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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Deduno has an ERA+ of 104 right now and is finally stretched out for the rotation. If you're trying to win this season, why would you remove that guy from the rotation? Get rid of the obvious albatross in Correia, then see if other moves need to be made.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    No one is arguing whether Shields has been a good pitcher and WAR agrees with that statement. I'm not sure what you're getting at there... My only point regarding WAR was that Myers was a very valuable player last season and not far off Shields' pace for the season (but Myers only played a partial season). Looking again at Shields' bWAR, it's currently at 0.0. *scratches head* That doesn't make much sense. He hasn't been particularly good this season but he's definitely above replacement level.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    It's a conversation we have on a regular basis. Some writers have become closer to the Twins to improve coverage, others have kept their distance to remain objective. It's a good mix, in my opinion.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm in no hurry to remove Deduno from the rotation. He has earned a bit of a leash at this point and it's unlikely that whoever replaces him is a better starter immediately. Keep him in the rotation this season he's very good trade bait this offseason.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    To be fair to Correia, he has been a bit unlucky. 5.87 ERA, 4.60 xFIP. None of that matters. The Twins have packed not only the MLB rotation but also the AAA rotation. It's time to start shuffling around warm bodies for both the second half of 2014 and all of 2015. More and more every day, this team looks to be on the cusp of returning to relevance. Continue that process by jettisoning the flotsam of the roster, and that means guys like Jason Kubel and Kevin Correia need to go and need to be replaced by players who are not only younger, but will likely be better.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    With the addition of Willingham and Arcia, this lineup has gone from "bad offensively, major holes, bad defensively" to "decent offensively, one hole, bad defensively". I'll take it. This team looks like it might be a legit 80 win team if Meyer, May, or Johnson can come up and contribute. Fill Correia's rotation spot and suddenly, the only major hole in the rotation, bullpen, and lineup is centerfield. Teams can deal with one major hole.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    And my point is that it's pretty pointless to get riled up about minor statistical fluctuations over small sample sizes.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Best unis ever.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Hard to say. The Rays had just missed the playoffs with 90 wins and maybe they felt their window was closing. They are eternally up against a budget wall and maybe felt that the only way to stay relevant is to flip short term security for long term gain with risk. Given their payroll ceiling it's not a terrible idea and it worked out for them last year, as they ended up with 92 wins and six more years of Wil Myers in the outfield.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Pure comedy gold, mixing a very serious issue with hilarious commentary. Watch the entire thing and then comment at the FCC website. [video=youtube;fpbOEoRrHyU]
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, the pitching staff had a decent 3.97 ERA in May, good for 9th in the AL and 20th in MLB. Remove Correia's 4.76 ERA in May and replace it with a league average guy and you have a downright respectable rotation. It's not going to be flashy but it will get the job done over the course of a season.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't think it was one-sided. I think it was badly timed. There's a significant difference there. If the Royals were an 88 or 90 win team and picked up Shields, I'd applaud the move as going all-in on a good team in pursuit of a ring. I still wouldn't want to lose Myers but you have to give up talent to get talent.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Exactly. There's nothing to lose here except Kevin Correia and a couple of million dollars. It's an easy decision to make.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    In May, this is how I'd classify Correia's starts: 5/3 - BAL - Very good 5/8 - CLE - Awful 5/15 - BOS - Awful 5/20 - SDP - Decent 5/25 - TEX - Meh 5/31 - NYY - Dumb Luck That's not a guy I want in the rotation when the Twins have four (!) guys in Rochester striking out 9 per 9. One of those guys will pitch better than Kevin Correia going forward. Sure, you might have to rotate through a few of them to find which guy that is but that shouldn't take long to figure out.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Given the Angels' recent track record of only paying top dollar for decline phase years, I won't fault them for paying for seasons when a player might actually be, you know, productive. The Angels over the past five years have been the very definition of "a fool and his money..."
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't know if I'm a fan of signing a guy before he reaches MLB or if I think it's premature. Either way, an interesting study on how to handle prospect extensions. I'll enjoy watching how it plays out.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Thorpe goes to Cedar Rapids, eh? An aggressive promotion for a team that often catches flak for its slow promotion of prospects. The guy is 18 and is now in low A.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    It seems that a lot of people confuse Moneyball: The Book with Moneyball: The Strategy. Moneyball: The Book was about how the A's returned to contention by spotting an analysis deficiency: walks and OBP were massively undervalued in MLB scouting analysis. The A's then exploited that weakness in analysis. Moneyball: The Strategy is about spotting and exploiting analysis deficiencies. Walks were only a temporary blip on the radar and Beane has since moved on to other things. And too many fail to realize that the Twins played their own version of Moneyball (quite successfully) for years. They simply took a different path than Beane and they continue to try new things here and there (such as drafting a potential analysis deficiency, college relievers, and turn them into MLB starters, a much more valuable commodity).
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    It was a gamble by the Twins. They drafted several college relievers in an attempt to convert a couple into starters. I thought it was a shrewd move, even if it doesn't pan out.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    I couldn't be happier for Justin. He deserves a bit of triumph after all those struggles.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    The A's do not have the time nor roster space to take on every work in progress. Them passing over Parmelee doesn't mean he'll never be an effective hitter (for the record, I'm not much of a Parmelee fan at this point). Besides, a large point of that article points out how the A's aren't necessarily smarter than everyone else in baseball, they simply do a better job of "doing" and choosing their battles.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. There was a time when the Twins simply did not do a good enough job acquiring arms. That led to the 2011 collapse more than anything (and was compounded by Smith trading away the one good arm they did have). Couple that with bad luck on the injury front in Liriano and Baker and you have a recipe for disaster, which is exactly what we saw in 2011.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Normally, I'd agree. Then I look at Rochester and see three pitchers just killing it and realize "Kevin Correia no longer has a place in this rotation". If May falters, call up Meyer. If Meyer falters, call up Johnson. One of those guys will stick.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Excepting the international free agents point, I don't disagree with anything here. The Twins could certainly do some things better and I find their refusal to platoon effectively, carry two catchers that both play, and demote players who need it incredibly aggravating. But in the grand scheme of things, those are smaller points to the large point of "acquire and field above average players", which they have stockpiled for the past few years. Ryan has done a fantastic job of acquiring and drafting solid talent in the minors, which will ultimately lead to far more wins than an effective platoon (though the two things are certainly not at odds with one another). As for international free agents, I do not understand the griping over how the Twins have spent in recent years. It looks like they absolutely stole Lewis Thorpe just two years ago. The guy looks to be a beast of a pitcher - remember that he is over one year younger than Kohl Stewart.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    It's pretty hard to make that argument right now, as the Twins have quite the assortment of pitchers at almost every level of the game. I'd put May, Meyer, Berrios, Thorpe, and Stewart up against almost any team's minor league system. Have the Twins failed in the past to acquire quality arms? Absolutely, but something has changed in recent years and they've targeted power arms who look to be difference-makers in MLB.
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