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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Nice catch, I never noticed that while trolling Kepler's player page: First half: .218 .317 .340 .656 Second half: .298 .347 .433 .779
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Damn it all, Parker. Stop calling me out like that.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    This is only a fair criticism if the deadline passes and Ryan hasn't found someone better or equal to Broxton. It's not like the guy was stolen away from the Brewers. He's a decent, not great, arm.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm not sure the "prized" moniker should go alongside either of those guys but I definitely know it shouldn't go alongside one of them.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Man, it seems there is a 3-4 team race this deadline to see which American League team can give up the most prospects to a National League team.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    That is a likely outcome but I think Byron is going to receive another ~100 PAs in Minnesota before the end of the season so it's hard to plan on much of anything right now.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    I think Kepler's likely ceiling is Scherzer because they're both named Max. Though Kepler's full name is Maximilian while Scherzer's is Maxwell so that's probably worth a couple of extra WAR.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    That would be a nice addition to a Pierzynski pickup.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Interesting Stahoviak comp and while there are similarities, it should be noted that Scott received roughly half his MiLB PAs in the PCL. Kepler is posting similar numbers but he's doing it in a much more balanced Southern League. Also, Stahoviak struck out nearly twice for every walk taken while Kepler has a 1:1 ratio this season, though that is a relatively new thing for Max.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    I think it's unlikely the Twins dip under .500, especially if they pick up bullpen help. There's enough young talent on this team and enough of it is playing well that I think they can finish with 81 or more wins on the season.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    One word: ick. But, unlike Kimbrel, at least he doesn't come with that terrible "CLOSER" tag, which basically doubles a guy's value for no good reason.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    I think the best scenario is to create a quasi-platoon whenever possible. The Twins have enough warm bodies who can hit to make it work, provided they don't trade any of them today. Hicks still gets a considerable amount of PAs against righties but he doesn't play every day against them. Arcia occasionally gets the nod and plays the role of "horrible defensive Ben Zobrist" on the team, moving around, getting regular PAs, but not playing every day.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    And that's a fair argument but let us not forget that Span had his own issues going into the deal. He was a hitter who suffered a concussion and had played just 198 games the past two seasons. It worked out for the Nationals in the end but Denard was a somewhat risky player as well. He didn't play particularly well his first season in Washington, either. And Meyer... Well, he's a weird case. It looked like he might be one of the few who beat the odds and became a dominant tall pitcher. Just 12 months ago, he was dominating AAA to the point we were screaming "WHY ISN'T HE HERE YET?" And then he suddenly fell apart. At the same level he just dominated the previous season.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    My point is that the risk in Meyer was so obvious that everybody knew the situation going into the deal. Given his potential upside, maybe you still roll the dice on that player. We often criticize the Twins for taking the safe deal instead of taking a risk on bigger upside. Meyer was the opposite of a safe deal. Unfortunately, it didn't work out but that's why I don't bash the team for the trade. They gambled on big upside and it looks like they lost (though there's still small hope he turns it around).
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree that some prospects are overrated and with a determining eye, a GM might be able to spot those players. Demon was one of those players. Myers is definitely NOT one of those players. His problems are injury related, not some critical flaw in his game. Myers had a 131 OPS+ his rookie season. He had a 121 OPS+ this season before the injury. When he's on the field and healthy, he's a damned good player. The problem is he can't stay on the field and no GM has a crystal ball that clear. Meyer might be one of those players but given how everyone knew he was risky going into the deal, I don't believe that's the case. Meyer was a guy you roll the dice on and hope it works out.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Okay, I'm not even going to use fancy stats to show how wrong this is. Here are the basics: Trevor May, the June before he was removed from the rotation: 5 GS, 24.1 IP, 3.70 ERA, 24 K Mike Pelfrey, the June before May was removed from the rotation: 6 GS, 35.1 IP, 5.35 ERA, 16 K Mike Pelfrey, the July after May was removed from the rotation: 4 GS, 23.0 IP, 4.30 ERA, 11 K Mike Pelfrey wasn't better before May was removed from the rotation and he wasn't better after May was removed from the rotation. Mike Pelfrey is who he is. He's a middling starter who can't miss bats and was playing way over his head early in the season. That's great, you let that guy play way over his head and appreciate the effort he gives you. But in the back of your mind, you always remember that he's playing way over his head and you prepare for the inevitable. The moment he starts scuffling, you take his job away, thank him for his service, and move on. Instead, the Twins removed a young starter who was showing consistent improvement, relegated him to the bullpen, and kept that middling starter over him in the rotation.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, yeah. Miguel is really strong. Even the most pull-happy hitters hit a lot of balls to the opposite field (after all, that's what the opposing pitcher is trying to do to a pull hitter to get them off their game). Most of those opposite field balls result in outs... but occasionally, a guy as strong as Miguel will still get it over the fielder's head. Can't catch a ball that's ten feet up the wall. Sano has hit just six balls to the opposite side of the field. He has hit over 15 balls pulled toward left field. He has a handful of balls up the middle.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Just for funsies, here's Dozier's spray chart. It's kinda ridiculous.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Ugh. Plouffe is still largely a pull guy. Did you miss that part? He started going oppo a bit more this season but after two successful seasons at the plate, I doubt the Twins were pushing him in that direction, just as they haven't even tried to stop Dozier from pulling. And somebody correct me if I'm wrong, but wasn't Brunansky himself a pull hitter? You may think the jury is out on Sano but it's not like this kid is some unknown. I've never read anything about him going oppo and given his power, he's almost certainly a pull hitter (13 hits pull/center, just 4 oppo thus far). Rosario is an all-fields guy but that has always been his profile as a hitter, at least that's the impression I always had of him as a player. Hicks is very pull-happy this season as a righty, his dominant side. There is no evidence the Twins are against hitters pulling the ball and there hasn't been evidence of it for a long time.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Yes, this please.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm sorry but this meme needs to die. Was that the case ten years ago? Yeah, maybe. Probably even likely. Look at this roster and tell me the Twins are still infatuated with going oppo and forcing players to fit a predetermined mold. Dozier is a pull beast. Sano is just a beast. See ball, hit ball. Ball go far. Plouffe was a pull beast but it doesn't appear the team tried to change that... he just evolved into a different (and more productive) hitter, just as he's evolved into a more productive everything. Trevor also continues to pull the ball more often than not, especially for power. I doubt Arcia's pull-happy nature is the reason the Twins are trying to alter his approach. The Twins seem perfectly content to let Brian Dozier pull every ball he sees, provided he's productive while doing it.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    That is and probably will be the biggest knock against Rosario for his entire career. The guy isn't disciplined. Whether he can overcome that and become a good player is a cause for concern. That's why I've never been very high on Eddie, just as I was really down on Santana last year when he was playing out of his mind (though Eddie's BABIP isn't stratospheric like Santana's was last year). I wonder whatever happened to the guy who tried to shout me down last season when I suggested that Hicks still had a higher ceiling than Danny Santana, despite Danny's otherworldly production? Yeah, player profiles matter. They matter a lot.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    If I was Terry Ryan, it wouldn't be possible for me to get ABW out the door quickly enough if someone offers something of value for him.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    I wouldn't put Kepler on the untouchable list but he'd be close to it... I'd demand a great return on him to let him go this July. Why? Because I think ol' Max's value is going to be a hell of a lot higher in November. His BABIP is coming back to earth but he's still hitting .280 with an elite .400 OBP in July (.850 OPS overall). The longer he keeps doing this, the more teams are going to salivate over him. Right now, an opposing GM could argue "the kid had two good months" and try to drive down his price; if he finishes the season with a .900 OPS, it's going to be a lot harder to call his 2015 a couple of lucky months.
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