Brock Beauchamp
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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp
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Possibly, but this team isn’t actually terrible at scoring runs, they’re terrible at scoring runs in specific innings, which is the weirdest **** I’ve ever seen and defies logic. -
I’m sorry we’re not discussing what you feel is important.
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Advanced defensive metrics are not influenced by the official scorer. What he or she does is irrelevant to any metric worth a damn.
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He was on his knees facing the stands. It would have been a hell of a play to get either runner.
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Donaldson can’t control what the pitcher on the mound does. Even if he cleanly transferred that ball, an out at home or first was far from guaranteed. It was an extremely difficult play.
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*shrugs* I have no idea why this is happening. The starting rotation has been pretty good, the bullpen has been awful.
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The stop means nothing, except for the part where it prevented another run from scoring. Donaldson has a +2 DRS in 20 games. That’s a damned good fielder, whether you want to accept it or not.
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We can blame Baldelli for several (imo mostly minor) mismanagement in games but when every reliever he puts in the game lights himself on fire the moment he steps on the mound, the manager can’t do anything about that.
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That was a hell of a stop and lots of third basemen don’t even get to that ball and two score. A lot can be said about Donaldson but his glove is outstanding.
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Akil Baddoo crushes Homerun in first major league at bat
Brock Beauchamp replied to AZTwin's topic in Other Baseball
Probably not, if only because Detroit is so bad that Baddoo's performance doesn't really matter, like at all. -
Donaldson crushed that ball.
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LOL
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Hey don’t leave out “Twins offense in late innings” vs “Tigers offense all the time”. Twin unstoppable forces versus immovable objects on both sides of the ball.
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Ultimately, a run is a run. It really doesn’t matter where it comes from. Run scoring and run prevention are two sides of the same coin.
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Their inability to score late *is* a big issue. They’ve scored one run in the ninth inning. One.
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Akil Baddoo crushes Homerun in first major league at bat
Brock Beauchamp replied to AZTwin's topic in Other Baseball
Since Baddoo last hit a homer on 4/13, his slash is: .100 / .151 / .240 / .391 OPS -
Since Baddoo hit his last HR on 4/13, his slash is: .100 / .151 / .240 / .391 OPS
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Why does Phil Cuzzy hate the Twins?
Brock Beauchamp replied to denarded's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
1/10 is pretty bad but Cuzzi really maximized those bad calls yesterday, which surely impacted our mental image of what was happening on-field. Because every bad call really seemed to sting, as they so often happened in key spots. -
It *can* be a predictive tool, I just don't believe it's particularly good at it most of the time. But in the case of a wild outlier case, like Kirilloff was a couple of weeks ago, it seems to be pretty good at predicting that the ship will right itself if all continues as it is. In the case of a guy like Polanco, I suspect it's extremely vulnerable to misinterpretation, as Polanco is hot garbage from one side of the plate and it's not as if he's going to normalize those PAs in time. If he's just getting unlucky from the right side of the plate, the xBA may not properly reflect that he only bats from that side of the plate ~40% of the time and that those ~60% of hot garbage PAs will never go away (and will likely only grow in time because teams will stack relievers against him intentionally).
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Yeah, with stuff like Larnach hitting two dingers immediately, I think we'll see some more aggressive moves as hot minor league players swap out struggling MLB players.
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Why does Phil Cuzzy hate the Twins?
Brock Beauchamp replied to denarded's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Umpire Scorecards is a great Twitter follow BTW. Yesterday, Cuzzi cost the Twins one run in a game they lost by one run. Awesome job, Phil. https://twitter.com/UmpScorecards/status/1390685125105446913 -
The thing is that those guys are really rare, though, and I haven't seen any sign that FIP and xBA share those same outliers. But one thing to consider is that while FIP is generally a good predictor (better than ERA, anyway), xBA only records what already happened. Past performance does not guarantee future results and all that. If the guy is an extreme outlier, it may show predictive signs but Polanco is absolutely trash from the left side of the plate and has been for a long time now. That needs to change before his stat line improves enough to even be acceptable. Just take a look at his statcast averages, they ain't promising. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/jorge-polanco-593871?stats=statcast-r-hitting-mlb
