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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    But there's really no difference if the team wins Game 2 or Game 3 when you still need to win three games to advance. If the Twins go with Odorizzi in NY and Dobnak at home, I don't like their odds of winning either game. If they go with Dobnak in NY and Odorizzi at home, I at least give them reasonable odds of winning Game 3.
  2. nicksaviking
    My point was that they did not sign much in the way of pitching last offseason as they clearly prioritized the offense. Since they won 101 games maybe we need to consider that decisions or non-decisions they made were the right call.
  3. nicksaviking
    They need to get over this playoff funk obviously because my goal is to win the WS as I'm sure it is for everyone in the organization. But they won 101 games this year while prioritizing hitting over pitching last off season, so it seems they're on the right track as far as improving the quality of the team goes. Baldelli made some questionable bullpen calls but the organization has hired front office and coaches that are versed in contemporary baseball strategy and eager to try new things to create advantages for the team. I don't want to get swept by the Yankees, but I think an awful lot of people are blinded by two games and not seeing the giant and completely unexpected strides made this year.
  4. nicksaviking
    I think there’s only one pitcher better than Berríos on the free agent market next year.
  5. nicksaviking
    They can switch out Perez for Gibson against the Astros. I wouldn't bring along a LOOGY simply for one single batter though.
  6. nicksaviking
    Would you even offer a guy like that arbitration? Probably got to DFA him after his options are used up.
  7. nicksaviking
    I dare the Yankees to stick Stanton out in CF.
  8. nicksaviking
    If the regular season was the ALDS, the Twins take the Yankees to the fifth game with game 5 being one of the most dramatic playoff games of all time. Except this time the Yankees don't have Aaron Hicks to win it for them! (don't think too hard about who the Twins may or may not have)
  9. nicksaviking
    Tough call, if he gets extended it has to be this winter. Next year either he won’t want to or the team won’t want to, but the either way, the cards will all be down for all to see. I don’t think his bat goes backward from here; I think he’s a pretty easy 12 AB/HR player from here out. You can find room for him even if it’s DH in a couple years.
  10. nicksaviking
    I also am withholding judgment until he gets one more outing from the pen. KC and Detroit are subpar teams, but even if it was against the Astros, it would still have SSS issues. I'd base my decision solely on his velocity. He was back to hitting 94-95 last outing like he was last year and early this year. When he was ailing and not pitching well he was hitting 91-93. I think the velocity would be the only indicator I'd put any stock into at this time.
  11. nicksaviking
    I still want 100 wins, so I was glad to see Budweiser sponsor the after game festivities, no one could get too drunk and hungover off of that swill!
  12. nicksaviking
    If it's the Yankees I don't see any need for Perez or Thorpe. The Yankees left handed hitters are their least feared batters (Yeah, it's relative, all the Yankees hitters are smoking hot). You aren't going to LOOGY Gardner and Gregorious when it's the other 7 hitters you are most concerned with. I could understand the decision to bring Perez/Thorpe more against the Astros as Brantley and Alvarez tend to bat in the heart of the order and with a right hander batting between them.
  13. nicksaviking
    Gibson wasn't great last night, but his velocity was up 2 MPH from the most recent set back from his illness. If he gets one more outing where he's still sitting 94-95, I'd be much more amenable to giving him one of the bullpen spots. There's more to pitching than velocity obviously, but without any medical information to go on, I think it's probably the closest thing we can use to measure whether he's back to reasonable health.
  14. nicksaviking
    If a WS title is the top priority, it's harsh to say, but loyalty shouldn't be in the equation at all. With Gibson's situation seemingly stemming from an illness, chronic or otherwise, I'm not writing him off yet. I'm no doctor so if this is something that ebbs and flows and Gibson gets another outing or two and shows good stuff and doesn't look terribly taxed as he has recently, I'm not against giving him a roster spot. I have no idea if he can bounce back from what ails him, but my unfamiliarity with this gives me less pause than if he was trying to play through an injury, which I've rarely seen work out. I mean aside from that other Gibson fella back in 1988.
  15. nicksaviking
    I might then argue for the extra bench bat if I thought neither Thorpe or Perez brought a net positive to the roster, and I don't. Maybe I'd go with an extra bat if it's against Houston who has the superior rotation and could be a pinch hit away from getting to their pen, and the extra arm against the Yankees who are better offensively and might be more taxing on the bullpen.
  16. nicksaviking
    Houston and New York are about as right-handed as you can get, I don’t think I’d save a LOOGY spot for Perez.
  17. nicksaviking
    I guess the one thing I would argue against in the Dobnak/Arraez comparison would be that it's probably not entirely about the counting stats. By any analysis aside from power, Arraez is clearly a better hitter and all around player than Schoop is at this point in their careers. Perez, for all of his struggles, still has immensely better stuff than Dobnak and Smeltzer, who both would probably be considered "crafty" at best. I'd take both of them on the playoff roster over Perez, but I don't think it's a slam dunk and while I wish there had been better options to replace him earlier, I can see why his superior velocity, movement and repertoire caused him to remain in the rotation longer than he should have. Perez's leash may have been too long, but only because unlike Arraez, I don't think anyone is comfortable with the alternatives either. There's not a ton that is going to ease my mind about a starter going up against the Yankees after I see the number 90 on a radar gun. Neither NY or HOU is very lefty heavy so my choices if it's determined Gibson is back to relative health: Odorizzi, Berrios, Rogers, Romo, Duffey, May and Littell should be givens providing they stay healthy this final week. They need at least 4 more arms... maybe 5. Who gets those 4 spots and who doesn't? Gibson? Perez? Smeltzer? Dobnak? Thorpe? Graterol? Stashak?
  18. nicksaviking
    If those are the alternatives, I think I'd rather have Gibson. Mostly because I think you found your 3/36M figure from last year's extension discussion threads. If Gibson gets better than a one year deal + an option year he's got the best agent on the planet.
  19. nicksaviking
    I'm not the type to admonish either action, though I guess if I had to weigh the two offenses, I'd put the not hustling on a grounder as more of a no-no if only because of intent. It's not like if someone told Rosario the second the ball left his bat that it was going to hit the wall he wouldn't have sprinted out of the box, I'm sure he would have been all smiles had he gotten a triple. On the other hand, conceding a grounder is willfully choosing not to take the chance that the fielder may bungle the play, which isn't out of the realm of possibilities. But again, I'm not a hardliner on this stuff, I've come to accept both as atypical but still common elements of the game and I'd do little more than roll my eyes.
  20. nicksaviking
    Admiring a HR that doesn't turn out to be HR seems pretty historically common. I could go either way on sending a message, except that a leader like Marwin Gonzalez didn't run out a grounder yesterday, (maybe his oblique hurt? dunno) which seems like a bigger faux pas to me. I don't know how you discipline Rosario and let a team leader off the hook.
  21. nicksaviking
    Unless they're MVP candidates, extending young players is still cheap until at least year three, and if Arraez isn't playing a premium position and doesn't possess at least league average power, his arbitration figures probably aren't even going to be very high. Giving him $25M now to buy out two free agent years instead of $35M in 2021 doesn't seem like a great bargain when you factor in the risks of regression, or the possibility of significant injury.
  22. nicksaviking
    While he might develop more pop, I don't think his swing is geared for that, so unless he revamps his approach at the plate, I think any increase in HR would be minimal to moderate. Rod Carew probably would have hit more HR had he changed approaches but then may not have won those batting titles. What's strange to me is that he's already renowned for his plate discipline but I can't think of a Twin who has had more balls called strikes by the umpires this season than Arraez. It almost seems like the umpires are instinctively putting the rookie in his place.
  23. nicksaviking
    If the Twins play the Yankees, in the games that Paxton isn't starting I hope the Twins keep the lineup pretty balanced. The Yankees rotation is terrible and their pen is really solid; I'd be worried they might try Milwaukee's trick from last year where the Brewers ran Wade Miley out for one batter to ensure a righty heavy lineup for the Dodgers (who still won the game).
  24. nicksaviking
    I don't know, and I don't really care since it's over and done with, but IF he spent his offseason in the DR, which most DR players seem to do, my guess would be he just picked it up there and had been popping those pills regularly after the team asked him to lose weight over the winter, as teams are wont to do with their larger players. I doubt the trainers are hanging out in Santo Domingo too often. I wouldn't advocate for keeping players from their home towns, but it sure would be nice if the Twins (and other teams) could find a compelling way to have their players and staff from all levels of the organization to call Ft Myers their winter home.
  25. nicksaviking
    Oof, so the red shirts gotta survive in this scenario?
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