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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep, this. The Twins can't afford to roll out a 5.10 ERA starter for multiple seasons in hopes he figures it out. That time is over. It's time to compete. They tried (and failed) to do that this season but got decent returns on all those expiring contracts as a consolation prize. Try again this offseason.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    I do not recall him ever hitting triple digits. Everything I remember (and still consistent to today) puts him topping out at 94-96. Though one of his early problems was a loss of velocity, sometimes inning-to-inning and even pitch-to-pitch... but I haven't heard anything about that happening in the past couple of years, which makes me believe it's likely no longer an issue.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Agreed. Stewart should be in the rotation until the end of the season but I don't hold out much hope for him being an effective starter (or even reliever, really). But he showed flashes of competence in MiLB this season after going unclaimed in the Rule V draft. The front office needs as much face time with him as possible against MLB hitting to find out if he's worthy of a 25-man spot in 2019 or whether he should just be jettisoned and replaced with a younger, higher upside arm.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    To be fair, Belisle came so late that he barely moved the needle in either direction. I'm not saying I liked the signing or want him anywhere near Minnesota, just that it probably didn't make much difference. The hand was pretty much dealt by the time he came aboard. The front office was a mix of conservative and aggressive early in the season. After all, they promoted Romero pretty aggressively and let him pitch... and then demoted him. A weird season.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Gibson made an approach and delivery change last season and has been a significantly different pitcher since that time (roughly 12 months now). This isn't a fluke, Gibson is a different pitcher today than he was early last season. That doesn't mean he can't regress or get injured - just like anybody - but he's a pretty safe bet to be a better, more consistent pitcher than he was earlier in his career.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm actually wondering if the Twins front office simply ran out of time at the deadline. They were crazy-active and moved loads of players over a short period of time. And Rodney was probably at the bottom of that list, as he's not worth much and the team was probably floating whether to keep him for next season.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    A pretty underwhelming return on paper but whatever, I don't even care that much. Let's just hope Falvey sees something in this guy worth the effort.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Right!
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    I think a four year extension is reasonable. Gibson is not young and tossing $60m at him in guaranteed money might do the trick.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    True. I forgot about that half season of Castillo.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. If we want to rip Casilla, remember that he was actually a much better player than the guy he replaced.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    They can definitely do it with one, maybe two, players. I'm not sure they can just throw stuff at the wall and see what sticks with 4-5 players as they did in past years.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Great article, but it fails to mention one kinda important point: all three of these players took their licks at the MLB level and improved season-over-season. It took them time to get to where they ended up. They're great stories and the kind of baseball stuff I love to see but the current Twins team can't afford the same luxuries as the past 90+ loss teams that fostered these talents. With that said, the point is still salient about picking up a load of middling prospects in hopes a couple of them turn into something special (it'd just be nice if they managed to do it before they hit MLB and floundered for a couple of seasons). I like the "inch deep and a mile wide" strategy for picking up these kinds of prospects but if you have a bunch of fence-riders, you'll end up opening yourself to be the victim of some ugly Rule V drafts in the relatively near future. You're going to lose guys you want to keep but aren't good enough to nudge their way past your MLB 25-man and the prospects you really need to keep. But if the front office has a plan and that plan leads to contention, that problem can be "fixed" pretty easily by trading off those fringe 40-man players before it becomes a problem.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't really give a rat's ass about the 12th man in the bullpen but christ almighty, call someone up beyond Trevor May. This bullpen needs an overhaul and May isn't even half enough.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. I actually expected this team to be better after the deadline happened. Not that they'd be good, but they'd be better. My goal for the current team is to end up in the 77-80 win range. It's not a lofty goal considering their cupcake schedule.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Why? It weights late innings over early innings (as it should, as that's the point of the metric) and Rodney faced the top of the Royals order with a one run lead.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    There's a reason I'm cheering Arizona (a place I absolutely despise) over Los Angeles (a place I lived for a decade and only mildly dislike but simultaneously hold mild affection for).
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, in their cases, it has become a self-fulfilling prophesy: Morrison, Dozier, Lynn... none of them will get the deals they wanted last November this coming November. Escobar, on the other hand... The lesson to be learned here is "keep your chin up, *******s".
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Absolutely. I'm angry at almost every level of this organization, but mostly I'm angry at the players (mostly the veterans). The metrics were good on most acquisitions but obviously, mistakes were made in those acquisitions. At the end of the day, the front office can't control what happens when guys step onto the field. And it's the players' damned fault that they walked onto the field and **** the bed so consistently and thoroughly.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, so Lynn is the problem? And Dozier, as a team leader, couldn't isolate a pitcher who has limited impact on the position players? If you declare yourself a team leader, you get that **** in order and make it work. If you can't handle that job, don't try to step forward when things are easy and then back the **** up when things get hard. The thing is that I also place loads of blame on guys like Lynn. This isn't a situation exclusive to Dozier; from front to back, the veterans underperformed. That shouldn't be a controversial statement. Me being angry at Dozier does not mean I'm not angry at Morrison or Lynn.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Exactly. We readily blame the front office for their mistakes but rarely square up on the players themselves - especially veterans - and do the same. Well, they’re the ones who step onto the field. If Dozier hated the clubhouse, fix it (Molitor too). Even then, a bad clubhouse is not an excuse to lay down and die.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    I'll be pretty bent at Dozier if he goes on a tear in Los Angeles. A big reason why the Twins weren't contending is because he basically took the season off. If he wanted to play on a contender, he had a chance from the beginning of April forward but failed to play like a contender.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    That’s not how ERA+ works. The metric is drawn from ALL pitchers, including relievers, who usually pitch at a much lower ERA because they pitch in favorable matchups and hitters only face them once. A 95 ERA+ is virtually spot-on for a league average starting pitcher. As for Odorizzi’s declining ERA, I’m sure moving out of Tampa and then losing Buxton behind him for the season dinged his ERA a condsiderable amount, which is why I included FIP. And FIP says Odorizzi’s ERA is close to his performance (unlike last season, where FIP *hated* Odorizzi).
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    The Twins have some interesting starting prospects coming up but the thing about pitching prospects is that they tend to disappear overnight. I'm not going to count my chickens before they're hatched. We see rotation attrition in every baseball season. If those guys are healthy and good, they'll get their shot as the pitchers in front of them are injured and/or ineffective. The Twins couldn't even make it to Opening Day this season without losing their 2017 All-Star starting pitcher. And if several of those prospects manage to be healthy and good at the same time, that's not really a problem... But counting on that to happen and trading away an established starter before they've proven themselves is a good way to enjoy a season of Andrew Albers at Target Field.
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