Shelton - How Many Games Did He Win?

[Dave Borton]

Always curious to hear knowledgeable discussion re: how many games a manager produced. Think beyond use of BP. How many games do you award Shelton of the 77 wins.

I will give him 4. Work with the youth and a messy, injury plagued starting rotation and a haphazard collection of arms in the BP.

A difficulty is assessing the clubhouse. Be it the local reporting or the culture of the Twins, mum seems to be the word.

[bean5302]

AAA replacement team = 45 wins.
Fangraphs fWAR = +31.0.
Baseball Reference bWAR = +28.5
Pythagorean = 75

Expected wins = 73.5-76.0
Actual wins = 77.0

I'm not sure how much of the wins Shelton provided. I don't think he was always trotting the best line up out there or the best defensive positioning choices.