BrianTrottier
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The Case Against Extending Jose Berrios
BrianTrottier replied to Patrick Wozniak's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I thought he was in line for a Cy Young award. -
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The Twins' Missing Piece
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This type of prognostication at this point in time is a sure sign that it's time for baseball season to begin.
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Minnesota’s Previous Front Offices Deserve Credit For Current Core
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Buzz on Baseball's Worst Scandal in Decades
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Buzz on Baseball's Worst Scandal in Decades
BrianTrottier replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
That would be interesting for someone to look up, but you'd run into issues of small sample sizes. I don't think you'd be able to draw any conclusions either way..- 54 replies
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Buzz on Baseball's Worst Scandal in Decades
BrianTrottier replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Probably no sense to it. It's just how it struck me in the moment..Maybe from other comments I've read here and elsewhere that were along the lines of "X player has said it's a bigger advantage to know the pitch beforehand than to take PEDs, so it's clearly a bigger advantage" which led me down a line of thought how some players have placed their personal experience over analytics in determining how the game should be played. Not that his thought literally signals a disdain for analytics, but maybe that it comes from a similar place. It was probably an ill thought out comment on my part.- 54 replies
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Buzz on Baseball's Worst Scandal in Decades
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Buzz on Baseball's Worst Scandal in Decades
BrianTrottier replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
That's interesting. Do you recall which player it was? That type of statement strikes me as possibly coming from the same place as "I played the game, so take your spin rates and launch angles and shove it." Does he really know that's the case, based only on his lived experience? Does he understand the effects different types of PEDs have on the human body? Without that understanding isn't he just prognosticating like the rest of us? Maybe he does, and I'm certainly no expert. In any case, I was just doing some looking on baseball reference for 2017 home/road splits for Altuve, Bregman, and Marwin (he put up 4+ wins that year and is on our team now, so why not?), plus Houston as a whole, and here are some home/road splits from 2017 listed in order of GP/AB/BA/OBP/SLG/OPS. It's not like this is a systematic analysis, but I think it's helpful to frame the problem. Altuve home: 78 gp / 296 ab /.311 ba /.371 obp /.463 slg / .834 ops Altuve away: 75/294/.381/.449/.633/1.081 Altuve's numbers were quite a bit better on the road that year than at home. Bregman home: 76/266/.278/.343/.444/.787 Bregman away: 79/290/.290/.360/.503/.863 Bregman's numbers were also better on the road than at home. Marwin home: 70/234/.282/.339/.543/.881 Marwin away: 64/221/.326/.416/.516/.932 Marwin also performed better on the road that season. Collectively, the 2017 Astros as a team produced the following splits: home: .279 avg/ .340 obp/ .472 slg/ .812 ops away: .284 avg/ .351 obp/.483 slg/ .834 ops Numbers weren't dramatically different, but their road performance had a slight edge over this home games. I'm sure there were plenty of key moments where the cheating resulted in a favorable outcome for Houston than if it wasn't deployed, so don't take this as me saying that it had no impact. All I'm saying is that maybe it isn't so clear that this type of cheating is magnitudes more advantageous than PEDs. It's really hard to say what the exact impact of either was on terms of actual outcomes. We don't have counterfactuals to observe, so we have to rely on our own wits when thinking about what would've happened had the sign stealing (or PED use) not occurred. But I feel pretty comfortable saying that Brady Anderson would not have hit 50 home runs (24% of his career total) in 1996 if he was not juicing. I don't feel comfortable saying that the Astros wouldn't be WS champs in 2017 if they had not stolen signs. It's probably less likely that they would have been, but who knows? But the argument in the original article is that this scandal is the most impactful on the game in history. I think that it's too early to say that this has had a larger impact on the game than PEDs, though. Maybe this scandal will lead to a lot of fans turning away, which we know that the PED scandal did. We know guys like Ken Caminiti have died from their PED use. We know records were broken, and congressional hearings were held. People still get busted for PEDs, and the issue reaches into all levels of professional baseball. Can the same be said for using video feeds to steal signs (that's an honest question)? Finally, I am adamant that the codified racism of early MLB is the largest scandal in the history of the game. Neither PED use nor using technology for sign stealing touches that, IMO.- 54 replies
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Buzz on Baseball's Worst Scandal in Decades
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Buzz on Baseball's Worst Scandal in Decades
BrianTrottier replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'll preface my comment by saying I'm glad MLB came down hard on the Astros. ETA: I also believe this is very bad for the game, and has a much more negative impact than gambling. Anyway, I can't see how this is more "impactful" than the steroids epidemic. That was/is magnitudes more widespread (from what we can tell given the available evidence), it's still ongoing, and it provided a benefit to juicers for all 162 games, not just the home games where they had a video feed in their own dugout. Some of the most historic seasons in baseball history have been written on steroid use. Using tech to steal signs still requires the players to execute, as does steroid use, but the physical/chemical makeup of the players themselves is not altered by the bang of a garbage can. Players have not died as a result of stealing signs, which cannot be said of PED use. I can't see how someone can argue that this is worse for the game than steroids were. Also ETA: I don't see how you can argue that this is a more impactful scandal for the game than the racial segregation MLB was founded on. That excluded generations of would-be MLB greats, and exacerbated fissures in our society that we still have not overcome.- 54 replies
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With Twins Likely Out on Donaldson, So What's the Plan Now?
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Donaldson contract discussion - 4/100? 4/110?
BrianTrottier replied to Brandon's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Unless his isn't actually as serious about returning to Atlanta as people suggest. -
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Where Are We Now? (New Years Edition)
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Hayes: Twins To Sign Rich Hill & Homer Bailey
BrianTrottier replied to John Bonnes's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Good input! -
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Target Field
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Target Field
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Why do you put venue in quotes? Is the implication that it's not actually a venue?
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Twins Sign Tyler Clippard
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Twins Sign Tyler Clippard
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Twins Sign Tyler Clippard
BrianTrottier replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Probably because he's a good, but not elite relief arm, which is the type of guy who doesn't get many long term offers thrown his way. But he's good enough to stick around the league for a long time. -
Twins Sign Tyler Clippard
BrianTrottier replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Front Office math boys think there pulling one over on us. Is he even a bullpen ace? /s -
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Updated Fangraphs ratings
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They're also listing Kirilloff as a first baseman.
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Still waiting...
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DannySD reacted to a post in a topic:
Still waiting...
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Rosario, Rooker/Gordon, and Enlow to St. Louis for Dakota Hudson. Get it done.

