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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Three things are used: Satellite maps GPS Scanning hardware in car (far and away the most important thing) Which is why Tesla won’t get to fully autonomous in their current fleet. They use cameras. Cameras are bad. The rest of the industry is using LIDAR, which is much better than a camera, as it cannot be tricked. An object is there or it is not in the eyes of LIDAR. GPS doesn’t need to be precise if your car has its own set of eyes and makes its own decisions, which is what is being worked on in autonomous cars.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Google is testing around the west in various cities. GM (Cruise) is testing in San Francisco to really push the limits of the tech. I can’t recall where VW is testing, though their tech is supposedly quite advanced.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Uber is scaling back because, like all things Uber does, their testing was reckless and half-assed. It got someone killed. Google, GM, and VW are not Uber.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Because you assume people "love to drive". I explained it pretty clearly in an earlier post: "And most of those distracted asses will agree once they realize they can sit on their phone instead of driving, which is what they want to do anyway." People "love" driving the same way they "loved" washing dishes by hand or "loved" cooking over a fire every day when there was no other option. It's a basic function of life for most people, not a passion. Replace a function of life with something easier and people will flock to it. I actually love to drive. I LOVE it. But if you gave me the option to go on cruise control and let a robot drive me to work, I'd be all over it. Why? Because the reason I love to drive ain't the commute to work.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    I focused too much on your wildly inaccurate statements after this instead of the meat of the subject, which is this. Google thought they could launch a service in Phoenix last fall but it didn't really pan out. But they were confident they could do it as recently as last summer. They hit some bumps and postponed things (because Google is playing the super long card here) and, even though they lead the world in this, thought some more work was needed (largely because of Uber and Tesla being reckless). We're not 20 years from this ****. We're maybe two, maybe ten, maybe fifteen years from it at most. Personally, I think we're about ten years from it. Tesla has its problems but it's collecting *mad* driver data despite its hardware issues. Cruise (the GM company) is going hard at San Francisco streets to show how its software can take the most challenging arenas. Google is going much wider; it's deploying its cars in a variety of streets and in massive numbers, but not as aggressively focused as Cruise. This is going to play out quickly. I don't think people realize that once an algorithm and machine learning is implemented on this kind of scale, how much things will change... about everything. And how much everything that comes before it will change it. Teaching a machine to put a bolt in a hole is easy. We've done that for years. But the collaborative effort of teaching machines to understand and predict behavior in an open environment... Well, that's something else. And we're on the cusp of that happening. And once it happens, all hell breaks loose economically.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    State governments have been falling over themselves to get these companies to operate in their regions. So the politics don’t really fall on your side of things. You need to step back for a moment and realize that you are not the people. Personally, I LOVE to drive. I’m an avid motorcyclist and adore sports cars. Maybe that taints me a bit but most people suck at driving. They’re really, really bad at it. I welcome those idiots being given an option that doesn’t involve their distracted asses being in control of the wheel. And most of those distracted asses will agree once they realize they can sit on their phone instead of driving, which is what they want to do anyway. (as a motorcyclist, I can’t really state how much you car drivers suck at your job... honestly, I’m amazed I’m not dead yet. bring on the automation to get rid of you entirely)
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    Legacy implementation and fandom will ensure that people CAN drive if they want to, likely for centuries. I can still fire up a 1908 Harley and ride it, though I’m not sure why anyone would want to do so.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Having a deep lineup is beautiful. Don’t pitch to one guy, get slaughtered by the next. It won’t maintain this pace but the front office put together one hell of an offensive force this year.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    I almost forgot how awful an umpire Hernandez is until tonight.* *you’ll hear me complain about umpires about once a blue moon... he’s that bad tonight
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Or maybe not.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    I lived in Milwaukee for a year. They’d open the roof a decent percentage of the time but god, don’t go to a ballgame during one of those 80 degree high humidity, might drizzle days. The entire place is a sauna and pure misery. Retractable roof stadiums suck. Even when they’re open, the nature of the design forces walls around the stadium, killing air movement. And then you get situations like tonight in Houston where there’s no excuse not to have the bloody thing open, yet it’s closed.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Hard to say. The last few steps will be interesting to see unfold. But right now, Cadillac is offering geo-fenced semi-autonomous driving on highways in a few models. And it’s better than Tesla. Anyone who makes a hard prediction on an autonomous driving date is foolish. There could be a breakthrough tomorrow. There may not be a breakthrough for 20 years. But it’s highly likely that within a generation, the tech is pretty rock solid. 5g wireless is an important step in the long term viability of the tech but few are talking about it.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Waaaayyyyyyy more. People don’t understand just how advanced this tech already is and just how bad humans are at driving.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Google’s cars are already safer than the average human driver by quite a bit. As for Tesla, no way do they offer truly autonomous cars in the next two years. Their deficiency is hardware-based. Without LIDAR and hardware redundancy, full autonomy will not happen. Both Google and GM are way ahead of Tesla in self-driving vehicles.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    So far so good on the Cron and Schoop signings.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    True.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Relievers were readily available this offseason and the team entered 2019 with a lower payroll than 2018. Frankly, I consider that pretty unacceptable.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Baltimore played itself?
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    You're wildly overstating the value of disruption in runs per game but I agree with you. Literally, a guy who is worth two runs per game is worth 324 runs per season. The average team scores roughly 750-800 runs per season. Buxton, like every major leaguer who isn't Barry Bonds, works within the margins. Again, I agree that Buxton could be a larger asset if he acted more like Rickey Henderson than Vince Coleman. Henderson was, in my opinion, slower than Coleman, but Rickey had an attitude to screw with the defense and pitcher that Vince did not. And in today's game, I think the ability to mess with a pitcher's head is more important than actually taking the base. Distract them, force the fastball.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Astudillo has a very healthy .835 OPS. That is a lower OPS than Garver, Polanco, Cruz, Rosario, Schoop, and Buxton.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Put the kids to bed and checked At Bat to see if the game was worth watching. LOL
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Ah, okay.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    But it’s a postponement. Tickets were sold for both games. How does that work?
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    A 3:05/6:05 schedule is really really weird for games that sell individual tickets.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. The Twins were selling high on 1.3 seasons of Pressly. They were out on .3 of those seasons, which at the deadline has the most value. It was a savvy deal. The second part of that deal is to acquire a replacement in the next offseason.
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