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    Decisions: Royce Lewis Put on a Ballet About the Trade Deadline Saturday

    Baseball is a game of instantaneous decision-making. Games come down to a large series of choices so small they're often imperceptible, until their results make them unmissable. The Twins lost Saturday because a decision didn't come fast enough.

    Matthew Trueblood
    Image courtesy of Steven Bisig-Imagn Images

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    Royce Lewis hasn't spent much time at first base. He doesn't even really think of himself as a first baseman; he still longs to get back to the left side of the infield. The reality, though, is that he's not the athlete or the thrower he would need to be to return to shortstop or third base—and, unfortunately, Saturday delivered an excruciating reminder that he's not the quick processor required even of a right-side infielder.

    The situation demanded a lot of him—maybe more than can fairly be asked of a guy who was still all the way across the diamond three months ago. With a runner on third base and one out in the bottom of the ninth, the Twins went to a five-man infield and issued an intentional walk, bringing Cal Raleigh to the plate with runners on the corners. Randy Arozarena, at third, carried the winning run, so the idea in issuing Julio Rodríguez an intentional walk was to set up a double play on the big-dumpered Raleigh. Everyone involved had to understand, though, that the right way to make the play would depend on the specific play that happened. Each infielder's responsibility, in the very short time they had, was to arrange the field in their minds and to visualize the variety of plays that might present themselves. There was no one correct thing to do; what was correct would depend on the batted ball.

    Lewis didn't have a robust enough set of plans. The ball came his way, and he made the wrong play. Raleigh hit a one-hop smash, 105.4 miles per hour off the bat. Lewis's reflexes were fine; those have never been his problem. He lunged to his left, speared the ball cleanly, and managed not to go all the way to the ground. He'd been crowding the line, with two other infielders on his side of the second-base bag, so the ball took him right to the first-base bag. Right away, though, you could see him thinking—and not in a good way.

    As Lewis took the step and a half left to reach the base after fielding the ball, he turned to look over his left shoulder to find Rodríguez. That was smart, really. It was one of those plays where, if he hadn't picked up Rodríguez and the Mariners outfielder had been especially wily, he could have snuck back into first base after Lewis tagged it. Because he had been so concerned about getting down the line and minimizing the risk of a double play, though, Rodríguez never even thought about a retreat. Therefore, as Lewis stepped on first, his eyes took him toward second, where Rodríguez was charging for the base and two teammates awaited a throw. That caused all kinds of trouble.

    First, as soon as Lewis started moving toward first and turned away from third, Arozarena could break for the plate freely. If Lewis gets up and stomps on the pillow while staring down Arozarena, the chance for a double play is likely lost, but the result is the second out and a chance to get out of the inning by retiring the next batter.

    However, you can make the play the way Lewis initially did and still get the double play. Once he turned his back to third, Arozarena was going, but if Lewis merely uses that turn to check for a dive-back by Rodríguez and then pivots to the plate with his eyes and mind clear, he retires Arozarena easily. Alas, we're all wired a certain way, and the way Lewis is wired is to be captured a bit by his own gaze. He turned and saw Rodríguez far enough short of second to be beaten by a good throw, and for a fatal half-second, he planned to make that throw. His eyes committed him to it. 

    His brain kicked in. It overrode that command and turned him to the plate, and he threw. That throw was a bit later than it should have been, but if it had been strong and accurate, Arozarena still would have been out. Instead, it was to the first-base side of the plate, and Victor Caratini was unable to position himself to receive it and make a tag in time. The game was over.

    Though his arm has never been great—that's a big part of why he's no longer on the left side—Lewis is capable of that throw, physically. The problem, again, was mental. He wasn't fully turned, wasn't fully targeted. Having cost himself a moment with the mistaken pump toward second, he rushed the process of lining up his throw to the plate.

    After the game, manager Derek Shelton said the right play would have been to throw to second when Lewis got the ball. That could have worked, but it would have been risky. Shelton might not have appreciated how much of Lewis's momentum had to move toward first base to snare the ball. Turning that momentum and making a good throw to second, then aligning oneself for the return throw to double up Raleigh, would have been tough. Lewis isn't a good enough infielder, regardless of position, to do that; throwing to second right away wouldn't have been the right play. What needed to happen, rather, is what I described above. That's an unusual play, though—a rare progression. It demands that a player be a fast and confident processor of information during a play. Lewis isn't that, either.

    Rocco Baldelli talked about this on a much different (but not so different, really) play last season, when Lewis was playing third with the bases loaded and had to decide between trying to turn a double play and taking the out at the plate. He saw, and articulated, that Lewis is not the kind of processor who can reliably make that difficult series of incredibly fast decisions. Shelton hasn't put it the same way, but it's clear that the organization feels that way as a group. They're right.

    That leaves the team in a bit of a quandary. Lewis remains endlessly self-assured, at least before and after each difficult play that comes his way. He's been better at the plate since returning from his demotion to Triple-A St. Paul. However, he looks unlikely to be a competent defender at key moments, anywhere on the diamond. The closest thing to a position he can play well might be second base. The Twins simply don't have enough instinctive, intelligent and skillful defenders to fill out a lineup; they have to make do with Lewis, Luke Keaschall and others who lack that nous. As Saturday suggests, that could be what costs them a playoff berth this season. Hopefully, they can overcome that shortcoming, but sometimes, the ball finds you.

    The same things are true at the trade deadline. It's not the wrong decision that costs you; it's the quick decision not made, or the balk and non-committal move right after it. The sport comes down to quick decisions and to the hard work of being decisive under pressure—even off the field.

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    Good grief, the mental gymnastics to make excuses for Royce is absurd. He’s played baseball for 20 years, all of it in the infield. I’ve been optimistic about his play at first since the transition but he screwed up. It’s ok to admit it. 

    3 hours ago, tony&rodney said:

    You totally missed it. Shelton went to the mound, used five infielders, and told everyone they were looking for a ground ball double play with Raleigh being a very slow runner. The play is second base. The manager could not have been any more predictive or instructive.

    Royce made a mistake, it happens. You just did too. It's all good. They need to keep playing hard because there is plenty of season left.

    Or ..... you were being sarcastic. 

    Yep. Forgot to push the sarcasm emoji button. I didn’t see it, so apparently the bases weren’t loaded and the play was to second… but either way, it isn’t little league, they should know where to throw before they get the ball without the manager having to tell them. Seems he screwed it up despite the manager having actually told him. 

    3 hours ago, HarmonK03 said:

    I do find it a little ironic that many on here criticized Lewis about his comments when they wanted him to move to 2B two years ago.  And one of his concerns was he didn't want to make a mistake at a new position while the team was chasing a pennant.

    So now he has willingly moved around the infield like a utility infielder without saying a word, but then when the learning curve shows he still has a ways to go, everyone is quick to criticize.  Not sure you can have it both ways.

    Well, just for one thing, he didn't do this willingly, NOR without saying a word. Haha.

    Not really worth picking apart, IMO. He should never have had any thought to go to second after tagging first. Still, if he makes the play, the game’s only tied. You didn’t win. It’s tied. Play better overall and you can afford a mistake or two. It’s a game, and the Twins, not just Martin, seldom play well enough in all three phases to have much margin for error. This isn’t new and it’s unlikely to suddenly change. The baseball gods just gave you a series, when you were within a couple of outs from being swept by Kansas City at home. By Kansas City. At home. Moral: we generally have more margin for error than KC, but probably not much more (if any) than a team like Seattle. But we all already know this.

    8 hours ago, Matthew Trueblood said:

    Well, just for one thing, he didn't do this willingly, NOR without saying a word. Haha.

    I don't recall seeing any pushback about the move.  Please remind me with the comments he made that showed he pushed back.  Morneau had good things to say about his work and he said something to the effect of I am happy to be in the lineup and positions are what they are.

    So rather than laugh, show the quotes.

    18 hours ago, Mike Sixel said:

    To be clear, people make mistakes. It's not the end of the world. But people here keep excusing his awful hitting, and mediocre fielding. 

    ……& some ignore his game winning hit a few days ago and game tying HR a day or two later. ………His fielding at 1B is exciting to me ….. he’s more athletic than most guys typically seen at 1B. His interaction with flips to pitchers and grabbing short-hopped throws all seem pretty natural, IMO.

    He’s played maybe 40 games there between AAA & MLB. He screwed up! No reason to make stuff up about his general defensive play at 1B…….his 3B play is behind him.

    He lifted his atrocious BA from .165 to .215 and, agreed, that .215 number is embarrassing! However, he’s been a pretty solid contributor since his recall.

     

    14 hours ago, terrydactyls said:

    To me it .looked like Caratini wasn't in great position to make a play.  I give him a little of the blame also.

    I’ve been defending Lewis here BUT Caratini has to catch the ball…….it was a soft throw to the 1B side of the plate…….he can’t position himself at the plate to make a poor throw into a good one.

    19 hours ago, Mike Sixel said:

    To be clear, people make mistakes. It's not the end of the world. But people here keep excusing his awful hitting, and mediocre fielding. 

    Since his recall Lewis has played in 40 games. He’s hit .245 - has 7 HR - 17 RBI. I don’t think his play at 1B is mediocre.

    Brooks Lee, since June 6, has hit .230 - has 7 HR - 22 RBI……….he’s hit .223 in July & .240 for the season.

    Luke Keaschall, over 105 games Keaschall is hitting .263 - has 6 HR - 33 RBI. …..he’s done a nice job increasing his BA as he was brutal through most of first 1/3 of season. Nobody thinks Luke is winning any Gold Gloves at any time soon.

     

    34 minutes ago, JD-TWINS said:

    I’ve been defending Lewis here BUT Caratini has to catch the ball…….it was a soft throw to the 1B side of the plate…….he can’t position himself at the plate to make a poor throw into a good one.

    Caratini had his back to the 3rd base line.  Because of that, there was no way he would be able to locate the runner.  Yes, it wasn't a good throw, but if Caratini would have move a little to his right, he would have seen where the runner was and dove to a spot that would intercept his slide.  The runner may still have been safe, but the play would have been much closer.  He also would not have to make a "matador" tag attempt.

    20 hours ago, TNtwins85 said:

    Acceptable is the key. Yet he was demoted because he was hitting .180 and looking overmatched every at bat. Him getting demoted allowed them to shift Lee to third who was overmatched at SS. It also allowed them to install Kreidler and Grey at SS. It wasn’t Lewis’ defense and it wasn’t clearing a path for Culpepper. It was Lewis’ bat, Lee’s terrible D. 

    Step on first as you are turning to throw home. Lewis looks like a monster of physical strength to hit baseballs but that as we know isn't all of it. Problem solved that began in 2017 just trade him. 

    Its pretty plain and simple you play musical chairs with your infield things like this will happen. Last night Shelton moved Lewis to 2nd late and Caratini to 1st and had 5 infielders and still lost. Caratini was not able to get the ball down the line. At times Shelton seems to over think the game. Not saying Lewis makes the play but probably reacts differently than the night before. 

    If or if not more trades are coming the team has to settle on the infield positions to remain in the playoff run. They can't keep giving extra outs to the other team.

    5 hours ago, HarmonK03 said:

    I don't recall seeing any pushback about the move.  Please remind me with the comments he made that showed he pushed back.  Morneau had good things to say about his work and he said something to the effect of I am happy to be in the lineup and positions are what they are.

    So rather than laugh, show the quotes.

    Morneau has never ever given a non happy talk about ANY Twin.

    1 hour ago, David Maro said:

    Its pretty plain and simple you play musical chairs with your infield things like this will happen. Last night Shelton moved Lewis to 2nd late and Caratini to 1st and had 5 infielders and still lost. Caratini was not able to get the ball down the line. At times Shelton seems to over think the game. Not saying Lewis makes the play but probably reacts differently than the night before. 

    If or if not more trades are coming the team has to settle on the infield positions to remain in the playoff run. They can't keep giving extra outs to the other team.

    They are settled. Sometimes they pinch hit late and move guys, but the infield is set. 

    Don't know what game people are watching,but since the break just 1st base alone has had Bell,Caratini,Clemens,Jackson and Lewis. And 2nd base Clemens,Keaschall,Kriedler,and Lewis and Lee 1 game. It really doesn't look like the infield is settled to me. 




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