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SarasotaBill

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Everything posted by SarasotaBill

  1. SarasotaBill
    1. Sign Darvish 2. Tell Otani that he can have the same schedule as Japan. Pitch on Sunday and DH/OF the rest of the week. 3. Sell Otani on great defense (lower ERA) and young team that will only get better. 4. Sell Otani on MidWest charm and lower cost of living. 5. Sign Otani.
  2. SarasotaBill
    When the rosters expand in September and the Twins are home you could start Gimenez and bat him ninth. When his turn comes up in the 2nd or 3rd you could pinch hit him and bring in Castro as the defensive replacement. You would still have Garver in case Castro gets hurt. I'm not sure at this time any bench players are that much better than Castro to use up two players for one at bat early in the game. More likely is a late inning PH for the catcher and defensive C substitution.
  3. SarasotaBill
    My understanding is a player needs to be on the 40 to play in MLB. Falvey must plan today with the off season, next season, and the next off season in mind. Things change but he has to have a plan (it might include making a trade for a Ace). If you only plan for today then you will need to remove players off the 40 which then exposes them to the Padres or other weak team 40 man roster. There's a reason Falvey has brought up non-prospect players as fill-ins.
  4. SarasotaBill
    The projected 40 man roster in the off season influences who gets called up or not. For example, Slegers may not be called up because they don't plan to put him on the 40.
  5. SarasotaBill
    Only givens should be brought up in September. You don't want to have to remove a player from the 40 in the off-season and let another team not have to use their 25 to steal them.
  6. SarasotaBill
    Good recovery after making the mistake for trading for Garcia. The Twins need to selling any short term asset.
  7. SarasotaBill
    Teams didn't want to outbid the Twins earlier this week for Garcia but may pay more for him within the week. I'm sorry that doesn't make any sense. Garcia doesn't help in the future since he's a free agent.
  8. SarasotaBill
    Like the possible upside
  9. SarasotaBill
    If you are buying when you should be selling then you are fooled. I'm fine if they can't find any good deals for selling (don't sell for the sake of selling) but you should not be buying.
  10. SarasotaBill
    Falvey got fooled by first half since the Indians and Royals under performed. Only need to look at runs differential and Astros/RedSox and understand 2017 is not the Twins year to go for it. Patience is tough after so many dreadful years but the GM has to understand the percentages of roster peak performance vs. the rest of the league. The Twins are set up for 2019 (assuming Gonsalves and Romero have growing pains next year like Berrios did last year) and beyond. 2019 Starters: Berrios Free Agent Ace Mejia Gonsalves Romero Back Ups - May, Stewart, Jorge, Thorpe, Rodriguez
  11. SarasotaBill
    Besides Berrios who were the pitching prospects in the Twins in the past ten years? Starters: Gonsalves, Romano, Thorpe, Stewart, Jorge plus others. Relievers: Reed, Curtis, Burdi, Rosario plus others Players start their peak years after a few years of MLB experience. Kepler, Sano, Buxton, Rosario, Gordon, and others will be better in two years. In two years, the Twins can replace the Mauer contract with a top free agent ace pitcher. Look at the number of top end prospects and very young players on the Twins. You have to look out 2-3 years or you will repeat the same mistakes over and over again. You are kidding yourself if you think the Twins are even close to the Astros level in 2017.
  12. SarasotaBill
    Garcia is below average. Burdi has high end potential - 100 Mph. Twins timing is not now. It's in 2019 - 2021. Theo traded Samardzija & Hammel in 2014. Cubs won World Series in 2016. Theo has traded prospects in 2016 & 2017 because the timing is now for them.
  13. SarasotaBill
    Garcia will have a ERA over 5 in the AL. Losing any high potential prospect for a half year rental of a blah pitcher is a bad idea. For what, to get into a wild card game? A percentage of prospects will make it. A percentage of high end prospects will make a big impact. 2019 to 2021 are the prime years for the Twins prospect pipeline.
  14. SarasotaBill
    Headline: Garcia pitched a great game last night. Reality: 3 runs in 7 innings is an ERA close to 4 without pitching to a DH. Blah. Falvey - I'm ordering you not to trade any high potential player.
  15. SarasotaBill
    Pass The Twins are not optimized for 2017. I thought Falvey was better than this.
  16. SarasotaBill
    When the numbers come out, they will provide further insight. In the mean time, my guess is they valued getting Leach at under slot and thought there would be a few overslot guys remaining after the first day. General analytics would assume price dropping overnight. Maybe the overslot guys price dropped overnight from 2.6 (slot #24) to 2.2M (slot #30). If so, another 400k saved to add more talent.
  17. SarasotaBill
    Derek & Thad had a plan: -- maximize talent by squeezing the top draft pick -- see if McKay would accept a under slot #4 pick deal to save even more -- favor position over pitcher at 1:1 to lower risk -- obviously really wanted Rooker at 35 -- do an over slot deal in the 3rd instead of the 2nd to lower risk (could negotiate overnight) Their draft seems to have had good reviews. We'll know a lot more in 4 years.
  18. SarasotaBill
    This should be the trade basis: The Chicago Cubs have traded starting pitchers Jeff Samardzija and Jason Hammel to the Oakland Athletics for 2012 first-round pick Addison Russell, 2013 first-round pick Billy McKinney, pitcher Dan Straily and a player to be named later, the Cubs announced Saturday. Acquiring Jeff Samardzija and Jason Hammel from the Cubs puts the A's in a strong position for the rest of this season, David Schoenfield writes. Samardzija, 29, is 2-7 with a 2.83 ERA this season. Hammel, 31, is 7-5 with a 2.98 ERA after his latest win, earlier Friday against the Washington Nationals. Hammel is set to become a free agent after this season, while Samardzija has one more year of arbitration before becoming a free agent.
  19. SarasotaBill
    RELAX. Twins have the first pick on waiver wire and they're probably setting up initial roster to minimize 40 man roster decisions. Let's check the 25 man roster in two weeks before jumping off the bridge. Hopefully the older bullpen arms have good first halves to flip them for prospects.
  20. SarasotaBill
    Dodgers needed a big RH bat vs. LHP. Dozier .965 OPS Forsythe .775 OPS If Dogers were trying to steal Dozier with Forsythe as the back-up plan then I say sometimes the best deals are the deals that you don't make.
  21. SarasotaBill
    Padres beat write saying: Diaz traded for Haley, PTBNL, and cash
  22. SarasotaBill
    After the Rays/Twins trade (Young for Garza), the Rays GM said it was much easier to replace a OF with a platoon than find a starting pitcher. I know that sounds simple but the Twins were stuck in the 1970s concerning platoons.
  23. SarasotaBill
    Another A.L. scout told me that if he was making the call, he’d take Wright first overall right now. Does the scout's team have the 2nd pick?
  24. SarasotaBill
    I would have the order: 6. Mejia (AA & AAA production) 7. Stewart (very good ERA but BB/K needs improvement) 8. Javier (potential) 9. Blankenhorn (2B defensive concerns & lower level) 10. Diaz (DH/1B & lower level) After QB in football, starting pitching is the most important position (See Giants).
  25. SarasotaBill
    Graterol sounds interesting but too high. I would have swap Hildenberger and Granite. Hildenberger was drafted low and people may compare him to Slama but his control is five times better. Thorpe could be top ten a year from now.
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