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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. They also are reported to have their eye on a 2B who wants $300 million. Texas loves them some middle infield.
  2. Yes. Especially considering the posting fee won't be counting toward payroll when the Twins may actually be concerend about extending any hypothetical young stud. It's basically a reverse Bonilla. Damn that Mets contract makes me laugh every time. Take the hit now and it will be off the books this time next year.
  3. Well that's not exactly something we can say with certainty. If free agency is an indicator, Ryan generally picks quantity over quality. Either way, my biggest beef was the same as last year with the Liriano trade. I didn't much care that the return was so little, I cared that the Twins gave up two 40-man spots in exchange for one. At the time, last year in my estimation I thought Hernadez and Escobar were the 36th and 40th worst players on the Twins 40 man, but even though both likely should have been options to be removed if needed, both would obvsiously be out of consideration for removal as Ryan would want to first try to get some value out of them. Same this year with Presley and Welker, though to be fair I wouldn't rank either as low. Though that may have more to do with the nearly impossible to believe decrease in quality of the 40-man roster from last year.
  4. Well as you mentioned, one can at least point to Pelfrey as far as the softening of the splitter stance goes, but I really didn't mean to imply they have changed in that regard. I merely meant to point out that the Twins have shown what appears to be reluctant change in other areas recently which may mean they would be willing to reluctantly change on this issue as well. Though the fact that they actually sent scouts to watch him may be further evidence. Surely the Twins had a scouting report that showed heavy doses of splitters prior to buying the plane tickets.
  5. Nice stuff, and good to hear the scouts downplay Sano's K's. While Alverez would be nice to have, it would be a bit disappointing if Sano had the same K and OBP issues.
  6. The Twins also believed that the strikeout caused automatic admission to Hades. I don't defend the front office much lately but their recent draft picks and trade targets suggest they have softened on this one. A bit. I suspect at times they have learned from past conservative errors. (See righthander Hardy wanting to pull everything in 2010 followed by a successfull 2011 with Baltimore then mysteriously righthanders Willingham and Plouffe getting no static about pulling everying in 2012) Perhaps they don't learn as fast as other clubs or as fast as we would like, but it's possible for them to adjust seemingly statuesque stances once in awhile. Still, I'm in the camp that Tanaka isn't coming. I just wish we would be able to find out what the Twins actually bid so we could compare it to the winner.
  7. I'm guessing even if he's right it's still misleading. The Yankees, Dodgers and Red Sox surely will skew any kind of average. The 6-10 teams or 6-13 (I believe the Twins are 14) likely aren't anywhere near $80 million more than the Twins. Regardless, no one is asking for the elite free agents, it would just be nice to go after 2nd tier guys once in awhile. I think Scott Kazmir was who prompted this portion of the discussion, is he even 2nd tier? Pretty borderline if he is.
  8. I too would FAINT in shock if the Twins signed Tanaka.
  9. Ha we'll my post was just in fun, I just found it funny we got two Nietzsche references in two days. Besides, your post was much more positive than anything the other guy would write.
  10. True, I guess I have in mind the disappointing season from Justin Upton considering his start to the year and the Jason Heyword letdown. More glaring are the historically bad seasons by BJ and Uggla. Those two would even stand out in the Twins lineup. If you looked hard enough.
  11. Good work guys, though I laughed a little big about the Cardinals being in the mix. Quite a limb you went out on there RB! The Braves winning with pitching was a pretty good prediction considering their big paydays to offensive players this past offseason. In fact they won despite the hitting.
  12. Pohlad is saying the right things and Ryan needs to continue the rhetoric. Ryan complained about free agents not wanting to come here last year weeks after saying that he didn't think there were many good free agents available. Way to butter them up Terry. Having an owner throw around quotes like this is a pretty big step in the right direction. Let everyone know the Twins are open for business and are willing to spend to help the cause. Of course free agents don't want to come here if it looks like they will be a lone acquisition on a losing team. I'll bet they will come here if it looks like you are trying to assemble an ensamble cast to mesh with a load of young talent. Look at Cleveland last year. Ryan better not drop the ball on this, I'd like to hear him re-itterate this sentiment soon which will help free agent rumors mention Minnesota as a reasonable landing spot.
  13. Don't think we're not on to you Shane. Did you change your avatar AND name? Or have you now recruited your poor, anarchist, Nietzche-loving students to the site! Twins Daily is Dead!
  14. Does he have to go? I mean they're not even playing baseball there anymore this year!
  15. That's all fine and true but my point simply was that Beane most likely wouldn't have extended either Blackburn or Mays but would have been more likely to have looked to move them. Whether he got stud players back in return is really immaterial, (though Beane has done great when moving pitchers) the point is that he would have been more likely to flip these guys at their peak.
  16. You asked what Beane would have done differently. With his track record, trading pitchers at their peak was something he has done and the Twins generally have not. Nick Blackburn is not a good pitcher, but back in the day he was A) a top 100 prospect and a central cog in the stable but unspecatacular Twins rotation. His first couple of years look pretty close to Trevor Cahill's who Beane got a great of a return for. Liriano may not have gotten what Gio Gonzalez did, though it surely would have been closer to that return than to what the Twins actually got for him. As to the managers? Well they platoon the hell out of their lineups, the use defensive shifts. I don't know, what are you looking for? Are you trying to say Beane doesn't hire managers who will play Beane's style of baseball? Or are you trying to say Beene's teams don't actually play baseball with advanced statistics in mind? I'm simply answering your question. I really don't think anyone would truely think Beane would have run the team the same why Ryan/Smith did.
  17. There is nothing to disagree with Nick's post though the first half doesn't seem to match the second. You're right, there is no need for firings...if they are willing to change their flaws and outdated ideas. But the second half of the article methodically lists the many examples where, specifically Ryan, refuse to change or take responsibility. Isn't his unwillingness to adapt and rectify reason enough to think about a change?
  18. I think what Puck was implying and what I agree with, is that perhaps the biggest motivation for the Roenicke move was his high walk total. I can't speak for him, but my post certainly wasn't an indictment on the front office for not using any kind of advanced metrics to decide on this move. Maybe they did do a more thorough investigation, and if they did, I'd be thrilled, but you don't need any measure inspired by Bill James to tell that Roenicke isn't a very effective pitcher. His high walk total (along with low strikeout total) is good enough to dump him in my book.
  19. Which is why I'm not a big fan of WHIP. It gives equal weight to walks and hits when hits are clearly more of a detriment. I'd rather my pitcher have an 8.5 H/9 and a 4.0 BB/9 than a 10.5 H/9 and a 2.0 BB/9. My gut tells me the Twins see the 2.0 BB/9 and like that guy best.
  20. Are you mad?! You're surely creating anarchists and your intentions to do so in this forum are now quite clear! For shame, FOR SHAME!!
  21. I don't disagree, I'm just suggesting the front office better be prepared to hear people screaming for him if they chose to not field an adaquate CF'er. I further surmised that if the front office DID want an excuse to show off Buxton before they show off Target Field at the All-Star game, they would likely field awful CF'ers to make the decision easier on themselves.
  22. The poor CF outlook is really priming the front office to be in a tough position next year. We all know what the chorus will be if (when?) the CF options at the MLB level fail. They better be prepared to hear calls for Buxton starting in spring training if they fail to remedy the situation before hand, because these demands will be coming from rubes and experts alike if Buxton shows any competency is first weeks at AA. Of course if they were looking for an excuse deviate from their comfort zone and promote Buxton previous to the Target Field hosted All-Star game, there's probably no better way than to field inadaquate CF'ers to begin with.
  23. He might have been able to fool them with the ERA but you'll never be able to slip the old BB/9 by this club. Sometimes I get the feeling a walk is about the worst outcome possible for some of those in charge.
  24. My guess is Beane would have started flipping the young pitchers when they peaked instead of waiting until their nadir and when their service time became a salary burden. Think about how nice it would have been to actually get something of a return for Blackburn instead of being saddled with that rediculous contract. Garza may still have been traded, but Beane surely wouldn't have taken back a return of the OBP-phobic Delmon Young. As Beane has had a history of moving pitchers at their peak, or at least not when they are in the basement, I think it would also be a reasonable assumption he would have moved Liriano after his successful, but red flagged, 2010 season. Either that or hire a pitching coach and manager who didn't insist on an approach that naturally led to more balls being put into play. Of course that last sentance speaks a lot. Beane would have wanted a coaching staff more ameniable to new age baseball ideas.
  25. Nice general break down. I don't think there is a lot to quibble with in there.
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