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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    If you want something relatively conservative that I think will show substantial growth, I still recommend Square. It wouldn't surprise me in the least to see their shares over $30, maybe even $40, at this time next year. I thought they'd stall out a bit after the holiday quarter (-$.04 per share) but they held steady in the first quarter (-$.03 per share). In my mind, that shows impressive growth from a company that deals in payment processing. I expect the 2017 holiday quarter to put them in the black, which should cause the stock to skyrocket (currently sitting around $19.50). I got into them around $12/share and then doubled down when they dipped to $10/share awhile back.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't get the Wilk move. At all. But I'll wait to see how long he's on the roster before getting too upset about it. The Twins had bullpen options in Rochester and Chattanooga (why they didn't call one is beyond me) and they don't need a fifth starter for over a week (again). We know Wilk isn't going to start so why he's here is even more baffling. Not that I want Wilk to start a game for the Twins. God, no, I don't want that to happen. This is all very confusing.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    I like Brian Dozier. I like him a lot. If the Twins magically spring into contention and acquire an arm without trading Brian, even better. You just keep the guy and let him walk if it helps you win baseball games and reach the postseason through 2018. But extend him? No, man.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Not really. Berrios needs to stay down for 8-ish weeks longer to gain a year of service and Mejia would have to stay down until next season, I believe.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, Buxton's all-out play is something to consider. I don't believe the Twins should tell the guy to reel it in but the way he runs into things, injuries are always a concern.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    What happens if Buxton ends the season with a .750 or better OPS? Who do you prioritize this offseason? And no, you can't say both. It's possible the Twins could lock up both but who do you target first and most aggressively?
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm cautiously optimistic about Buxton. He started taking good plate appearances and minimized his weakness against hard inside pitches a bit. Pitchers are now forced to face him straight-up instead of throwing him junk and allowing Byron to get himself out. He stopped swinging, which forced pitchers to throw him strikes and now he's hitting said strikes. It's likely he will see some success until the next adjustment comes. At that point, I'm not sure what happens. Hopefully the worst is well behind us.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Byron Buxton's average exit velocity (87.69 mph) is now nearly identical to the MLB average (87.76 mph). It has climbed ~1.5 mph over the past 2-3 weeks.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, Mauer's contract shouldn't make them gun shy with Sano. They're very different players. Mauer's bat played well at any position but not at the level we expect from Sano. A large portion of Joe's value came from the fact that .300 average, .400 OBP, .850 OPS catchers are unicorns.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    I think it's the player but now that you ask the question, I'm not sure.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    I forgot Jay hasn't pitched yet. Didn't consider Burdi because he's a RHP.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Maybe. Probably. But I believe Chapman was moved off the 40-man during the time when it's least likely a player will be claimed (March-April). Once the season gets rolling and injuries happen, it's harder to get a guy through waivers.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, it's a bit of a concern but with Melotakis holding his own in Chattanooga and Jay doing well in Ft Myers, I can't see why the front office would be in any kind of rush to get Chapman on the 40-man. If he was a righty, I'd be a bit more wary but the Twins haven't lacked in LHP options out of the pen.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure. I was speaking of only 2017. But the fact he has rebounded so quickly and well over the past 11 games is promising. I was hoping for mediocrity, not way above average hitting.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    To put it a different way, Byron Buxton has now been good almost as long as he was bad. First 15 games: .082 / .135 / .122 / .257 52 PAs 24 SO Last 11 games: .281 / .410 / .438 / .848 39 PAs 9 SO
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    True, but in reality Chapman's value rises a bit if he's off the 40 man. He's the kind of guy who you don't mind having in the org should he figure it out or the bullpen collapse but you don't want him clogging up your 40-man.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah. What is the waiver fee, something like $20k?
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Nice move. I didn't expect the Twins to get anything for Santana and a questionable lefty bullpen arm seems like a fair deal.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    When I saw the play, this was the sound effect playing in my head: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B-G0SVEQW8A
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    This is a fun video. http://m.mlb.com/news/article/228161150/twins-byron-buxton-shows-off-blazing-speed/ When Buxton made his catch last night, he was traveling 29 feet per second. Byron's triple was the fastest first-to-third recorded in baseball this season. And he did it standing up. Damn, this kid is fun to watch.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Square posted a loss of just four cents per share. I think this will be a growth stock going forward. When I invested last year, I hoped they'd be profitable by 2019. It looks like they might do it this year.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    The BABIP is a mild concern but he's making contact and that's what really matters. Up to this point, the overwhelming majority of Byron's hits have been singles. I'm hoping that starts to change and soon. He's making good enough contact now that hits should start dropping in for multiple bases.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    On Aprll 20th, Buxton stumbled back down to a .257 OPS. A dozen days and eight games later, he's sitting at a .478 OPS. HIs K percentage, once sitting near 50%, is down to 36.6%, just one percentage point above last season. Over that eight game stretch, his K rate is at a high but acceptable 26%. I'm starting to get a little bit excited about the guy.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    I think it's too early to say they'll always give him trouble. The guy is only 23 years old and pretty thin. It's hard to say what he'll look like in two years, much less four or five.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, he's not going completely passive, a la Hicks. He's letting a few good pitches go by and making contact with more pitches in the zone. But it's still concerning that he's fouling off a lot of good pitches instead of putting them into play and he's still flat-out missing many pitches in the zone, particularly inside. But, adjustments.
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