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Cap'n Piranha

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Everything posted by Cap'n Piranha

  1. Cap'n Piranha
    Except through May 7 this year Rogers has thrown 206 pitches. Through May 6 last year, Reed had thrown 277, which is the equivalent of almost 4 more appearances. Pressly had thrown 281. I think it's pretty clear Reed and Pressly were getting quite overused last year, and you can't dismiss that as a factor in Reed's decline.
  2. Cap'n Piranha
    Just like every player looks bad if you throw out their good months and only count their bad months? You stated he wasn't good before his injury. I provided a number that demonstrates that not to be true (to at least some extent). In no way did I cherry pick--I looked at a timeframe in which you said he wasn't good, and provided evidence that, actually, he was.
  3. Cap'n Piranha
    Go check out the playoff odds on fangraphs--the Twins are now favored to win the division.
  4. Cap'n Piranha
    3.3 FIP in March/April suggests otherwise. He also had a 2.22 FIP in September when he returned. Reed's not prime Andrew Miller or anything, but he certainly represents an upgrade to our bullpen.
  5. Cap'n Piranha
    Garver is definitely the main catcher, with 18 games (17 at catcher) and 62 PA's compared to Castro's 16 games and 50 PA's.
  6. Cap'n Piranha
    If we're targeting starting pitchers, I'd rather go the MadBum route. 21st in the league in FIP, less cause for concern then Stroman, and a real good postseason pedigree. Given that he's a FA after the season, you might also be able to get him for less than Stroman, and then re-sign him if he performs.
  7. Cap'n Piranha
    Correct me if I'm wrong, but in terms of adding Javier to the 40-man, isn't that only if they don't want him to be rule V eligible? Unless he tears it up and somehow makes it to AA this year, I can't envision any organization using a 25 man spot next year on him.
  8. Cap'n Piranha
    Houston is definitely a good offense, but Toronto is 26th in wRC+ and 27th in OPS.
  9. Cap'n Piranha
    Very nice win, especially against the team that put us on the only truly disheartening series of the year thus far. Having not pitched since Thursday, and only needing 8 pitches to get through the 8th, I would have liked to see Harper just finish the game. The pen is fully rested, so not a huge deal here, but doing things like that to give yourselves more rested options is something Baldelli needs to learn to do in the future. Dan Gladden's adherence to old-school smallball tactics is grating. Before Castro's RBI groundout last night, Gladden stated the goal should be, with runners on 2nd and 3rd with no outs, to hit a ground ball to the right side. When Castro did that, he called it "perfect".
  10. Cap'n Piranha
    He also has a .200 babip, well below his career norm of .291. Give him 9 more hits on the year, and all of the sudden he's batting .294 with a .351 OBP and at worst a .500 SLG (assuming all 9 hits are singles. Since Cron averages 2 bases per hit, his SLG would more likely be .526). This puts him at an OPS in the .850 to .875 range, which puts him in the mid 40's to mid-50's in the league (somewhere between Yoan Moncada and Kris Bryant), and in the top half of first basemen. That being said, he is making less hard contact, and more soft contact, which suggests a lower babip might not be an outlier. I'm in favor of upgrading our first base spot, but it's still possible the upgrade is simply Cron progressing to the mean.
  11. Cap'n Piranha
    Navaretto has twice caught 80 or more games in a season, so while it is rare, it happens. That being said, with two potential major leaguers, I'd prefer to see them both get more time to aid in their development.
  12. Cap'n Piranha
    I'm waiting for a team to realize carrying 4 players on their roster every day who are guaranteed to not appear in the game is a waste, and start utilizing 3-4 guys on a rotation to be starters 4 and 5. Player 1 starts, and immediately gets sent down. 4 days later player 2 gets called up, starts, and immediately gets sent down. If there is a day off either before player 2's start, or before the next time a 5th starter is need, player 1 comes back up, other player 3 gets brought up. Rinse repeat. This means 80% of the time, a team could have either an 8th or 9th man in the bullpen, or a 4th or 5th guy on the bench.
  13. Cap'n Piranha
    Pretty small sample size here. In Stewart's 4 starts last year, he never had a babip below .333, while in his 4 primary appearances he never had a babip above .222. Since he had two appearances in each category against Detroit, it seems a lot more like chance than proof Stewart is now Cy Young so long as he doesn't have to start. Same thing with Gonsalves--in his starts he never had a babip below .294, and had a game at .500 and one at .857(!). Meanwhile, in his primary appearances, he had one at .273, while the other two were .071 and .000. It's way too early to state with any kind of certainty that the only thing keeping Stewart and Gonsalves from being MLB regulars (and stars, at that) is an unwillingness to allow them to skip first innings.
  14. Cap'n Piranha
    The Liriano for Escobar (and Pedro Hernandez) trade worked out pretty well, particularly if any of the guys we got back for Esco do anything.
  15. Cap'n Piranha
    I'd like to see either Rortvedt or Jeffers promoted to AA, so both of them can get 75-80% of the time behind the plate. A plethora of cheap number 4 and 5 starters is what will allow the Twins to compete going forward. And if a guy doesn't develop into that, you can always try the Trevor May/Taylor Rogers route, and build out your bullpen. SSS, but Lewis has an almost .800 OPS in May. He's done a nice job of holding his own in controlling the strike zone (16 bb to 26 k), but really struggled against righties (.511 OPS, compared to .978 against lefties).
  16. Cap'n Piranha
    On fangraphs, our win projection is now within 3 of the Indians, and we have a 71% chance to make the playoffs (really 54ish%, since only 37 of that 71% is from winning the division).
  17. Cap'n Piranha
    Houston's radio team says every ball hit this inning has had an exit velocity of 98 MPH or better. That's solid contact.
  18. Cap'n Piranha
    What kind of alcohol is shortly?
  19. Cap'n Piranha
    I get the sense that this team is starting to believe in themselves.
  20. Cap'n Piranha
    Buck getting a lot of love from the Houston radio announcers on that last catch.
  21. Cap'n Piranha
    Did you fivesee it?
  22. Cap'n Piranha
    It's a Game Thread; reading is frowned upon, and comprehension is actively discouraged.
  23. Cap'n Piranha
    Season series, not just this series. It's currently knotted at 3 apiece.
  24. Cap'n Piranha
    Well then I think to fix the team, we should recall Drew Maggi from AAA. After all, once we do that we can simply ignore his .438 OPS at AAA. And DJ Baxendale, with his 11.57 ERA and 2.57 WHIP is just what the bullpen needs, since those numbers are obviously irrelevant the moment he puts on a Twins uniform.
  25. Cap'n Piranha
    Arraez is doing some interesting things--.321 Avg, .384 OBP with as many walks as strikeouts. Schales has a .905 OPS, despite striking out in nearly half his AB's Rortvedt has an .817 OPS (fangraphs puts him at a 154 wRC+), and also has as mnay walks as strikeouts, with half of his hits going for extra bases.
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