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    Searching Far and Wide for Late-Season Twins Bullpen Reinforcements


    Nick Nelson

    The Minnesota Twins are going to need bullpen help down the stretch, and did themselves no favors by whiffing at the trade deadline. But they're not totally lacking for potential reinforcements.

    These eight names are worth keeping an eye on for September and October.

    Image courtesy of D. Ross Cameron-USA TODAY Sports

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    Over the weekend, the Twins parted ways with Steven Okert, who joins Jay Jackson and Josh Staumont as offseason additions whom the team was forced to abandon midway through the campaign. The Twins are also making do without Brock Stewart, who's out for the year following shoulder surgery, and Justin Topa, who hasn't pitched this season and probably won't. 

    Altogether, these mounting losses have whittled away the bullpen depth that seemed like such an asset coming into the season. Minnesota's front office passed up the chance to make a meaningful addition at the trade deadline, instead making Trevor Richards their lone pickup – a befuddling decision that has yielded no benefit. 

    He's at least healthy enough to eat some innings, but Richards is not someone the Twins can trust in leverage. The pool of reliable late-inning arms is essentially limited to Jhoan Durán, Griffin Jax, Cole Sands and Jorge Alcalá, with the latter beginning to wobble here in August. If the team can't find a way to expand their stable of trusted arms, they're simply not going to have much hope of making a deep run, and they might be at risk of missing the playoffs.

    With external acquisitions largely off the table by now, here are some names that should be kept in mind as pitchers with a plausible chance to impact the late innings for the Twins in the final five weeks of the season, and beyond.

    Louie Varland
    He's the most obvious name when it comes to upgrading the back end of the bullpen. We saw what Varland can do as a reliever late last year, and it was a thoroughly convincing display. The Twins could use a very similar approach this time around, ramping Varland up in the bullpen with a handful of September appearances to prime him as a high-leverage arm in the playoffs, capable of throwing multiple innings. Knowing the kind of value Varland was able to provide in this role, it's going to be hard to avoid turning to this path at some point, although Minnesota's thinned-out rotation depth does complicate matters.

    Josh Winder
    Not long ago, Winder's name would not have been mentioned as an option for anything resembling a high-leverage role. Then again, not long ago, the same was also true of Sands. Winder has looked legitimately good during his short time in the Twins bullpen this year, striking out 10 with one walk over nine innings, while generating a 15% swinging strike rate. He is required to spend a few more days in Triple-A following his option in mid-August, but should be back up soon, and deserves a chance to show what he can do in some key spots.

    Chris Paddack
    Paddack is scheduled for an MRI on Tuesday. If it's clean, the right-hander could be approved to start throwing again, with a rehab assignment soon to follow. I doubt he'll have time to build up as a starter, but he showed late last year that he can be an effective asset out of the bullpen. Paddack threw 3 ⅓ innings of near-perfect ball across two appearances in the ALDS.

    Joe Ryan
    This is more of a stretch than Paddack, to be sure, but the Twins intentionally didn't rule Ryan out for the season with his shoulder injury. It would take a best-case-scenario recovery, but it's not impossible the righthander could get back on a throwing program in the second half of September. Like Paddack, Ryan wouldn't have much chance at starting a game again at any point, but he could be a formidable weapon out of the pen. Reiterating: this is a major longshot. 

    David Festa
    The rookie is currently filling a spot in the Twins rotation, and he's looked solid, but his struggles after the first time through the order have held him back. Opponents are hitting .133/.175/.167 against Festa their first time facing him, but .423/.492/.808 the second time. That profile screams for a bullpen role, in which the 24-year-old could be quite dominant. Granted, it'd require finding a starter to replace him in the rotation for the rest of the regular season (Varland? Randy Dobnak?), but there's a lot of upside in this idea. 

    Kody Funderburk
    Something of a forgotten man in the Twins' bullpen depth chart. Funderburk has been on the injured list since the All-Star break with an oblique injury. Phil Miller of the Star Tribune reported last week that the lefty was healed and ready to start throwing, with a rehab assignment likely to follow. Funderburk has not pitched great this year, but don't sleep on his ability to throw important innings in September and even October. He's got legit strikeout stuff. The Twins liked him enough to carry him on the postseason roster last year as a rookie.

    Michael Tonkin
    I bring up this name because it's timely and relevant. Tonkin was designated for assignment by the Yankees on Sunday, following a tough stretch. But overall, he had a very nice run in New York, posting a 3.38 ERA and 3.58 FIP in 56 innings for one of the best teams in the league. As you may recall, Tonkin spent a very brief spell as a Twin back in April, and he has plenty more history here. If he reaches them on waivers, Tonkin could be a worthwhile addition for a desperate team.

    Marco Raya
    Ranked by Twins Daily as the organization's 10th-best prospect, Raya is an undersized 21-year-old with a nasty fastball/slider combo, currently pitching in Double-A. The Twins have handled the former high school draft pick carefully, and he's still got some work to do as a starter from a developmental standpoint, but his stuff could play in short stints against big-league hitters right now. It would be a gambit, but from my point of view, nothing should be off the table right now. 


    Did I miss anyone? Who else should be named as a possible late-season bullpen addition for the Twins? Who on this list excites you most? Sound off in the comments!

     

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    1 hour ago, chpettit19 said:

    Yeah, you were "just picken" Hall of Famers. Barry Bonds had a 195 wRC+ vs lefties. Ricky Henderson stole over 1400 bases. Tony Gwynn struck out in 4.2% of his PAs. Should we use those as the baseline for what MLB players should be expected to do? "Well Hall of Famers didn't have the same struggles" is a pointless argument. That's why they're Hall of Famers! They shouldn't be used to discuss the general baseball world. They're outliers and not useful comparison points. Want to "just pick" a few random starters instead of HoFers and see if they jump up higher than .678 the third time? I bet they do. Since, you know, they're not the best of the best.

    Frank Tananna. Ron Darling. Sid Fernandez.  

    48 minutes ago, Parfigliano said:

    Frank Tananna. Ron Darling. Sid Fernandez.  

    Tanana: .670-.715-.724-.734
    Darling: .698-.715-.730-.712
    Fernandez: .588-.618-.693-.850

    So if Darling could get to a 4th time through the order he came back down a little. And he did so in 175 of 364 career starts. But even 3 time All-Star Tanana, 1 time All-Star Darling, and 2 time All-Star Fernandez got worse the more times they went through the order. Fernandez significantly so. For context, that's Tanana going from giving up an 85ish OPS+ to a 105ish OPS+. Darling a 90ish to a 99ish (.712) or 110ish (.730). And Fernandez a 60ish to a 140ish OPS+. So those are some pretty decent size changes for at least 2 of them.

    Teams didn't just start making stuff up. They studied this stuff once all the data was collected. It also simply makes logical sense. The more you see a guy that day the better feel you get against them and the less they can trick you. Now you add in today's technology with tablets in the dugouts giving the hitters a head start to begin with and pitch to pitch real time data and it shouldn't surprise anyone that it's even harder now for pitchers to get through a lineup 3+ times.

     

    If only we could have picked up a couple arms at the deadline, like a starter and one or two relief arms....oh how fun it would be to have a team that ownership wants to win with. I guess it's only a pipe dream here in MN for the next few years.

    Varland is the easy answer.  The sooner the better.  Why wait until mid-September when a playoff spot is on the line.  Do. It. Now.

    Winder is a viable candidate.  Paddack a little more iffy, but if he's healthy and his velo is good he makes a good candidate.  Joe Ryan was a little surprising to see.  I just assumed he would be shut down for the season.  

    Festa would be my next favorite after Varland but I wouldn't worry about getting him "ready" for a bullpen role.  He's needed in our rotation now thru the end of the regular season.  I don't agree that you need to "prepare" a guy to LIGHTEN his load.  Rocco would never use him in back to back games in the post season anyway.  I love Festa's stuff.  And in the sprint that is the playoffs as opposed to the marathon of the regular season, he could transition smoothly to a bullpen role.  The Dodgers never had to "prepare" Kenta Maeda to swing from the rotation to the bullpen come the playoffs.  

    I'm not ready to give up on Kody Funderburk.  He's a lefty with some nasty stuff who seems like he's been battling one nagging injury after another since spring training.  I remember how good he was last year and if his stuff is what it should be, HE would be the guy to replace Okert.

    Not sure at all about Tonkin or Raya but appreciated seeing their names included as options.  

    Finally, I echo the previous question about Matt Canterino.  WHERE IS HE?!?!?!??  I've been looking for some kind of mention all year in the minor league reports (which I appreciate and are always interesting) but where is he?  Has he even thrown 20 innings this year?  Canterino has the "stuff" to be a real difference maker but he's invisible.  Can someone give us a report on the entirety of his season?  This was supposed to be kind of a make it or break it year for him.  

     

    28 minutes ago, TopGunn#22 said:

    Varland is the easy answer.  The sooner the better.  Why wait until mid-September when a playoff spot is on the line.  Do. It. Now.

    Winder is a viable candidate.  Paddack a little more iffy, but if he's healthy and his velo is good he makes a good candidate.  Joe Ryan was a little surprising to see.  I just assumed he would be shut down for the season.  

    Festa would be my next favorite after Varland but I wouldn't worry about getting him "ready" for a bullpen role.  He's needed in our rotation now thru the end of the regular season.  I don't agree that you need to "prepare" a guy to LIGHTEN his load.  Rocco would never use him in back to back games in the post season anyway.  I love Festa's stuff.  And in the sprint that is the playoffs as opposed to the marathon of the regular season, he could transition smoothly to a bullpen role.  The Dodgers never had to "prepare" Kenta Maeda to swing from the rotation to the bullpen come the playoffs.  

    I'm not ready to give up on Kody Funderburk.  He's a lefty with some nasty stuff who seems like he's been battling one nagging injury after another since spring training.  I remember how good he was last year and if his stuff is what it should be, HE would be the guy to replace Okert.

    Not sure at all about Tonkin or Raya but appreciated seeing their names included as options.  

    Finally, I echo the previous question about Matt Canterino.  WHERE IS HE?!?!?!??  I've been looking for some kind of mention all year in the minor league reports (which I appreciate and are always interesting) but where is he?  Has he even thrown 20 innings this year?  Canterino has the "stuff" to be a real difference maker but he's invisible.  Can someone give us a report on the entirety of his season?  This was supposed to be kind of a make it or break it year for him.  

     

    Matt Canterino hasn't thrown a pitch in a game since spring. I believe it was a strained rotator cuff that took him out in March and they shut him down from his bullpens again in June when he'd been trying to work his way back to St Paul's pitching staff. Looks like another completely missed season for him.




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