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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    True, but in reality Chapman's value rises a bit if he's off the 40 man. He's the kind of guy who you don't mind having in the org should he figure it out or the bullpen collapse but you don't want him clogging up your 40-man.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah. What is the waiver fee, something like $20k?
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Nice move. I didn't expect the Twins to get anything for Santana and a questionable lefty bullpen arm seems like a fair deal.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    When I saw the play, this was the sound effect playing in my head: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B-G0SVEQW8A
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    This is a fun video. http://m.mlb.com/news/article/228161150/twins-byron-buxton-shows-off-blazing-speed/ When Buxton made his catch last night, he was traveling 29 feet per second. Byron's triple was the fastest first-to-third recorded in baseball this season. And he did it standing up. Damn, this kid is fun to watch.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Square posted a loss of just four cents per share. I think this will be a growth stock going forward. When I invested last year, I hoped they'd be profitable by 2019. It looks like they might do it this year.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    The BABIP is a mild concern but he's making contact and that's what really matters. Up to this point, the overwhelming majority of Byron's hits have been singles. I'm hoping that starts to change and soon. He's making good enough contact now that hits should start dropping in for multiple bases.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    On Aprll 20th, Buxton stumbled back down to a .257 OPS. A dozen days and eight games later, he's sitting at a .478 OPS. HIs K percentage, once sitting near 50%, is down to 36.6%, just one percentage point above last season. Over that eight game stretch, his K rate is at a high but acceptable 26%. I'm starting to get a little bit excited about the guy.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    I think it's too early to say they'll always give him trouble. The guy is only 23 years old and pretty thin. It's hard to say what he'll look like in two years, much less four or five.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, he's not going completely passive, a la Hicks. He's letting a few good pitches go by and making contact with more pitches in the zone. But it's still concerning that he's fouling off a lot of good pitches instead of putting them into play and he's still flat-out missing many pitches in the zone, particularly inside. But, adjustments.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Good point. I forgot how Amazon tried to dive into that business and bailed the **** out a few years back.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, they're going for pretty different markets. Amazon is geared for bulk sales and people jumping into their site ecosystem, Shopify is geared for individual retailers who want their own web presence. And Amazon doesn't profit much from their actual site sales. It's all the add-in stuff that competes with other web services that makes them a boatload of money (Prime Video, cloud computing, et al).
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Isn't this how most divisions end up, though? One team that's good, three teams that are middling and end up with ~10 games of one another, and one team that's really bad. The fact that the AL Central doesn't have a team off to a roaring start isn't really news. Cleveland is playing at a good clip, as expected. Then there's a bunch of teams beating one another. Then there's a bad team off to a hellacious start. The NL Central has just a two game gap between first and last, led by the Cub (13-12) and trailed by the Pirates (11-14). Is that a mediocre division? One of those teams is better than anything in the ALC (Cubs) and I'd take two more of those teams over everyone in the ALC but Cleveland (Cards and Pirates).
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, I know, I was just surprised by that Bonds number because it was steady throughout his career. Even when he was a speedy gap hitter with good (not amazing) power, his BABIP was still in the .280-.290 range. I wasn't trying to make a point about it, just a little surprised by that number given how good a hitter Bonds was through his career and also how different a hitter he was early vs. late in his career.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    I wouldn't say it's irrelevant because there's often a strong correlation between homers and BABIP when you enter the elite echelon of hitters (guys like Votto, Cabrera, Trout, Bryant, et al). Guys who hit the ball really hard (which usually results in a high BABIP) also hit the ball out of the park quite often.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Guys like Cabrera and Votto hang in the .350-.360 range. If Sano keeps hammering the ball the way he is right now, that's a reasonable expectation. So obviously the .450 BABIP is going to drop. A lot. Interesting thing I never noticed before: Barry Bonds had a relatively bad career BABIP at .285.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    How good is Buxton defensively? Right now, he's on pace for a 1.5 fWAR season. Heh.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    He's still swinging and missing a fair amount but he's laying off bad pitches that he was swinging at early in the season. From what I've seen, he's still struggling with the fastball inside but he's no longer flailing at pitches all over the place (up, down, inside, outside). It's possible the book on Buxton read "don't throw him strikes, he'll swing anyway". That book will need to be revised soon if he keeps it up. I've always believed this will be a baby step process. Byron needs to make several adjustments and it appears he has begun to make at least one of the necessary changes to his approach.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Over the last five games: 20 PAs 4 hits 7 BB 2 SO It appears Byron is making adjustments.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. I don't see the team getting Miguel for less than $20m a season in his free agency years. And definitely not a team option added on. Make those final two years $20/23m guaranteed and maybe Sano doesn't walk away from the table.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure, I agree with that on Turley. He's not worth the effort to casually move through the system. You jump him to the next level and see what happens. I think he's 27 years old so if he's going to be an asset, it will happen soon. Either way, I'm hoping the bullpen gets a good cleaning in the next 30 days.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Good catch. The service time is still a consideration, though. As is stunting his development in the minors.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    There's a limit to those kinds of moves because: 1. The 40 man roster 2. Service time For example, Romero is on the 40 man but has no service time. You don't want to trigger an option if you don't have to, nor do you want to start his clock just for funsies. Inversely, Nik Turley's service time isn't a concern to anyone but he's not on the 40 man roster. So, to call him up, someone else needs to get the boot off the 40 man. Which is kind of pointless because we're talking about Nik Turley here. Maybe he's someone we care about in July but he doesn't have the track record to warrant a look in April.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, maybe there are injury concerns there given the TJ surgery and whatnot but if his arm is healthy, I personally do not have concerns about his arm strength or accuracy.
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