Darius
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Everything posted by Darius
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What's Wrong with the Twins? A Fizzling Core
Darius replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Good grief, people are now starting to disaprage Rowson in the comments? He's done wonder s with Rosario and Escobar. He did the same last year with Polanco and a stretch with Buxton. Kepler has slowed down, but he's got him hitting lefties competently. The guy is good coach, and they need to keep him around. Its completely unreasonable to put Buxton's typical agonizing start and injuries, Dozier's typical disappearing act for 3/4 of the season, Polanco's PED suspension, Sano's injuries/plethora of issues on Rowson. What in the name of Pete is Rowson supposed to do with Wilson, Petit, LaMarre, Grossman, Adrianza, etc? This is a professional sports team in Minnesota. This is what happens. Seasons get derailed by this or that every year. I'm not ready to call Rowson an issue just yet. Not after seeing him turn a lineup of misfits into the premier unit in the American League for a significant portion of 2017. -
CHW 5, MIN 2: Time is Running Out
Darius replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
A lot of people seem to think this team is a sleeping giant waiting to awaken. I used to think that. I'm not sure anymore. Dozier and Sano are the drivers of this lineup, even with Rosario and Escobar hitting well. Those were the 40 homer type guys that can hit them in bunches and put teams away by themselves. They're pretty bad this year and there isn't much light at the end of their tunnels right now. -
I'm not sure the math adds up, but maybe I'm not following. Slot is $1.1M in the second, and you "save" 600K. Say you save $1M in the first round. Now, say slot is $600k in the third. In the second you'd have the $2.1 million to allocate to a player. In the third you'd have $2.2. So why not just take the guy you want in the second? What difference does $100K make?
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I don't know much about the guy. But, all you hear these days are that guys with limited defensive ability/flexibilty, limited athletic ability, and decent bats/power are pretty replaceable. It doesn't seem to difficult to find a RF/1B/DH type that can hit a little bit for cheap (Logan Morrison darn near had to pay his way onto a roster after nearly hitting 40 HRs). So, that being the case, I hope the kid can flat-out rake. It seems like Rooker was a more established hitter who was closer to majors and was taken later in the draft. Kind of head scratching. So, maybe more upside is there? I would've preferred one of the pitchers, but who am I to say. If they use this to pick up a guy a little later that falls due to signability issues (Enlow type), I'll feel pretty good about it.
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Just looking at the comp picks, and I'm confused (don't know the formula, I guess). It seems ridiculous to me that Tampa gets the 31st and 32nd picks for Alex Cobb and Darren Rasmussen. Higher than the Royals losing Cain and Hosmer. Is there somebody record based input? Also, how do the Cardinals and Indians get competitive balance picks ahead of the Marlins, Athletics, Reds. I know that is based on revenue and record, so it seems a little strange. Again, not a big MLB draftnick, but some of these arbitrary comp picks seem a little off.
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I find the "best player available," cliche to be kind of absurd. 1). How is that even something you can quantify, given the multitude of positions? What metric do you use to determine this SS is better than that SP in the first place? 2). There is no consensus for BPA, probably even within the same front office. 3) There are sign-ability considerations. Within those sign-ability considerations, every pick is made under the pretense that the selection is the best player available for that team. 4). If a front office passes on a player B that they can sign, that is better than player A, just for the hell of taking player A, they wouldn't have a job long. 5). Position fluidity makes it nearly impossible to determine where these guys will end up, anyway. Tons of guys get drafted as Short stops and catchers and move to different positions. When do you ever see a high school pitcher drafted as a reliever (they're all starters). How do you put a value on that? You have no way of know if player A will be blocked by player B in rookie ball. My point: Everyone thinks they are drafting BPA. Nobody has to be reminded to take BPA, and there is no other viable draft strategy that has ever existed. Nobody walks away from the war room saying, "we did good job of staying away from the better players this year boys, we should be set for 2022." Only fans think "Royce Lewis when we already have Nick Gordon? What the hell?"
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Week in Review: Offense Takes Flight
Darius replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Something else: A coach of mine in college used to do something where he would verbally say "score" while giving the stop sign. Or "hold up" etc, while waving a person around. We would discuss which cues to follow before the game. It's design was to try and get throw home, which could end up in error or allow a trailing runner to advance. Not saying that's what happened here. But, you can't always pay attention to the physical cue.- 21 replies
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- eddie rosario
- miguel sano
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(and 1 more)
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Week in Review: Offense Takes Flight
Darius replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
My weekly summary is as follows: Eddie Rosario. There is no way to take it easy on Glynn now this one. It was an awful, awful decisions on multiple levels, no matter the situation (on-deck hitter, score, number of outs, etc). First, it was clear that he had no chance from the get go. Adrianza isn't fast, despite the stereotypes related to his role (diminutive utility guy). Just an opinion there. Mainly, there is one out, and Wilson is on deck. Sure, that's not ideal. But, after that, Dozier is set to come up with two outs....and he's been on fire. If he's walked intentionally, the hottest hitter on planet earth is up with the bases loadedz Instead, Dozier leads off the next inning with nobody on base. It ended up working out, but IMO it was a colossal misevaluation of the situation. To be clear, it's not an easy thing. It's a decision made in a fraction of a second. But, when that's your job it comes with some expectation of excellence.- 21 replies
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- eddie rosario
- miguel sano
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(and 1 more)
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MIN 7, CLE 5: EDDIE! EDDIE! EDDIE!
Darius replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
To each his own. But, IMO, if a guy is giving up a ton of dingers in recent days/weeks, I'm going with the hot hand during a one-run game in the 8th against the team you have to beat to make the playoffs. If they think he gives them the best chance, but has been pitching terribly lately, arent they basing that on the history of his career before the struggles? I'm not even upset that they gave him the eigth. I just replied my thoughts to a discussion initiated by another poster. I don't think it could really be disputed that if they were more fluid with the bullpen, they'd probably have a few more wins right now. I'm not calling for a players head, or anything. When Rodney was struggling and Reed was great, switch things up. When Reed is struggling and Hildenberger, Duke, etc are pitching well, switch things up. I don't think it's really that controversial....but the predefined bullpen role paradigm runs deep in some folks, including our manager. -
MIN 7, CLE 5: EDDIE! EDDIE! EDDIE!
Darius replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
IMO, it's all Dozier. Rosario has been good all year. But, Dozier gets out of his annual brutal slump, and they all of the sudden start looking like a competent offensive club again. -
MIN 7, CLE 5: EDDIE! EDDIE! EDDIE!
Darius replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
That just seems like common sense, right? Apparently, there is unwritten rule that you can't bump a guy from his spot due to performance (see Rodney's first few weeks -- wouldn't it be nice to have one or two of those games back right now?). You MUST let him work it out in his accustomed high-leverage role, because of history or gentlemans agreements and handshakes or something. There is no doubt in my mind he'll work it out. But, I agree, when you're pitching poorly and giving up moonshot after moonshot.....probably not the best idea to let him work out during a tie game in the 8th. -
Game Thread: Indians @ Twins, 6/3 @ 1:10 CT
Darius replied to Danchat's topic in Archived Game Threads
A fantasy baseball factoid: A points system isn't perfect, but it does a pretty good job of reflecting offensive value. For those who don't play, it's a point for every base (1 for single, 2 for double, and so on), a point for a walk, RBI, and run, and minus a point for a K. Again, not perfect, but pretty accurate. For example Mike Trout is the #1 OF in terms of points scored, Betts is #2, and so on. After tonight, Rosario is about to take over Judge for the 7th highest scoring outfielder in the entire MLB. 5 points shy of Bryce Harper. He's all of the sudden one of the best offensive outfielders in the game. Keep in mind that this doesn't reflect defense in any way, but pretty darn impressive to be in that company at the plate.- 280 replies
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Game Thread: Indians @ Twins, 6/3 @ 1:10 CT
Darius replied to Danchat's topic in Archived Game Threads
Just watched back all three of Rosario's HRs. First one, the pitch was a foot outside and at his knees and went to left. Second one was well inside around his knees and went to right. Third was up and away, probably a ball, and went to center. Amazing. There may not be another human on earth that could do that (including Judge and Stanton in that tiny ballpark in NY).- 280 replies
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Game Thread: Indians @ Twins, 6/3 @ 1:10 CT
Darius replied to Danchat's topic in Archived Game Threads
What more can be said about Rosario at this point? What a monster. Also, $$$$$$.- 280 replies
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Game Thread: Indians @ Twins, 6/3 @ 1:10 CT
Darius replied to Danchat's topic in Archived Game Threads
Even with Wilson coming up, I hate that decision to possibly run into the second out at home there. Even if Wilson can't get it done, you have a hitter that's getting hit coming up with two down in Dozier.- 280 replies
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Game Thread: Indians @ Twins, 6/3 @ 1:10 CT
Darius replied to Danchat's topic in Archived Game Threads
This is a pretty big game. A win moves the Twins within 3.5 of Indians, with a 4-gamer against the White Sox coming up (worst team in the AL, in my estimation). There's another 3-gamer with the Indians coming up in June, another 3-gamer with the White Sox, and 3-gamers with the Tigers and Rangers. The tougher series in June against the Angela and Red Sox are both played at home. If this team is going to get back into it, June is the time to do it. Taking 3 of 4 from the Tribe today would be a good start.- 280 replies
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Twins Minor League Report (6/2): Yabba Da-Baddoo!
Darius replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The Wade double anomaly is very strange.- 17 replies
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- akil baddoo
- lamonte wade jr
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WOLFSON: Zack Littell to Make MLB Debut Tuesday
Darius replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Good for Littell. Pretty good timing to get a kid pitching well up for a start. If they take 3 of 4 from Cleveland today, then go do some damage in a 4 gamer with the Sox, they could find themselves back working striking distance. They have a couple of tough series outside of the division this month (Bos and LAA), but they have another set with Cleveland, as well as the White Sox, Tigers, and Rangers. -
How a fan could be opposed to this is kind flabbergasting. 1). How bad can he possible be in the locker room? Was he holding the Red Sox from a 162-0 season? 2). The guy can still hit well enough to supplant multiple guys in this lineup. We need a RH bat. 3). He'd get DH at-bats. Those that Grossman or light-hitter dejour gets. The position flexibility is basically meaningless, as Grossman only plays the corner OF spots, and plays them very poorly. You have guys like LaMarre, Wade, Granite to play defense. You're losing nothing there. 4). If he comes here and he rakes, you dump him at the deadline. 5). He'll cost nothing, so if he stinks you send him down the road again. What exactly is the downside? I could care less about the $600k, or whatever. The owners are rich enough that they probably don't either.
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As soon as I write the club off, they get themselves in a position to take 3 of 4 from Cleveland. Rosario is unreal. Since Puckett, I can't think of a player I enjoy watching more. It's not only the wild swing, but the passion with which he plays the game. His enthusiasm while rounding the bases after a homer, while still not bat flipping and showing others up like a dunce, is infectious. Another wild comparison that comes to mind: Vlad Guerrero. Has anyone other than he had this much success with that type approach? He's routinely taking pitches a foot out of the zone and driving then over the fence, while simultaneously sustaining a high BA. Pretty incredible.
- 26 replies
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- lance lynn
- eddie rosario
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Top Five Twins Prospects Who Should Be Promoted
Darius replied to Jonathon Zenk's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Joe Mauer made his major league debut at age 20. Kiriloff is in CR at 20. Not really sure there is or should be a comparison there.- 26 replies
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- todd van steensel
- royce lewis
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Twins Minor League Report (6/1): Miracle Return For Jax
Darius replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
It's a little strange to me that the military would let some if its best and brightest go for the sake of playing a game. You look at the flip-side, Ted Williams took a break in his prime to serve around the time of WWII. Pat Tillman put a promising career on hold to go fight after 9/11. Jackie Robinson was drafted to fight in WWII. David Robinson went to the Naval Academy, and fulfilled his service before beginning his NBA career. Roger Staubach fulfilled his service after the Air Force Academy and fought in Vietnam. DiMaggio voluntarily put his career on hold to fight. Current NFL O-Lineman Alejandro Villanueva served multiple tours in Afghanistan after West Point, prior the NFL. Not disparaging anyone, here, but I'm not sure I like the idea of certain giving high profile an atheletes a pass to play a game. I don't like the precedent it sets, and I'm sure it rubs a lot of his fellow average-joe sailors the wrong way that he gets preferential treatment. I know I would've been a little miffed that the Marine Corps was forcing me to fulfil my duty that I willingly signed on for by risking my life, whole showing preference to others based on nothing that has to do with the military. For example, if I was an especially talented financial analyst who happened to learn that craft at a military academy, would they have let me out to go make millions at a hedge fund on Wall Street?- 17 replies
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- griffin jax
- alex kirilloff
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MIN 7, CLE 4: Escobar é o Fogo
Darius replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
That Sano double was an absolute rocket. Considering the density of our atmosphere, gravity, et al, I'm by sure a baseball can be hit much harder (the record is around 120 mph, but I'm skeptical of these meaurememt techniques if Sano's double was said to be nearly 10 mph slower).- 11 replies
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- eduardo escobar
- jose berrios
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The Anatomy of a Failing Offense
Darius replied to Jamie Cameron's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Dozier shouldn't be a surprise. It's the story of his career at this point. He's terrible for significant stretches of the season, then goes off for a few weeks to make his stats look resptable. I've been calling him overrated for about two years now, and I'm typically only met with insults. He's never been great defensively (it's beyond me how he won a gold glove). He kills the team by demanding the lead off spot, and the most plate appearances. He Ks in every close and late PA. There is a reason why they couldn't get anything for the guy, despite a bargain contract and what appears to be elite production on paper. He's been the marquee player now during how many 90+ loss campaigns? He's a nice player, and would fit well on a lot of teams.....but he's just not as good as he is perceived to be.- 28 replies
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- brian dozier
- byron buxton
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Going forward, what moves do you think will happen?
Darius replied to gunnarthor's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
If theyre trading Buxton and Sano, it's a rebuild.

