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Terry's Time Looming For Twins


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Recently I wrote that the Twins have an absolute slew of problems. They are doing quite a few things poorly, and everything is going negatively all at just about the same time. If we're going to try and attribute things to one place, we're probably running a fool's errand. What is true however, is that Terry Ryan's ineptitude has become more of a focus than ever.

Having taken over for his appointed heir, Bill Smith, Ryan has guided the Twins through some substantial rebuilding. The club had four straight 90 loss seasons, and in turn, drafted some pretty promising prospects. Seemingly close to the top of the mountain once again in 2015, the club just missed the playoffs in Paul Molitor's first year. Now roughly a month into the 2016 season, the head scratching when looking at Terry Ryan's plan has reached an all time high.

 

Let's be fair here, I have never been one to criticize Ryan. For the better part of his tenure with the Twins, I feel as though he's done a passable job. While you'd no doubt hope for something that pushes the needle a bit further, he's been a guy who is less than deserving of the distaste directed at him. He pulled off a heck of a deal to land Tommy Milone and I still believe that both the Yankees and Twins will benefit from the Aaron Hicks and John Ryan Murphy swap. He moved on from Francisco Liriano when he needed to, and Eduardo Escobar has been more than capable in return.

 

Outside of a few bright spots over the past few seasons however, Ryan has simply seen the game pass him by.

 

We can talk at length about whether or not Paul Molitor was a great hire for the manager role of the Twins, but it's far to early to tell how that narrative is going to play out. What we do know, is that Ryan was indebted to former manager Ron Gardenhire to a fault, and while the losing may not have been a result of his direct influence, he did little to change course either.

 

Coming into the 2016 season, Minnesota made little waves on the open market, and it was expected to be a sign of internal options rising to the top. Now well out of the division race and floundering below the .500 mark, Alex Meyer becomes just the first promotion that we can expect to stay with the big league club (at least as long as he proves capable).

 

Ryan no doubt had his hand in sending outfielder, and top prospect Max Kepler to the majors. In getting there, he started just two of 17 games, and saw only 14 plate appearances. Whether or not his development was stunted, Kepler saw the early part of his 2016 go to waste. Throw Jorge Polanco in the mix with Kepler, and you have another guy that has now been promoted to the big league level six different times, despite never staying for longer than a four game span. Not expected to have much of a significant impact being more rotational guys to start, the Twins learned next to nothing about either of them while they were up.

 

A problematic pattern with promotions has followed Ryan for the better part of the past couple seasons. Both Michael Tonkin and Kennys Vargas were mishandled a season ago. One is currently seeing success at for the Twins, while the other is still trying to find the floor after having the rug pulled out from under him.

 

Then you have what may be considered the breaking point for me. In signing veteran retread David Murphy, the Twins were essentially saying they needed a reason to shake up the roster. Rather than doing so and using a guy like Oswaldo Arcia (who has made his lack of playing time early on look silly), it was Murphy who was supposed to come in and force Minnesota into making a necessary move such as demoting top prospect Byron Buxton.

 

Murphy went to Triple-A Rochester, and hit .194 like the aged veteran he is. Upon time for his upcoming opt out clause, the Twins first cleared room on their 40 man roster. Catcher John Hicks, who was just claimed from the Mariners this offseason, was jettisoned. Now not only had the Twins lost their third catcher (and a guy with decent future reliability), Murphy made things worse for Minnesota by declining any promotion and chose to retire.

 

Rather than actually knowing where all parties stood, Ryan and the Twins end up looking silly with egg on their face as the roster handling appears to be above their level of competency. As the dust settled, Minnesota finds themselves now needing to add an otherwise unnecessary player to the 40 man just to fill out their big league bench.

 

At some point, you have to be ok with asking for more from your leaders. Ryan at his best has been passable if not mediocre. If the Twins are going to take the next step, it's becoming relatively clear that Ryan is probably not the guy capable of pushing the envelope to get them there. Rather than continuing to look internally, and hiring back buddies such as Gardenhire, the Twins best friend could be the one they don't yet know. Ingenuity and innovation generally breeds advancement, but right now that's a foreign concept at Target Field.

 

For more from Off The Baggy, click here. Follow @tlschwerz

13 Comments


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tobi0040

Posted

Good article.  I agree we need a new perspective and the game has passed Terry by.

Platoon

Posted

I agree whole heartedly. But my enthusiasm for your article, is dampened by the knowledge that everyone knows who Ryans replacement will be. Just the initials will do! RA :(

Ted Schwerzler

Posted

 

I agree whole heartedly. But my enthusiasm for your article, is dampened by the knowledge that everyone knows who Ryans replacement will be. Just the initials will do! RA :(

 

It's unfortunate that R.A, Dickey will take over for the Twins. In all seriousness though, with all of my being, I wish they'd look elsewhere and not go the Antony route. Breed some innovation from the outside in.

Hosken Bombo Disco

Posted

Congrats on breaking the Berrios promotion! This is a really ballsy commentary to put out there right in the wake of the Berrios news. I don't disagree with much here. I think Ryan's best days were the early 2000s. Since he came back and made the Span and Revere trades, he's played it way too safe. 

Ted Schwerzler

Posted

 

Congrats on breaking the Berrios promotion! This is a really ballsy commentary to put out there right in the wake of the Berrios news. I don't disagree with much here. I think Ryan's best days were the early 2000s. Since he came back and made the Span and Revere trades, he's played it way too safe. 

 

To be fair, I wrote this early this morning and the Berrios news came after. I'm looking forward to my piece tomorrow though.

 

I don't have a ton of issues with Ryan, which is why I think it's taken me so long to get here. The problem is that there isn't much to hang his hat on either.

Hosken Bombo Disco

Posted

 

To be fair, I wrote this early this morning and the Berrios news came after. I'm looking forward to my piece tomorrow though.

 

I don't have a ton of issues with Ryan, which is why I think it's taken me so long to get here. The problem is that there isn't much to hang his hat on either.

Ryan has done the little things right, or at least some little things, like you said, acquiring Escobar and Milone. But he has some big, tough decisions to make, and he is not making them. He did sign some free agent pitchers but, all teams do that. It's not really a big deal to sign a free agent pitcher to a multi year deal.

 

I'm sure firing Gardenhire felt like a really big deal, but it shouldn't have been when you look closer at it. And now that Gardy has been hired back in, it's almost like undoing the firing. 

 

DocBauer

Posted

Like you, I have often defended Ryan's moves. I don't grade him poorly for the Twins not winning or advancing to the WS back in his first tenure. IMO, in any sport, your goal is to field a winning team that can reach the post season. I believe it is short-sighted and down right incorrect to say you build a championship team. Unless you possess a fully functional crystal ball, that's impossible to do.

 

I also don't feel Ryan has been incompetent in his second tenure. I still support the May and Meyer trades. He's adequate other moves that aren't bad, and the minor league system has thrived under his watch, and are begining to pay dividends at the ML level. I can't even blame him for most of the veteran FA SP conundrum where the Twins are seemingly locked in to some contracts that block youngsters. Hughes should absolutely not been extended when he was, but his initial signing, plus Santana, and even Nolasco, unto themselves, we're not bad acquisitions.

 

But I have to say, despite past success and being a good baseball man and a good guy, there have been moves, and non moves, the past few seasons that really have me questioning him as the leader of the organization at this point. Have there been a few injuries that have thrown some of the rebuild in to chaos? Yes. But injuries happen, and we all know this. For three straight seasons the Twins have been nothing but patchwork in CF. How can you possibly count on Hicks and Buxton jumping from AA for three straight seasons as the answer with little to nothing available for a backup plan? The exact same thing applies to the bullpen the past two years. And then the whole, inexplicable Murphy signing and Hicks fiasco, along with a two man bench for a few games.

 

What will define, possibly save, Ryan is what he does the rest of this season. If you are going to build with youth, horde said youth, sooner or later, as that youth matures, you have to make room for it. And you do that youth a disservice by promoting it to just sit on the bench and not play. Unless this team goes on a real run at some point, and looks like a real contender, at some point you absolutely have to look at eating some or all of a contract, throw another young player in a deal if you have to, and look at Plouffe, Dozier, Perkins, Hughes, E Santana, Nolasco and Milone as moveable options to make way for youth.

Platoon

Posted

Doc, well thought out and written post. I have two thoughts though. I agree on the point about not being able to build chanpionship teams, per se. You need a chance. But the Twins really didn't have that chance when stacked up against the AL. They could handle the Cental when it was weak, but were defenseless against the better teams. Almost to the point of embarrassment. Secondly, Ryan might have a desire to define his career, I am sure he does. But he has no need to save himself. Outside the guy behind the counter at the Post Office, no one in America has more job security. He might re-retire, but to hear the words, "you're fired" he is going to have to tune into reruns of an old reality TV show!

HitInAPinch

Posted

I don't jump up or down too much when it comes to Terry Ryan. 

He is what he is. He prefers to Build a team.

The Team is what it is.  Right now, a patchwork of veterans holding down the fort for what could be a nice group of MiLBers

Ownership is what they are. Sons of  a banker. i.e. umm, thrifty.

 

I like a team that builds from within. IMHO,  the Twins are on the cusp.

Ted Schwerzler

Posted

 

I don't jump up or down too much when it comes to Terry Ryan. 

He is what he is. He prefers to Build a team.

The Team is what it is.  Right now, a patchwork of veterans holding down the fort for what could be a nice group of MiLBers

Ownership is what they are. Sons of  a banker. i.e. umm, thrifty.

 

I like a team that builds from within. IMHO,  the Twins are on the cusp.

Here's the problem with that train of thought, and why I've arrived at the crossroads that I have.

 

In thinking Ryan is what he is, and the team is what it is, and the building at the top comes from within, who advances the talent to be what they should be rather than what they are? What has Terry Ryan ever done to reinvent the wheel or instill the confidence that he has the chops to get you to the next step.

 

It's notable that both the Astros and Cubs brought on new GMs at the beginning of their rebuild. Both are seeing the fruits of that labor.

The Wise One

Posted

Some of the prospects sitting is all on Molitor. As much as people derided Gardy for not liking young players, Molitor appears more reluctant.

The Wise One

Posted

Here's the problem with that train of thought, and why I've arrived at the crossroads that I have.

 

In thinking Ryan is what he is, and the team is what it is, and the building at the top comes from within, who advances the talent to be what they should be rather than what they are? What has Terry Ryan ever done to reinvent the wheel or instill the confidence that he has the chops to get you to the next step.

 

It's notable that both the Astros and Cubs brought on new GMs at the beginning of their rebuild. Both are seeing the fruits of that labor.

Astro's need 3 starting pitchers and McHugh and Keuchel are not doing so well either. McCullers has a shoulder injury. As it was they barely held off the Angels for the playoffs. I wouldn't be getting too excited until they figure out a starting pitching rotation that does not resemble the early 2000's Twins
The Wise One

Posted

Time passing Ryan by? Rather than safe 3-4 year college starters Ryan's staff has gone boom or bust with drafting. He probably could have had Ross Detwiler for Span. Ryan went high risk/ high reward. Ryan does not completely operate as he did in the past

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