starter. There's a lot of value in those kinds of players because they're inexpensive, but don't come with the risk of an untested AAA replacement player. With Lewis off to such an inspiring start and the addition of Correa and Urshela this offseason, it's awfully crowded, but Gordon is a better fit in the traditional utility role than pretty much anybody else because of what he does (and doesn't) bring to the table.
  6. bean5302
    I'd have to think Cavaco will be released by mid year at this point.
  7. bean5302
    Yes. It's exactly the same general concept as fans cheering for fights in hockey, which I dislike... yet it's extremely popular. Though there is an enormous difference between a physical fist fight which can end careers and cause serious injury or death and a manager kicking dirt over a plate or offering to buy an umpire a lifetime subscription to Lens Crafters. A manager arguing balls and strikes amps up the crowd and the team. It's a fact and it's often considered an endearing trait for a manager. Fan and crowd engagement is important. Regardless of what a few people on this board like, the manager getting tossed or the crowd commiserating together over a bad call is fan engagement and baseball desperately needs more fan engagement.
  8. bean5302
    Robo umps are bad for the game. They remove controversy and fan engagement. Umpires get things wrong occasionally, but hating the ump is part of the game which gets the fans excited. How many times have the fans been engaged watching an angry manager trot out of the dugout arguing balls and strikes? How many times have cheers rained down on the field watching a manager get ejected for arguing those calls?
  9. bean5302
    The Petty trade could definitely end Falvey's tenure with the Twins. The reports on him made me feel he was just soooooo far ahead of what people were expecting.
  10. bean5302
    2020 = $6.7MM 2021 = $21.0MM Total = $27.7MM
  11. bean5302
    Buxton might as well get his 1/2 a year on the IL taken care of now. At least he'll be more likely available if the Twins surprise the league and make the playoffs then.
  12. bean5302
    Petty would have made the list, though Graterol is no longer a prospect as he lost his rookie status. MLB grades Chase Petty's fastball as a 70. They put his slider at 55 and his changeup at 50 while Baseball America was even more bullish with a 70, 70, 55 ratings on those pitches, respectively. The MLB world will know far more about him once he starts pitching against professional competition this year.
  13. bean5302
    Velocity isn't the only thing with fastballs. Jim Hoey is the perfect example. A 100mph straightball is easy for an MLB hitter to knock out of the park. Deception on delivery and movement are key to fastball value. Velocity matters, but the type of fastball matters too. Sinking fastballs generate weak ground ball contact with late break downwards (Jordan Hicks) and four seamers generate strikeouts (Chris Sale) while cutters can generate both on unpredictable movement (Mariano Rivera). Other pitches wind up playing into the fastball as well. A pitcher with a great changeup automatically makes the fastball better because it adds to the deception if the hitter can't figure out which pitch is coming their way. Great control adds to it again since results do kind of find their way into the grades of the pitches themselves as well.
  14. bean5302
    As a season ticket holder, I'm excited for the pitch clock. So many 7pm games going until well after 10pm makes it hard for me to stay and watch the full games when I have many friends along next to me. They have to be up for work the next morning and leaving at 10:30pm, either taking an express shuttle to a park and ride or an uber/drive back to my house gets them home and in bed close to midnight. Then there are the extra innings games... forget it. I've been to many games which don't end until after 11pm. Considering there are already rules in place governing pace of play like the pitch delivery time rules and batters constantly stepping out of the box, it's clear the players won't follow the rules unless they're enforced in a consistent and obvious manner. Just like the "sticky stuff" pitchers were warned and warned about. The extremely slow pace of play adds to the perception of baseball being boring and hurts the game's marketability as well.
  15. bean5302
    I don't think you understand the phrase you're using... "Let him eat" comes from the same line as "Let him feed" or "Feed him" which means to give him something to eat on or an opportunity to excel. Like "feed him the ball" in football would mean give him the ball because he's going to excel with it. Throwing pitches isn't feeding Duran... Perhaps if you re-phrased your statement as "give him space to throw the baseball and let it eat!" the subject and verb would properly align with your apparent usage of the phrase. The reality is the all bold furious response means I was probably all too close to the truth to begin with.
  16. bean5302
    This is their year!!!!
  17. bean5302
    No, it's an arrogant statement about how Duran is going to chew up MLB caliber hitters after being unable to get AAA hitters out last year.
  18. bean5302
    Rooker's exit velocity, hard hit, barrel rate were better than average last year and xwOBA were far higher than his actual results. Not to mention Rooker runs faster than the MLB average player. If he's on the team, and I wouldn't be surprised if he was traded, I expect Rooker will probably be a starting corner outfielder. Sano going to be on the team. He makes a better DH than he does a 1B. Sanchez is going to be the starting catcher. Not sure why he's in the discussion as a likely common DH. He might have a handful of games at DH, but unless he's hitting far better than he has recently, I don't expect him to come out from behind the plate much.
  19. bean5302
    I would say it's actually fairly likely the Twins won't start Miranda on the 26 man. After all, keeping him off the roster for a couple weeks is still going to be the tried and true way of manipulating service time. The only way it comes back to bite the Twins is if Miranda has a great season, and if he has a great season, they get an extra year of All Star performance instead of a low percentage draft pick.
  20. bean5302
    IMHO, it absolutely came out of the blue. Correa didn't signal his willingness to sign a short term deal until just a couple days ago. This was a desperation signing by Correa. He needed to get into camp and have a full Spring Training.
  21. bean5302
    Correa is highly likely to opt out if he's healthy this year. He'll still be going in to his age 28 season after this year. I think the Twins expect that to happen as well, but they got their bridge to Lewis, provided the Twins don't deal Lewis.
  22. bean5302
    I don't think Urshela is a given as the starter over Miranda at 3B. He's probably better as a fielder than Miranda and would probably make the better of the two when it comes to utility. Urshela had a pretty awful year at the plate (by his standards) in his age 29 season last year. I also don't think the Twins are done. With Polanco, Miranda, Urshela, Arraez and Gordon, there's too much redundancy. If the Twins are looking to move Gordon to full time utility outfielder, it still leaves at least one too many valuable every day worthy guys at 4-5-6.
  23. bean5302
    Honestly, this was an enormous discount for the Twins. Correa was projected at 10 years and $345MM so to see him sign at $103.5MM is a no brainer. It's actually quite shocking, but it may be a sign for the future in general. The owners shifted a lot of money to the younger players and that will have an impact on the veteran long term, top free agents. Had Correa been willing to accept this deal last fall, he wouldn't have been on the market for a single day and there are a lot of front office's in baseball who are stunned by this move. The Twins have tended to be relatively competitive in average annual dollars for free agents before, but they've always been short on years. I would have never expected Correa to sign a contract this short at under $40MM per year. A lot of comments about how the Twins are big spenders now... but just about any team in baseball will take a player at 1/3 of their contract value.
  24. bean5302
    I believe it was just recently Lewis reportedly ran another timed sub 4.0sec to first base. That's faster than Buxton. Baseball America reports Lewis can flash 80-grade speed. You're selling him dramatically low
  25. bean5302
    Royce Lewis has 70+ speed from the reported home to first times and many scouting sources. Baseball America, Prospects Live, Roto Wire all have him at 70+
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