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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    They have left themselves without any option in LF. That happened as soon as they retained Willingham. They also don't have anyone that looks like they are going to hit well at DH. Kubel, Parmelee and Colabello have projections that center around a .700 OPS. If they had a Thome or Ortiz at DH, of course it makes sense to play a Willingham in LF. They don't. Use Willingham at DH. Keep his legs healthy and try to maximize his return at the plate. Find some defense in LF that can approach the 700 OPS expected of the trio above. Even falling short, the rest can be made up with the glove. Our fly ball pitchers deserve better.
  2. jorgenswest
    Like Hunter and Gomez, his defense will keep him in the game long enough to develop offensive value. Hopefully that will be in the Twin organization. For this year, the a Twins might bat him 9th with Dozier lead off and Mauer batting second. Too bad they have two other guys in Suzuki and Florimon that are number 9 hitters.
  3. jorgenswest
    It is so apparent that Willingham has lost another step in left field. The Twins made a big mistake when they didn't allow him to go to the Orioles. They did nothing this winter to address left field and have no options other than Parmelee. At least Parmelee might give the appearance of effort. Willingham needs to be DH only. The thought that playing him in LF increases his value is misguided. No contending team watching him play would consider him an option in LF. Release Kubel. Put Willingham at DH. Search the waiver wire for someone who can play defense.
  4. jorgenswest
    The safe route is to never trade established position players for young pitchers. The position player side will win the trade more often. It may take four or five similar trades to win on one. Solid above average starting pitchers are so hard to find it might be worth winning on just one of four. They will likely lose the Span deal also. Meyer may get injured. He may be a reliever. Regardless of how May and Meyer turn out, I still believe the Twins need to make those kinds do deals until they rebuild the pitching throughout the organization.
  5. jorgenswest
    The innings will be good for his development and moving back to a relief role is not difficult. This move will not hurt his development. It does appear crowded, but there will be injuries and starters will be needed.
  6. jorgenswest
    The optimism of spring has me envisioning Gibson as the number 5 starter and Meyer pitching so well he pushes Correia to the pen in May. This won't be a result of Correia pitching poorly but rather at his career norm. It was a sign of the Pirate turn around when he was moved to their pen during the 2012 season. Correia's ability to hold on runners and retain his level of performance with runners on base makes him a good fit for the pen.
  7. jorgenswest
    Two thoughts... Worley can now have a long stretch in AAA to see if he can get it back as a starter. They can also see how he pitches from the pen. Many failed starters have long careers as relievers. The Twins get that opportunity now. He is off the 40 and needs a long stretch in AAA. Regardless of his performance early in the season, he needs to show sustained success. The Revere trade is one they should make again. Every trade for a pitcher is a risk. Position players are always more stable. Starting pitching is a rare commodity and worth the risk.
  8. jorgenswest
    The Royals name their top pitching prospect, 22 year old Yordano Ventura, the fifth starter. The Twins send out their 24 year old prospect early in spring training. They have Mike Pelfrey and Kevin Correia filling the spots. The Royals handed over full time catching duties to Perez at 22 after debuting at 21. The Twins sign journeyman Suzuki and make him starter before camp because 8 years of developing Pinto at catcher may not be enough. Hosmer was a regular out of camp at 21. Would Sano have been this year? Buxton next? Are the Royals ruining their best prospects by letting them adjust and struggle in the majors? It is a new direction for them. They had a strong class of prospects and chose to play them young. Time will tell as the core hits 25-29 in a year or two. It is a direction the a Twins might consider.
  9. jorgenswest
    It makes logical sense, but there aren't comps for back of the rotation starters to get traded this time of year. I looked at trades the last several years and the return is either a player that isn't fitting on another teams roster or a non prospect. Would you trade Correia for a guy out of options that isn't making another team's roster as a 4th OF?
  10. jorgenswest
    I was surprised to read that the Tigers have no interest in Drew. http://www.detroitnews.com/article/20140316/SPORTS0104/303160051/0/sports0104/Free-agent-Stephen-Drew-not-savior-Tigers-thinking They say they will go within the organization.
  11. jorgenswest
    RBI has value. In a single game, it helps to tell the story of the game. If you only have a handful of columns in a box score to tell the story of a game, RBI should probably claim one of them. RBI is not predictive. It doesn't have value in projection. I am not sure RBI is overrated. It is misused when used for projections. In telling the story of a previous game or to a lesser extent a season, it is very helpful.
  12. jorgenswest
    If Hicks is the best defensive corner OF in baseball he doesn't need to have he power bat to play corner. Plenty of winning teams have had corner outfielder that brought great defense and speed.
  13. jorgenswest
    It is very rare to make a trade to get a real prospect at this time of year. I didn't find one the last 5 years. All teams feel the crunch of the roster spots. If they have a need on the pitching staff or on the bench, there will be players designated for assignment that can fill that need. There are some trades. The Twins might be able to match up with a team that has a 4th OF or utility player that would otherwise be designated for assignment in exchange for Worley or Diamond. It it isn't reasonable to expect a decent prospect. Any speculation should start with players on other teams in a similar position to Worley, Diamond and Parmelee.
  14. jorgenswest
    Another? Didn't they go 4-2 last year during the first week? It must have been one of their better weeks. I am certain they are following a plan based on B games, schedule and stretching out starters. They probably knew they were get down to this number on this date.
  15. jorgenswest
    They can't base them on the numbers. They shouldn't even look at the numbers. The sample is far too small and skewed by the varying level of competition. The numbers have no meaning for projecting performance during the season. They have to rely on what their coaches and scouts see in workouts, practices and games. The talent and ability of their coaches to discern which pitchers they retain and which they designate is critical to their future.
  16. jorgenswest
    The a Twins can't be so foolish to base any roster decision on spring training numbers. I hope they don't even look at them. The numbers are worthless in projecting how any player will perform in 2014.
  17. jorgenswest
    There seems to be conflicting reports on Guerrier and velocity. It could be different guns. Others have said he has tops out at 89. That is very different from 92-93.
  18. jorgenswest
    I don't understand the need. They had him with option through 2016. They had him in a contract that was trade friendly. Buying the 34 year old season of any reliever, 4 seasons down the road is a risk. I do understand honoring the loyalty. He was underpaid for his performance relative to other closers. He is a Minnesotan. This doesn't seem like a good business deal, but loyalty and treating players fairly can often be good business.
  19. jorgenswest
    This is Pinto's 9th season on the organization. They have developed him exclusively as a catcher. Any thought that a little more time in the minors is going to make a significant difference doesn't make sense. If there were easy things to fix with his catching fundamentals what have they been doing his last 8 years? If he isn't an adequate catcher, it is either a failure to develop his skill or a failure to recognize that he won't develop the skill. I think he will be an adequate catcher. This is the perfect year to play him the majority of time at catcher. It it is difficult to have a rookie catcher. It may cost games as he learns the league. Would we rather have that next year? Let's go through growing pains now. Pinto is not being blocked by a good regular. Suzuki is is a poor thrower and a poor framer. In the last three years pitchers throwing to the other catchers on his teams performed better. He will not hit well. He is a veteran that works well with pitchers. His experience has value as a back up to a rookie catcher. Let's use that veteran experience to help develop Pinto now. A 9th year in the minors is not going to help. The Twins need to find out this year if he can defend adequately at catcher. They need to know next winter if they have a solution at catcher.
  20. jorgenswest
    There are just no comps for a trades in March. I tried to find anything that was close to Correia traded for anything other than a player out of options on another team. Those trades aren't there for the last several years. It certainly isn't reasonable to expect. All teams have their own roster pressures. They are also tracking the players that may become available as other teams make roster decisions. There is little motivation to give up a prospect in March.
  21. jorgenswest
    I had to rereaad where I wrote scrap heap. Correia, Worley, Diamond and Deduno are all better than that. I looked to see that trades the last few springs in march before I wrote. The guys that move are the guys on the fringe. The pitchers who are the back of the rotation and likely out of options. The return is a similar player. The difference between the upside of a Worley and certainty of a Correia isn't great enough to motivate a team to deal a prospect. In my mind there is a lot of space between fringe and scrap. If Deduno pitches well and Meyer shows he is ready, Correia moves out. That's fringe... not scrap.
  22. jorgenswest
    I would think we are going to have several more threads about trading the surplus of number 5 starters (without the flexibility of options) for a prospect. While the Twins might be able to match up and pick up another optionless player on the fringe of a roster, I don't see any significant return for any of them. That expectation is unrealistic. Why trade with the Twins for their fringe? Teams can simply wait out which of the number 5 starters is DFA'd.
  23. jorgenswest
    Great work!
  24. jorgenswest
    The a Twins are wise to play Polanco at SS exclusively. He brings a lot more value if he can play that position. Moving to 2B if it fits the roster best when he hits the majors will not be difficult.
  25. jorgenswest
    Last year was the first year that Worley used the sinker more often than the 4 seam. His previous two years were 25 and 30 percent sinkers. That is high but no where near Blackburn territory. Blackburn rarely threw a 4 seam and was over 50% sinkers. Worley in the NL was closer to Nolasco (20% the last two years) than Blackburn in his reliance of the sinker. Why did Worley increase his sinker usage last year to 42%? The injury? The coaching and pitch calling? If it is the Twins, will they also increase Nolasco's use of the sinker? In any case, Worley's pitch mix in Philadelphia in no way compares to Blackburn.
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