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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I heard something about a Dodgers hat.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    If the Twins are anywhere near .500, I don't see them trading anyone except maybe Correia if he's still on the team. After three losing seasons, I think the front office will try to field a competitive team for as long as they possibly can without sacrificing anyone who can't be easily replaced in 2014.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    I was happy to see the Twins spend money. I didn't think Nolasco was the best choice to give money but I wasn't upset about it, either (four years seemed a little excessive in a market with Garza and Santana). Really, it was a "meh, but at least they're addressing the rotation in a meaningful fashion" move. Slightly positive, not thrilled. But I was genuinely excited about Hughes, which definitely cast Nolasco in a better light (and happened just 1-3 days after Nolasco).
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah. It seems to be bad news any time that guy is allowed to get into his own head for too long. I think the Minnesota clubhouse is a good place for him to be for a myriad of reasons. Lower intensity fanbase, lower intensity ownership, more relaxed press corps, and players seem to genuinely like Gardenhire (most of the time). If there's a place where Phil Hughes can flourish over the long term, I think it's here.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Santana, probably. I didn't think he belonged on the MLB roster in the first place. He should be in Rochester, getting reps at short every day.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Last offseason, I wanted to see the Twins sign Hughes more than any other pitcher on the market. I was convinced he would provide the best value per dollar and greatly exceed his contract's value. That tells you all you need to know about how bullish I was on Hughes. I was ecstatic when the Twins signed him for 3/$24m.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    I know, just making a joke at the expense of both Suzuki and Hughes loving the fastball.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, yeah. Suzuki: puts down one finger for fastball Hughes: throws fastball Repeat scenario 99 times.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    I'd have Mastro on the 25 man until Fuld returns then make a decision what to do with him. As for the 40 man, I'd have pushed Matt Guerrier off into the sunset and possibly thrown a flaming torch onto the raft.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Actually, I believe we're up to five now. Fuld, Mastroianni, Bonifacio, Presley, and Sizemore. They're all bad options and should be expected to put up similar numbers. Fuld and Bonifacio have been the best (1.1 and 1.2 fWAR) while Presley and Sizemore have been Hicksian this season (-0.7 and -0.2 fWAR respectively). Mastro hasn't played in MLB since leaving the Twins.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. Normally, I just write off stuff like this as "internal decisions, could be anything" but this one is so baffling that I'd like to know the story behind it.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    It led to losses because both centerfielders went down with concussions in the same week. And I don't believe the Fuld acquisition was that opportune. There are many opportunities to pick up replacement-level players in a season, even at up-the-middle positions. After all, they are replacement players. I'm not giving the Twins a pass for roster construction. I think the release of Mastroianni was incredibly stupid after they had thinned the centerfield herd so aggressively to start the season. No one move hurt them badly but a series of perplexing moves led to a situation where they had no center fielders when they should have been able to fall back to Mastroianni in a pinch. Not an optimal situation but one that won't kill a team for 2-3 games.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    I never use bWAR for position players unless I'm in a hurry or on my phone. I always use fWAR. Bonifacio and Fuld are at 1.2 and 1.1.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure, but ultimately the Twins ended up with Fuld, a guy who was providing more value than Bonifacio until random concussion bizarro world hit the team. At the end of the day, we're arguing over a slew of players who are all around replacement level. As I stated before the season, it's not hard to dig these guys off the scrap heap and the Twins did just that with Fuld. That doesn't absolve the Twins for making a string of *&^%ing bizarre moves that emptied the 40 man roster of all available center field talent but it does mean that it has little impact overall.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    It'd be nice but I wouldn't hold my breath. Hicks needs to make contact before his OPS+ will nudge into acceptable territory. On the other hand, it's also possible that Hicks "wins" because Bonifacio's OPS+ descends into unacceptable territory. It should also be noted that Fuld has provided roughly the same value as Bonifacio in half the plate appearances this season. One cannot predict injury insanity and massive fluctuation between an assortment of players (Fuld, Presley, Bonifacio, Mastroianni) who are all roughly replacement level guys.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't compare Bonifacio to Bartlett because the entire situation surrounding Presley is so bloody odd. Why'd the Twins release him? Why is he performing so poorly this season? But going into Spring Training, one would have to believe Presley had the advantage over Bartlett because it's so damned obvious he was the better choice. Again, what happened? Why the change of heart? Why the lackluster performance so far below his career norm? And why take him off the 40 man roster and expose him? I keep coming back to Bonifacio's regression because you were hammering at his 120 OPS+ when he was posting it for the first month of the season. He simply isn't a very good baseball player and is regressing back to where everyone thought he'd be before the season started. Sometimes, guys have good months well above and beyond anything a reasonable person would expect. I don't back-slap Theo Epstein for signing Bonifacio for the same reason you haven't heard me say a single positive thing about Terry Ryan signing Kurt Suzuki.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    As I edited into my previous post, going into this season Bonifacio and Presley had almost an identical WAR per plate appearance over their careers and they're roughly the same age (Presley is actually younger). There was simply no reason to expect one of them to be drastically better than the other. Again, going into 2014: Presley was a 1.5 WAR guy in ~820 PAs, Bonifacio was a 4.0 WAR guy in ~2300 PAs. They're both a smidgeon over replacement level. This isn't that hard to see. Sure, one had his stock jump after a great start (and is rapidly in decline) while the other plummeted (still want to know the reason for that) but going into 2014 they were basically the same guy, which makes signing Bonifacio in January a non-issue because they already had Presley (before something went wrong with him).
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Hah, exactly. If the Twins had simply gone with Mastro, I think much of the hand-wringing over centerfield would be absent. This entire situation still confuses me. I'd like to know what happened with Presley and why he's performing so badly. Also, why the Twins felt Bartlett was an acceptable option.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Yes, Bonifacio's OBP is .028 better but that's outweighed by Presley's .060 slugging advantage going into this season. Presley had some better tools, Bonifacio had some better tools. At the end of the day, both are a half-click over replacement level players (and neither are that different from Sam Fuld, either). After a hot start, Bonifacio has OPSed at .580 over the past 28 days in 95 plate appearances. He's simply not a very good player and until Presley's weird implosion, they were basically the same guy give or take a little here and there. Going into 2014, Presley was a 1.5 WAR guy in ~820 PAs, Bonifacio was a 4.0 WAR guy in ~2300 PAs.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    The problem with picking up Bonifacio is that he's not really much different than Alex Presley and the Twins already had that guy on the roster. Similar age, similar mediocre bat (in fact, until this season Presley had a considerably better bat). To me, all of this still boils down to "What happened with Alex Presley?" Why'd the Twins release him? Why is his OPS+ only 51 in Houston? And, for the love of God, why Jason Bartlett?
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Hicks at is 4.19 pitches per plate appearance, behind Kubel and Mauer and ahead of Dozier, Plouffe, and Suzuki. All six are over 4 pitches per PA. This team takes a lot of pitches.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, I realize that... I'm just wondering why Presley, a guy whose OPS+ usually hovers around 90-95, is suddenly a 51 OPS+ player.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Comping a draft pick to Maddux is always a good place to start. No downside to comping a kid to one of the best pitchers of all time.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Damn. I knew your streak was bad. I didn't know it was that bad.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    As you touched on with GB rate, I think his BABIP has to do with bad contact, which also results in low ISO power. The OBP is great but simply put, Hicks needs to square up on the ball more often. Can he do it? *shrugs* And BTW, right now Hicks has a higher OPS+ than Revere or Presley. He was marginally higher than Span until last night's game. Tis a strange game, baseball is.
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