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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
  2. nicksaviking
    Arencibia took two fewer walks than Delmon Young last year. And Young had 133 fewer plate appearances. Somehow he has managed to regress on his already terrible .285 OBP in 2011 each of the last two years. This guy just can't get on base.
  3. nicksaviking
    I'm for taking a chance on Hudson. There should be some concern since his arbitration raise would have been minimal and AZ did non-tendered him, but I'd like to take a chance on a Diamondback cast off, they have made a ton of head scratching personell decisions in the past year.
  4. nicksaviking
    I assume the Twins are done with the bigger contract pitchers this year, though I still hope they grab a low risk higher upside guy like Halladay, Santana, Floyd or Neimann. I wouldn't want a Saltalamacchia signing to hinder the team from getting another impact arm next year though. It might never happen again but I don't want too many roadblocks just in case this new front office is here to stay. Next year the team loses Correia, Willingham and Burton, but that only clears out about $15 million.
  5. nicksaviking
    If he's strictly a backup, sure, but I don't think Pinto could purposly hit as poorly as Arencibia did last year. Even if Pinto disappoints, I doubt he disappoints to that level. You only get a Hicksonian level of offensive confusion a couple times a decade, I don't think the Twins should go out of their way to find it again. The HR are sexy, but I don't even want to platoon a guy who has a career .258 OBP.
  6. nicksaviking
    I don't like the years but I love the aggressiveness. Well done. It wouldn't take much in the first year for the $8 million per year to look good either. Last year the Cubs overpaid for back end free agent pitchers. Perhaps Ryan is going to now cause every other team to over pay in years for mid to back of the rotation arms.
  7. nicksaviking
    I like Doogie, but he's wiffed twice now. He also said the Twins weren't close to a deal with Nolasco hours before one was announced.
  8. nicksaviking
    McPhail re-signed Puckett, but I think you're right that his total contract was larger. That may be overlooked as most people wouldn't suspect the team's largest free agent deal actually happend 20 years ago. Radke was also an extension, it happened mid season of 2000. I too will admit that Nolasco wasn't a favorite target of mine but I also said I just wanted this front office to prove they were committed to putting a better team on the field. So I am excited about this, the effort was more important to me, and I'm now a Nolasco believer. I think more decent players are coming too. I didn't like the Swisher and Bourn signings for Cleveland last year but I said I liked the message it sent. The pageantry that goes into making big splash deals should do wonders for the morale of the fanbase and more importantly the clubhouse.
  9. nicksaviking
    Berardino says the 2018 option vests with 400 combined innings in 2016-17. That sounds like a bargain of an option. If a guy throws that many innings over two years, the Twins would probably be interested in keeping him regardless of the forced option.
  10. nicksaviking
    Funny stuff, but you know what, as simple (and likely delusional) as it is, I'll cling to the idea that his over-use of exclamation marks is indeed a step in the right direction. Funny or not, this team does need some guys who don't need greenies to get amped up. Don't let the cold weather and stoic temperment of the natives kill your exclamation marks Ricky, they might be just as important as a 20% K rate.
  11. nicksaviking
    This is a good point, the team probably will lose a pitcher if another pitcher is signed. Though I'd think it would be the less experienced Hendriks, Albers or Johnson. However if it was Diamond or Worley, the Twins could likely get some kind of return for one of them and DFA'ing them would force interested parties to work out a deal quickly. I'm guessing Hendriks, Albers or Johnson likely would not net a return. I think Deduno is safe from the way they hint a rotation spot is his to lose.
  12. nicksaviking
    If we don't use the eye test but instead use stats, we may question Pelfrey's mental toughness by the 5.59 ERA he had in the first inning last year, his ability to only get ten total outs after the sixth inning last year or the 30 second soap opera that takes place between each of his pitches. Those things also show up on the eye test. I doubt Baker is more mentally weak than Pelfrey, but hypothetically if he was, I'd still take the guy who gives up fewer runs, strikes more guys out and goes deeper into games.
  13. nicksaviking
    I don't want Pelfrey back but I agree he could bounce back. My biggest hold up is with the report that the money is far apart. You would have to think that he is then looking for what, $6-8 million per year? That's the reported payout for Hughes. It's likely just a tick under what it will take to get Kazmir. Others keep mentioning Baker. Feldman is probably in that neighborhood. I'm not high on Feldman, but I'd much prefer Kazmir/Hughes/Baker, so I'd hope they'd go that route. Someone might argue they Twins could get a Kazmir/Hughes AND re-up Pelfrey. I guess you could, but I'm hoping for another legit secondary pitcher and then taking a low-risk/high-reward flier on a Haladay, Santana, Neimann, Floyd or maybe Volquez.
  14. nicksaviking
    Cano wants a $300 million deal and his agent is Jay Z. While he won't get a deal that size, this request and his association with the musician might suggest he would never come to flyover country, even if the Twins had the highest offer out there. At least not until Jimmy Jam gets into the agent business. Besides, does anyone really want to give this guy 8-10 years? I want nothing to do with paying this guy $25 million plus for his age 35-40 seasons. It will be looking like a pretty terrible contract probably by it's halfway point.
  15. nicksaviking
    I'm reasonable sure Wimmers will be safe though, not so much because of his production or level of experience, but because he's a starter, and I don't think most clubs will believe a guy with no MLB experience comming off TJ surgery can last an entire season at the majors. I'm more worried about Oliveros though, you can protect a bullpen guy a little more. I think a lot of people are puzzled that Fryer is on the 40-man, but he probably won't be removed simply because he is the only defensive catcher on the team right now.
  16. nicksaviking
  17. nicksaviking
    I don't have any problem with voters basing their decisions on assumptions. I don't think Thomas, Biggio or Maddox were cheats, but if voters did that's just fine. After all, they could have blown the whistle on those that were but failed to do so. I'm not advocating excluding everyone from this period, but I wouldn't fault someone who did. Even the clean guys are culpable considering they let this happen and we're too cowardly to speak out.
  18. nicksaviking
    that seems pretty low considering what Vargas got. That would seem to imply a preferred destination discount ala josh Johnson and Dan Haren. If true that's great, seems too good to be true for a guy on a multi year deal this early.
  19. nicksaviking
    I get it, and it's really dumb that fans of mid market teams have to think about this kind of thing while the big market guys deliberately dream of doing the exact opposite. I think the biggest problem is that every GM would then have to agree on a fair market value. All it takes is for one GM to unintentionally over-value a guy due to a lack of market awareness. What if the even smaller market A's wanted to get Kevin Correia last year and assumed a 1 year $3 million deal was a fair price? That probably would have been our assumption on Twins Daily if we were asked. Pretty much everyone but Terry Ryan was shocked at what Correia got last year. Despite that, Ryan still seems to be respected league-wide.
  20. nicksaviking
    What's a level head? Just a toilet you can place your beer on without fear of it falling off?
  21. nicksaviking
    But why is it useless? Doesn't it help set Willie Mays, Ted Williams and Nolan Ryan in their own elite class? For those that think the HOF is too inclusive doesn't it help celebrate the very elite from the guys who's merits will always be debated?
  22. nicksaviking
    Well I'm not against it, but it sounds an awful lot like collusion. And I'd say the large $100-300 million contracts regularly handed out by the big clubs shows their disregard to keeping things in check. Even in smaller scopes, I think most people agree that the Jhonny Peralta signing by St. Louis wasn't doing anyone else a favor. The Cubs seemed to almost deliberately destroy the back of the rotation pitching market last year by doing this. I'm not sure what you mean by small market teams keeping things under control. It seems more like they just don't have the ability to do this and get crapped on by the larger clubs. It kind of sounds like a lower-middle class person protesting blood diamonds, knowing full well they couldn't afford one anyway.
  23. nicksaviking
    I think most people would say I'm not much of a front office supporter, but Ryan did say that on October 25th. At that time no one knew who would or would not be getting qualifying offers. For all we know Ryan told Wolfson this before Lincecum re-signed and he had his sights set on him. Perhaps there was a player he wanted who he was hoping wouldn't have his option picked up or perhaps he said this thinking the Twins might be able to make a play on McCann or Peralta and later realized those two would get rediculous offers. Still his original assertion that they wouldn't mind parting with the 2nd round pick always did seem as hollow as his assertion last year that they would go after really good free agent pitchers. Personally I do think this year is different, simply because I don't think legit sportswriters and agents both have ever credibly linked the Twins to top free agents before. Still pessimism seems to be justifyed as nothing has happened, thus we still have no track record to base positivity on. It's not like WE should have to prove ourselves to the Twins. THEY are the ones that rely on us, they need to prove themselves to us. I do get the frustration with all the negativity but since nothing has happned yet, every conversation basically boils down to "They will!" or "They won't!" It's kind of hard to fault those who are inclined to say "They won't" for not wanting sit out the conversations.
  24. nicksaviking
    Just playing devil's advocate, but Cuddyer wanted an extension but the Twins didn't put much effort into one and Jeter and Pettite played for the Yankees, a team that doesn't normally like to do extensions. I don't know that Guthrie was ever good enough to warrent an extension. Though when I heard the initial reports about Bailey getting shopped, every indication was that he wouldn't sign an extension.
  25. nicksaviking
    That would still require the Twins taking a huge leap of faith that Bailey doesn't just tell the Twins to screw off because he has a different destination in mind and it would also require Ryan making an unprescedented offer that Bailey knows he can't beat later. Free agents have done the first to the Twins many times and Ryan has done the later never. It would be foolish to assume the Twins can and will extend him. A trade shouldn't happen unless the assumption become an almost certain fact.
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