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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I think that's kind of the point. Why make an argument that you wish a guy was different without having any sort of evidence that it would actually improve the situation? When faced with a complete lack of evidence that what he does is right or wrong, I believe the right decision is to just let a guy be himself.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, the shifts *might* be directly linked to that ISO, as evidenced by Joe's career high line drive percentage. The strikeouts were a huge concern. Thankfully, he's shown recent ability to make better contact (11% K rate over past 28 days). The base on balls, eh... Hard to say. His ISO D is still decent but he hasn't been taking walks lately. A concern, a change in approach, or both? Hard to say. This isn't an easy situation to figure out and the answer doesn't appear to be "Joe is cooked" or "swing harder".
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Something the Twins should have noticed in August of last year but... Water under the bridge at this point, I suppose.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    It's not excuse-making, it's analysis of the situation. No one is saying Mauer's current production level is acceptable but a nuanced breakdown of why this is happening is far more enlightening than "Joe Mauer sucks" or "chicks dig the long ball, Joe".
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    It's pretty hard to complain about what Escobar has been doing at short. I'm very skeptical that it will continue but hey, at least he's doing well in the short-term.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    His K % is just over 10% in the past month. The strikeouts were certainly concerning in the early going but he has dropped that number considerably in the past few weeks. Joe appears to be making adjustments, they're simply not working yet.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. Looking over the stat line, Joe looks just fine from a health perspective. After a rough start, he stopped striking out (8 Ks in past 28 days over 77 PAs). He's lining balls all over the field, posting a LD% of 28.7, a career best. They're not falling in. That leads me to believe he's getting killed by shifts. Or at the very least, that's a significant part of his problem. He could also being going through an incredible streak of bad luck, though I can't chalk all his struggles off as bad luck.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    He has an .815 OPS with men on base this year. A .751 OPS with RISP. His OPS for the year is .704. Statistical white noise that doesn't mean anything. Joe's problem is his overall line, not how he's hitting with men on base or RISP.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Good post. I was expecting an absurd rant when I clicked into this thread and instead was delighted to find some quite reasonable quick fixes for both the short- and long-term health of the team.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    This just shows how unfortunate the Twins' situation has been this season. Hicks, terrible. Fuld, injured. Rosario, suspended. Buxton, injured. Given the play out of the CF position, I believe there's a pretty good chance we would have seen Rosario already, had he not hit the ganja a little too hard in the offseason. A "position of strength" has been turned into a glaring weakness through a healthy dose of bad luck and some pretty dumb roster management (that, had Fuld not gotten injured, would have been marginal anyway). This is as close to a "worst case scenario" as I could have developed in the offseason.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Jack Goin and his team shouldn't only analyze free agents. I hope that his team is allowed some leeway to approach subjects like this one. In a perfect world, he'd have video and spray charts to bring to Mauer and tell him "This is why you're getting killed out there. What are you going to do about it?" Jack can't make the adjustment for Joe but he should be helping him determine the root of the problem and give Joe the information he needs to succeed.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Mauer is very good with runners on base. I have no freakin' idea how this myth is still rumbling around Twins fans' heads. It takes all of 15 seconds to check the stat line and see that it's false.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    *crosses fingers* New Britain bound!
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Winner winner, chicken dinner. The problem here isn't Pinto or Suzuki. It's Ron Gardenhire. I have a lot of patience for a lot of things but one thing I cannot stand is "doing something because it's always been done that way" in the face of piles of evidence that it's either a moot point or a bad idea.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Hey, at least he's trying. In all seriousness, if that's true, it's a good sign that Hicks is putting in the effort to do all he can to succeed as a right-handed hitter.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, the further he gets away from catching, the less he'll have the ability to jump behind the dish at a moment's notice. Catching is really, really hard. I could never do it. I think it's best to just write off Mauer as a catcher permanently and avoid the risks. This just isn't a big deal either way. Losing a DH for part of one game should be a non-issue.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Good point. I'd love to read that study. Parker Hageman. Paging Parker Hageman.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    I immediately dismissed this comment as lazy excuse-making but then I looked at the stats. Here's a weird one for you: Joe Mauer is posting a career high LD% in 2014 at 28.6%. Double-U. Tee. Eff.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Out of qualified second basemen, only Utley has a higher WAR than Dozier. Yeah, that's a B grade.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    My feeling as well.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    I thought the increase in numbers argument was misguided and overly hopeful. Sure, there's less chance Joe will break down late in the season at first base but Joe hasn't had steep declines in production later in the season. There was a chance he's perform better in counting stats but per-PA production wasn't going to spike noticeably, IMO. But it's been worse than that. Much worse. Hopefully it's just an off year for Joe.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Drastically. I'm at the point where I'm mildly concerned about Joe. Something isn't right. It could be a prolonged slump. It could be aging. It could be the concussion. Hard to say at this point. I thought he was just rusty and missing the ball, hence the absurd strikeout rate. Then he stopped striking out and still hasn't performed. He's the type of hitter that *should* age well but that's hardly a given. It's a strange situation. Time will tell how it plays out. If he finishes the season "healthy" and an OPS under .800, alarm bells should be going off in Twins territory.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    That's just it. If a catcher gets injured, the odds are it happens after 4 1/2 innings (the midpoint of the game). That means you play "NL ball" for 4 1/2 innings for a single game. It's something NL teams do 162 times a season. It's not that hard for an AL team to patch together a string of pinch-hitters for half a friggin' game.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    The team's ERA has been considerably better in May. The pitching staff is 24th in MLB over that period. Still not good, much better than their overall line looks.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    I'd give Mauer a D if the expectation is Joe Mauer-level production. He has vastly underperformed this season.
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