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bean5302

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Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    Inflammation, no damage, 10 day IL. Expected to miss no more time than that.
  2. bean5302
    Kody Funderburk in single inning appearances: 1.59 ERA, 0.68 FIP, 1.17 xFIP, 15.88 K/9, 1.59 BB/9 and in multi-inning appearances 9.00 ERA, 6.49 FIP, 4.67 xFIP, 7.9 K/9, 5.6 BB/9 Can somebody get that memo to Rocco Baldelli? It seems he has Funderburk confused with MIRP...
  3. bean5302
    Agreed. Wallner needs to find his whole game as it all went missing this year. Last 10 games. .237/.302/.526 OPS .829. 7.0% BB, 34.9% K rate. Unimpressive for AAA, but at least there are some signs of life. Even as a big Wallner fan, I wouldn't support giving him the call before June, even if he's raking.
  4. bean5302
    This weird extra special narrative that comes out of the woodwork for Buxton and Kirilloff confounds me. Every time they go 0/5 they must be hurting. Every time they go 4/5, they're back! A lot Twins fans got on Kirilloff's hype bandwagon years ago and they've been lifting it out of the mud ever since. Kirilloff isn't quick, he doesn't generally take walks, he strikes out quite a bit, and he has mediocre game power as a line drive hitter. That does not translate to an elite bat. Last year's wRC+ 120 .270/.348/.445 OPS .794 line was probably about his ceiling.
  5. bean5302
    I don't know which of my points you're trying to refute, but I gather you're 100% on board with the Santana, Farmer, Desclafani, and Margot. I can't say I agree with your opinion that high floor depth and utility players should be the focus for a team on a tight budget.
  6. bean5302
    Probably a little bittersweet for Arraez. I get the feeling he felt at home in Miami, but San Diego is going to be a great city for him. Outstanding fan attendance, obviously a huge Hispanic population, and a team which is trying to get to a World Series. Arraez will have a lot more protection in the lineup around him so he should see better pitches. At least I think everybody can agree the Twins have better ownership and a better front office than Miami! hahahahaa
  7. bean5302
    Luzardo is on the IL with elbow soreness. Trying it out with his first rehab assignment start on Sunday with his fingers crossed...
  8. bean5302
    Who stays up probably depends a lot on the next two weeks. Miranda, Larnach, Martin, and Kirilloff all probably have some instability in their roster positions. Miranda, Larnach and Martin probably moreso as they were all considered depth players to start the year and weren't viewed as worthy of a 26 man roster spot to start the season.
  9. bean5302
    MLBTR has a fresh article with an update on a few Twins players including Royce Lewis. Lewis is doing baseball field work, 80 swings in the cages and some running progression. Seems like the initial 8ish week timeline is probably right in the neighborhood. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2024/05/twins-notes-stewart-topa-lewis.html Brock Stewart has some shoulder soreness and Baldelli said the move to the 15 day IL was purely precautionary trying to get ahead of it rather than letting it potentially become something bigger later in the season.
  10. bean5302
    Most fans have EVERYTHING they need to evaluate a front office. W/L Record. Playoff success. Drafting success. Player development success. Trade Results. Contract Extensions. Free Agency Signings. Payroll. I can also evaluate whether or not Tim Anderson is a good starting shortstop despite not coaching him directly or having all the inside information about his favorite way to eat his eggs. How does this craziness work? By comparison. Fans can compare their own team's performance to teams who are run by other front offices. The Twins front office has mediocre as a ceiling for their successes so far, which is why they're on the final year of their contracts and the hot seat for their jobs.
  11. bean5302
    Great night to be at Target Field last night. The crowd was once again small, but pretty boisterous. Plenty of noise and ambiance, people were very active and energetic. I don't get it. 10 game win streak coming in, well over .500 on the year, weather was sunny and not too cold, Friday night premium game vs. the Red Sox. Attendance 24k.
  12. bean5302
    Not sure why people expected Kirilloff to be better? vs. RH career: 641 PA .271/.327/.444 OPS .771, 7.0% BB, 23.7% K, .173 ISO wRC+ 114 <--- good vs. LH career: 165 PA .205/.285/.336 OPS .620, 6.1% BB, 23.0%K, .130 ISO wRC+ 75 <--- unplayably bad 2023 vs. RH: 263 PA .300/.373/.485 OPS .858, 9.1% BB, 24.0% K, .185 ISO wRC+ 138 <--- excellent, .374 BABIP 2024 vs. RH: 92 PA .253/.315/.470 OPS .785, 8.7% BB, 23.9% K, .217 ISO wRC+ 123 <--- very good He had a great SSS run last year, but he was a little lucky by the expected numbers and the .374 BABIP in 2023 didn't hurt.
  13. bean5302
    I still think Larnach is a 1.5 WAR outfielder. He's had his bursts of production in the past, but his problem has always been identifying off-speed and breaking pitches. It's not that Larnach just doesn't hit them well, he's been unable to even identify the pitches. The only hit fastballs trend has followed into the very SSS this year, but it looks better to start (like it did to start last year or 2022, can't remember which). If he can sustain .800 OPS level production above 150 plate appearances while not being a black hole against 3 of the 5 (changeup, slider, sweeper, splitter, curve), he's got a shot at changing my opinion.
  14. bean5302
    Castro played in 125 games last year. He doesn't get to the 2-3 WAR range without playing almost every day. Which $700k starter are you benching for him and his $6MM salary? That's the point. Castro doesn't add much value over the typical every day starting position player in MLB so it's not advisable to keep him on the roster when he costs 6-7x what his replacement player will cost unless there is a very strong need. Also, the Twins should be developing a starting caliber (2+ WAR) position player 1-2x per year. They've got 6 years of team control and 9 positions (including DH) to fill. Teams should spend money on guys they can't expect to develop regularly (4+ WAR guys). Those big WAR free agent guys are expensive for mid-market teams like the Twins, and in order to have the budget to get them, mid-market teams can't blow all of their budget on good utility guys.
  15. bean5302
    Remember all the comments about members not wanting to see click-bait like articles? Yeah. About that. This site just lost some respect from me.
  16. bean5302
    There's plenty to like in his actual results, but his advanced metrics do also show plenty of reason to remain skeptical with the SSS. If he doesn't start hitting some more line drives and taking some walks, the production won't be sustainable.
  17. bean5302
    Nice article. I think Miranda has been substantially overlooked by the fan base (and the front office) after trying to play through a bum shoulder all last year before finally undergoing surgery. I'm also glad he's hitting RH well in addition to crushing lefties outright. On a team obsessed with platoon-only, all or nothing HR guys, Miranda is a breath of fresh air at the plate. From an athletic tools standpoint, he's still lacking as he's a poor runner, and his arm is below average which is why most people expect him to land at 1B/DH, but with Royce Lewis out Miranda is getting into the lineup at 3B. Santana is entrenched at 1B and the front office is trying to keep Kirilloff at DH. 90 innings is pretty much nothing this year, but there's nothing jumping out at me different this year than his previous 3B experiences. In short, he's not cut out for the position, but that's where the opportunity is. Miranda at 3B is better than Santana at 3B, basically.
  18. bean5302
    Nice article on Velez. Hopefully, he learned his lesson with the PED violation. The writer pegs Velez's fastball at more like 90mph vs. mid-90s, but I don't have any actual data to reference. https://www.thegazette.com/minor-league-sports/ricardo-velez-finds-himself-closing-out-games-for-the-cedar-rapids-kernels/
  19. bean5302
    Loading up the back leg/knee is the default technique for power hitters, but it's more evident these days because of the pitch velocity. Hitters have less time to rock back on their rear leg than in years past so leg kicks aren't as commonplace. The leg kicks and toe taps weren't ever about the front leg, they were about loading the back leg. A lot of power hitters now just pre-load their back leg so they can eliminate the extra timing/motion. Buxton's batting stance in 2024 is identical to 2021 from what I can tell.
  20. bean5302
    I'm glad Martin got some time and plate appearances in the big show, and it doesn't surprise me his play at AAA has looked good right out of the gate. AAA is easy-mode after facing MLB pitchers. In a way, even if a player doesn't succeed at the MLB level, they still get the opportunity to identify weaknesses in their game which can permanently improve their level of play in the minors. Based on the fact Martin held his own against MLB pitching, I'd expect him to get more opportunities as soon as the openings become available.
  21. bean5302
    It's not like the track record on Martin is 22 games at the MLB level. There are his last 3 years in AA/AAA which are say the same thing, and that's why Martin's actual production in his 22 MLB games matches so well with projection tools. Add in the fact Martin is at borderline non-prospect age at 25, and Martin breaking the mold and turning into a legitimate starting caliber player is far fetched. Martin is fine as a backup/utility outfielder as far as I'm concerned, but I agree with the popular viewpoint here that Castro is a better option as a starter since he has the tools to succeed in CF. That said, I don't see why Martin wouldn't be called up to see some playing time between the OF positions if Buxton goes to the IL.
  22. bean5302
    Appreciate the background on Stewart. I didn't expect much out of him when we picked him up, and I doubted him for a good portion of his time last year. The guy is just a monster out of the 'pen. Hopefully his UCL can hang in there for the Twins and what will eventually be an enormous pay day for him.
  23. bean5302
    Hahaha, it's true. I started using the newly created word droughd. Combo drought/flood since there's never in history been a weather condition in between that.
  24. bean5302
    @DJL44 Why are you against sending Wallner further down? He's obviously completely messed up right now. I think he needs to have a major reshuffling. Gotta get him down to basics.
  25. bean5302
    Bowman traded to Arizona Diamondbacks for cash. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2024/05/d-backs-acquire-matt-bowman-from-twins.html
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