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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. And that's a fair argument but let us not forget that Span had his own issues going into the deal. He was a hitter who suffered a concussion and had played just 198 games the past two seasons. It worked out for the Nationals in the end but Denard was a somewhat risky player as well. He didn't play particularly well his first season in Washington, either. And Meyer... Well, he's a weird case. It looked like he might be one of the few who beat the odds and became a dominant tall pitcher. Just 12 months ago, he was dominating AAA to the point we were screaming "WHY ISN'T HE HERE YET?" And then he suddenly fell apart. At the same level he just dominated the previous season.
  2. My point is that the risk in Meyer was so obvious that everybody knew the situation going into the deal. Given his potential upside, maybe you still roll the dice on that player. We often criticize the Twins for taking the safe deal instead of taking a risk on bigger upside. Meyer was the opposite of a safe deal. Unfortunately, it didn't work out but that's why I don't bash the team for the trade. They gambled on big upside and it looks like they lost (though there's still small hope he turns it around).
  3. I agree that some prospects are overrated and with a determining eye, a GM might be able to spot those players. Demon was one of those players. Myers is definitely NOT one of those players. His problems are injury related, not some critical flaw in his game. Myers had a 131 OPS+ his rookie season. He had a 121 OPS+ this season before the injury. When he's on the field and healthy, he's a damned good player. The problem is he can't stay on the field and no GM has a crystal ball that clear. Meyer might be one of those players but given how everyone knew he was risky going into the deal, I don't believe that's the case. Meyer was a guy you roll the dice on and hope it works out.
  4. Okay, I'm not even going to use fancy stats to show how wrong this is. Here are the basics: Trevor May, the June before he was removed from the rotation: 5 GS, 24.1 IP, 3.70 ERA, 24 K Mike Pelfrey, the June before May was removed from the rotation: 6 GS, 35.1 IP, 5.35 ERA, 16 K Mike Pelfrey, the July after May was removed from the rotation: 4 GS, 23.0 IP, 4.30 ERA, 11 K Mike Pelfrey wasn't better before May was removed from the rotation and he wasn't better after May was removed from the rotation. Mike Pelfrey is who he is. He's a middling starter who can't miss bats and was playing way over his head early in the season. That's great, you let that guy play way over his head and appreciate the effort he gives you. But in the back of your mind, you always remember that he's playing way over his head and you prepare for the inevitable. The moment he starts scuffling, you take his job away, thank him for his service, and move on. Instead, the Twins removed a young starter who was showing consistent improvement, relegated him to the bullpen, and kept that middling starter over him in the rotation.
  5. Well, yeah. Miguel is really strong. Even the most pull-happy hitters hit a lot of balls to the opposite field (after all, that's what the opposing pitcher is trying to do to a pull hitter to get them off their game). Most of those opposite field balls result in outs... but occasionally, a guy as strong as Miguel will still get it over the fielder's head. Can't catch a ball that's ten feet up the wall. Sano has hit just six balls to the opposite side of the field. He has hit over 15 balls pulled toward left field. He has a handful of balls up the middle.
  6. Just for funsies, here's Dozier's spray chart. It's kinda ridiculous.
  7. Ugh. Plouffe is still largely a pull guy. Did you miss that part? He started going oppo a bit more this season but after two successful seasons at the plate, I doubt the Twins were pushing him in that direction, just as they haven't even tried to stop Dozier from pulling. And somebody correct me if I'm wrong, but wasn't Brunansky himself a pull hitter? You may think the jury is out on Sano but it's not like this kid is some unknown. I've never read anything about him going oppo and given his power, he's almost certainly a pull hitter (13 hits pull/center, just 4 oppo thus far). Rosario is an all-fields guy but that has always been his profile as a hitter, at least that's the impression I always had of him as a player. Hicks is very pull-happy this season as a righty, his dominant side. There is no evidence the Twins are against hitters pulling the ball and there hasn't been evidence of it for a long time.
  8. I'm sorry but this meme needs to die. Was that the case ten years ago? Yeah, maybe. Probably even likely. Look at this roster and tell me the Twins are still infatuated with going oppo and forcing players to fit a predetermined mold. Dozier is a pull beast. Sano is just a beast. See ball, hit ball. Ball go far. Plouffe was a pull beast but it doesn't appear the team tried to change that... he just evolved into a different (and more productive) hitter, just as he's evolved into a more productive everything. Trevor also continues to pull the ball more often than not, especially for power. I doubt Arcia's pull-happy nature is the reason the Twins are trying to alter his approach. The Twins seem perfectly content to let Brian Dozier pull every ball he sees, provided he's productive while doing it.
  9. That is and probably will be the biggest knock against Rosario for his entire career. The guy isn't disciplined. Whether he can overcome that and become a good player is a cause for concern. That's why I've never been very high on Eddie, just as I was really down on Santana last year when he was playing out of his mind (though Eddie's BABIP isn't stratospheric like Santana's was last year). I wonder whatever happened to the guy who tried to shout me down last season when I suggested that Hicks still had a higher ceiling than Danny Santana, despite Danny's otherworldly production? Yeah, player profiles matter. They matter a lot.
  10. If I was Terry Ryan, it wouldn't be possible for me to get ABW out the door quickly enough if someone offers something of value for him.
  11. I wouldn't put Kepler on the untouchable list but he'd be close to it... I'd demand a great return on him to let him go this July. Why? Because I think ol' Max's value is going to be a hell of a lot higher in November. His BABIP is coming back to earth but he's still hitting .280 with an elite .400 OBP in July (.850 OPS overall). The longer he keeps doing this, the more teams are going to salivate over him. Right now, an opposing GM could argue "the kid had two good months" and try to drive down his price; if he finishes the season with a .900 OPS, it's going to be a lot harder to call his 2015 a couple of lucky months.
  12. This. I don't see why the Padres would even consider this deal.
  13. I hate to say it but I'm struggling to give a damn right now. Trade, don't trade. Whatever.
  14. If KC wins 81 games (I'm giving Shields a whopping five games here), the same effect is in place. They're an exciting young team on the upswing with or without Shields (and given my opinion all along was to strike a big deal the offseason you start on the upswing, the overall effect is probably the same). Anyway, I think this horse has been beaten enough times. It comes down to overall strategy and I don't think there's a right or wrong answer to our approaches, just personal preference. I think the end result is similar either way. Staying consistent with this approach, I'll be really disappointed if Ryan doesn't make significant moves this offseason. Now is the time.
  15. There's value in competing but the fan interest angle doesn't fly with me. KC drew the same number of fans in 2013 as 2012. Fans come to see playoff teams or something resembling a playoff team, yes... But they don't come in droves to see a team finish six games out of the playoff picture just because that team was no longer awful. There are many reasons to be in favor of KC's approach but that isn't one of them.
  16. Well, it depends. I like what KC is doing right now because this is their shot at winning it all. If you asked me whether I think the Twins should have traded for Tulo or Lucroy this past offseason, I would have laughed you out of the room. But then the Twins started winning. Their window arrived a lot faster than any of us expected. Situations change. The front office needs to be agile enough to keep up with the situation. I don't think this team is that good but a good player at a position of need makes it better, both this year and next. As I've said multiple times, I don't really care what is done... but something needs to be done.
  17. I give Molitor a lot of credit for firing up this team, making a lot of smart analytical decisions, and stewarding the Twins to a winning record at the end of July. I also give Molitor a lot of non-credit for sticking with Danny Santana for far too long, using the bullpen in nonsensical ways at times, and not pressing Ryan to get him new players on the roster.
  18. I'll third this. I haven't been this demoralized about a Twins team over .500 since... Well, I don't know if I can think of a time I've been this down on a winning ballclub. I'm pretty level-headed. I look at scenarios from as many perspectives as possible. I don't complain when a specific deal doesn't go down. But this bullpen problem was looming on OPENING DAY and by the middle of May, it was obvious IT WASN'T GOING TO FIX ITSELF. And what was done about that? Virtually nothing. Moved a few deck chairs. Cut the worst reliever but left several bad ones. If I was Terry Ryan, I'd be bloody embarrassed right now.
  19. I'm going to assume you didn't watch the game because no reasonable adult would make such an absurd statement after witnessing that game.
  20. You know what's most embarrassing about all of this? Everything.
  21. I didn't think it'd be possible for me to be more pissed off than I was ten minutes ago. Then Trevor May walked onto the mound and yep, there it was.
  22. I'm just going to say this once to get it out of my system: **** this team, **** this GM, **** this manager, **** this bullpen, **** this everything. ****.
  23. Eduardo Escobar, I have just one request: Go 4-4 with 2 2B and a homer tonight so I don't have to see Danny Santana in the lineup for the remainder of 2015.
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