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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp
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Are we talking about one guy here? And, be frank here, what has Gonsalves done to warrant a promotion? Before last night, he pitched games of 6.0, 5.0, and 5.0 innings. He has only six starts on the season, including last night. And all of this happened during the middle of the draft, when pretty much everyone involved has other matters on their mind. If Gonsalves spends another month in the minors, I'll be irritated as well. He should get a promotion soon but with everything else going on in this organization, are we really making a fuss about a guy coming back from injury who hasn't been able to average 6.0 IP per start in AA?
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I mean, that's fair, but there has to be some kind of opportunity cost at play here as well. You want to keep your MiLB clubs happy so you don't just throw darts at a board when acquiring org filler. Someone has to go out there, dig into the options, and spend the time making it all work. Whereas if you just wait a few weeks, the only thing you need to worry about is who to cut, not who to acquire. In the case of Gonsalves, I think the team might make an exception if he was destroying the league. But really, he's been good and only has six starts on the season. He's not even averaging 6.0 IP per start. He's also returning from injury. Is that a guy you spend energy on to make sure he jumps a level and reorganize some of your MiLB pieces while your entire organization is focused on something much more important (the draft)? I'm not sure it is. As we all know from our daily lives, some things simply don't get done in the here and now due to larger priorities at hand. If Gonsalves was truly forcing the issue, I could see more legitimacy in questioning why he's not in Rochester.
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It's pretty commonplace under the new draft signing rules to keep your MiLB rosters largely in place until you begin inserting draftees into the system, forcing a bunch of players to slide up a level. I suspect we'll start seeing promotions in the next few weeks. And it's not as if Gonsalves has been destroying Southern League hitting. He had a nice start last night but went only 5.0 innings his previous two starts.
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To collate a bunch of posts about my comment, yes and no. Polanco was burning the options anyway but he often came to Minnesota, sat for a few weeks, and then was demoted again. That's not a useful development cycle, especially considering Polanco's age at the time. It's slightly different with Romero because he won't be sitting but I still have some of the same problems with the idea: if a guy isn't ready, he isn't ready. Romero doesn't even have a lot of time at Chattanooga yet, only 12 starts. His numbers look pretty good but aren't eye-popping. He's still only 22 years old. While one or two starts wouldn't likely kill the guy, things have a pretty high probability of getting ugly if he was facing MLB hitters. And while lots of prospects recover quickly and shrug off blatant failure, it can also set a guy back weeks or even months if the outings were truly disastrous. I just don't see enough upside in him starting right now to risk that situation.
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Article: Ode To Byron Buxton
Brock Beauchamp replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Overall for the season? Maybe not. But since his disastrous start (52 PAs, .257 OPS), he has improved considerably (149 PAs, .743 OPS). -
That's the plan.
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Definitely not making excuses for that strategy. I was speaking more about the plethora of TJ surgeries, the overall injuries, and just weird crap like Stewart not being able to miss a bat despite throwing 94mph. A fair amount of that is likely a development problem, though.
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I'm about 90% sure I'm going to clear my stocks and pay off my mortgage. I'm tech-heavy, as most of you know. The market just took a big dip last week. Earnings season is a little over a month away. If you were in my place, what's your exit strategy?
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That's because the Twins don't have very good pitchers. They drafted Stewart and Jay and acquired guys like Thorpe, Meyer, and Romero. Those are power pitchers who (should) miss bats. Unfortunately, Stewart continues to falter and Jay is back in the bullpen. Meyer is out of the organization entirely. The Twins have been drafting and signing power arms for quite some time, they've just done a very bad job of it (and also ran into what is likely more than their fair share of bad luck along the way).
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Zero, if they believed they had to pass up a 4 WAR shortstop to sign him. I can understand being disappointed about Greene - that's who I wanted to see the Twins draft - but given how the rest of their draft went, it's pretty hard to complain, in my opinion. It appears they got what they believe to be four top 80 or so guys, two of them top 30 guys. That's a good draft. Now only time will tell if they're right.
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Yeah, Carlson was just a placeholder for "Player X, probably Pitcher X". I used him specifically because so many here wanted to see him drafted. And good point about mechanics. It shouldn't be ignored that Enlow also has a curve with a good spin rate. I suspect that was a big part of the decision. You can teach a slider or change but from what I've read, teaching a curve with good spin is a feel pitch. A guy either has it or he doesn't.
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The second day of the draft impressed the hell out of me. It was the first time I've seen this front office plan and execute a strategy we're not used to seeing from a Twins front office. Sure, the Castro signing was good and smart but it was one signing. Inversely, they let me down with their bullpen strategy. So far this season, they've made a few decent moves but have been handcuffed by injuries so there's not a lot good to report on that front. But the draft looked like it was meticulously planned and executed. Sure, maybe they missed on Carlson but everybody misses at least once every draft. They recovered, stuck to a strategy, and executed well in the eyes of most analysts. That's all I can ask for at this point because only time will tell if they picked the right guys. Right now, all we can judge is the process and the process looks pretty good.
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Nope. Enlow is the best pitcher acquired on day two. He was #14 overall on Keith Law's board, I believe. He was #29 on MLB's board. In other words, first round talent. The Twins haven't pursued "pitch to contact" guys in years. That myth needs to die. The Twins have been all about power arms for almost a decade, unfortunately they've done a piss-poor job of picking which power arms to pursue.
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It seems to me like you're really focusing on minutia. As it turns out, the Twins did get Enlow in the third. Maybe it was a big risk. I'm not sure it was, as Enlow was widely considered first-round talent who needed big money to be lured away from LSU. Who else had $1.5m above slot in the second round? It's damned tough to backfill $1.5m in rounds 3-10, as the draft pool amounts are small. You need to find that kind of money at the top of the draft, which the Twins did. Draft picks 2-5 appear to be slot guys, or close to it. And by the time you reach Oakland at pick six, their first round slot money is already down to $5.3m, or $2.5m lower than the Twins. And then, to top it off, the Twins went underslot in both the 1s and 2nd round. They had a boatload of cash on hand at that point and probably got on the horn to Enlow immediately (if they hadn't already talked to him earlier in the day). Was it a risk? Sure. Was it a big risk? I'm not seeing it. If you're going to find Enlow money, you need to do it in the first round, probably at the top of the first round. No one did that except the Twins. And, in the end, it worked so who cares?
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How is it not true that the Twins had the most money? The Twins had far and away the most money going into the third round of the draft. They had the biggest pool and went underslot with their first three picks.
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It's possible other teams had the room to sign Enlow but the Twins had the most money. They had the largest overall pool and were the only team to go underslot with all three picks.
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True, but I suspect the Twins were confident no one had the slot money to pursue Enlow after they grabbed Leach. I'm sure it was something of a gamble but I'm not sure how much. And I think it's important to note they basically had the *only* shot at Enlow today. If they couldn't wrangle a deal with him overnight, no one could. And if they couldn't come to a deal with Enlow, they could pursue other (likely far less upside) guys with their picks today.
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