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KirbyDome89

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Everything posted by KirbyDome89

  1. KirbyDome89
    Define "a lot more runs."
  2. KirbyDome89
    Concur, but the when/how/why needs to be part of the calculus here too.
  3. KirbyDome89
    Neither plays good enough defense to justify the number of PAs they'd get so whatever defensive edge either could provide is null. If you're insistent on having another black hole in the lineup, you can pay Keirsey league minimum, have solid if unspectacular CF defense, and throw the $6M+ in savings at somebody who can actually hit. If Keirsey doesn't float your boat you can sacrifice some defense, make Castro the Buxton insurance ergo upgrading your offense while still keeping the savings. If you think that (barring injury) giving 350-400 PAs, at least half of which will come against RHP, to a glove only OF is a good investment then we simply disagree with the resource allocation. It isn't "hating," it's just the reality of the situation. This team absolutely will not use Bader as only a 4th OF option/late innings pinch runner or defensive replacement.
  4. KirbyDome89
    You can find a .543 OPS + defense in house.
  5. KirbyDome89
    100% relevant if Martin can play 2B and you can sign or call up somebody for CF defense. That's Bader with some offensive upside + $6M. Instead they're clinging to washed, or semi washed guys who also might suck, but will occupy a roster spot infinitely longer and cost more.
  6. KirbyDome89
    Matt Wallner sat at AAA with an OPS near 1.000 while Gallo flailed away for nearly 3 months. Martin, as a rookie, at minimum matched Bader's offensive output last year. If defense was that important they could've found a glove only CF option for a lot less. If you want to argue that guys like Bader and France keep the bottom from falling out, I'd say you're patching the hole with paper mache. Nobody has said that France or Bader, in a vacuum, are unreasonable moves, but based on the Twins modus operandi their usage doesn't align with what some are suggesting their role will be. They're also unlikely to get a quick hook, and most importantly, neither moves the needle as far as collecting Ws is concerned.
  7. KirbyDome89
    Not even close.... Don't marry yourself to underperforming players you hope don't continue the trend because you're terrified that cheaper guys with options might underperform.
  8. KirbyDome89
    The sunk cost fallacy is real...
  9. KirbyDome89
    It's not, for the reason you cited in your last sentence. They can't stash him to start the season. This isn't a Tim Beckham break glass in case of emergency type deal.
  10. KirbyDome89
    I definitely have an issue with the organizational philosophy when it comes to player usage.
  11. KirbyDome89
    Gallo: .163/.288/.374 with a 45% K rate and a -1.5 WPA from May 1st onward. Pagan: 1.052 OPS against in high leverage, .850 OPS against with runners on base, -1 WPA as the designated closer Simmons: terrible offensively all season, cratered entirely in the 2nd half of 2021 when he posted a .488 OPS Blocking is irrelevant, continuing to sink innings into bad players is poor enough strategy to make these signings disasters.
  12. KirbyDome89
    I think the "blocking," angle with these signings is being overplayed and/or misrepresented (not by you) The larger issue is that Bader or France won't be given a roster spot to sit on the bench. You're locking yourself into a high risk, low reward player(s) who have no options, zero upside and no future with the club in the hopes they bounce back and outperform what's already in house.
  13. KirbyDome89
    Ditto, I think the only time I was in favor was during those dark mid 2010s years when fringe roster decisions were just shuffling deck chairs. It's kinda pathetic that a few weeks facing AAAA pitching might be enough for France to lock down a roster spot.
  14. KirbyDome89
    Joey Gallo? Emilio Pagan? Andrelton Simmons? This team has clung to at least one severely underperforming vet each of the last 4 years. Rodriguez is a strawman.
  15. KirbyDome89
    Or there's a minor injury, or Miranda has a slow ST, ect. My guess is we'll be beaten over the head with Santana comps if France makes the team and starts slow. The leash will be longer than it should be. This team hates giving up "depth," early in the season.
  16. KirbyDome89
    The greater concern is the opportunity cost. The Twins may part ways with France, but how long is the leash?
  17. KirbyDome89
    What is your case that he'll be used similarly in MN though, that's what I'm asking. Who have the Twins rostered to be a weak side platoon OF and strictly a 8th/9th inning defensive replacement 75% of the time?
  18. KirbyDome89
    He started one NLCS game and he was subbed out in the 6th inning. He appeared in 12 postseason games, started 2, completed one, and had a whopping 9 PAs with one hit. If you can make an actual case for the Twins using Bader in this way you'd ease a large chunk of the concern regarding his signing.
  19. KirbyDome89
    I'll take bad players with options over a bad veteran without one. This club has made it painfully obvious they don't want to move on from struggling vets. One month of a young player struggling is better than 3+ months of a guy like Gallo being a black hole. People are terrified of Keirsey, Martin, ect (and FWIW I'm not exactly on the bandwagon for any of the 3 you mentioned) tanking, but it's not like Bader isn't dangerously close to the edge of cliff either. The platoon philosophy that will ensure Bader gets more run than any of us want isn't a product of Rocco. No chance. That's coming from the top down. Rocco clearly agrees, but he isn't on an island when it comes to decisions involving player usage.
  20. KirbyDome89
    Or he's a player in decline? His career OPS is basically 700. He hasn't been close to touching that the last 3 seasons and I don't expect this season to be much different. Ditto for his ability to hit LHP. It's up and down over that span, but in two of those seasons he hasn't hit LHP anywhere near well enough to justify the playing time he's likely to get in MN.
  21. KirbyDome89
    Martin, and all internal candidates, have options. Do you think the Twins are going to cut bait and eat $4M+ if Bader is sitting at an OPS somewhere between the mid 500s and low 600s in early June? I don't.
  22. KirbyDome89
    We're arguing semantics now. As others have said, I'd rather this organization throw money and PAs at guys who have a shot at making an impact. Bader won't save your season, he likely doesn't even hold water, he's just a potentially slower leak without any upside or future.
  23. KirbyDome89
    You said you want him getting starts vs LHP over Larnach and/or Wallner. He's undoubtedly going to be a mid game PH option because this team is Charlie Brown trying to kick a football when it comes to that game of cat & mouse. He's a late innings defensive replacement, and he's backing up one of the most fragile players in baseball. Unless you haven't actually watched this team for the last few years (which I doubt is the case) we can probably agree Bader isn't going to get a 4th OF type workload, right?
  24. KirbyDome89
    Bader had a .612 OPS vs LHP last season. Maybe he improves this year, but banking on him doesn't seem to be any less of a gamble. I'm probably down on Wallner more than most around here, but I'd rather see whether he can hit LHP at a level close to his late minors stint than throw ABs at Bader.
  25. KirbyDome89
    This team platoons to an extreme degree, people seem to be forgetting that. Bader isn't a late innings defensive replacement who'll spot start here and there. He's going to play, and if Buxton has a typical season, he's going to play a lot. The leash will be long; they let Margot set a record for futility last year ffs...
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