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    3 Positions That Will Telegraph Minnesota Twins' Intentions in 2026

    Twins leadership is unlikely to be upfront about their intentions for 2026 at any point, even if asked. Instead, fans will have to look at the roster and draw their own conclusions.

    Cody Pirkl
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    The Twins front office has expressed a desire to add to the current roster, but their ability to do so is likely to be limited by the impending partial sale of the team. Even when this is resolved, we've learned that getting a straight answer on anything from this regime is not going to happen. Regarding the team’s intentions to contend in 2026, fans will have to draw their own conclusions based on how the offseason goes. There are several spots on the roster to watch to gauge whether the Twins are trying to contend in 2026, but three stand out.

    First Base
    The Twins have been shuffling first basemen for the last few years, opting to fill the spot with cheap veterans who have had varying degrees of success. In 2025, it was one of the team’s weaker positions. Opening Day starter Ty France eventually lost his job to career journeyman Kody Clemens, who had some nice moments but wasn’t the kind of player a contending team wants to have in the lineup every day.

    First base is at the bottom of the defensive spectrum. Having a good defensive first baseman is nice, but offensive production is an absolute must. The 29-year-old Clemens is the incumbent, coming off a .715 OPS, which was below league average overall and well below average among first basemen. The Twins also have no legitimate prospects on their way to take the position over midseason. 

    It’ll be worth watching whether they see value in upgrading the position, either in free agency or via trade. The team is in desperate need of a boost offensively, and adding a first baseman with more upside is one of the most cost-effective upgrades they can make. If they roll with what they have headed into 2026, it’s worth questioning how serious they are.

    The Bullpen
    The once-elite Twins bullpen is now one of the worst in baseball, following a shocking sell-off at the trade deadline. Falvey and company downplayed the effect of these moves, explaining that they had built the previous bullpen internally. While that's true, he failed to mention that assembling the previous group took years of trial and error. Pretending that the current group (along with a few waiver claims and minor-league signings) will be competitive in 2026 is unrealistic.

    This regime has shown that they don’t value relievers highly enough to spend much on them in free agency. They’ve rarely invested in them, and it’s gone quite poorly on the rare occasions when they have. Unfortunately, they’ve left themselves no choice but to do it this winter, if they’re serious about competing in 2026. The Twins could have a top-five rotation in 2026, yet they may miss the playoffs with their current bullpen. They need to hit on two or three legitimate arms to turn to at the back end of games, or the rest of the roster won’t matter. If they choose to stand pat, they likely aren’t especially worried about winning games in 2026.

    López and Ryan
    The most obvious tell for the Twins' intentions in 2026 will be what they do with Joe Ryan and Pablo López. Derek Falvey has expressed his desire to keep both players, but payroll may leave him no choice but to sell them off for parts. Regardless of what they bring back, trading one or both of them would be waving the white flag. 

    The rotation is the lone bright spot of the Twins' roster. We can dream of a world where Taj Bradley, Mick Abel and others take a big step and fill the void left by trading away high-end starters, but that would be refusing to admit what’s right in front of us. López and Ryan each have multiple years of team control at prices below their market value. Teams looking to compete don’t trade these types of players when they’re in the situation the Twins are in. They do it to lower their payroll and try to sell the cheaper prospects they get in return, as a reason for the fanbase to have hope. 

    If either López or Ryan is traded, the Twins are telling us 2026 doesn’t matter. The path to competing without one of these two at the front of the rotation becomes far too narrow. The team would be left with question marks across all departments, and it’s been years since this front office has given confidence that they can find answers.

    Local writers will undoubtedly continue to push for answers regarding the Twins' intentions for 2026, but there’s very little chance they will get them at any point this offseason. Actions speak louder than words, anyway, and watching their moves this offseason will give us all the answers we need. Will the Twins make a legitimate effort to improve in 2026, or will their stated goals of adding to the roster be undermined by the actions they take?

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    3 hours ago, jorgenswest said:

    For some reason we are fixated with Clemens as the only option at 1B. There is some reason for optimism that he can produce at a median level for first baseman next year 

    Across the majors first basemen OPSed .754 in 2025.  Ten teams achieved .800.  The Twins were near the bottom with .678.  It's hard to emphasize strongly enough how much of a leap is needed by them to achieve merely relevance at the position, and how much of a drag on the offense it is when an offense-first position is undermanned.

    Ty France contributed most of the PA with a .685 OPS, but Kody was next highest in PA there and amassed a remarkably similar .684 OPS.  (Remarkably, Edouard Julien led the at the position with an OPS of .705.)

    In his age-30 season it's a poor bet looking for an uptick from Clemens.  He's not part of the solution.  He's part of the problem. 

    2 hours ago, ashbury said:

    Across the majors first basemen OPSed .754 in 2025.  Ten teams achieved .800.  The Twins were near the bottom with .678.  It's hard to emphasize strongly enough how much of a leap is needed by them to achieve merely relevance at the position, and how much of a drag on the offense it is when an offense-first position is undermanned.

    Ty France contributed most of the PA with a .685 OPS, but Kody was next highest in PA there and amassed a remarkably similar .684 OPS.  (Remarkably, Edouard Julien led the at the position with an OPS of .705.)

    In his age-30 season it's a poor bet looking for an uptick from Clemens.  He's not part of the solution.  He's part of the problem. 

    Every game next year matters to me so there is some reservation not going with the one year plan at first base.

    I can see a 2027 with Culpepper, Jenkins, Rodriguez and Gonzalez. I think that happens with Keaschall at first and Martin at second. I don’t want to delay that transition. In defense of both Clemens and Julien I think they have two things going for them that give some hope and at least worthwhile of a shot before the Keaschall transition takes place. Player generally improve in their first 1500 plate appearances facing major league pitching. Neither is close and should still be growing with more exposure to major league pitching. Of course that growth is a roller coaster of adjustments. I also trust xwOBA to be a better predictor for the future than OPS. Both Clemens and Julien were just above the average xwOBA for a first basemen last year. Maybe one of them steps up and keeps the job. Another option is Roden who is one of their few outfielders who can also play first base. He really hit well in AAA and if there is opportunity at first base he also has a chance to take the position and keep it. Short of trading for a Contreras or signing a guy like Naylor I would rather go with one of them as opposed to the one year vet in his thirties.

    Keeping Lopez/Ryan at this point only makes sense if the Twins are going to make at least some sort of effort to compete. Their trade value will only go down as time goes on. Trading them this offseason will at least give them compensation for these two.

    Everyone and their Grandma knows that the team has no intention of investing payroll dollars for 2026. Fan perception, along with local and national media opinions, really can't get any lower for this team. They might as well blow it up, flounder through 2026, see what the new Labor Agreement looks like, and go from there.

    I would not be shocked to see this team hold back all of their top prospects this year for service time management reasons.

    I think Keaschall is part of the Twins future for at least the rest of the decade. I would like to see if he can cut it as a second baseman before handing him a first baseman's mitt. He's got good speed, which should translate to good range and I think with work he can become a decent or better defender at second. He hasn't had typical rehab from TJ surgery because of subsequent injuries. Maybe moving Martin back into the infield is a good idea and really the only position he can play on the dirt. 

    Finding a first baseman should be a priority in the coming year and perhaps bringing Roden in from the outfield could be the answer. Regardless, having a right handed hitter to be a DH/1B makes sense.




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