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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Not to pat myself on the back but... I'm going to pat myself on the back. This wasn't hindsight. I made this exact argument the day the trade happened.
  2. Hard to pull the rug out from under Aaron when he's been playing okay in the past couple of weeks but this team is 23-21. They need to start shoring up weaknesses. Sizemore gives them an outside shot of doing just that while Hicks gets his head straight.
  3. Ugh. Let's hope not. If they bring back Pelfrey and he's still throwing 90mph, I'm going to lose my &*^%.
  4. And had they traded someone like Oswaldo Arcia while retaining a guy like Myers, I'd consider that a decent roll of the dice. I'm not sure I'd do it but at least they're not giving up a guy who looks to be a very good, possibly elite, player for quite some time.
  5. If the Royals knew something about Myers, what does that say about their assessment of Moustakis? Shouldn't they have traded Moustakis for a pitcher? Myers has been a more productive player and after the 2012 season, Moustakas' value was very high. He had just come off a season with a 3+ fWAR.
  6. I always use those WAR rankings. I despise fWAR for pitchers because of xFIP (not a fan of "this should have happened"... well, it didn't happen). If you check my post history, I'm very consistent in that regard. I didn't even look at bWAR for Myers or fWAR for Shields. For all I knew, it could have played in my argument's favor but I didn't even bother to look.
  7. Not one corner outfielder. One of the best prospects in baseball who has few flaws. He hits for average, has discipline, and power. He's not "just a prospect", he was the best prospect in the Royals' system. Again, do you think it would have been wise to trade Miguel Sano this past offseason? I mean, what would it matter? Unlike the Royals, the Twins actually have a better prospect in Byron Buxton. No big deal, right?
  8. The Royals didn't trade an Oswaldo Arcia. They traded a Miguel Sano. Before the 2013 season, here is where Myers ranked: BA: 4th BP: 7th MLB: 4th Miguel Sano's ranking this offseason: BA: 6th BP: 14th MLB: 4th Trading an Oswaldo Arcia, a guy who looks to be a very good complementary player with flaws, and a Miguel Sano, a guy who looks to be an elite cleanup player, are very different things.
  9. If you're talking trade deadline, I see the Twins trading Correia, maybe Willingham. Other than that, I predict they stand pat. They want to field a decent team this season but won't sacrifice prospects for a team that isn't *truly* ready to compete... And I'm okay with that. If you're talking roster shuffling, I see either Willingham or Arcia getting the nod soon, probably at the expense of Chris Herrmann and/or Danny Santana. After that point, Fuld will come back and Colabello will be relieved of what has been a miserable month in Major League Baseball.
  10. Should the Twins have traded Miguel Sano for David Price this past offseason? Because that's exactly what Moore did. This boils down to impatience and a fundamental misunderstanding of how to build a successful MLB roster. Teams don't win on the back of a David Price or a James Shields. Teams win by having 5-6 Michael Cuddyers, Brian Doziers, and Brad Radkes on their roster. Friedman understands this. Moore does not. One guy cannot will a team to victory, particularly a pitcher who only takes the ball every fifth day. Teams win by having a bunch of pretty good complementary players who help the team win with little contributions over the course of a season. Again, if the Royals had finished 2013 with 85 wins and then traded a piece for David Price, I'd applaud the move. But trying to go from 72 wins (their 2012 record) to the 90+ wins it takes to make the playoffs by weakening their (mediocre at best) offense in trade for an ace pitcher who will leave in two years? That's laughable and worthy of derision.
  11. James Shields isn't the problem. Giving up a top offensive prospect for two years of James Shields when your offense is in shambles... That's the problem. Moore simply closed one hole and opened another. That's bad managing. The idea behind acquiring James Shields is a good one if your team is ready to jump over the 90 win threshold. The Royals weren't at that point, as evidenced by their 86 win total in 2013. Moore picked up an ace pitcher and crossed his fingers, risking the future of his organization with the move. That's the kind of decision that should get the manager of a multi-million dollar organization fired. For Christ's sake, it's the type of decision that got Bill Smith fired, and for good reason. If we rail on a guy for putting Jason Bartlett on the opening day roster, what kind of attitude should we take toward a guy who traded five seasons of Wil Myers for what looks to amount to roughly three wins over two seasons? That's an insane ROI. Nobody in their right mind would make that move in hindsight.
  12. What good has that fringe ace done them? They look like they're going to miss the playoffs for a second year and then they lose James Shields. I thought the goal was to make the playoffs, not come close to making the playoffs. I'm all for trading guys when you need a piece to go from 88 wins to 93 wins. The Royals were not in that position. Moore jumped the gun. I hate to be the guy who points and just replies "Scoreboard." as a rebuttal but that's the most obvious proof I see as to why this was a bad idea. I said it at the time and things have played out almost exactly how I saw it happening. The Royals don't have an offense and they traded a top prospect who could be helping that offense right now (Kansas City Royals offense, currently 15th in the AL in OPS... Yes, they're behind the Astros and tied with the Mariners). Sure, Myers is in a slump right now. Lots of guys struggle their sophomore year... But let's not forget that Will Myers was worth 2.5 wins last season and he only played 2/3rds of the season so the Rays would get a seventh year of control over him. Wil Myers: 2013 fWAR: 2.4 2014 fWAR: 0.4 2015 fWAR: ? 2016 fWAR: ? 2017 fWAR: ? 2018 fWAR: ? 2019 fWAR: ? James Shields: 2013 bWAR: 4.1 2014 bWAR: 0.7 2015 bWAR: Gone, comp pick Nobody can look at those numbers and tell me with a straight face the Royals made the right move.
  13. The Royals, like most other teams, have absolutely no other way to do it. There's a good chance they've handed away Myers and will walk away with nothing to show for it. It's not as if the Royals' farm is suddenly barren. If they held on to Myers to supplement what is a really bad offense, they'd still have pieces to move in trade for established vets but they'd actually know what they need at this point and wouldn't have squandered two years and James Shields to figure that out. It's not about pinning hope on prospects, it's about redundancy. Some prospects will fail. A smart GM stands pat for a couple of years, figures out what holes he has after some prospects establish themselves, then he makes a move to go for it. The Royals went from "best farm system in two decades" to "probably never going to make the playoffs" because Moore was impatient and gave up one of the best prospects in baseball before his core was ready. There's no excuse for that and if I was a Royals fan, I'd be calling for his head.
  14. Yep. 2008 BA: Weaknesses: Plouffe doesn't stand out in any phase of the game. He figures to bat at the bottom of a big league order. An inconsistent defender, he made 32 errors last season and must improve his footwork to remain a shortstop. His quickness is below average for his position. http://www.baseballamerica.com/online/prospects/rankings/organization-top-10-prospects/2008/265485.html
  15. Most scouting reports on Plouffe were "yeesh" with an upside of "strong arm, no range". I don't recall anyone honestly believing he was an MLB shortstop without him somehow fixing some glaring problems. Are people confusing Dozier and Plouffe? Dozier was a decent range, steady hands, weak arm scouting report.
  16. If Bonifacio is a Cadillac, that means Nick Punto is a loaded Mercedes with rims. *gags a little*
  17. They'd be better positioned to win in the long term with Myers on the roster right now. That's why you collect prospects like Pokemon, not flip them for vets on a rebuilding team. Some of those prospects will inevitably fail but it's almost impossible to predict which ones will falter and which will thrive. Safety in numbers. The Royals (and most other teams) cannot afford five Shields on the roster. They need to succeed through internal prospect success.
  18. I'd snatch up Sizemore in a heartbeat, if only to demote Hicks and let him sort it out in AAA.
  19. Nice entry. It's easy to overlook these types of performances because their stats don't look very good at first glance.
  20. Agreed. I think this is one of those "we just don't know because we're not there" situations. Something is different. I don't know what it is but something is definitely different.
  21. I can't argue with this. The Guerrier move might work out well enough for the Twins in 2014 but even if it does, I will never understand the decision.
  22. Big difference. They were leaving via free agency and the Twins were a decent team. They weren't coming off three consecutive 90+ loss seasons and fighting to re-engage an increasingly apathetic fanbase.
  23. It should also be a sobering reminder to Dayton Moore why you don't trade for the "final piece" when you're not sure your foundation is solid.
  24. Absolutely. I just enjoy taking swipes at Delmon.
  25. Yikes. A good reminder that even the best prospects sometimes fail. REMEMBER DELMON YOUNG. *holds up a kosher candle*
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