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Cap'n Piranha

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Everything posted by Cap'n Piranha

  1. Cap'n Piranha
    Given our (lack of a) bullpen, I'm not happy Santana needed 27 pitches in that inning.
  2. Cap'n Piranha
    Because no city sells out like Chicago sells out. For awhile, the official name for Chicago's NFL team was...The Chicago Bears presented by Bank One.
  3. Cap'n Piranha
    Those numbers are pretty misleading. Take a look at what he's done away from PetCo--71.2 IP, 4.90 ERA, opposing batters are OPS'ing .816 off him (which is better than Tulowitzki when he's not at Coors), 9.42 k/9, 3.27 bb/9, and a 4.19 FIP. Then look at his trends this year--his k/9 has gone down every month, from 11.9 to 8. His bb/9 has gone up from 2.61, to 4. You also can't play the "take away x statistic game" without citing the other side. For example, take away his two starts where he gave up 0 ER, and he's been a 4.14 ERA pitcher in 20 starts. Finally, unless the Padres are taking back Nolasco AND another pitcher, he simply adds to our SP log jam next year, where two out of May/Berrios/Duffey can't start. Is he better than those guys? Probably, but not at a 21 million dollar price tag, which is what his contract is each of the next 3 years (which also makes his contract, assuming no Nolasco, a 3 year, 39M one, not 3 years, 33M). In short, I'll trade for Shields, but only if the Padres take back Nolasco, do not get Kepler/Stewart/Berrios/Polanco in return, and we get Norris and/or a reliever not named Benoit. In other words, if I were Twins GM, I wouldn't get him, because the Padres I'm sure would not take what I would offer, and I'd be a-ok with that.
  4. Cap'n Piranha
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=31g0YE61PLQ
  5. Cap'n Piranha
    After 3 straight appearances giving up a run (4 if you include the ASG), I sure hope Perkins is injured (albeit non-arm category). If not, we potentially have a much bigger problem.
  6. Cap'n Piranha
    If Jorge Polanco's bat appears to be major league ready, what does it say about Eduardo Escobar's bat that he has a better OPS in the bigs than Polanco does in AAA? I would also argue that consistent playing time is a necessity to determine if last year was a fluke for Esco. As for the defensive side of the ball, this is the first year that Esco's UZR has been negative--he has been a positive defender every year until now, which I think has a lot to do with sample size too. The Twins should not be trying to acquire a shortstop, but playing the guy they already have who is in all likelihood, league average at worst.
  7. Cap'n Piranha
    Very heartened to see the line from Kohl. IMO, he's the most important prospect for 2016; if he can re-establish his bona fides as a potential #1 or 2, our organizational pitching depth will be in extremely good shape.
  8. Cap'n Piranha
    O'Day also wouldn't have helped much against A-Rod yesterday. He definitely wouldn't have been in for homer 1. Homer 2 came in the seventh, when Milone had just given up his second hit, so no reason to pull him there. Homer 3 led off the ninth against your all-star closer, so no reason to have him in there either. Sometimes, the other guy just wins.
  9. Cap'n Piranha
    I like Trevor, and he's a valuable piece, but I have to point out that his 2012 slash line which you said "left something to be desired", is barely worse than his current slash. The BA is only .018 lower (which equates to 1 more hit every 12 to 13 games), the OBP is only .014 lower (1 more time on base every 15 to 16 games), and a lower SLG. His glove is vastly improved, but his bat is fairly stagnant.
  10. Cap'n Piranha
    Is that you Gardy?!?
  11. Cap'n Piranha
    Leaving aside whether clutch is a real thing or not, ABW hits extremely well with only 1 runner on, but very poorly with multiple runners on. The numbers below are somewhat nebulous as MiLB.com doesn't show plate appearances, but it paints a picture of a guy who is better with runners on (as you would expect from almost any hitter). Interestingly, only 5 of his 26 walks have come with 1st base occupied, leading me to believe at least some of his walks are of the "unintentional" variety--therefore, his plate discipline is probably even worse than his 1-to-5.4 bb/k ratio would suggest. Bases Empty--.230/.312/.421 in 152 AB's Runner at 1st--.277/.302/.759 in 83 AB's Runners at 1st & 2nd--.148/.207/.259 in 27 AB's Runners at 1st & 3rd--.167/.154/.417 in 12 AB's Runner at 2nd--.500/.529/1.125 in 32 AB's Runners at 2nd & 3rd--.143/.222/.286 in 7 AB's Runner at 3rd--.462/.467/.923 in 13 AB's Bases Loaded--.143/.200/.214 in 14 AB's
  12. Cap'n Piranha
    I would assume that, logically, if someone gets married twice in the same year, they have not become a second person. Because the stat is counting the number of people getting married, and not the number of marriages, whether a person is married once in a year or ten times in a year, they count as 1. Therefore, the odd number of people getting married is explained by there being an odd number of people getting married multiple times in the year.
  13. Cap'n Piranha
    I'll go so far as to say the Brewers aren't going to trade Lucroy for anything less than a King's ransom. Very quietly, since being 18-36 headed into their first series with the Twins, the Brewers are 23-16. That's 6 weeks of 95-win baseball, so if I'm the Brewers' GM, I'm fairly optimistic that I should be adding players in the offseason to compete in 2016, not selling off pieces at the 2015 deadline in order to rebuild in 2016.
  14. Cap'n Piranha
    There's also some guy named Johan Santana who started in the bullpen before transitioning to starter. That one turned out pretty ok.
  15. Cap'n Piranha
    Umm, you realize that his 2.8 UZR puts him 6th in the entire league for right fielders? Torii hasn't been gold glove caliber or anything, but he is miles better than anyone could have thought he'd be in the field. Arcia, by contrast, has amassed a negative 2.7 WAR this year in only 146 innings.
  16. Cap'n Piranha
    To the end of maybe fetching something in a trade, since O'Rourke was called up to be the LOOGY, and should be more than adequate in that role (14.5 k/9, and struck out 18 of the 27 lefties he faced this year, while only giving up 3 hits). If O'Rourke can't cut it, let Rogers be the LOOGY, otherwise let him hold his value as a starter.
  17. Cap'n Piranha
    Maybe bringing up Arcia, for no other reason than to sit on the bench and see how Sano conducts himself, would be beneficial.
  18. Cap'n Piranha
    I'm a big Dozier believer, but many of the points you used to champion Dozier, particularly in regards to whether he should be in the All-Star game, would point to Dozier not being the best second baseman in the league. For this year, that man is Jason Kipnis. WAR--Kipnis is out performing Dozier by 50%, with a 4.8 WAR to Dozier's 3.2. OPS--Kipnis is far clear of Dozier, as he is OPS'ing .904 to Dozier's .843 Kipnis is also walking more than Dozier, striking out less, batting 70 points higher, OBP'ing nearly 80 points higher, and within 20 points of slugging. He's also, according to fangraphs, been better than Dozier on the basepaths, and in the field as well. Dozier should definitely have gotten into the game above Altuve, but unfortunately, Altuve is who the fans voted in.
  19. Cap'n Piranha
    Did you know that Now Here is Nowhere? Or did I just blow your mind?
  20. Cap'n Piranha
    When it's Kurt Suzuki doing the bunting to put runners at 2nd and 3rd with only one out, I really like bunts.
  21. Cap'n Piranha
    That's not even close to true. Plus, since they're inanimate, they feel no pain, and not having rights, can't send you to jail. On the downside, beating pajamas in public will probably lead to widespread questions about one's mental stability.
  22. Cap'n Piranha
    Based off what I saw on gameday, that was a very bad at bat by Mr Hunter. Bruno apparently needs to tell him not to swing at first pitch balls, or even first pitch marginal strikes, for that matter.
  23. Cap'n Piranha
    Yeah, keep going.
  24. Cap'n Piranha
    I gotta get myself to Kwik Trip, I love Soylent Green.
  25. Cap'n Piranha
    I think Roger's could be an ok #5 too, but that shouldn't be something the Twins need any time soon. Barring trades, collapses in other pitcher's abilities, or Rogers kicking it into a higher gear, he won't get above 7 or 8 on the SP depth chart. By the time Nolasco/Hughes/Santana are off the books, Berrios/Hu/Gonsalves should be ready. By the time Gibson and May have gotten too expensive, guys like Batts/Stewart/Thorpe/Jorge/Rosario will hopefully be ready. Any/all of those guys could completely fall apart, but Rogers will need at least 3 or 4 of those guys to fall in value to get to a point where he's any more than a spot starter/AAAA pitching depth. That being said, I think he'd be a great LOOGY, with the chance to add some velocity and become a late inning guy. I think that's where he'll provide the most value to the Twins.
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