Jamie Cameron
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In Episode 36 of Destination: The Show, Jeremy and Jamie chat with Ezra Wise, Manager of Scouting Research for the Minnesota Twins. Ezra shares about his pathway through the baseball industry and talks through the roles he has held with the Twins. The guys talk through how data and analytics informs the draft process including what a draft model is, how the Twins draft team evaluates their drafts and performance and some impressions of this year's class. They also get to debunking some Twins draft myths. You can support the show by downloading it from wherever you get your podcasts, including iTunes and Spotify. If you enjoy the content, consider leaving us a five-star rating and review in addition to sharing or retweeting DTS-related content. You can follow us on Twitter @DTS_POD1, @Jeremynygaard, @J_D_Cameron, and @TheodoreTollef1. You can also find full episodes and clips of our shows on our YouTube page @DestinationTheShow.
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This is going to be an interesting year for the C position. I have this theory (probably wrong) that the Twins, similarly to college pitching in mid to late rounds, can find value in catching later, but there's a ton of profiles around the spot they pick. Camden Janik is a guy I'd look out for later. He plays for Illinois, really good hitter. Thanks for reading, and commenting, as always!
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Thanks Cory! I think Moore might be the Twins first option. He has really good bat to ball skills and is controlling the strike zone more this season, despite the batted ball luck. Stanford is also known for emphasizing contact for hitters (Braden Montgomery has flourished more since leaving), so I think there's more in the tank for Moore (where the power is already good). Additionally, young for the class (as was Soto in 2023), not that important, but maybe a tiebreaker.
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2024 MLB draft coverage is kicking off with positional previews. We start with an intriguing crop of catchers. Image courtesy of Brock Beauchamp We’re excited to ratchet up 2024 MLB Draft content in the coming weeks. We’ll start with a series of articles detailing each positional demographic. These pieces aren’t meant to be an exhaustive list, but rather, an overview of the caliber of talent at the position. For each player, we'll run down some basic information, in addition to some strengths and weaknesses. You’ll also find their current position on the Consensus MLB Draft Board in parentheses next to their name. The catching class in 2023 was extremely thin and top-heavy. Beyond Blake Mitchell (8th to the Royals) and Kyle Teel (14th to the Red Sox), Michael Carico (149th to the Cubs) was the only other true catcher who finished the cycle with a top 100 consensus ranking. This year's class is carried mostly by the college crop. Who are the names to know, and what are their strengths and (ahem) opportunities? Let’s dig in. Caleb Lomavita R/R, Cal (21) Caleb Lomavita is one of a handful of names from a collegiate catching crop that will likely be Day One selections in July. The native of Hawaii has improved his offensive game steadily over three seasons at Cal. Lomavita has an unusual setup at the plate, crouched in an open stance before starting a leg drift to a more closed approach as the pitcher starts their motion. Nonetheless, it works. Lomavita has a launch-oriented swing that provides a nice balance between above-average hit and power tools, finding the barrel of the bat often enough to balance his good contact rate with plenty of hard-hit balls. While he doesn't walk much (10 in 49 games), there's a ton of impact here: Lomavita has launched 14 home runs and 12 doubles in 2024. He's an excellent athlete and has at least average speed, even acting as an opportunistic base stealer. While there's refinement needed on the defensive side of his game (receiving, framing, etc.), he has the foundation to stick at the position with good lateral quickness and an above-average to plus arm. If he doesn't stick behind the plate, there's a first-base or corner-outfield profile there with his athleticism. Lomavita could be the first collegiate backstop off the board in July. Malcolm Moore L/R, Stanford (24) Moore was one of the better prep bats in the 2022 class and one of the highest-ranked players not to sign. Moore made it to campus at Stamford and will be extremely young for the class (20) as a draft-eligible sophomore in 2024. Moore had an extremely unusual setup at the plate that he has simplified this season. However strange his operation was, it was effective in his freshman season in Palo Alto, to the tune of 15 home runs and 20 doubles. Moore’s approach and swing decisions have improved in 2024, as he has walked more this season. He has excellent bat-to-ball skills but seems to have suffered some bad batted-ball luck. Moore is a question mark behind the plate. A solid arm is offset by the need to refine his blocking, receiving, and footwork. Moore has the offensive profile to stick in the first round regardless of defensive position, but if he can develop his catching skills, he has a chance to provide really good value. Jacob Cozart L/R, NC State (33) Cozart's floor is laid by the fact that he's one of the best defensive catching prospects in the class. Although tall for the position, good hands, lateral movement, defensive actions and pitch framing set an excellent foundation for (at the bare minimum) an average defensive catcher at the big-league level. Cozart has plenty to offer on the offensive side of the ball, too, and took solid steps forward in his sophomore season. In 2023, he managed a .301/392/.536 line, with 10 home runs and 14 doubles. Most of his present power comes to the pull side, with more line-drive power to center field and the opposite field. Cozart has typically struggled against spin, but there's plenty to like about his offensive profile. His plate discipline is very good, he doesn't strike out a ton, and he has good bat-to-ball skills. If (as has proven the case so far) Cozart can continue his steady improvement to his offensive game in 2024, he’ll be one of the first few backstops off the board. Walker Janek R/R, Sam Houston St (34) After back-to-back solid seasons for Sam Houston State, Walker Janek looks to have broken out in a major way in 2024. Simply put, Janek has a solid all-around profile in both his offensive and defensive game. At the plate, he has good bat speed and finds the barrel often. There's present pull-side power and good bat-to-ball skills. Although Janek does have a tendency to chase, especially against secondaries, there's a good shot that it's an above-average hit and average power tool when he's done developing, which would play well at catcher. Defensively, he has one of the better arms in the catcher demographic, turning back a solid number of would-be base stealers with good pop and release times behind the plate. All the other prerequisites needed to be at least average defensively are present. Janek moves laterally and blocks well, has solid ability to frame, and while his intangible presence behind home needs some work, there's plenty to work with. All in all, this is one of the most well-rounded catching profiles in the 2024 class. Janek is having an excellent 2024 season. An up-arrow prospect for me. Kevin Bazzell R/R, Texas Tech (53) Bazzell transferred to Texas Tech after spending his freshman season at DBU and immediately hit the ground running (after sitting out the 2022 season) to become one of the better bats in his conference. At the plate, Bazzell has a quiet operation. It's a simple, smooth load, punctuated by a small leg kick to get the bat moving through the zone. His offensive profile is definitely hit over power, for now. It's a flatter bat path that's more geared toward gap power, although he did show some pop (10 HR) in his first season at TTU. As an overall offensive package, however, there's plenty to like. Bazzell doesn't chase much, walks plenty, and has strong bat-to-ball skills (92% zone contact rate in 2023). While Bazzell has only fringy speed, he's an excellent athlete. An above-average arm, good defensive actions and lateral movement give him a chance to stick behind the plate. If that doesn't work out, he's played at third base for the Red Raiders and has enough athleticism to handle left field. The bat is the calling card for Bazzell, if orgs like his chances to stick behind the plate, it'll increase his stock significantly. Cade Arrambide R/R, Tomball HS, TX (96) The 2024 catching class is much more interesting than the 2023 class. Though mostly buoyed by the college demographic, Arrambide is one of the best prep catchers in the class. Arrambide has the potential to be an excellent defensive catcher. It's a plus (or better) arm that's recorded throws at over 100mph from the outfield, combined with good lateral movement and great pop times. There are other aspects of catching (such as blocking and framing) that will require refinement, but Arrambide has the potential to be an above-average to plus defender, with a right-field profile if it doesn't work behind the plate. Offensively, there's plenty to be excited about, too. He has great bat speed and plenty of raw power, which has already shown itself in games. The big question marks with his offensive profile are bat-to-ball skills and chase rate, both of which could be exposed as a professional. If he can shore up at least one of those two areas, he has a good chance to accrue plenty of offensive and defensive value as a pro. Honorable Mentions: Hunter Carns (101), Anderson French (124), Cole Messina (139) Who excites you from the catching class in 2024? Who are you higher on than other prospects? Jump into the draft conversation in the comments below. View full article
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We’re excited to ratchet up 2024 MLB Draft content in the coming weeks. We’ll start with a series of articles detailing each positional demographic. These pieces aren’t meant to be an exhaustive list, but rather, an overview of the caliber of talent at the position. For each player, we'll run down some basic information, in addition to some strengths and weaknesses. You’ll also find their current position on the Consensus MLB Draft Board in parentheses next to their name. The catching class in 2023 was extremely thin and top-heavy. Beyond Blake Mitchell (8th to the Royals) and Kyle Teel (14th to the Red Sox), Michael Carico (149th to the Cubs) was the only other true catcher who finished the cycle with a top 100 consensus ranking. This year's class is carried mostly by the college crop. Who are the names to know, and what are their strengths and (ahem) opportunities? Let’s dig in. Caleb Lomavita R/R, Cal (21) Caleb Lomavita is one of a handful of names from a collegiate catching crop that will likely be Day One selections in July. The native of Hawaii has improved his offensive game steadily over three seasons at Cal. Lomavita has an unusual setup at the plate, crouched in an open stance before starting a leg drift to a more closed approach as the pitcher starts their motion. Nonetheless, it works. Lomavita has a launch-oriented swing that provides a nice balance between above-average hit and power tools, finding the barrel of the bat often enough to balance his good contact rate with plenty of hard-hit balls. While he doesn't walk much (10 in 49 games), there's a ton of impact here: Lomavita has launched 14 home runs and 12 doubles in 2024. He's an excellent athlete and has at least average speed, even acting as an opportunistic base stealer. While there's refinement needed on the defensive side of his game (receiving, framing, etc.), he has the foundation to stick at the position with good lateral quickness and an above-average to plus arm. If he doesn't stick behind the plate, there's a first-base or corner-outfield profile there with his athleticism. Lomavita could be the first collegiate backstop off the board in July. Malcolm Moore L/R, Stanford (24) Moore was one of the better prep bats in the 2022 class and one of the highest-ranked players not to sign. Moore made it to campus at Stamford and will be extremely young for the class (20) as a draft-eligible sophomore in 2024. Moore had an extremely unusual setup at the plate that he has simplified this season. However strange his operation was, it was effective in his freshman season in Palo Alto, to the tune of 15 home runs and 20 doubles. Moore’s approach and swing decisions have improved in 2024, as he has walked more this season. He has excellent bat-to-ball skills but seems to have suffered some bad batted-ball luck. Moore is a question mark behind the plate. A solid arm is offset by the need to refine his blocking, receiving, and footwork. Moore has the offensive profile to stick in the first round regardless of defensive position, but if he can develop his catching skills, he has a chance to provide really good value. Jacob Cozart L/R, NC State (33) Cozart's floor is laid by the fact that he's one of the best defensive catching prospects in the class. Although tall for the position, good hands, lateral movement, defensive actions and pitch framing set an excellent foundation for (at the bare minimum) an average defensive catcher at the big-league level. Cozart has plenty to offer on the offensive side of the ball, too, and took solid steps forward in his sophomore season. In 2023, he managed a .301/392/.536 line, with 10 home runs and 14 doubles. Most of his present power comes to the pull side, with more line-drive power to center field and the opposite field. Cozart has typically struggled against spin, but there's plenty to like about his offensive profile. His plate discipline is very good, he doesn't strike out a ton, and he has good bat-to-ball skills. If (as has proven the case so far) Cozart can continue his steady improvement to his offensive game in 2024, he’ll be one of the first few backstops off the board. Walker Janek R/R, Sam Houston St (34) After back-to-back solid seasons for Sam Houston State, Walker Janek looks to have broken out in a major way in 2024. Simply put, Janek has a solid all-around profile in both his offensive and defensive game. At the plate, he has good bat speed and finds the barrel often. There's present pull-side power and good bat-to-ball skills. Although Janek does have a tendency to chase, especially against secondaries, there's a good shot that it's an above-average hit and average power tool when he's done developing, which would play well at catcher. Defensively, he has one of the better arms in the catcher demographic, turning back a solid number of would-be base stealers with good pop and release times behind the plate. All the other prerequisites needed to be at least average defensively are present. Janek moves laterally and blocks well, has solid ability to frame, and while his intangible presence behind home needs some work, there's plenty to work with. All in all, this is one of the most well-rounded catching profiles in the 2024 class. Janek is having an excellent 2024 season. An up-arrow prospect for me. Kevin Bazzell R/R, Texas Tech (53) Bazzell transferred to Texas Tech after spending his freshman season at DBU and immediately hit the ground running (after sitting out the 2022 season) to become one of the better bats in his conference. At the plate, Bazzell has a quiet operation. It's a simple, smooth load, punctuated by a small leg kick to get the bat moving through the zone. His offensive profile is definitely hit over power, for now. It's a flatter bat path that's more geared toward gap power, although he did show some pop (10 HR) in his first season at TTU. As an overall offensive package, however, there's plenty to like. Bazzell doesn't chase much, walks plenty, and has strong bat-to-ball skills (92% zone contact rate in 2023). While Bazzell has only fringy speed, he's an excellent athlete. An above-average arm, good defensive actions and lateral movement give him a chance to stick behind the plate. If that doesn't work out, he's played at third base for the Red Raiders and has enough athleticism to handle left field. The bat is the calling card for Bazzell, if orgs like his chances to stick behind the plate, it'll increase his stock significantly. Cade Arrambide R/R, Tomball HS, TX (96) The 2024 catching class is much more interesting than the 2023 class. Though mostly buoyed by the college demographic, Arrambide is one of the best prep catchers in the class. Arrambide has the potential to be an excellent defensive catcher. It's a plus (or better) arm that's recorded throws at over 100mph from the outfield, combined with good lateral movement and great pop times. There are other aspects of catching (such as blocking and framing) that will require refinement, but Arrambide has the potential to be an above-average to plus defender, with a right-field profile if it doesn't work behind the plate. Offensively, there's plenty to be excited about, too. He has great bat speed and plenty of raw power, which has already shown itself in games. The big question marks with his offensive profile are bat-to-ball skills and chase rate, both of which could be exposed as a professional. If he can shore up at least one of those two areas, he has a good chance to accrue plenty of offensive and defensive value as a pro. Honorable Mentions: Hunter Carns (101), Anderson French (124), Cole Messina (139) Who excites you from the catching class in 2024? Who are you higher on than other prospects? Jump into the draft conversation in the comments below.
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David Festa is an MLB-Ready Top 100 Prospect
Jamie Cameron posted a topic in Twins Minor League Talk
David Festa is off to an exciting start in 2024. What's driving his success? How has he performed? How might he feature in the Twins' plans this season? Let's dig in. Image courtesy of © Kim Klement Neitzel-USA TODAY Sports David Festa is striking hitters out at a higher rate than any other Triple-A starting pitcher--37.2%, to be exact, 3.3% more than the next-best starting pitcher (Cade Povich), and 16.3% above the average for the level. The 2021 13th-rounder has a 3.59 FIP and a 3.11 xFIP. He's generating an 18.3% swinging-strike rate, far above average for the level. In short, Festa is dominating hitters, and is looking close to MLB-ready. So, what’s new for Festa in 2024? There are a few trends to mine here, starting with his fastball. Festa is getting more induced vertical break (IVB) on his fastball in 2024 (19.3 inches on average) versus 2023 (17.1). Festa has a decently high release (about 77 inches), but this increase will still help Festa’s fastball do well at the top of the strike zone. Additionally, Festa is generating more release extension in 2024 (6.9 feet), giving his fastball an average effective velocity of 96.3 mph. The outcomes of the fastball improvements? A pitch that generates a 34.1% miss rate. The average in Triple-A is 23.7%. Let’s ground ourselves in the pitch mix, through about 30 innings. He mostly uses a fastball-slider combination against right-handed hitters, and a fastball-changeup-slider blend against left-handed hitters. 4Seam% Slider% Change% Curve% versus LHH 33.8% 22.8% 38.4% 5% versus RHH 36.1% 48.7% 15.2% 0% I’d argue that Festa’s command of his slider and changeup are the most important developments from 2023 to 2024. Here’s a look at his slider location from 2023 to 2024, and his changeup location from 2023 to 2024. In both cases, the command has improved significantly. He’s consistently burying his slider down and away from right-handers and his changeup down and away from left-handers. The results, for Festa’s slider in particular, speak for themselves. Strike% Contact% Chase% SwStrk% K% Slider 2023 56.5% 66.7% 20% 14.1% 23.5% Slider 2024 65.2% 55.1% 33.9% 21.6% 44.9% Much has been made of Festa’s strike-throwing. He did struggle with free passes at the beginning of the season. Since then, however, Festa has tightened up his control significantly. Control has not been one of Festa’s strengths thus far in his professional career. I’d argue that he has enough stuff to overcome that limitation, though, and his recent improvements in strike throwing and walk rate will set him up well for MLB success, so let's retire the narrative that he doesn't throw enough strikes. So, where might Festa feature for the Twins? What might his role be? When might we see him in 2024? I think the answer is ‘sooner than you might think’. While Simeon Woods Richardson has been solid for the Twins since Louie Varland was demoted to Triple-A, the Twins have begun to stretch Festa out. His last six appearances for St. Paul have featured an ‘A/B’ pattern. In start A, Festa gets stretched a little further. In start B, he gets a shorter burst of around three innings. In his last three ‘A’ starts, Festa has pitched four, five, and six innings, respectively. In his last start, he threw 86 pitches. Festa was selected with the 399th pick in the 2021 draft. It’s a testament to his work ethic and the Twins' player development team that he’s now the most dominant strikeout pitcher in Triple-A, on the doorstep of contributing at the major-league level. How far he can continue to climb and the extent of the impact he might have remains to be seen. Make no mistake, though, David Festa has the tools to thrive. Research assistance provided by TruMedia Sports. View full article -
David Festa is striking hitters out at a higher rate than any other Triple-A starting pitcher--37.2%, to be exact, 3.3% more than the next-best starting pitcher (Cade Povich), and 16.3% above the average for the level. The 2021 13th-rounder has a 3.59 FIP and a 3.11 xFIP. He's generating an 18.3% swinging-strike rate, far above average for the level. In short, Festa is dominating hitters, and is looking close to MLB-ready. So, what’s new for Festa in 2024? There are a few trends to mine here, starting with his fastball. Festa is getting more induced vertical break (IVB) on his fastball in 2024 (19.3 inches on average) versus 2023 (17.1). Festa has a decently high release (about 77 inches), but this increase will still help Festa’s fastball do well at the top of the strike zone. Additionally, Festa is generating more release extension in 2024 (6.9 feet), giving his fastball an average effective velocity of 96.3 mph. The outcomes of the fastball improvements? A pitch that generates a 34.1% miss rate. The average in Triple-A is 23.7%. Let’s ground ourselves in the pitch mix, through about 30 innings. He mostly uses a fastball-slider combination against right-handed hitters, and a fastball-changeup-slider blend against left-handed hitters. 4Seam% Slider% Change% Curve% versus LHH 33.8% 22.8% 38.4% 5% versus RHH 36.1% 48.7% 15.2% 0% I’d argue that Festa’s command of his slider and changeup are the most important developments from 2023 to 2024. Here’s a look at his slider location from 2023 to 2024, and his changeup location from 2023 to 2024. In both cases, the command has improved significantly. He’s consistently burying his slider down and away from right-handers and his changeup down and away from left-handers. The results, for Festa’s slider in particular, speak for themselves. Strike% Contact% Chase% SwStrk% K% Slider 2023 56.5% 66.7% 20% 14.1% 23.5% Slider 2024 65.2% 55.1% 33.9% 21.6% 44.9% Much has been made of Festa’s strike-throwing. He did struggle with free passes at the beginning of the season. Since then, however, Festa has tightened up his control significantly. Control has not been one of Festa’s strengths thus far in his professional career. I’d argue that he has enough stuff to overcome that limitation, though, and his recent improvements in strike throwing and walk rate will set him up well for MLB success, so let's retire the narrative that he doesn't throw enough strikes. So, where might Festa feature for the Twins? What might his role be? When might we see him in 2024? I think the answer is ‘sooner than you might think’. While Simeon Woods Richardson has been solid for the Twins since Louie Varland was demoted to Triple-A, the Twins have begun to stretch Festa out. His last six appearances for St. Paul have featured an ‘A/B’ pattern. In start A, Festa gets stretched a little further. In start B, he gets a shorter burst of around three innings. In his last three ‘A’ starts, Festa has pitched four, five, and six innings, respectively. In his last start, he threw 86 pitches. Festa was selected with the 399th pick in the 2021 draft. It’s a testament to his work ethic and the Twins' player development team that he’s now the most dominant strikeout pitcher in Triple-A, on the doorstep of contributing at the major-league level. How far he can continue to climb and the extent of the impact he might have remains to be seen. Make no mistake, though, David Festa has the tools to thrive. Research assistance provided by TruMedia Sports.
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Zebby Matthews put together a dominant AA debut on Thursday night in Wichita. What stands out about his performance so far in 2024? Just how good can he be? Let's dig into some numbers. Image courtesy of Ed Bailey, Wichita Wind Surge Stepping onto the mound for his AA debut for Wichita, 2022 draftee Zebby Matthews was staring down at a formidable group of hitters. The Arkansas Travelers boast a lineup that includes Cole Young and Harry Ford (34th and 35th in the MLB Pipeline top 100 prospects list). Tyler Locklear, a data darling and on base machine from the same draft as Matthews, also featured. Matthews put together an impressive debut for the Wind Surge, going 6.2 innings, giving up three hits, two unearned runs (scored on a throwing error) and striking out nine. It was a performance that has cemented him as a Twins MiLB arm who has taken a significant leap in 2024. Matthews was drafted under slot in the eighth round of the 2022 draft out of Western Carolina (signed for $125,000). With a prototypical starting pitcher’s frame (6’5, 220 pounds), the scouting report on Matthews coming out of college was that he was an elite strike thrower with good fastball characteristics without overpowering velocity or secondary pitches. That’s a useful draft tendency to hold onto. We know that the Twins tend to take a run of college pitchers in the mid to late rounds of the draft as they believe they can develop good value in that range, and so it has proved with pitchers like Bailey Ober and Louie Varland . College pitching in the middle rounds is typically rooted in one or two intriguing traits, the rest is up to the player development team and player to develop and work on. Matthews relied on an extensive pitch mix in 2023 (four seam, sinker, changeup, curveball, sweeper, cutter). The indicators from Twins PD staff were that developing consistent shapes on his secondary pitches was his biggest developmental need, having already added velocity to a good fastball. Thus far in 2024, the results have been outstanding. Matthews’ fastball touched 97 mph in his first AA start. Through 29.1 innings pitched this season, he’s maintaining a 1.18 FIP (1.72 xFIP), 34.6 K%, and hasn’t walked a single batter. Opposing hitters are currently hitting .187/.187/.243 (.430) off Matthews. All of this while leveraging his elite strike throwing (69.3 Strike%). To put Matthews’ control and command into context, his current strike percentage would rank sixth in MLB, behind Jared Jones, George Kirby, Zack Littell, Chris Sale, and Tarik Skubal. Matthews was always in the zone, now he’s beating hitters with increasingly nasty stuff in the zone. It’s always hard to balance excitement about prospects with pragmatism. Matthews will undoubtedly run into bumps and challenges as he adjusts at AA (and hitters adjust to him). He’s yet another example, though, of the Twins doing what they do best: identifying pitching that can be maximized by their player development team. Matthews deserves a ton of praise for the progress he’s made since turning pro. He’s certainly showing the type of improvement and development you want to see in a future big-league arm. Research assistance provided by TruMedia View full article
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Heads Up: The Twins have a Pitching Prospect Making The Leap
Jamie Cameron posted an article in Minor Leagues
Stepping onto the mound for his AA debut for Wichita, 2022 draftee Zebby Matthews was staring down at a formidable group of hitters. The Arkansas Travelers boast a lineup that includes Cole Young and Harry Ford (34th and 35th in the MLB Pipeline top 100 prospects list). Tyler Locklear, a data darling and on base machine from the same draft as Matthews, also featured. Matthews put together an impressive debut for the Wind Surge, going 6.2 innings, giving up three hits, two unearned runs (scored on a throwing error) and striking out nine. It was a performance that has cemented him as a Twins MiLB arm who has taken a significant leap in 2024. Matthews was drafted under slot in the eighth round of the 2022 draft out of Western Carolina (signed for $125,000). With a prototypical starting pitcher’s frame (6’5, 220 pounds), the scouting report on Matthews coming out of college was that he was an elite strike thrower with good fastball characteristics without overpowering velocity or secondary pitches. That’s a useful draft tendency to hold onto. We know that the Twins tend to take a run of college pitchers in the mid to late rounds of the draft as they believe they can develop good value in that range, and so it has proved with pitchers like Bailey Ober and Louie Varland . College pitching in the middle rounds is typically rooted in one or two intriguing traits, the rest is up to the player development team and player to develop and work on. Matthews relied on an extensive pitch mix in 2023 (four seam, sinker, changeup, curveball, sweeper, cutter). The indicators from Twins PD staff were that developing consistent shapes on his secondary pitches was his biggest developmental need, having already added velocity to a good fastball. Thus far in 2024, the results have been outstanding. Matthews’ fastball touched 97 mph in his first AA start. Through 29.1 innings pitched this season, he’s maintaining a 1.18 FIP (1.72 xFIP), 34.6 K%, and hasn’t walked a single batter. Opposing hitters are currently hitting .187/.187/.243 (.430) off Matthews. All of this while leveraging his elite strike throwing (69.3 Strike%). To put Matthews’ control and command into context, his current strike percentage would rank sixth in MLB, behind Jared Jones, George Kirby, Zack Littell, Chris Sale, and Tarik Skubal. Matthews was always in the zone, now he’s beating hitters with increasingly nasty stuff in the zone. It’s always hard to balance excitement about prospects with pragmatism. Matthews will undoubtedly run into bumps and challenges as he adjusts at AA (and hitters adjust to him). He’s yet another example, though, of the Twins doing what they do best: identifying pitching that can be maximized by their player development team. Matthews deserves a ton of praise for the progress he’s made since turning pro. He’s certainly showing the type of improvement and development you want to see in a future big-league arm. Research assistance provided by TruMedia -
In episode 34 of Destination: The Show, Jeremy and Jamie sit down with Joe Doyle, Senior Analyst at FSS and host of Over Slot, an MLB Draft Podcast. The guys talk through the top of the 2024 draft class, including asking Joe who he’d take at 1:1 before talking about some specific demographics and how they stack up compared to 2023. The guys then talk about some options for the Cubs, Brewers, and Twins with their first round picks in what looks like a chaotic draft board after the top group of prospects. They talk through the college catching class and some options for prep pitching and the challenges of the demographic. 1:20 Joe Doyle Intro 3:45 Comparing the top of this year's class vs last year's class 9:00 College bats are strong... but is there anything else aside from the top 8 picks? 18:27 A little chat about college catching. 20:25 Options for the Cubs at #14 24:45 Who would you consider for the Brewers at #17? 28:00 How about the Twins at #21? 32:15 Prep pitching 37:27 Some prep pitching highlights 43:00 Joe's take on the lottery and trading draft picks 48:30 Joe's chance to plug his stuff You can support the show by downloading it from wherever you get your podcasts, including iTunes and Spotify. If you enjoy the content, consider leaving us a five-star rating and review in addition to sharing or retweeting DTS-related content. You can follow us on Twitter @DTS_POD1, @Jeremynygaard, @J_D_Cameron, and @TheodoreTollef1. You can also find full episodes and clips of our shows on our YouTube page @DestinationTheShow.
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Draft tandem Jeremy Nygaard and JD Cameron team up for a podcast to discuss prospects on their way to the big leagues and the MLB draft, produced by Theo Tollefson. Image courtesy of Thieres Rabelo In episode 34 of Destination: The Show, Jeremy and Jamie sit down with Joe Doyle, Senior Analyst at FSS and host of Over Slot, an MLB Draft Podcast. The guys talk through the top of the 2024 draft class, including asking Joe who he’d take at 1:1 before talking about some specific demographics and how they stack up compared to 2023. The guys then talk about some options for the Cubs, Brewers, and Twins with their first round picks in what looks like a chaotic draft board after the top group of prospects. They talk through the college catching class and some options for prep pitching and the challenges of the demographic. 1:20 Joe Doyle Intro 3:45 Comparing the top of this year's class vs last year's class 9:00 College bats are strong... but is there anything else aside from the top 8 picks? 18:27 A little chat about college catching. 20:25 Options for the Cubs at #14 24:45 Who would you consider for the Brewers at #17? 28:00 How about the Twins at #21? 32:15 Prep pitching 37:27 Some prep pitching highlights 43:00 Joe's take on the lottery and trading draft picks 48:30 Joe's chance to plug his stuff You can support the show by downloading it from wherever you get your podcasts, including iTunes and Spotify. If you enjoy the content, consider leaving us a five-star rating and review in addition to sharing or retweeting DTS-related content. You can follow us on Twitter @DTS_POD1, @Jeremynygaard, @J_D_Cameron, and @TheodoreTollef1. You can also find full episodes and clips of our shows on our YouTube page @DestinationTheShow. View full article
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Scouting the Statline: Charlee Soto's Hot Start
Jamie Cameron replied to Jamie Cameron's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Here's 90th percentile velocity for his pitches so far 4 seam - 96.8 2 seam - 96.5 Slider - 89.4 Sweeper - 87.8 Change 88 -
The Twins leaned into an exceptional prep class in the 2023 draft, selecting right-handed pitcher Charlee Soto with their second pick, 34th overall. Soto was the 36th-ranked player available, according to our consensus board. He was the second-best right-handed prep pitcher in the entire draft class, behind Noble Meyer (10th). The two met for the first time professionally on Saturday night, Soto’s third appearance of 2024. So what does the data tell us about the Twins’ high-octane young arm? When digging into prospect data from their first go of it as a professional, I like to revisit scouting reports and notes, as they often give us clues about what a prospect has been working on adding to their arsenal. On the 2023 Consensus MLB Draft Board, the report on Soto noted a four-seam fastball, power slider, and good feel for a changeup. Two of the initial opportunities pre-draft scouting reports alluded to for Soto were more consistent strike-throwing and tweaking his fastball, as his four-seamer didn’t have great shape. Here's Soto's pitch break chart through his first three appearances of 2024. Before the season, reports emerged of Soto tweaking his pitch mix--specifically, adding a two-seam fastball (circumventing bad fastball shape) and a sweeper. This is where some conjecture is needed. My take on Soto’s pitch break chart is that the ‘slider’ is his new sweeper (typically having more horizontal movement) and the ‘cutter’ is his old slider (although I could be wrong). Through three appearances, we have a decent idea (small-sample alert) of the pitch mix he’s operating with. versus Left-Handed Hitters versus Right-Handed Hitters 4Seam% 35.15 4Seam% 11.1% 2Seam% 10.8% 2Seam% 34.6% Change% 29.7% Change% 14.8% Slider% 14.9% Slider% 21% Sweeper% 9.5% Sweeper% 18.5% Soto is leveraging a much more equally divided plan of attack, using his four-seam fastball, slider variations, and changeup against left-handed hitters. Against right-handed hitters, it's a combination of his two-seam fastball and slider variations, with his changeup and four-seamer used more as a change of pace. So, what has this translated to in terms of outcomes for Soto? Again, we should note the sample size caveat here, but it’s hard not to be impressed with his initial returns. It’s also noteworthy that Soto was just 17 on draft day. Now 18, he’s a full three years younger than the average pitcher even at Low A. In three outings for Fort Myers, Soto has been pretty dominant, sporting a stingy 2.70 ERA. He’s striking out 37.5% of hitters (exceptional), and walking 12.5% with a 62.6% Strike% (an area of opportunity for improvement as he racks up pro innings). Soto’s advanced metrics back up this strong start. He has a 1.75 FIP, 2.42 xFIP, 18.1 SwStrk%, and 70% ground-ball rate, a result of leaning into a more east/west pitch mix and break profile. That’s about as good as you could have hoped for, particularly from a player who picked up pitching relatively late in his amateur career. There's one last metric that I find interesting and noteworthy about Soto. At the major-league level, the Twins have formed a rotation from pitchers with good-to-elite release extension (Pablo López and Bailey Ober being the most notable examples). Soto is an outlier for the opposite reason: he has minimal release extension. Average extension in MLB is roughly 6.3 feet, Soto averages just 5.8 feet. The primary impact of extension is perceived velocity (the closer you release the pitch to the plate, the faster it appears to a hitter). Pitchers who benefit from excellent extension usually have mechanics that enable it (the lower a pitcher loads or 'gets into' their back leg). It's an interesting quirk of Soto’s delivery, and something I'll be interested to see if the Twins and Soto tinker with moving forward. Soto is at the beginning of his journey as a professional. He’s working on throwing at least two new pitches, and there’s still work to do with both control and command. It would be prudent to expect some bumps in the road for him. All that said, it’s OK to be excited, too. This is a prospect with a great frame and outstanding arm talent, who has seemingly taken well to learning and throwing new pitches in a very short timeframe. If Soto maintains good health and solid production, he’ll be the Twins' best pitching prospect by the end of the season.
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Every MLB team has evolved with its draft day approach over the last 15 years as more data and resources have become readily available for each team. Twins Director and Vice President of Amateur Scouting Sean Johnson breaks down the evolution of the Twins draft day from the days of the Metrodome to what it looks like now at Target Field. View full video
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Every MLB team has evolved with its draft day approach over the last 15 years as more data and resources have become readily available for each team. Twins Director and Vice President of Amateur Scouting Sean Johnson breaks down the evolution of the Twins draft day from the days of the Metrodome to what it looks like now at Target Field.
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Charlee Soto is off to a great start in his first season at Fort Myers. How has he tweaked his pitch mix in his first few starts as a pro? What do the underlying numbers suggest about his performance? What's next to work on? Let's dig in. Image courtesy of William Parmeter The Twins leaned into an exceptional prep class in the 2023 draft, selecting right-handed pitcher Charlee Soto with their second pick at number 34 overall. Soto was the 36th ranked player available by consensus, and the second right-handed prep pitcher in the entire draft class, behind Noble Meyer (10th). The two met for the first time professionally on Saturday night, Soto’s third appearance of 2024. So what does the data tell us about the Twins’ high octane young arm? Let’s dig in. When digging into prospect data from their first go of it as a professional, I like to revisit scouting reports and notes as they often give us clues about what a prospect has been working on adding to their arsenal. On the 2023 Consensus MLB Draft Board, the report on Soto noted a four seam fastball, power slider, and good feel for a changeup. Two of the initial opportunities pre-draft scouting reports alluded to for Soto were more consistent strike throwing and tweaking his fastball as his four seamer didn’t have great shape. Here's Soto's pitch break chart through his first three appearances of 2024. Pre-season reports emerged of Soto tweaking his pitch mix, specifically, adding a two seam fastball (circumventing bad fastball shape), and a sweeper. This is where some conjecture is needed. My take on Soto’s pitch break chart is that the ‘slider’ is his new sweeper (typically having more horizontal movement) and the ‘cutter’ is his old slider (although I could be wrong). Through three appearances, we have a decent idea (SSS alert) of the pitch mix he’s operating with. versus left-handed hitters versus right-handed hitters 4Seam% 35.15 4Seam% 11.1% 2Seam% 10.8% 2Seam% 34.6% Change% 29.7% Change% 14.8% Slider% 14.9% Slider% 21% Sweeper% 9.5% Sweeper% 18.5% Soto is leveraging a much more equally divided plan of attack using his four seam fastball, slider variations, and changeup against left-handed hitters. Against right-handed hitters, it's a combination of his two-seam fastball and slider variations, with his changeup and four seam fastball used more as a change of pace. So, what has this translated to in terms of outcomes for Soto? Again we should note the small sample size caveat here, but it’s hard not to be impressed with his initial returns. It’s also noteworthy that Soto was just 17 on draft day. Now 18, he’s a full three years younger than the average pitcher at Low A. In three outings for Fort Myers, Soto has been pretty dominant, sporting a stingy 2.70 ERA. He’s striking out 37.5% of hitters (exceptional), and walking 12.5% with a 62.6% Strike% (an area of opportunity as he racks up pro innings). Soto’s advanced metrics back up this strong start. Soto has a 1.75 FIP, 2.42 xFIP, an 18.1 SwStrk%, and has a 70% Ground%, a result of leaning into a more east/west pitch mix and break profile. That’s about as good as you could have hoped for, particularly from a player who picked up pitching relatively late in his amateur career. There's one last metric that I find interesting and noteworthy about Soto. At the major league level, the Twins have formed a rotation from pitchers with good to elite release extension (Pablo Lopez and Bailey Ober being the most notable examples). Soto is an outlier for the opposite reason, he has minimal release extension. MLB average extension is ~6.3 feet, Soto averages just 5.8 feet. The primary impact of extension is perceived velocity (the closer you release the pitch to the plate, the faster it appears to a hitter). Pitchers that benefit from excellent extension usually have mechanics that enable it (the lower a pitcher loads or 'gets into' their back leg). It's an interesting quirk of Soto’s delivery and something I'll be interested to see if the Twins and Soto tinker with moving forwards. Soto is at the beginning of his journey as a professional. He’s working on throwing at least two new pitches, and there’s still work to do with both control and command. It would be prudent to expect some bumps in the road for him moving forwards. All that said, it’s OK to be excited too. This is a prospect with a great frame and outstanding arm talent who has seemingly taken well to learning and throwing new pitches in a truncated timeframe. If Soto maintains good health and solid production, he’ll be the Twins best pitching prospect by the end of the season. View full article
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Emmanuel Rodríguez's Patience is a Virtue, But Only to a Point
Jamie Cameron posted an article in Minor Leagues
The Twins continued their offensive struggles with another series loss to the Tigers on Sunday. Through Apr. 21, Minnesota has scored more than four runs just three times in 20 games. Small sample or not, they have often looked ill-prepared, or been unable to muster competent execution in their plate appearances. Twins Twitter was clamoring for change shortly after the third game of Detroit's visit, with some even calling for an aggressive promotion of Emmanuel Rodriguez, who has played 14 games at Double-A through the end of the day Sunday. Rodríguez is one of the most fascinating prospects in baseball, with an irresistible pairing of top-of-the-scale raw power and plate discipline that has catapulted him to the level of a consensus top-75 prospect. Rodríguez has also started well at Double-A Wichita as a 21-year-old, three years younger than the average for the level. Through his first 14 games, Rodríguez has put together a .289/.508/.711 line with 4 home runs, 5 doubles, a triple, and 8 stolen bases (in 9 attempts). Call him up! Get him to Target Field! Nothing can be worse than what we’ve seen so far, right? Not so fast. Not only should the Twins stay well away from promoting Rodríguez, there’s an important tension to resolve in his overall development that needs to be addressed sooner, rather than later. Rodríguez has a contrasting set of traits at the plate that give him an incredible floor, but they raise some concerns and make him an incredibly difficult prospect to prognosticate. First, the good: Rodríguez has a 30.8 BB% thus far in 2024. That’s up significantly from 2023 (20.2%). That number is incredible. In 2023, Juan Soto led MLB in BB%, at 18.6%. While it’s unlikely Rodríguez maintains that (at Double-A or beyond), walking that much sets a very high floor for your value at the plate. The orange flag that’s been raised regarding Rodríguez in his career to date is the dependency of his bat-to-ball skills. In 2023, he had a Contact% of 69.6% (nice) (except not really). Thus far in 2024, it’s 65.1%. It’s still early days, but it tracks that your contact erodes slightly as you see better and better pitching. A Contact% of 65.1% would put Rodriguez 129th out of 133 qualified MLB hitters, and that’s not accounting for the significant quality increase in stuff and strike-throwing he’ll see in MLB. Indeed, it’s about 5% lower than average at his current level. In Double-A, Rodríguez has been thrown strikes 47% of the time. In MLB, the current average is 64%. Those figures include swinging strikes, foul balls, and balls in play on pitches outside the zone, but still, that's a gap the league will close, at least part of the way. This helps explain the boost to his current walk rate. When he's not walking or hitting the ball hard, he's striking out. Rodríguez is already rocking a 30.8 K% through his opening salvo in Double-A. Simply put, his current passivity at the plate and contact issues would be untenable in the majors today. That’s OK: He’s incredibly young and talented, let’s give him some time to find his way and see if he can make some discernible adjustments. What’s more interesting to me than a call-up, is the knife's edge that his development rests on moving forward. Consider some of these numbers, comparing his approach in 2023 and to date in 2024. In 2023, the average MLB Swing% was 47.2%. His current Swing% is a full 5% lower than any qualified MLB hitter in 2023. While there are a handful of hitters in the 35-40% range (Lars Nootbaar, Juan Soto, and Mookie Betts, for example), all of these players have above-average bat-to-ball skills (Contact% over 75%). The one exception to this is Kyle Schwarber, but Schwarber's profile illustrates the incredibly thin margin for error and limiting effects of that blend between approach and skills. While Rodríguez's current approach is working beautifully in the minors (where he is not getting thrown a lot of strikes), against better pitchers, he would find himself in a lot of 0-2 counts, out-leveraged, where his deficient bat-to-ball skills will be exposed. Therein lies the daunting question for the Twins' player-development team: when do you push Rodríguez to be more aggressive at the plate? Are we seeing incremental changes with him dialing back swings in pitchers' counts? Do you let him be successful now with a skill set that will run into a wall later? Alternatively, do you push for change now that may cause the path to be more bumpy, but which (in so doing) gives him the longest possible window to adjust to what might work at the big-league level? For that matter, do the Twins realize this problem exists? Their own organizationally prescribed approach, especially deep in counts, mirrors Rodríguez's so closely that they lead the league in being called out on strikes, with no close rival. Notably, this brief analysis is left wanting, because I don’t have access to heat maps and other data that might give us clues to holes in his swing that contribute to some of his contact challenges. After reading this, you might think I’m a Rodriguez doubter, I’m actually a huge believer. There’s little evidence to suggest that a promotion now would serve him or the Twins well, though. How much and when Twins player development can influence him to dial up the aggression at the plate will go a long way to governing how close he comes to realizing his considerable ceiling. Patience is a virtue, but only to a point, and that point is coming into view on Rodríguez's developmental horizon. -
Emmanuel Rodriguez is off to a hot start at Double-A. Before he's considered for a call-up to the Minnesota Twins, though, he needs to resolve a key unfilled box on his developmental checklist. Image courtesy of © Kim Klement Neitzel-USA TODAY Sports The Twins continued their offensive struggles with another series loss to the Tigers on Sunday. Through Apr. 21, Minnesota has scored more than four runs just three times in 20 games. Small sample or not, they have often looked ill-prepared, or been unable to muster competent execution in their plate appearances. Twins Twitter was clamoring for change shortly after the third game of Detroit's visit, with some even calling for an aggressive promotion of Emmanuel Rodriguez, who has played 14 games at Double-A through the end of the day Sunday. Rodríguez is one of the most fascinating prospects in baseball, with an irresistible pairing of top-of-the-scale raw power and plate discipline that has catapulted him to the level of a consensus top-75 prospect. Rodríguez has also started well at Double-A Wichita as a 21-year-old, three years younger than the average for the level. Through his first 14 games, Rodríguez has put together a .289/.508/.711 line with 4 home runs, 5 doubles, a triple, and 8 stolen bases (in 9 attempts). Call him up! Get him to Target Field! Nothing can be worse than what we’ve seen so far, right? Not so fast. Not only should the Twins stay well away from promoting Rodríguez, there’s an important tension to resolve in his overall development that needs to be addressed sooner, rather than later. Rodríguez has a contrasting set of traits at the plate that give him an incredible floor, but they raise some concerns and make him an incredibly difficult prospect to prognosticate. First, the good: Rodríguez has a 30.8 BB% thus far in 2024. That’s up significantly from 2023 (20.2%). That number is incredible. In 2023, Juan Soto led MLB in BB%, at 18.6%. While it’s unlikely Rodríguez maintains that (at Double-A or beyond), walking that much sets a very high floor for your value at the plate. The orange flag that’s been raised regarding Rodríguez in his career to date is the dependency of his bat-to-ball skills. In 2023, he had a Contact% of 69.6% (nice) (except not really). Thus far in 2024, it’s 65.1%. It’s still early days, but it tracks that your contact erodes slightly as you see better and better pitching. A Contact% of 65.1% would put Rodriguez 129th out of 133 qualified MLB hitters, and that’s not accounting for the significant quality increase in stuff and strike-throwing he’ll see in MLB. Indeed, it’s about 5% lower than average at his current level. In Double-A, Rodríguez has been thrown strikes 47% of the time. In MLB, the current average is 64%. Those figures include swinging strikes, foul balls, and balls in play on pitches outside the zone, but still, that's a gap the league will close, at least part of the way. This helps explain the boost to his current walk rate. When he's not walking or hitting the ball hard, he's striking out. Rodríguez is already rocking a 30.8 K% through his opening salvo in Double-A. Simply put, his current passivity at the plate and contact issues would be untenable in the majors today. That’s OK: He’s incredibly young and talented, let’s give him some time to find his way and see if he can make some discernible adjustments. What’s more interesting to me than a call-up, is the knife's edge that his development rests on moving forward. Consider some of these numbers, comparing his approach in 2023 and to date in 2024. In 2023, the average MLB Swing% was 47.2%. His current Swing% is a full 5% lower than any qualified MLB hitter in 2023. While there are a handful of hitters in the 35-40% range (Lars Nootbaar, Juan Soto, and Mookie Betts, for example), all of these players have above-average bat-to-ball skills (Contact% over 75%). The one exception to this is Kyle Schwarber, but Schwarber's profile illustrates the incredibly thin margin for error and limiting effects of that blend between approach and skills. While Rodríguez's current approach is working beautifully in the minors (where he is not getting thrown a lot of strikes), against better pitchers, he would find himself in a lot of 0-2 counts, out-leveraged, where his deficient bat-to-ball skills will be exposed. Therein lies the daunting question for the Twins' player-development team: when do you push Rodríguez to be more aggressive at the plate? Are we seeing incremental changes with him dialing back swings in pitchers' counts? Do you let him be successful now with a skill set that will run into a wall later? Alternatively, do you push for change now that may cause the path to be more bumpy, but which (in so doing) gives him the longest possible window to adjust to what might work at the big-league level? For that matter, do the Twins realize this problem exists? Their own organizationally prescribed approach, especially deep in counts, mirrors Rodríguez's so closely that they lead the league in being called out on strikes, with no close rival. Notably, this brief analysis is left wanting, because I don’t have access to heat maps and other data that might give us clues to holes in his swing that contribute to some of his contact challenges. After reading this, you might think I’m a Rodriguez doubter, I’m actually a huge believer. There’s little evidence to suggest that a promotion now would serve him or the Twins well, though. How much and when Twins player development can influence him to dial up the aggression at the plate will go a long way to governing how close he comes to realizing his considerable ceiling. Patience is a virtue, but only to a point, and that point is coming into view on Rodríguez's developmental horizon. View full article
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In episode 33 of Destination: The Show, Jeremy and Jamie sit down with Twins Vice President of Amateur Scouting Sean Johnson. Sean details his journey with the Twins, walks through the scouting calendar and details some of the work that goes into putting a draft board together. He offers insights into evaluation of high school versus college players, how his team evaluates their work and gives some of his impressions of the 2024 class. The guys then give some updates from the MLB Consensus Draft Board. They talk through Nick Kurtz and Jac Caglianone’s hot streaks, in addition to injury woes at the top of the class. They discuss some risers and fallers in this weeks’ board update, before taking deeper dives into Florida State third baseman Cam Smith, Oklahoma State outfielder Carson Benge, and Florida State outfielder James Tibbs III. 1:45 Sean Johnson, Twins VP of Amateur Scouting. His role with the organization, approach to draft cycle/process, this year's class. 40:30 Draft Notes 49:00 Consensus Board Updates for Cubs, Brewers, and Twins You can support the show by downloading it from wherever you get your podcasts, including iTunes and Spotify. If you enjoy the content, consider leaving us a five-star rating and review in addition to sharing or retweeting DTS-related content. You can follow us on Twitter @DTS_POD1, @Jeremynygaard, @J_D_Cameron, and @TheodoreTollef1. You can also find full episodes and clips of our shows on our YouTube page @DestinationTheShow.
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Draft tandem Jeremy Nygaard and JD Cameron team up for a podcast to discuss prospects on their way to the big leagues and the MLB draft, produced by Theo Tollefson. Image courtesy of Thieres Rabelo In episode 33 of Destination: The Show, Jeremy and Jamie sit down with Twins Vice President of Amateur Scouting Sean Johnson. Sean details his journey with the Twins, walks through the scouting calendar and details some of the work that goes into putting a draft board together. He offers insights into evaluation of high school versus college players, how his team evaluates their work and gives some of his impressions of the 2024 class. The guys then give some updates from the MLB Consensus Draft Board. They talk through Nick Kurtz and Jac Caglianone’s hot streaks, in addition to injury woes at the top of the class. They discuss some risers and fallers in this weeks’ board update, before taking deeper dives into Florida State third baseman Cam Smith, Oklahoma State outfielder Carson Benge, and Florida State outfielder James Tibbs III. 1:45 Sean Johnson, Twins VP of Amateur Scouting. His role with the organization, approach to draft cycle/process, this year's class. 40:30 Draft Notes 49:00 Consensus Board Updates for Cubs, Brewers, and Twins You can support the show by downloading it from wherever you get your podcasts, including iTunes and Spotify. If you enjoy the content, consider leaving us a five-star rating and review in addition to sharing or retweeting DTS-related content. You can follow us on Twitter @DTS_POD1, @Jeremynygaard, @J_D_Cameron, and @TheodoreTollef1. You can also find full episodes and clips of our shows on our YouTube page @DestinationTheShow. View full article

