Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

Brock Beauchamp

Site Manager
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    32,669

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    328

 Content Type 

Profiles

Minnesota Twins News, Rumors & Analysis

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospect Rankings

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Minnesota Twins Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Minnesota Twins Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I still believe Buxton should be at or near the bottom of the order until he shows he can handle MLB pitching for more than a few weeks at a time. If he exits April with a strong showing, begin inching him up the order.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    It has become quite apparent that the GOP no longer has any idea how to govern. Gee, what a surprise. You create an angry opposition party fueled largely on lies and half-truths, foster those negative emotions and continually ramp them up for a decade, and then have no idea how to perform in a leadership role when the time comes. Shocking. Shocking, I say.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    This is my take as well. Is Kinsler a racist? I have no idea, I don't know the guy. Did he say something subtlely racist? Yeah, he did. And that's where we need to focus. Pretty much every white person in the country has an undercurrent of racism within them. I'm no different than most white Americans in that regard and try to call myself out every time I catch it happening. It's a byproduct of being raised in an institutionally racist society. We're ingrained from a young age to perceive certain people and cultures in a specific way and the media and government reinforce those ideas throughout our lives. Instead of calling Kinsler a racist, I'd ask him "Why did you feel the need to point out specific differences between "us" and "them"? And why were those comments drawn almost directly across racial and cultural lines? And why do you think that's an okay thought process to have?"
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, it's hard to predict what will happen in a few innings' time but there are a few things a manager can do to create a more flexible bullpen. For example, it's the sixth inning of a tie game. The bases are loaded with no outs. Call in your best reliever. Just do it. And teach your relievers that those situations will occasionally arise. They're the "eighth inning guy" 90% of the time but when an obviously critical situation arises earlier in the game, they should be ready to get the team out of the jam. Far too often we've seen that kind of sixth inning situation pitched by the "sixth inning guy", which makes zero sense. Deal with the later disaster situations when they arise, if they arise at all. Use your best guys earlier in the game when it makes sense. The manager doesn't need to do that often but there's some wiggle room in there I'd like to see explored more often; the "obviously critical" points of a game we all see unfold once every couple of weeks.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Buxton should definitely bunt... if defenses give him the bunt for a base hit. That applies to almost everyone in baseball. A player should rarely step to the plate with a bunt in mind, though.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    That's my hope as well.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    When he played for the Angels, there was no discernible difference in Santiago's HR allowed at home versus on the road. That angle doesn't really hold up under scrutiny.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Good luck with that.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Dunno what Hughes would fetch (likely nothing) but Santiago and Santana should definitely be on the block if the Twins aren't in the race (which, while highly unlikely, them being in a division race is not something I'm willing to concede today). This division, simply put, is not very good. If a few things break right (and the inverse happens to Detroit and KC), the Twins could find themselves chasing Cleveland. It's a remote chance but no one saw 2015 coming, either.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure, it matters, but at the end of the day, I'd call them comparable players. And seasons is a bit misleading, as Hunter only had 1,800 more PAs than Cameron. That's roughly three full seasons. And Cameron was done as a starter after his age 36 season, gathering only 400 PAs after that point. Hunter accumulated, you guessed it, 1,800 PAs after his age 36 season.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Only if you use fWAR. A good rule of thumb I developed years ago regarding WAR is "if a player is generating an undue amount of WAR value from defense, be skeptical of the number". That doesn't mean FG is wrong, Cameron may have been that good defensively. But what is more likely is that the old, limited data from the late 90s and early 2000s wasn't terribly accurate. It's not as if we're comparing Cameron to Josh Willingham. It's Torii-freakin-Hunter. Yeah, Hunter was probably overrated defensively for much of his career but there's no denying the guy was frickin' brilliant out there for a long time. It's also problematic that using bWAR, Hunter has a slight advantage over Cameron.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    A huge portion of that value came on defense. I don't have a lot of faith in the defensive metrics used when Cameron and Hunter were in their primes. You'll have a hell of a time convincing me Hunter was a negative defensive player for over half his career as FG wants us to believe. Overall, they were pretty comparable players. B-Ref has Hunter at 50 WAR, Cameron at 46 WAR.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, Cameron was really underrated. He was basically Torii Hunter without the pub. While it'd be a mild disappointment to see Buxton turn into that player, it's the kind of disappointment one can get over rather easily.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Dunno about "stellar". The guy tracked through the minors at roughly the league average age while posting 3.6/7.8 BB/K rates. We all love to bash Tonkin and, by comparison, he tracked through the minors 1.5-2.0 years younger than league average age while posting 2.2/9.3 BB/K rates.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Under these rules, Pedro had 17 changeups alone. I'm not taking a dig at Duffey here (well, not really) and I realize his fastballs and curves are different offerings... But the guy could use a changeup or slider in a big way. The curves are great and all but having something with bite that complements the fastball would go a long way. Having two fastballs and two curves is not the same as having a fastball, slider, change, and curve.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    What a waste of Duffey. I hope they don't make him the long man. Sure, maybe it means he gets another shot at the rotation down the road but I'd prefer to see what he can do in a real bullpen role, not mop-up duties.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    I just don't see how Grossman would be worth anything right now. He's an interesting and youngish player but given his defensive woes and (potentially) career season, it's hard to gauge his real value. If he reverts to being something approximating an average defender with a .750 OPS this season, I think his value stabilizes quite a bit. So... maybe July? Right now, it makes sense to keep Grossman on the roster. The Twins have one of the best centerfielders in baseball, another acceptable centerfielder, and a tweener centerfielder starting games. They can afford to roll the dice defensively on Grossman, hoping he will rebound while maintaining a solid bat.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, projections tend to hedge their bets. Terrible players are projected to be bad, great players are projected to be good. It works better in the aggregate than it does individually. The projections on Mike Trout over the years have been laughable, though the projection this season finally appears to accept that the guy is really, really good at baseball. It only took half a decade to get to that point.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    From what I've seen, consistency is his biggest weakness, which may or may not be considered a "skill" in the traditional sense John was speaking. Polanco has the tools to play short - they're marginal but he could probably do it - but there's more to being an MLB shortstop than pure athleticism. One needs an outstanding toolset (which Polanco doesn't have) to overcome any deficiency in consistency. And that's not a rare problem to have, it keeps loads of toolsy guys off short in MLB.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    I think a best case scenario for this rotation is a bottom third finish in the AL. If that finish is in the 10-12 range, I'll be thrilled. That, in itself, should be worth at least a half dozen wins this season.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Santiago also had acceptable results with the White Sox. I'm not arguing whether Santiago is a good pitcher, only that he's not terribly different than Gibson. And, yes, Santiago is a flyball guy, which is a good thing on the 2017 Twins. Gibson has a lackluster infield defense behind him and also has the disadvantage of the low strike being removed this season. I'm not sure why it's so controversial to suggest that neither Gibson nor Santiago are particularly good pitchers and are largely interchangeable. edit: did the strike zone change actually happen or was it only proposed?
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    You just illustrated why I have huge problems with fWAR for pitchers. If a guy "gets lucky" for four consecutive seasons and two different teams, it becomes pretty hard to argue it's "luck" with a straight face. FIP-based metrics have a place and they're accurate for most players but we need to admit they're flat-out broken for others (e.g. Nolasco, Ricky).
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm curious why people are willing to give Gibson a guaranteed spot in the rotation but think Santiago should be removed. I think Gibson has a slightly higher chance of being above average but when all is said and done, it wouldn't surprise me in the least to see Santiago have a better season (as low as that bar may be for both of them). They're basically the same age and Santiago has a longer, better track record.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep, that's why elite pitch framers cost the outrageous sum of $6-8m a season.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Flip a coin for Berrios or Mejia, I don't care. It's the kind of decision I could defend if it goes either way. But never Vogelsong.
×
×
  • Create New...