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    Scouring the Market for a Capable Left-Handed Reliever


    Nick Nelson

    The Twins failed to take seriously their need for capable left-handed bullpen help this season, and paid for it. In a division full of threatening lefty bats, this confusing attitude needs to change, and quickly.

    Image courtesy of Eric Hartline-Imagn Images (Aaron Bummer)

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    To me, one of the most perplexing contradictions of this Minnesota Twins team and the way they operate is the contrasting prioritization of platoon advantages, from a hitting and pitching perspective.

    We all know that Rocco Baldelli loves to stack his starting lineup with opposite-handed bats, and is starkly averse to letting lefty hitters face lefty relievers late in games. This is undoubtedly an organization edict as much as a personal philosophy. If the Twins brass wanted Baldelli to stop playing the percentages to such an extreme, he'd stop. Clearly there is a shared belief that lefty hitters shouldn't be facing opposing lefties in late in games.

    At the same time, the club shows little urgency when it comes to equipping their roster with quality left-handed arms that can provide them with this same advantage. The Twins didn't have a left-hander make a start all season long (save for one appearance from Steven Okert as opener). Their lefty relievers on the Opening Day roster were Okert, acquired for Nick Gordon in a low-wattage trade with Miami, and Kody Funderburk, a former non-prospect with 12 innings of major-league experience. Waiting in the wings was an injured Caleb Thielbar, who was certainly more of a safe bet than the other two, but also 37 and showing signs of decline.

    All of these pitchers struggled mightily in 2024. Despite being a clear need at the trade deadline, the front office did not add a left-handed reliever, rather choosing to go with right-hander Trevor Richards, who supposedly specialized in neutralizing LH bats with a changeup but in reality just wasn't good. 

    The Twins found themselves so desperate for left-handed bullpen help late in the season that they acquired Cole Irvin off waivers and almost immediately started throwing him into crucial high-leverage situations (in which he floundered).

    It's time for the Twins to start practicing what they preach about platoon advantages, by bringing in a left-handed reliever who can actually be counted on to come through. In a division featuring the likes of Steven Kwan, Josh Naylor, Riley Greene and Kerry Carpenter, Baldelli needs better answers, especially since the team's minimal existing depth is drying up.

    Thielbar and Okert are gone, and Funderburk is back on the fringe. Yes, there are some intriguing names to watch internally: Brent Headrick, Connor Prielipp, Jovani Moran, and more. But there is zero doubt that lefty bullpen help must be high on the list of offseason priorities for the Twins front office. In a cursory look through the free agent market, here are some names that stand out to me (click to check out their Baseball Reference pages): 

    Tanner Scott: The Marlins closer was a first-time All-Star in 2024 before being traded at the deadline to San Diego, where he assisted a playoff run. He'd be a massive impact addition to the bullpen but is almost certainly out of Minnesota's price range.

    Aroldis Chapman: Personally, not a fan, and he's not what you'd consider a lefty specialist. Still, he's worth mentioning as one of the top southpaws on the market, still striking out hitters at an elite rate and coming off a strong year in Pittsburgh.

    Aaron Bummer: If he does become a free agent (Atlanta has a team option), Bummer is my favorite target. He's got major upside that he's flashed often in the past. The former White Sox standout has a wipeout sweeper and we know how the Twins love those. 

    Andrew Chafin: A familiar face from his days in Detroit. He's got one of the more consistent long-term track records you'll see from a relief pitcher, and is still getting it done in his mid-30s. Yet, his age and control issues might keep him relatively affordable. This one does seem to meet the sweet-spot criteria for the Twins.

    Caleb Ferguson: The 28-year-old has been tested under the bright lights, spending six seasons with the Dodgers before splitting 2024 between the Astros and Yankees. He's a proven performer, but coming off one of this worst seasons (4.64 ERA), which could suppress his price tag.

    Brooks Raley: If the Twins aren't looking to spend at the level of the above names, Raley might be a more realistic option. He underwent Tommy John surgery last May, so his readiness for the start of the season is in question, but Raley has a 3.42 ERA in five seasons since returning from a stint in Korea.

    Will Smith: Another possible buy-low target with some upside. Smith was long reputed as one of the top lefty relievers in the game, an All-Star in 2019, but he's struggled over the past couple seasons and was really bad in 2024. He'd be a project, but one with some real potential if the Twins feel they have reason to believe.

    Do any of these names interest you? Or would you be more inclined to rely on internal options and spend available resources elsewhere? Sound off in the comments.

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    10 hours ago, DocBauer said:

    To be clear, the days of a LOOGY are done. I'd rather have 8 RH quality arms in my pen who can HOPEFULLY get a LH batter out than a lefty specialist. That's why Okert was so disappointing and while the collapse of Thielbar was more so, as he was solid for a few years against RH bats. 

    I know I'm repeating myself here, and I'm not offering up answers right now, but figuring out 1B, adding a quality RH OF bat who doesn't such against RHP, and ONE quality LHRP are the top 3 priorities for the FO in 2025. 

    HOPEFULLY you still have ONE good LH arm you can trust in the 7th and 8th, think Thielbar pre 2024. IDEALLY, you have a 2nd LH arm you can feel good about in the 6th and maybe the 7th. Even IF the FO raises payroll as a "goodbye present" to the FO that will cost them pennies, the Twins probably aren't going to be able to add a $5M dollar RP no matter what. So I immediately dismiss the top options.

    Without taking the time to look at every single pitcher I reference here in regard to splits, there are some interesting ideas here.

    I agree Bummer looks good, but he's probably re-upped with the Braves.

    Dangit! So who's next? 

    Chafin keeps plugging along and doing his thing, but I'm not interested in good K numbers and bad BB numbers from a 34yo arm who made $5M last season.

    Ferguson had a bad year with a high BB total but good K % at 28yo and only made $2.4M last year? He should be a major target!

    Raley should be a MILB target at his age and coming off surgery. Period. (But I'd do it). 

    Smith is also a MILB deal target. Period. 

    I'm betting Bummer won't be an option. I'm interested in Chafin on a 1yr deal less than the almost $5M he made last year. Ferguson sticks out to me as a smart signing despite some high BB numbers. He only made about $2.5M last year. And Raley on an incentive deal falls right in line with the way Falvey has often looked at pitching opportunities in the past. Raley is similar to the Pineda deal a few years ago.

    MY THEORY ON LHRP is conversion. NOT MENTIONED in the OP is, are there LHP out there late 20's who haven't put it together yet, or coming off injury, that can be moved to the pen to maximize their stuff and re-define their career?

    INTERNALLY, I'm 100% on moving Headrick to the pen tomorrow and throwing his best stuff for 1-2 IP and see what you've got. I'm on the same boat with Nowlin...i hate not waiting to see if he MIGHT settle in as a SP option...but with so many other rotation options ahead of him, i think any control issues can be mitigated by being a hard throwing LH option in the pen vs waiting and hoping he's a late draftee who MIGHT be a back end rotation arm. 

    Headrick and Nowlin and the talented Funderburk, who has good stuff, should all be in ST to see what they can do. Funderburk is already in the pen, but Headrick and Nowlin should also be. ONE MORE addition from what Nick has presented, or maybe another option from somewhere else I'm not thinking of right now, COULD/SHOULD give the pen multiple options.

    Let's not forget that come May, or June, if not immediately, Moran is a very talented arm that might surprise everyone.

     

     

    A Lefty that can get Righties out works as well. If you’re playing chess, it would be good to have a full set of pieces. Rocco never had a Lefty that caused the other manager to suboptimize the rest of the game.

    20 hours ago, bean5302 said:

    Find some quotes to that effect. The quotes I've seen from pitchers is they prefer some form of routine. Aside from that, I don't think I've ever seen anybody advocate for anything other than setup/closer roles. I'm not advocating for anything; just repeating what pitchers have talked about in the press.

    Find some quotes to that effect.

    12 hours ago, DocBauer said:

     

    MY THEORY ON LHRP is conversion. NOT MENTIONED in the OP is, are there LHP out there late 20's who haven't put it together yet, or coming off injury, that can be moved to the pen to maximize their stuff and re-define their career?

     

     

    Once again, you stole my idea and posted it before I could. 😇. So let me expand that brilliant comment by adding that hard throwing (but not performing well) pitchers in the minors should also be signed (to MiLB contracts).  If you sign 10 or 12 of these, maybe one or two might work out.

     

    20 hours ago, nicksaviking said:

    I agree. This is similar to my feeling that if you're scared that calling up a young player will damage their psyche should they initially fail, that player likely shouldn't be in the long term plans. If these guys can't mentally handle the adversity or role change, they probably aren't the kind of guy that can perform and lead the team to post season success.

    And full disclosure, I'm also not that guy. I went behind the bleachers and barfed before every one of my high school track meets. So no judgements, just my observation. Winners seem to be built differently.

    Great comments. 

    On 10/28/2024 at 8:51 AM, bean5302 said:

    People are human with stress factors and emotions which get mixed into their thought processes. Joe Nathan talked about not wanting to close because of confidence issues when he returned from TJ. There is extra pressure associated with closing. It's all on the pitcher, no chances to come back, etc. Many pitchers have talked about the added stress of closing or the benefits of knowing their position and their job rather than just being tossed around in the bullpen and never knowing what's coming next.

    Your point about knowing a role on the roster is spot on.  That requires evaluating and planning from FO and coaching staff that I suspect is less than the MLB standard here.  Among the names listed I think the best opportunity given Twins $ and proven talent is Ferguson.  Our best chance of picking up an impact arm is by trade though.




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