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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Good point. I forgot how Amazon tried to dive into that business and bailed the **** out a few years back.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, they're going for pretty different markets. Amazon is geared for bulk sales and people jumping into their site ecosystem, Shopify is geared for individual retailers who want their own web presence. And Amazon doesn't profit much from their actual site sales. It's all the add-in stuff that competes with other web services that makes them a boatload of money (Prime Video, cloud computing, et al).
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Isn't this how most divisions end up, though? One team that's good, three teams that are middling and end up with ~10 games of one another, and one team that's really bad. The fact that the AL Central doesn't have a team off to a roaring start isn't really news. Cleveland is playing at a good clip, as expected. Then there's a bunch of teams beating one another. Then there's a bad team off to a hellacious start. The NL Central has just a two game gap between first and last, led by the Cub (13-12) and trailed by the Pirates (11-14). Is that a mediocre division? One of those teams is better than anything in the ALC (Cubs) and I'd take two more of those teams over everyone in the ALC but Cleveland (Cards and Pirates).
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, I know, I was just surprised by that Bonds number because it was steady throughout his career. Even when he was a speedy gap hitter with good (not amazing) power, his BABIP was still in the .280-.290 range. I wasn't trying to make a point about it, just a little surprised by that number given how good a hitter Bonds was through his career and also how different a hitter he was early vs. late in his career.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    I wouldn't say it's irrelevant because there's often a strong correlation between homers and BABIP when you enter the elite echelon of hitters (guys like Votto, Cabrera, Trout, Bryant, et al). Guys who hit the ball really hard (which usually results in a high BABIP) also hit the ball out of the park quite often.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    Guys like Cabrera and Votto hang in the .350-.360 range. If Sano keeps hammering the ball the way he is right now, that's a reasonable expectation. So obviously the .450 BABIP is going to drop. A lot. Interesting thing I never noticed before: Barry Bonds had a relatively bad career BABIP at .285.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    How good is Buxton defensively? Right now, he's on pace for a 1.5 fWAR season. Heh.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    He's still swinging and missing a fair amount but he's laying off bad pitches that he was swinging at early in the season. From what I've seen, he's still struggling with the fastball inside but he's no longer flailing at pitches all over the place (up, down, inside, outside). It's possible the book on Buxton read "don't throw him strikes, he'll swing anyway". That book will need to be revised soon if he keeps it up. I've always believed this will be a baby step process. Byron needs to make several adjustments and it appears he has begun to make at least one of the necessary changes to his approach.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Over the last five games: 20 PAs 4 hits 7 BB 2 SO It appears Byron is making adjustments.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. I don't see the team getting Miguel for less than $20m a season in his free agency years. And definitely not a team option added on. Make those final two years $20/23m guaranteed and maybe Sano doesn't walk away from the table.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure, I agree with that on Turley. He's not worth the effort to casually move through the system. You jump him to the next level and see what happens. I think he's 27 years old so if he's going to be an asset, it will happen soon. Either way, I'm hoping the bullpen gets a good cleaning in the next 30 days.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Good catch. The service time is still a consideration, though. As is stunting his development in the minors.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    There's a limit to those kinds of moves because: 1. The 40 man roster 2. Service time For example, Romero is on the 40 man but has no service time. You don't want to trigger an option if you don't have to, nor do you want to start his clock just for funsies. Inversely, Nik Turley's service time isn't a concern to anyone but he's not on the 40 man roster. So, to call him up, someone else needs to get the boot off the 40 man. Which is kind of pointless because we're talking about Nik Turley here. Maybe he's someone we care about in July but he doesn't have the track record to warrant a look in April.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, maybe there are injury concerns there given the TJ surgery and whatnot but if his arm is healthy, I personally do not have concerns about his arm strength or accuracy.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Good to see Romero turning it around. After Gonsalves went down and Stewart turned horrible, he jumped quite a ways up the depth chart.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    I can see your point in the case of Polanco but do we have any concerns about Sano's arm? The guy has a rocket and it's pretty accurate to boot. Sano has plenty of concerns over at the hot corner but his arm has never been one of them, in my opinion. His lateral movement and range, sure, but not his arm.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    One of the things I wanted to see Buxton do was take more pitches in hopes that repetition of seeing in-game pitches will help his apparent identification problem. Which he seems to be doing, which is good. His pitchers per plate appearances has nudged over 4 whereas, IIRC, it was around 3.8 a few weeks ago. He has worked a bunch more three ball counts into his recent plate appearances, which is a good thing. I don't worry about Buxton ever becoming Aaron Hicks with passivity so erring on the side of patience is probably a good strategy at this point, even if he gets rung up looking on occasion.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm cautiously optimistic. It seems that Buxton has started hitting more line drives, which shows good contact. I don't even care if the line drive lands in a fielder's glove at this point, as it did last night in Byron's final plate appearance. His first single, while exciting to see fall to the grass, was far less impressive than his final out.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    I kinda worded that poorly. I should have said "scoops and catches don't have a lot of value in advanced metrics because everyone's pretty good at it". They're important and they count in metrics but if everyone is good at something, players who are great at it won't gain much value. It's the defensive equivalent of a player having a .320 batting average while wearing a Rockies uniform in 1998. When everyone else is hitting .310, the accomplishment doesn't mean a whole lot.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Mauer is a fine defender at first but catching the ball isn't very hard. There's an expected level of competency at the MLB level and first basemen catching the ball isn't really note-worthy. AFAIK, scooping and catching the ball isn't a focus of first base defense in advanced metrics for that reason: everybody does it well enough to not make it worth much in defensive value. Again, not knocking Joe, he's a good defender at first... but most of that value seems to come from his range and baseball smarts. Whereas Byron Buxton is doing things at an up-the-middle position that I'm not sure anyone else in baseball can even do physically, excepting possibly Billy Hamilton.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    It's pretty hard to do that when Kyle Gibson has been so much worse than Phil Hughes. If someone needs to be ousted from the rotation, it's Kyle Gibson. By comparison, Phil Hughes has looked like Greg Maddux.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree on mid-June as a target. That's nearly half a season to right the ship. For me, he can stay if he's hitting somewhere above .600 (not overall for the season, the few weeks preceding mid-to-late June).
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Despite the horrific struggles, I think management is handling Buxton correctly. As you said, he seems to be taking better plate appearances lately and both the radio and television crews have mentioned how he's taking extra reps on his frequent days off. We know Buxton can mash AAA pitching. I feel that if he's going to make an adjustment, it needs to be at the MLB level with the best coaches in the Twins organization (or, at least they should be the best coaches in the org). Buxton has crossed 500 MLB PAs. He needs to figure out how to adjust against the best pitching in the world, even if it causes fan agony to watch the process unfold five times a week.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm pretty sure this was the Twins' first one run victory.
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