I think he's probably more like Wimmers. That's how the scouts/draft wonks make him sound anyway. These guys (like Wimmers) seem to strike guys out in college due to their control, but I don't think most expect those numbers to translate to the majors as the velocity and/or movement just isn't there to get it past many MLB batters. They did get some decent production, but aside from Garza and to a lesser degree Gibson and Gutierrez, none of them had dominant stuff and almost surely never had a chance to amount to a top the of the rotation pitcher. I understand the logic, as these guys had less risk of becoming a bust, but you're not going to get your ace if you take a "safe" pitcher outside of the top five. Everyone knew Wimmers was going to the Twins because they liked "safe" pitchers. He was said to be the guy likely to be quickest to the majors. So why didn't every other team jump at him? Because he had very little upside and that was more important to other teams Look at all the HS arms the Twins passed up playing it safe that year. Tijuan Walker, Aaron Sanchez, Noah Syndergaard, Jesse Biddle and Zack Lee were all picked after Wimmers and the end of the first round. You can't play the draft pick hindsight game, but you can play the draft strategy hindsight game. The Twins were conservative, that's not just my view, that was the view of nearly everyone who projected the guy with the most MLB ready control would fall all the way to the Twins at 21 and that they would take him. I agree though, I think that strategy has been revised, and I for one am happy. Saying that, I don't think there's any chance Nola is the pick at #5 unless he gains some velocity and starts to profile as an ace.